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11/23/2011 04:40 PM
New England Patriots Meet Eagles In Philadelphia

Philly’s LeSean McCoy leads the NFL with 1,019 yards rushing.
When looking at the 2011 NFL schedule, more than a few were suspecting that this matchup featuring New England and Philadelphia could potentially be a Super Bowl preview.

Technically, that’s still possible, although it’s hardly a topic of discussion during Thanksgiving week.

We’ll see what happens when these two meet at the Linc on Sunday. The Don Best odds screen currently lists the visiting Patriots (7-3 straight up, 6-3 against the spread) as a 3-point favorite over the host Eagles (4-6 SU & ATS) at the few Las Vegas wagering outlets that have posted a price at midweek, with a total, where posted, at 50½. Kickoff time will be 4:15 p.m. (ET), with CBS providing the TV coverage.

The reason for the skittishness at the Las Vegas sports books? It’s the status of Philadelphia QB Michael Vick, still unknown as we went to press due to his rib injury. Although the Birds didn’t seem to miss Vick last week, when reliever Vince Young was summoned from the bullpen and led Philly to surprising 17-10 win at Met Life Stadium against the host Giants.

More on Young/Vick in a moment. But allow us to digress for a moment as we recollect on the special nature of this infrequent interconference rivalry from the Northeast Corridor.

The Super Bowl reference is only natural when mentioning these two because of their meeting at Jacksonville in Super Bowl XXXIX back on February 5, 2005. We have always thought that the 24-21 final scoreline in favor of the Patriots was a bit misleading in a game that New England seemed in control for much of the evening.

Indeed, the enduring memory of the contest is of the Eagles and Donovan McNabb taking their sweet time on a 4th-quarter TD drive that demanded more urgency. After a failed onside kick, Philly didn’t get the ball back until 46 seconds remained, and was on its own 4-yard-line to boot. With no timeouts, the drive predictably went nowhere, a McNabb interception to Rodney Harrison with nine seconds to play ending the festivities.

After the game, controversy erupted when Eagles wideout Terrell Owens and other Philly players were indirectly critical of McNabb, which kept the call-in lines at 610 WIP in Philadelphia busy throughout that offseason.

The next meeting between the teams in November of 2007, was also an interesting one, when the Patriots were storming their way toward a 16-0 regular-season mark. Having hardly taken a deep breath while covering nine of their first 10 wins, Bill Belichick’s team was installed as whopping 22-point favorites at Foxborough. The game, however, was not easy for New England, which had to rally late for a 31-28 triumph, in retrospect the first chink in the Patriots’ armor that season, and one the Giants would finally exploit in the Super Bowl.

Sunday’s battle has more urgency attached to it for the Eagles, who are trying to rally their way back into the NFC East race. Wildly inconsistent, the Birds hit one of their high notes last Sunday night in the aforementioned win against the Giants when “V.Y.” came to the rescue.

Young, playing in a mostly-controlled manner in his first start in an Eagle uniform, completed 23-of-36 passes for 258 yards and two scores. Granted, V.Y. suffered three picks, but also expertly led a late, 18-play drive that resulted in a game-winning 8-yard TD pass to Riley Cooper with 2:45 to play.

Evidence would suggest there is little if any dropoff between Vick and Young, mainly because the Birds can rely on other weapons on the attack. Specifically RB LeSean McCoy, now on 1,019 rush yards this season, and WR DeSean Jackson, who caught six of Young’s passes last Sunday night.

More encouraging for the Eagles vs. the G-Men was the effort of a defense that has come under a lot of criticism this season. While most acknowledged that Andy Reid erred when moving Juan Castillo from OL coach to the defensive coordinator position, the Birds have tightened up their stop unit in recent weeks since Reid changed assignments for his defensive staff, with Castillo now getting extra help in calling the defensive signals.

The Patriots have had defensive concerns this year, too, ranking near the bottom of NFL stats all season thanks to a mostly-rebuilt back seven. New England is also showing signs of responding to Belichick’s noted defensive scheming, having allowed only 19 points over the last two games, dominant wins over the Jets and Chiefs that have helped them reassume command of the AFC East, a division they now lead by two games over the Bills and Jets.

As always, keeping QB Tom Brady from causing severe damage will be key in controlling the Patriot offense. New England endured a rare attack-end slump a few weeks back when opposing defenses were succeeding in pressuring Brady from the inside, forcing him into more uncomfortable rolls to his right or left to escape traffic rather than stepping inside of the pass rush, as he would prefer.

A key in this matchup will be if either Young or Vick can pick the pocket of Belichick’s pass defense, which has mostly labored this season. The Pats have allowed 63 percent completions and 15 TD passes, the latter number helped by facing pedestrian Jets and Chiefs offenses the past two weeks. The Eagles’ chances increase if one of their QBs can similarly exploit what has been a burnable New England pass defense.

Also note that Belichick has won his three previous meetings vs. Philly coach Andy Reid in 2003, the Super Bowl after the 2004 season, and 2007, though the Birds have covered the last two.


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11/23/2011 04:42 PM
Pittsburgh Steelers At Kansas City Chiefs Sunday Night

Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger isn’t going to let a little broken thumb get in the way of a Sunday night visit to the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Steelers are between 10-10½ point favorites at Don Best with a total of 39½-40. The normal NBC crew will broadcast at 8:20 p.m. (ET) from Arrowhead Stadium.

The Steelers (7-3 straight up, 5-5 against the spread) are coming off a bye week tied with Baltimore in the AFC North. They would lose the head-to-head tiebreaker to the Ravens after getting swept, so that makes every game vital.

Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) in its last six games, with the only loss coming at home against Baltimore 23-20.

Roethlisberger fractured the thumb on his throwing hand last game against Cincinnati. Unlike the injury to Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler, which will keep him out the rest of the regular season, Big Ben just needs to wear a splint to continue to play.

Pittsburgh will likely go out of the shotgun formation more to protect Roethlisberger’s thumb and there’s no guarantee it won’t affect his throwing, However, he’s about as tough as they come in blocking out injuries and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him play really well.

Coach Mike Tomlin would love to limit passing this week and feature running back Rashard Mendenhall. The problem is he’s only averaging a measly 37 YPG (2.7 per carry) on the road, compared to 67 YPG (4.9 per carry) at home.

Pittsburgh has won and covered its last two road games at Cincinnati (24-17) and Arizona (32-20) after starting the season 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS away. However, it was Roethlisberger’s arm and the defense that won those games and certainly not the rushing attack.

The ‘over’ is 6-1 in Pittsburgh’s last seven road games (4-1 this year).

The Chiefs (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) are still only two games behind Oakland in the AFC West, but they look like the worst team in that division, even with San Diego on an 0-5 SU and ATS streak.

Kansas City has been doing some bad ‘streaking’ of its own, losers of 3-straight (SU and ATS). Quarterback is the biggest issue with Matt Cassel (hand) out for the season and Tyler Palko getting the start last Monday night at New England. The 28-year-old has done stints in the UFL and CFL and certainly didn’t look NFL caliber with three picks in the 34-3 loss.

Coach Todd Haley’s team hasn’t scored more than 10 points the last three games. The prior two losses were at home to Denver (17-10) and Miami (31-3), both times as small favorites.

The ‘under’ is 5-0 in Kansas City’s last five games and 7-1 in the last eight.

Haley will reportedly start Palko again this week as opposed to turn to rookie Ricky Stanzi. The Iowa product Stanzi was a fifth-round pick and will almost certainly get his shot this year. The pass offense (186 YPG, ranked 28th) has been bad no matter who has been playing quarterback, so there’s really not much to lose.

Defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel still has his unit playing hard. It held Tom Brady to just seven points deep into the second quarter and New England’s offense only scored 20 points when you throw out the punt return for a touchdown and the meaningless score with 1:01 left, a Bill Belichick ‘rub it in’ special.

Crennel did a lot of blitzing against the Pats and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the same tactic used to test Roethlisberger’s thumb.

The Steelers will also turn up the heat defensively on Palko, not worried about his below average arm strength. They’re also much healthier in the secondary than New England, who is a walking MASH Unit. The Chiefs running attack is just average after losing Jamaal Charles (knee) in September.

One player who would help the pass rush is Pittsburgh linebacker LaMarr Woodley, questionable to return from his hamstring injury.

These teams last met in 2009 with Kansas City winning 27-24 in overtime at home. Pittsburgh had three turnovers which negated a 44-22 minute advantage in time of possession. The Chiefs are 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four meetings at Arrowhead dating back to 1999.

The ‘over’ is also 5-0 in the last five meetings overall.

Kansas City weather should be cool, in the 30s, although both teams are used to such conditions.


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11/23/2011 04:43 PM
New York Giants Face New Orleans Saints Monday Night Football

The fourth-quarter magic of Eli Manning has all but disappeared as he leads his New York Giants into the Bayou to face the New Orleans Saints.

This is the Monday Night Football game and ESPN will broadcast at 8:30 p.m. (ET) from Mercedes-Benz Superdome. New York is up to a 7-point underdog at Don Best after opening at 6 ½ and the total is 50 ½ points.

The Giants (6-4 straight up, 4-5-1 against the spread) find themselves tied with Dallas for first place in the NFC East after losing two in a row. The suddenly resurgent Cowboys have won three straight.

Coach Tom Coughlin is as hard-nosed as they come, but even he could probably live with the 27-20 loss at San Fran two weeks ago as 4-point ‘dogs. What was much harder for him to accept, and the legion of Giants fans, was the 17-10 home loss to Philadelphia last Sunday night as 6-point closing favorites.

Philly was without quarterback Michael Vick and receiver Jeremy Maclin, but the Giants acted like the game was won before kickoff. They ended up losing the ground battle by 136-29 and time of possession, 36 minutes to 24. Quarterback Eli Manning failed to mount a fourth-quarter comeback for the second week in a row after doing it five times earlier this season.

New York needs to stop playing from behind and relying on late heroics. Getting running back Ahmad Bradshaw back (foot) would help, but he’s questionable at best after missing the last three games. Tight end Jake Ballard (elbow) is probable, although his drops really hurt last game.

Linebacker Michael Boley (hamstring) is also questionable, and he’s important as he calls the defensive signals. The Giants defense gave up a late 80-yard, go-ahead drive to Vince Young last game and will need to be a lot better to slow down New Orleans’ second-ranked scoring offense (31.3 PPG) for four quarters.

New York has at least had success on Monday Night Football recently, 4-0 ATS in the last four.

The Saints (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) are coming off a bye week and sit just a game ahead of Atlanta in the NFC South. They won in Atlanta (26-23 OT) the last game they played and hold the head-to-head tiebreaker for now.

Quarterback Drew Brees leads the NFL in passing yards (3,326), spreading the ball around to several wideouts, running backs and tight end Jimmy Graham. He does have 11 interceptions on the year, which is too much for his liking, although he went unscathed against Atlanta in 43 attempts.

The running game ranks 13th in the NFL (117.5 YPG) and has good balance with Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas and the change-of-pace Darren Sproles. There are just so many offensive weapons that a defense has to worry about, especially on the fast-track playing inside.

The Saints have only played four home games this year, but are 4-0 SU and ATS, scoring 39.8 PPG. The home number is skewed by the 62-7 beating they put on Indianapolis on October 23. That was the last night game played in the dome, which gets even more raucous coming right off Bourbon Street.

The Saints defense is allowing 22.8 PPG on the year, tied with the Giants for 20th in the league. The passing and rushing yards allowed are also almost identical to the G-Men. Middle linebacker Jonathan Vilma is listed as questionable with a knee injury. He last played October 30 at St. Louis.

New York should have success on offense as it tries to match points with Brees and company. Manning has a plethora of receiving weapons as well and will enjoy the indoor conditions and playing in his hometown. He does need to be careful with the ball after four picks the last three games.

These teams last played in 2009 with New Orleans winning 48-27 as 3 ½-point home favorites. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. The ‘under’ is 5-2-1 in the last eight.

Weather will not be a factor playing in the cozy, comfy dome.


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11/23/2011 10:32 PM
NFL odds: Week 12 opening line report

Ah, Thanksgiving football. So many unforgettable moments, so many thrilling finishes.

Can’t wait for my annual touch football game in the park.

The NFL, on the other hand, gives us games as competitive as the slaughterhouse vs. the turkey.

Remember those classics in 2008? We got 10-1 Tennessee whacking winless Detroit 47-10, Dallas pounding Seattle 34-9, and Philly blasting Arizona 48-20.

Three games decided by an average of 30 points.

Perhaps that’s why Thursday’s lineup is so refreshing:

Green Bay at Detroit (6, 55), Miami at Dallas (-7, 44.5), San Francisco at Baltimore (-3.5, 38.5)

Of course, the problem with previous Thanksgivings started with the Lions, who haven’t had a winning record since 2000. Between that “celebrated” 9-7 season and this year, they went 39-121 (.244 winning percentage). Think about that the next time you hear Matt Millen bloviate.

The Lions have played on the holiday every year since 1934. Why is a long story that will only frustrate NFL fans sentenced to watch them.

With two exceptions, the Cowboys have played on Thanksgiving every year since 1966.

In 2006, the league added a night game for NFL Network.

We were due for a blockbuster slate of games like this.

“This is the best trio of games on Thanksgiving that I can remember,” said Todd Fuhrman, senior race and sports analyst at Caesars Palace. “We’ve got an undefeated team to start the day, an intriguing game between suddenly resurgent Miami and Dallas, and the best game of the day, an intersectional showdown between brothers coaching teams who could be the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in their respective conferences.”

Jimmy Vaccaro, oddsmaker for Lucky’s sportsbook, said the 7-3 Lions are the biggest factor in reviving the Thanksgiving schedule.

“There was a very long stretch where they were non-existent,” he said. “Now they’re only a 6-point dog to the Packers, and the unbeaten season is on the line."

Green Bay failed to cover as a 14-point home favorite on Sunday, beating Tampa Bay 35-26. The Lions exploded for 49 points to cover against the Panthers.

“I anticipated this line being a little higher but the public saw the Packers struggle Sunday,” Fuhrman said. “We’re still going to need Detroit in that game, just like last year when they ran out of gas against the Patriots.”

The Lions also went off as 6-point dogs in that game, losing 45-24 after leading 17-10 at halftime.

Miami goes to Dallas on an ATS tear. The Dolphins have covered four straight by an average of 15-plus points.

The Cowboys, who survived in overtime at Washington on Sunday, are just 3-8 ATS as home favorites since last year.

Not surprisingly, some offshores are listing Dallas at -6.5.

The 49ers keep making betting history. They’re 9-0-1 ATS, the longest unbeaten ATS streak to start a season, after handling Arizona 23-7 as 10-point favorites.

“The 49ers haven’t been slowed down by cross-country travel and their defense keeps them in every game,” Fuhrman said, adding that he expects this game to close at -3.

BIGGEST SPREADS OF THE WEEK

Pittsburgh at Kansas City (10, 40), Minnesota at Atlanta (-9, 44), Cleveland at Cincinnati (-9, 37.5), Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (-9, 43)

Adrian Peterson’s high left ankle sprain likely will keep him out Sunday. Many books have taken Vikes-Falcons down until his status is clarified.

Bills running back Fred Jackson has a very sore calf, but expects to play at the Jets. Regardless, New York has won and covered four straight against Buffalo, outscoring the Bills 122-45.

SMALLEST SPREADS OF THE WEEK

Chicago at Oakland (1, 45.5), Arizona at St. Louis (-3, 40)

The Bears opened as 1-point faves but the lined quickly moved (Oakland -3.5) once word broke about Jay Cutler’s injury. Chicago’s Caleb Hanie has thrown only 14 regular-season passes. But he has a big arm, and he moved the team in the NFC Championship Game loss to Green Bay.

The Cardinals figure to start scattershot John Skelton again with Kevin Kolb (toe, foot) still hurting.

BIGGEST TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Green Bay at Detroit (6, 55.5)

The teams combined for 84 points on Sunday. Both have posted 7-3 O/U marks this season.

SMALLEST TOTALS OF THE WEEK

Washington at Seattle (-4, 36.5), Cleveland at Cincinnati (-9, 37.5), Houston at Jacksonville (3.5, 37.5)

Under coach Pete Carroll, the over is 9-3-1 in Seattle’s home games and 13-6-1 in NFC games.

The Bengals are better offensively than many think. They average 23.6 points, tied for 12th with the Chargers, and have posted an 8-2 O/U mark. Despite the Browns’ impotence, they’ve managed a 4-6 O/U mark.

The Texans-Jaguars total would be higher if Matt Schaub were playing. Houston will go even more run-heavier than normal so as not to expose Matt Leinart in his first start since 2009.
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11/23/2011 10:33 PM
NFL Week 11 through the eyes of an ordinary bettor

Les Miles is in a fortunate situation. He can get away with stupid clock decisions because 90 percent of the time LSU is the superior team on the field.

Jack Del Rio cannot. That thin sheet of ice supporting his backside has been melting for years.

And after Sunday’s clock calamity, Del Rio should be fired at season’s end.

With about 30 seconds left, MJD razed a few defenders on his way to a first down at the 2-yard line. Instead of using his last timeout, Del Rio let the offense slowly reset and then it ran the ball again. He called the final timeout with eight seconds left.

The hamster upstairs froze. There was no reason to not call a timeout after the first down.

By letting the clock churn and lining up for another play the Browns had to know they were going to give MJD the ball. I sure as hell did. Why else would Jacksonville save the timeout?

If Del Rio had stopped the clock initially the Jags could have gotten off three end zone passes. And if none of those connected, then let the human bowling ball do his thing on the final play. But by using the timeout when he did the Jags got three final plays instead of four.

And I wouldn’t even have to rant about this shit if Jason Hill could catch a ball that hit him the numbers. You’re a professional wide receiver and you haven’t earned enough stripes in this league to drop game winners.

But Del Rio is to blame. Jack will probably do pretty well at the collegiate level. You can get away with foolishness and mediocrity down there.

Blind mice in stripes

It's a good thing I get to vent about the worst call every week. It really helps me sleep on Sunday night.

In case you couldn’t tell, I played the Jags this week. Maybe it was the right side, maybe it was the wrong side, that’s up for debate. But what I do know is that a retard review by the officials didn’t help my cause.

Cleveland was in the red zone and Dawan Landry was flagged for pass interference. Del Rio actually made a smart decision this time and challenged that the ball was tipped at the line of scrimmage, which would have negated the penalty.

Replays clearly showed that one of the Jags got a hand on the pass. But somehow Terry McAulay upheld the ruling, giving the Browns the ball at the 1-yard line. Chris Ogbonnaya waltzed into the end zone on the next play.

I still don’t understand why the head official reviews plays. He can’t be unbiased in that process. Officiating teams are graded on their calls so why wouldn’t the head guy lean toward his colleague’s call being the right one?

The NCAA has it right. The on-field ref shouldn’t be making decisions under the hood anymore. He needs to put on a headset and wait for an independent booth official to call down whether a play stands or not.

And that’s just a small step needed in the necessary process of overhauling the NFL’s officiating system.

Devin defines ridiculous

Saying you can’t punt to Devin Hester has become cliché. But actually doing it has not.

Coaches and punters should be fined if Hester fields anything but a fair catch. I mean, how do these teams keep giving him chances? Maybe they’re trying to kick away but aren’t executing. Or maybe they’re just too stubborn. It’s inexplicable.

Back in my Week 6 blog, I said Hester would return a kick for a score against the Vikes. He did and it helped me cash my bet, but it’s not like I was really going out on a limb with that prediction.

I figure his prop odds for a special teams touchie would be +250 for any given game, and I wouldn’t ever bet against it. Last year in the NFC Championship he was +175 to take a kick to the house.

How many wins does this guy mean for the Bears? He makes such a difference in the third phase each and every week.

And the real question: Should Hester enter the Hall one day?

If I had a vote he’d be a first-ballot guy. He is the best to ever play the unheralded return man position.

Harbowl I

There isn’t a Week 12 game that I’m leaning toward right now. That’s probably a good thing with the upcoming holiday distractions.

This will be my last edition of the ordinary bettor. I hope you’ve enjoyed reading them as much as I’ve enjoyed writing them. I’ll still have the Covers blog each week so watch out for that. And you can also follow me on Twitter where I post all of my ordinary plays.

Have a happy Turkey Day everyone. Don’t fall asleep after the feasting because you don’t want to miss the inaugural Harbowl.

NFL Record: 32-20-2, +9.23 units
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11/23/2011 10:34 PM
NFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Green Bay at Detroit
The Packers look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 Thursday games. Green Bay is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-6). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 24

Game 103-104: Green Bay at Detroit (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 142.645; Detroit 135.889
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 51
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 6; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-6); Under

Game 105-106: Miami at Dallas (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 130.357; Dallas 139.157
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 9; 48
Vegas Line: Dallas by 7; 44
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-7); Over

Game 107-108: San Francisco at Baltimore (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 136.059; Baltimore 140.109
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4; 35
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3); Under


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27

Game 215-216: Arizona at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 126.762; St. Louis 124.145
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); N/A

Game 217-218: Buffalo at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 131.763; NY Jets 133.714
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 2; 39
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 9; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9); Under

Game 219-220: Cleveland at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.494; Cincinnati 137.464
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 13; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-7); Over

Game 221-222: Houston at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 137.093; Jacksonville 131.959
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5; 41
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Over

Game 223-224: Carolina at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 122.722; Indianapolis 121.771
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3 1/2); Under

Game 225-226: Tampa Bay at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 129.860; Tennessee 130.568
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 39
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3 1/2); Under

Game 227-228: Minnesota at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 124.530; Atlanta 138.469
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 14; 48
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-9 1/2); Over

Game 229-230: Chicago at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 128.125; Oakland 134.309
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 6; 39
Vegas Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-4 1/2); Under

Game 231-232: Washington at Seattle (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.176; Seattle 126.599
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle 4; 37
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4); Over

Game 233-234: New England at Philadelphia (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 142.340; Philadelphia 135.662
Dunkel Line: New England by 6 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: New England by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); N/A

Game 235-236: Denver at San Diego (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.699; San Diego 134.644
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 7; 38
Vegas Line: San Diego by 6; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-6); Under

Game 237-238: Pittsburgh at Kansas City (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 137.963; Kansas City 126.060
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12; 37
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 40
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Under


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 28

Game 239-240: NY Giants at New Orleans (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 129.645; New Orleans 138.913
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-7); Over
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11/23/2011 10:36 PM
NFL
Long Sheet

Week 12

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Thursday, November 24

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GREEN BAY (10 - 0) at DETROIT (7 - 3) - 11/24/2011, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (3 - 7) at DALLAS (6 - 4) - 11/24/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
DALLAS is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (9 - 1) at BALTIMORE (7 - 3) - 11/24/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, November 27

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ARIZONA (3 - 7) at ST LOUIS (2 - 8) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (5 - 5) at NY JETS (5 - 5) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (4 - 6) at CINCINNATI (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (7 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 7) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (2 - 8) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 10) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (4 - 6) at TENNESSEE (5 - 5) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 8) at ATLANTA (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (7 - 3) at OAKLAND (6 - 4) - 11/27/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 7) at SEATTLE (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (7 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (5 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-66 ATS (-35.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (7 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 6) - 11/27/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 86-54 ATS (+26.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 28

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NY GIANTS (6 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 3) - 11/28/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/23/2011 10:37 PM
NFL
Short Sheet

Week 12

Thursday, 11/24/2011

GREEN BAY at DETROIT, 12:30 PM ET FOX
GREEN BAY: 8-1 Under as road favorite of 7 pts or less
DETROIT: 8-0 ATS off BB Overs

MIAMI at DALLAS, 4:15 PM ET CBS
MIAMI: 9-1 Under this season
DALLAS: 3-12 ATS as favorite

SAN FRANCISCO at BALTIMORE, 8:20 PM ET NFL Network
SAN FRANCISCO: 9-0-1 ATS this season
BALTIMORE: 7-0 Over when playing w/ 6 or less days rest


Sunday, 11/27/2011

ARIZONA at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 6-0 Over after game w/ TO margin of -2 or worse
ST LOUIS: 9-26 ATS with same season revenge

BUFFALO at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 0-7 ATS off division game
NY JETS: 8-0 Over off an Under

CLEVELAND at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 6-0 Under last six games
CINCINNATI: 1-9 ATS as home favorite

HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 7-1 Under vs. conference
JACKSONVILLE: 9-1 Under in all games

CAROLINA at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 11-2 Under as favorite
INDIANAPOLIS: 0-7 ATS vs. team w/ losing record

TAMPA BAY at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 9-2 ATS as road underdog
TENNESSEE: 19-8 ATS as home favorite of 3 pts or less

MINNESOTA at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 10-3 Under Away if the total is between 42.5 and 49
ATLANTA: 3-19 ATS at home off home win

CHICAGO at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
CHICAGO: 16-4 ATS vs. AFC West
OAKLAND: 12-28 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less

WASHINGTON at SEATTLE, 4:05 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 33-15 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
SEATTLE: 2-11 ATS off SU dog win by 14+ points

NEW ENGLAND at PHILADELPHIA, 4:15 PM ET
NEW ENGLAND: n/a
PHILADELPHIA: 5-1 ATS off division road win

DENVER at SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM ET
DENVER: 8-1 Over off an Under
SAN DIEGO: 2-8 ATS this season

PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PITTSBURGH: 2-10 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
KANSAS CITY: n/a


Monday, 11/28/2011

NY GIANTS at NEW ORLEANS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
NY GIANTS: 22-9 Over vs. conference
NEW ORLEANS: 0-6 ATS off road win by 3 pts or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/23/2011 10:39 PM
NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Packers (10-0) @ Lions (7-3)—Green Bay won 10 of last 11 series games, winning four of last five here, losing 7-3 LY in game Rodgers missed; Pack is 5-0 on road, 3-2 as road favorite, scoring 25+ points in all five games (15 TDs/50 drives), with wins on foreign soil by 7-10-11-6-7 points. Detroit had lost three of last four games and trailed Carolina 24-7 at home last week, before finishing game on 42-11 run; they’ve scored 24+ points in all seven wins this year, 19-16-13 in its three losses- they’re 2-1 as underdog. In last four games, Packers scored TD’s on opening drive, going 91-63-70-88 yards. Six of last eight series totals were 46+; last four Packer games, last three Detroit games all went over the total.

Dolphins (3-7) @ Cowboys (6-4)—Resurgent Miami won last three games after 0-7 start, allowing no TD’s on last 32 drives; Dolphins are 1-4 on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 1-10-18-3 points, so only twice in five road games have they lost by more than a FG. Cowboys won last three games, are now tied atop NFC East; they’re 4-1 at home, 2-3 as home faves, winning by 2-27-10-37 points, with only loss to Detroit, when offense self-destructed. Road team won six of last seven series games, with Fish winning four of last five visits here. Under is 8-0-1 in last nine Miami games. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-8 vs spread; AFC East road underdogs are 5-3.

49ers (9-1) @ Ravens (7-3)—First time in NFL history brothers oppose each other as head coaches; long trip east on short week for red-hot 49ers, who won/covered last eight games, already winning four games in eastern time zone. Niners are 3-0-1 as underdogs this year; only loss was by 3 in OT to Dallas in Week 2. Raven defense has outscored opposing offense 7-0 on opening drives this year, allowing average of just 10.3 yards/drive, but defense allowed Bengals 483 yards last week with leader Lewis inactive. Baltimore is 3-1-1 as home favorite, wining at home by 28-17-15-3-7 points. Niners lost 44-7 in ’03, in only previous visit to this stadium. Four of last five 49ers games stayed under; seven of ten Raven games went over.

Cardinals (3-7) @ Rams (2-8)—Hard to believe St Louis is favored; way their offense is playing, they shouldn’t be favored over a CFL team. In last three games, St Louis has two TD’s on 39 drives, converting 12 of 41 on 3rd down. Arizona won first meeting 19-13 in OT on Peterson’s 95-yard punt return TD in OT; Cardinals won via special teams, blocking 42-yard FG on last play of regulation that would’ve won game. Rams outgained Arizona 383-262 that day, but still lost for ninth time in last ten series meetings. Redbirds won their last six visits here, but are 1-5 on road this year, 3-2 as road dog. Last three Arizona games, six of last seven St Louis tilts stayed under total. Remember, bad teams don’t have nearly as much home field advantage.

Bills (5-5) @ Jets (5-5)—Two teams desperate for win; mouthy Jets lost to Patriots/Broncos last two weeks, scoring three TD’s on 24 drives. Home fans will turn on them here if they start slowly. Buffalo is on road third week in row, losing 44-7/35-8 last two weeks; Bills turned ball over 13 times (-9) in last five games- they have no takeaways in last two games. Last four Buffalo TD drives were all 80 yards long; defense/special teams not setting up short field. Hard to drive 80 yards on Jets. Jets won four in row, six of last seven series games, taking last three by combined score of 102-32; they won first meeting this year 27-11 (+2) three weeks ago (was 3-0 at half). Jets had three extra days to prep for this after loss in Denver.

Browns (4-6) @ Bengals (6-4)—Cincinnati won 11 of last 14 series games, including 27-17 (+6.5) upset in season opener, but teams split season series in three of last four years; Browns lost six of last seven visits here, losing by 10-3-17-5-9-2 points. Cleveland is only team not to score point on opening drive of game this year; they’ve gained only 86 yards on 38 plays, an average of 8.6 yards/drive, not good game-planning; overall, they’ve been outscored 36-6 on first drive of a half, while Bengals have 40-34 edge in their games. Cincy is 2-1 as a favorite this season; Browns are 0-3 as road dog, losing by 7-10-18 points. Five of last six Cleveland games, three of last four Bengal home games stayed under total.

Texans (7-3) @ Jaguars (3-7)—Backup QB Leinart steps in spotlight as new starter with Schaub out (foot); before Schaub’s in jury, Texans were on serious roll, winning/covering four games in row- they scored TD on opening drive in six of last eight games. Home team won eight of last nine series games- Texans lost last four visits here, by 20-3-5-7 points. Houston also lost five of last six post-bye games. Jaguars allowed 14 or less points in their three wins; they’re 0-6 allowing more than 14, 2-2 SU at home. Jags scored only six TD’s on last 52 drives, and scored more than 27 points in only one game; they’re 2-4 as an underdog, 1-1 at home. Under is 7-3 in Houston games this season, 9-1 in Jaguar games.

Panthers (2-8) @ Colts (0-10)—Indy’s best remaining chance to win a game, and it wouldn’t even cost them #1 pick in draft, since everyone else has 2+ wins. Colts are 0-6 vs spread in last six games, losing last four by combined score of 137-27, outscored 59-10 in second half. Only two of ten Indy losses are by less than seven points. Carolina lost three in row, six of last seven games; they’re 0-4 on road, allowing average of 35.5 ppg, hardly a rock-solid favorite. Home team lost three of four series games, with Panthers winning previous two visits here, in ‘98/’03. AFC South underdogs are 6-12-1 vs spread, 2-3 at home. Three of four Carolina road games went over total; Colts’ last three games stayed under.

Buccaneers (4-6) @ Titans (5-5)—Slumping Tampa Bay lost last four games, allowing 30.8 ppg; they’ve given up 13 TD’s on just 31 drives in last three games. Underdogs are 7-2-1 vs spread in Titan games this year; Tennessee is 1-3 as home favorite, 3-2 SU at home, with wins by 13-3-17 points. Home side won eight of nine series games; Bucs are 0-6 at Oilers/Titans, losing 31-28/33-13 in two visits here, last of which was in 2003. Bucs have been outscored 55-22 on first drives of a half this year, 27-3 on opening drive of game, so they’re getting out game-planned by opponents. AFC South home favorites are 2-5 in non-divisional home games; NFC south road teams are 6-8 vs spread on road, 4-5 as road dogs.

Vikings (2-8) @ Falcons (6-4)—Peterson’s injury puts onus on Minnesota passing game, bad thing for rookie QB on foreign soil. Over last three games, Minnesota has been outgained 225-31 on first drive of a half; Atlanta has four TD’s/FG on first drive of its last six halves, so one coaching staff is preparing better, making better halftime adjustments. Vikings are 1-4 on road, 2-2 as road underdog, losing away games by 7-5-29-38 points. Falcons won four of last five games, but they’re just 1-3-1 as favorite this year, with home wins by 4-14-6, and losses to Packers/Saints. Vikings won four of last five visits here, but haven’t been here since ’05. Last six Atlanta games stayed under total; four of last five Viking games went over.

Bears (7-3) @ Raiders (6-4)—Caleb Hanie steps into spotlight as Chicago starter, replacing injured Cutler (thumb), but he will play well; no one coaches up backup QB’s better than Mike Martz, maybe because it makes him simplify things. Chicago won/covered last five games, scoring 32.2 ppg (14 TD’s/57 drives)- they’re 6-1 outdoors this year, with losses coming at Saints/Lions. Oakland scored 24-24-27 points in three games since its bye, which gave Palmer time to get game-ready; Raiders also have 11 sacks, seven takeaways in last two games. Only Sunday matchup this week between teams with winning records. Four of last five Chicago games went over; five of last seven Oakland games stayed under.

Redskins (3-7) @ Seahawks (4-6)—Odd series where Redskins won last five regular season meetings, but lost to Seattle twice in playoffs during that span. Skidding Skins are 0-6 (1-5 vs spread) since their bye, not scoring a TD in last two road games (20 drives); they’re 1-4 on road, with losses by 3-13-23-11 points, and only win at woeful Rams. Seattle won its last two games, allowing two TD’s on 24 drives, with six takeaways; Seahawks are favored for first time this year- they’re 2-2 at home, with three of four games decided by five or less points. NFC East underdogs are 3-5 vs spread in non-divisional games. Seven of last nine Washington games, four of last five Seattle games stayed under the total.

Patriots (7-3) @ Eagles (4-6)—Think about how banged up Patriot secondary is, and think about if Jackson/Maclin both play here; how will Patriots stop them? They had a freakin’ QB-turned-WR (Edelman) playing DB last two games, but they continue to win, scoring 37-34 points in last two games (outscored last two foes 48-7 in second half). Patriots allowed 34-25-24 points in their three losses; they’re 6-0 (5-1 vs spread) allowing less than 24. New England won last three series games by 21-3-3 points, one of which was a Super Bowl; they’re 1-5 in six visits here, winning 31-10 in last visit eight years ago. Both teams have gone under total in four of last five games. Eagles were dog for first time last week.

Broncos (5-5) @ Chargers (4-6)—Denver is 4-1 with Tebow as starting QB, winning three road games; Broncos have run ball for 209 ypg in those five games, which eats clock and takes pressure off their defense, which allowed 418 yards in 29-24 Week 5 home loss to Chargers, San Diego’s ninth win in last 11 series games, but also last game Orton started. San Diego lost last five games overall, turning ball over 14 times (-5); they’re 3-0 when allowing 17 or less points, but that hasn’t happened since Week 4, as mistakes are creating short field for opponents—of Bears’ four TDs last week, three came on drives of 44 or less yards. Chargers have only run ball for 70.7 ypg the last three weeks. Under is 3-1-1 in San Diego home games.

Steelers (7-3) @ Chiefs (4-6)— Four of Chiefs’ six losses are by 28+ points; with journeyman QB Palko now starting QB, doesn’t bode well for Haley’s job security. His team figures to get pounded here by Steelers, team Haley’s dad worked for when he was a kid. Roethlisberger hurt his thumb in pre-bye game, so he’s not 100%; Steelers are 5-2 in last seven post-bye games, winning last three by scores of 38-10/28-10/28-10. Chiefs fell apart in second half of loss in Foxboro Monday night, their third straight loss by combined score of 82-16. Home side won four of last five series games, with Steelers losing three of last four visits here (win in ’01). Seven of last eight Kansas City games stayed under the total.

Giants (6-4) @ Saints (7-3)— Saints won last two post-bye games 48-27/34-19; they’re 4-0 as home favorites this year, winning by average score of 40-17. Giants are 4-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards, 2-4 when they don’t; they’ve run ball for average of 72.8 ypg in four post-bye games. Saints held only one of last eight opponents under 100 rushing yards (Bucs had 84) so chance for Giants to control ball on ground here in Eli’s second homecoming to Crescent City. Home side won six of last seven series games, with Giants losing last three here, last two by 45-7/48-27 scores; last time Giants won here was in ’93. Giants lost last two games, with three TD’s, 10 3/outs on their last 22 drives.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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11/23/2011 10:40 PM
NFL

Week 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 24

12:30 PM
GREEN BAY vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

4:15 PM
MIAMI vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Dallas's last 23 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:20 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games


Sunday, November 27

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the NY Jets last 16 games
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Buffalo

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
Arizona is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TENNESSEE
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
CHICAGO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games at home

4:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SEATTLE
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

4:15 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
New England is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

4:15 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Denver
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. KANSAS CITY
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games


Monday, November 28

8:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. NEW ORLEANS
NY Giants are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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