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That's good knowledge of NFL history. Correct me if I am wrong but AFAIK the Indianapolis Colts are the only underdog in NFL history to NOT cover a 20+ point spread. They lost two games ATS at Buffalo in 1991 and 1992 as a 20 point dog in each game.
NFL 2011: 35-18-2 = 66% NFL 2012 2-4-2
ANYONE THAT ISN'T WINNING, ISN'T WORKING HARD ENOUGH...
That's even better knowledge of NFL history that I wasn't aware of. I generally don't bet against Brady, Brees, or Rodgers, but in this case I'm going to buy the 1/2 point & take a shot on the 3 TD head start.
I also like the St. Louis Rams as 2 TD underdogs & the Lions as 8 1/2 point underdogs (the Lions have the 4th ranked offense in the league & are averaging nearly 30 PPG). Shaping up to be an interesting day.