SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD
New Orleans Bowl
San Diego State vs. UL-Lafayette
Saturday, Dec. 17, 9:00 pm
The San Diego State Aztecs head into the Superdome this Saturday night as a road favorite in a neutral-site game when they take-on the hometown UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns in this year’s New Orleans Bowl.
The Aztecs failed to cover the spread in four of their final six games to finish 5-7 against the spread. The total went ‘over’ in two of its final three games, but was an even 6-6 on the year.
One thing the Aztecs have been able to do very well this season is run the ball.
They have also done a good job at finding the end zone with an average of 28.8 points a game this season, including putting-up a total of 101 points in their last three games.
UL Lafayette closed out the season with two straight losses, but covered the spread as a double-digit road underdog in both.
The loss to Red Wolves dropped their final record in the conference to 6-2 SU and the total went ‘over’ in eight of their 12 games this season.
This is another team that is no stranger to the end zone with an average of 32.3 points a game. The 21 points scored against Arkansas State was just the third time all season that UL Lafayette failed to score at least 30 points in a game.
The problem has been a defense that has trouble keeping its opponents out of the end zone as well. The Ragin’ Cajuns finished the regular season ranked 83rd in the country in points allowed; giving-up an average of 29.8 points a game.
As mentioned before, both these teams know how to put points on the board, and given the fast track at the Superdome that should be once again be the case come Saturday night. Home field advantage should also be a factor with UL Lafayette basically playing this game in their own backyard.
On all these write ups I will come back closer to game time to make a final determination and any opinions on the total. But looking at the game I see San Diego State winning the game by more than a touchdown and they are the better team so lets go from there. And regardless of the line I always buy down or up if it falls on the 1/2 point.
SAN DIEGO STATE -4
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. UL LAFAYETTE OVER 59 POINTS (OPINION)
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