SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD
Baylor vs. Washington
Thursday, Dec. 29, 9:00 pm
The Alamo Bowl is generally one of the better early-season bowl matchups, and I would say this year is no different. Robert Griffin III won the Heisman Trophy early this month, and he’ll lead his Baylor Bears up against the Washington Huskies in this one. The man they call RG3 is making the rounds in the media after picking up the coveted trophy. Can his Bears reach double figures in wins in front of a friendly crowd in San Antonio? Washington heads into a bowl game as a major underdog for a second straight year. Steve Sarkisian and the Huskies hope to be able to pull off a major upset again this year. Last year, the Huskies won, 19-7, as an 11-point underdog to Nebraska in the Holiday Bowl.
The Huskies offense might not have Jake Locker anymore, but they still have plenty of weapons. Chris Polk is an electrifying runner with terrific cutting ability. Polk finished the season with 11 rushing touchdowns and four receiving touchdowns. Keith Price had big shoes to fill, and he did a terrific job in his first season under center. Price racked up 29 touchdown passes while throwing only 11 interceptions. Price connected on an impressive 67.4 percent of his passes this year. Defense was a major problem for Washington in 2010, and this year was no different. The rushing defense was improved compared to last year, but the secondary has been badly beaten constantly. The inexperience of the secondary really hurt this unit. A major problem for this defense was getting off the field on third down.
Art Briles has done more for the Baylor Bears football program than most casual fans realize. He has turned this team around in a big way in just a few short years. It certainly doesn’t hurt to have an ultra-talented quarterback like Griffin at the helm, but the Bears have talent all over the field on offense. Griffin has been a great runner from the first day he got to Waco, Texas. It has been his accuracy through the air that dramatically improved. This is a quarterback who completed 72 percent of his passes in 2011. He also finished the regular season with 36 touchdown passes and just six interceptions. Terrance Ganaway’s versatility in the backfield really helped keep defenses honest. Kendall Wright piled up 101 catches and 13 touchdown receptions this year. This Baylor Bears offense is a well-oiled machine that finished second in the nation in total offense. Defensively, the Bears have struggled all season. The offense has had to outscore opponents on a weekly basis due to the team’s defensive limitations. Phil Taylor was the Cleveland Browns top pick, and the Bears definitely missed having him on the front line. This unit couldn’t stop anyone most of the season. Baylor gave up 279 rushing yards per game and the pass defense was even worse. Baylor should have a strong home-field advantage in this one.
The Bears defense makes it difficult to lay the points with them, because they could easily give up 40 points in this game. At the same time, it’s hard to imagine Washington slowing down the Bears. The posted total has been moving up and for good reason. I think it is more likely this game finishes with 100 points than 60 or less. The ‘over’ may be the best value in this game but I also have Baylor winning this game by a touchdown and if the pointspread continues to climb I may be jumping on the Huskies back for this one. A this point we have been dealing with a lot of tough decisions and since this is for fun and entertainment purposes only I always post something. Here is no exception although I do like the Over in this one.
WASHINGTON +11 (buy pt)
WASHINGTON/BAYLOR OVER 79 POINTS (Opinion)
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