cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:09 AM

Big 10 Report - Week 13

November 23, 2011

This is the final week of Big Ten play and that means its rivalry week. Ohio State meets Michigan in "The Game" while Nebraska and Iowa play the first annual "Heroes Game." However, the biggest game on the schedule is not a rivalry matchup, it's a winner-take-all game in the Leaders division as Wisconsin meets Penn State with a trip to Indianapolis on the line. There aren't a lot of heavy favorites this week as Vegas is leaning towards close games in some heated rivalries. ASA takes a look at the inside scoop on every Big Ten matchup this weekend.

FRIDAY

Nebraska (-9.5) vs. Iowa - 12:00 PM EST, ABC

NEB: 8-3 SU, 3-8 ATS - Last week: at Michigan, L 17-45
IOWA: 7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS - Last week: at Purdue, W 31-21

There's not a whole lot at stake in the first "Heroes Game," but this game will determine initial bragging rights moving forward in this new annual rivalry game. Iowa will play its second straight road game after finally notching its first road win of the season last week in a 10-point victory at Purdue. The Huskers need to protect their home turf to avoid finishing 8-4 in what would be a disappointing first season in the Big Ten.

Nebraska suffered its second humiliating road loss of the season last week in a 28-point defeat at the hands of Michigan. The Huskers had turnovers, special team's gaffes, and penalties in a miserable performance. They return home this week to try and save some face against Iowa in a game that should determine decent bowl position. QB Martinez is much better at home than he's been on the road this season. In six home games, he's averaging 175 pass yards per game (60%) with 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions while also rushing for 562 yards and 7 touchdowns (152 YPG, 51%, 3 TD, 3 INT, 252 rush yards and 2 rush TD on the road).

Iowa's offense should be able to score in Lincoln behind QB Vandenberg (23 touchdowns, 5 interceptions), RB Coker (#2 B10 with 1,297 rush yards and 14 TD), and WR McNutt (74 receptions, 1,240 yards, 12 touchdowns). Nebraska's defense allowed 418 yards and 45 points against Michigan last week and has been vulnerable to strong offenses this season.

Something to consider: Nebraska has won six straight home finales by an average of 20 points per game. Iowa is 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.

SATURDAY

Wisconsin (-14.5) vs. Penn State - 3:30 PM EST, ESPN

WISC: 9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS - Last week: at Illinois, W 28-17
PSU: 9-2 SU, 4-7 ATS - Last week: at Ohio State, W 20-14

Wisconsin had its worst offensive output of the season last week in Illinois with just 285 total yards and 28 points. The Badgers were down 17-7 at halftime but held the Illini scoreless in the second half to set up a Leaders Division winner-take-all game here against Penn State. These two haven't met since 2008 but the favorite has covered six straight in the series (PSU has covered last two by 35 & 24 points, respectively).

What happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? We'll find out Saturday. Wisconsin's offense ranks 12th nationally in yards per game and 5th nationally in points per game and hasn't been held below 28 points this season. Penn State ranks 8th in yards allowed per game and 3rd in points allowed per game and hasn't allowed an opponent to score more than 27 points this season.

PSU is in a tough position, playing its third straight emotional game after head coach Joe Paterno was let go. The Nittany Lions had a close home loss to Nebraska, won at Ohio State, and now have a B10 Championship semifinal here at Wisconsin. It will be difficult for the Nittany Lions to match the output displayed the previous two weeks.

Something to consider: Penn State is 4-0 away from home this season, but Wisconsin is 49-4 straight up at home since 2004 (31-19-3 ATS). The Badgers are 14-4-2 ATS the last 20 home finales and are 8-2 ATS as a conference favorite the last three years.

Michigan (-8) vs. Ohio State - 12:00 PM EST, ABC

MICH: 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS - Last week: vs. Nebraska, W 45-17
OSU: 6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS - Last week: vs. Penn State, L 14-20

For the first time in a long time, 'The Game' will have no impact on the Big Ten Champion. Neither team can win its division, but Michigan is still playing for a potential shot at a BCS at-large bid with only two losses. For the first time since 2004, the Wolverines are favored as they look to end a seven game skid to the Buckeyes (OSU is 5-2 ATS during the streak and has won three straight in Ann Arbor).

Michigan notched a signature win with a dominating performance Saturday against Nebraska. QB Robinson and RB Toussaint combined for 221 rush yards and six total touchdowns. Michigan's ever-improving defense recorded three key takeaways and held Nebraska to just 11 first downs.

After OSU's big home win over Wisconsin on October 29th, the Buckeyes have dropped two of three and play overwhelmingly weak football. Offensively they are averaging just 23 points per game and 328 yards per game in the last three (1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS). QB Miller is averaging just 76 pass YPG (49%) and defenses are stacking the box to stop the rush because they realize Miller is unlikely to hurt them through the air. The Wolverines should do the same as they are allowing just 113 rush yards per game in Big Ten play.

Something to consider: Ohio State hasn't been more than a seven point underdog since the 2009 Fiesta Bowl against Texas (+8 and covered, losing 21-24). The Buckeyes are now 7-1 ATS their last eight games as an underdog (3-1 ATS this season).

Northwestern (+6.5) vs. Michigan State - 12:00 PM EST, Big Ten Network

NW: 6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS - Last week: vs. Minnesota, W 28-13
MSU: 8-2 SU, 3-7 ATS - Last week: vs. Indiana, W 55-3

Michigan State assured itself a spot in the Big Ten Championship game with a definitive 55-3 beatdown of Indiana last week. The Spartans will try to avoid a letdown here as there aren't any stakes on this game considering they'll face either Wisconsin or Penn State next week in the B10 Championship. Northwestern, on the other hand, wants to enhance its Bowl profile with a big win here against MSU.

Credit Northwestern for bouncing back after a five-game losing streak put its season in jeopardy. The Wildcats have no reeled off four straight victories and are bowl eligible for the fourth consecutive year. This defense allowed over 35 points per game during the five game skid, but has allowed just 21 per game over the previous four.

Michigan State has now won three straight in this series. Last year, the Spartans fell behind 17-0 before outscoring the Wildcats 35-10 in the narrow eight point victory. MSU QB Cousins threw for 331 yards and 3 scores to lead the Spartans to victory. Northwestern is 5-2 ATS the last seven (but has only two straight up victories).

Something to consider: MSU is 7-1-1 ATS as an away favorite and Northwestern is 3-6 ATS as a Big Ten home underdog.

Indiana (+7.5) vs. Purdue - 3:30 PM EST, Big Ten Network

IND: 1-10 SU, 5-6 ATS - Last week: at Michigan State, L 3-55
PUR: 5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS - Last week: vs. Iowa, L 21-31

After last week's disappointing loss, Purdue has now followed all five of its wins with a loss this season. The Boilers committed four turnovers and racked up only 282 yards against Iowa and now must beat rival Indiana to get bowl eligible for the first time since 2007.

This season can't come to an end soon enough for the Hoosiers. They've now dropped eight straight games by an average margin of 18 points per game (42-18 average score). This defense ranks at or near the bottom of every major statistical category and hasn't held an opponent to under 34 points since October 1st. This is their final chance to record a win over an FBS opponent (only win came against FCS South Carolina State).

Purdue hasn't won on the road yet this season. They've dropped all four games by an average of 19 points per game. Last year the Boilers lost in overtime to the Hoosiers, just their second loss to Indiana in the past nine meetings. Purdue hasn't dropped back-to-back games to Indiana since 1993-94.

Something to consider: Indiana is 4-2 ATS as a conf home underdog last two years. Purdue is just 3-6 its last nine as a Big Ten road favorite, and this will mark the first occasion since 2009 (-3 at Indiana, W 38-21).

Minnesota (+10.5) vs. Illinois - 3:30 PM EST, Big Ten Network

MINN: 2-9 SU, 6-5 ATS - Last week: at Northwestern, L 13-28
ILL: 6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS - Last week: vs. Wisconsin, L 17-28

Illinois could go from a 6-0 start in the first half of the season to a 0-6 finish if it can't beat Minnesota on Saturday. Head coach Ron Zook likely needs a victory here to save his job, although a win here might not even do that. Minnesota has dropped three straight games after a promising win over Iowa in October 29th. Illinois is off of a grueling home loss to the Badgers (a game the Illini should have won) and it will be difficult to have a motivated performance here.

Minnesota allowed Northwestern to score three touchdowns on their first three possessions last week and were quickly disposed of by the Wildcats. Offensively this team is having difficulty developing any sort of consistency. The Gophers rank 110th in total offense and 113th in scoring offense. QB Gray leads the team in rushing, but struggles through the air, completing just 51% with seven touchdowns and eight interceptions.

Something to consider: Minnesota beat Illinois, 38-34, as a 21-point underdog last season. The Gophers are now 6-1 ATS last seven meetings with Illinois.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:13 AM

Arkansas at LSU

November 24, 2011

With the college football world watching with keen interest Friday, top-ranked Louisiana State (11-0 straight up, 8-3 against the spread) will take on No. 3 Arkansas in a crucial SEC West showdown with national implications. CBS will provide television coverage at 2:30 p.m. Eastern.

As of late Friday afternoon, most betting shops were listing LSU as a 12 ½-point favorite with a total of 52 ½. The number opened at 14 at most spots with the total at 52. Some books reduced the number on the side to as low as 11 ½ on Wednesday, but most shops were back up to 12 ½ on Thanksgiving Day.

Arkansas (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) is available on the money line for a lucrative plus-400 payout (risk $100 to win $400).

Les Miles’s team is unbeaten in five home games, winning in each contest by 28 points or more. With that said, due to extremely ‘chalky’ numbers, the Tigers are only 2-3 ATS at Tiger Stadium.

With the exception of its 9-6 overtime win at Alabama, LSU has won its 10 other games by 13 points or more. The Tigers average 37.9 points per game and only surrender 10.0 PPG.

LSU has a run-first offense with a powerful offensive line and a slew of talented backs. The best of those is sophomore Spencer Ware, who Miles is fond of describing as ‘a violent runner.’ Ware has rushed for a team-high 650 yards and seven touchdowns on 160 carries for a 4.1 yards-per-carry average.

Michael Ford is LSU’s most explosive running back, averaging 5.9 YPC. Ford has rushed for 625 yards and seven scores. Alfred Blue has rushed for 445 yards and six TDs on 70 carries for a 6.4 YPC average.

Jarrett Lee has been the starting QB for most of the season, throwing 13 TD passes compared to only three interceptions. However, Miles has gone back to Jordan Jefferson as his starter in recent weeks. Jefferson is a better runner, while Lee is the more polished passer.

Jefferson has completed 27-of-41 passes for 446 yards and four TDs without being intercepted. Jefferson has also run for 200 yards and a pair of scores.

LSU has one of the SEC’s top wide receivers in junior Rueben Randle, who has 39 receptions for 755 yards and eight touchdowns.

Bobby Petrino’s squad has won seven in a row since suffering its only loss of the season, a 38-14 setback at Alabama back on Sept. 24. The Razorbacks are 5-2 versus the number during this stretch.

Arkansas has struggled on the road, however, especially for our purposes. The Hogs are 0-3 ATS on the road and they needed second-half comebacks to win outright at Ole Miss and at Vanderbilt.

When Arkansas went to Oxford to face former head coach Houston Nutt, the Rebels raced out to a 17-0 lead in the first half. The Razorbacks eventually rallied to collect a 29-24 victory but never threatened to cover as 14 ½-point favorites.

Petrino’s team was extremely fortunate to escape Music City unscathed the following week. Vandy had a 28-20 lead late in the third quarter with a second-and-goal opportunity at the three yard line. But Zac Stacy coughed up a fumble and Jerry Franklin scooped it up and raced 94 yards to the end zone.

Nevertheless, Vandy was in the red zone at crunch time with several shots at the game-winning TD. The Commodores settled for a chip-shot field goal to force overtime, but it missed and Arkansas won a 31-28 decision.

Since then, the Hogs have cruised to three easy home wins both SU and ATS. They’ve beaten South Carolina (44-28), Tennessee (49-7) and Mississippi St. (44-17).

Just as I suggested at the VI Seminar back in August, junior QB Tyler Wilson has turned out to be an upgrade from Ryan Mallett. Wilson has completed 63.1 percent of his passes for 3,215 yards with a 21/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

He has perhaps the best group of WRs in the country. Jarius Adams has made 61 receptions for 1,002 yards and 10 TDs. Joe Adams has 46 catches for 595 yards and three TDs.

With Knile Davis going down with a season-ending injury in August, Denis Johnson has become the go-to guy, especially of late. Johnson has rushed for a team-high 606 yards with a 6.7 YPC average. Ronnie Wingo also has big-play potential, but he’s not as much of a between-the-tackles runner. Wingo has rushed for 424 yards and three TDs.

The key to Arkansas pulling an upset begin with establishing balance with an effective running game. This will be especially difficult because nobody, not even Alabama and Trent Richardson, has been able to consistently run on John Chavis’s stop unit.

If (and it’s a BIG if) the Hogs can run the ball, it will set up play-action opportunities for Wilson, and it’ll make protecting Wilson easier for the UA offensive line. Wilson didn’t have any time to throw against Alabama and many feel that’ll be the story again in Baton Rouge.

Another key to the game is Arkansas stopping LSU’s ground attack. In that matchup, I give LSU a considerable advantage.

The ‘over’ is 7-4 overall for the Hogs, 2-1 in their three true road assignments. The ‘over’ has hit in four straight for the Hogs and they have had at least 52 combined points scored in all of their games.

Totals have been an overall wash (5-5-1) for LSU, with the ‘under’ going 3-2 in its home games.

Arkansas has had the best of LSU in the head-to-head rivalry in recent years. The Hogs have won three of the last four games outright, taking the money in each instance. When they met in Fayetteville last year, Arkansas won by a 31-23 count as a 3 ½-point home favorite.
__________________

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:18 AM

Lots of upsets in The Game's 107 meetings

November 24, 2011

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) - Being a favorite doesn't mean much whenever Ohio State and Michigan meet.

The history of this heated rivalry is littered with upsets and surprises.

No. 17 Michigan (9-2, 5-2) is hoping to grab a share of the Big Ten's Legends Division title on Saturday, and bolster its argument for a major bowl game. Ohio State (6-5, 3-4) has suffered through a difficult season shadowed by ominous NCAA sanctions, the loss of a 10-year head coach for breaking rules, injuries and more losses than any Buckeyes team in a decade.

In other words, don't count out the Buckeyes, who are seven-point underdogs.

The unexpected has happened repeatedly in The Game's storied 107 meetings.

Ohio State pounded Michigan 50-14 in 1968. It was late in that game, long after the outcome had been decided, when curmudgeonly Buckeyes coach Woody Hayes elected to try a 2-point conversion after a touchdown.

Asked later why he did it, he snarled: ``Because I couldn't go for three!''

While the Buckeyes racked up win after win the following season, things had changed at Michigan. A former Woody acolyte, Bo Schembechler, had taken over as coach. He pointed all season for the Buckeyes and his mentor.

Schembechler had signs placed all over Michigan's practice field with that gruesome score. In the locker room, he put up another sign reading, ``What the mind can conceive and believe, the mind can achieve. Those that stay will be Champions!'' The players had to look at those words every day.

``We knew we were going to win even though we were 18-point underdogs against the best college football team ever assembled,'' said Jim Brandstatter, then an offensive lineman for the Wolverines and now a radio voice for his alma mater's games. ``They hadn't lost in two years, were coming off a national championship and were the consensus No. 1 team.''

By the time their season-ending clash came along, the Wolverines came in with two losses and Ohio State was riding a 22-game winning streak. By grinding out yards on the ground and pouncing on turnovers - Barry Pierson had three of Michigan's six interceptions when the ground-oriented Buckeyes were forced to pass - the student's team beat the teacher's, 24-12.

At a dinner his former players had for him years later, Hayes got up to speak. Schembechler was in the audience.

``He looked down from the podium at me and said, `Damn you! You will never win a bigger game than that!''' Schembechler said with a chuckle. ``And he was right. I don't think I ever did.''

Five days before the 1987 game, also in Ann Arbor, Ohio State coach Earle Bruce was abruptly fired almost nine seasons into a successful tenure. Ohio State President Ed Jennings didn't give a good reason. Adding to the tumult, he also fired Athletic Director Rick Bay when Bay refused to fire Bruce.

A former Buckeyes player and another Hayes disciple, Bruce was not beloved by spoiled Ohio State fans who felt his 81-26-1 record just wasn't good enough. But public sentiment shifted in the wake of his firing. And his players remain devoted to him.

The Buckeyes were just 5-4-1 when they arrived in enemy territory, still in shock.

Just before the kickoff, Bruce was standing on the sidelines and turned to say something to an assistant when he noticed out of the corner of his eye that his players were wearing white headbands.

``I was going to tell them to get those headbands off,'' Bruce recalled. ``When I looked at them, I saw that they said `Earle' and then I thought I can't very well tell them to take them off.''

The Buckeyes pulled off a 23-20 stunner, and Bruce went to the Michigan locker room after the game to say goodbye to his close friend, Schembechler.

Bo looked up at Bruce and said: ``You know how I don't like losing. But, somehow, today I don't mind.''

In both 1995 and 1996, Ohio State rolled into the rivalry unbeaten, ranked No. 2 and on the verge of playing for a national championship. Michigan, with three losses already, had little to play for - except ruining the Buckeyes' season.

Before the 1995 game, Ohio State wide receiver Terry Glenn said, ``Michigan is nobody.'' But the nobodies won 31-23 behind a virtual unknown named Tshimanga ``Tim'' Biakabutuka, who piled up 313 yards on 37 carries to outplay Buckeyes Heisman Trophy winner Eddie George.

A year later, Michigan was a heavy underdog again for The Game at Ohio Stadium. But a short pass to Michigan wide receiver Tai Streets on a slippery field turned into a long touchdown and the Wolverines pulled off another shocker, 13-9.

Michigan had owned the series from 1897-1918, going 13-0-2 and winning by scores of 86-0, 34-0 and 40-0 - back when a touchdown was only worth four or five points.

Is it really a rivalry if only one team wins all the time?

In the days before the game was always the last one on the schedule, Ohio State was 3-0 in 1919 and Michigan had won its first two games by a combined score of 60-0 against Case and Michigan Agricultural College (now Michigan State University). The Wolverines had not permitted the Buckeyes to score a point in the three previous meetings and had outscored Ohio State 369-21 in the lopsided series.

But Chic Harley, Ohio State's first football star, changed all of that.

He scored on a 42-yard run for the game's only touchdown, punted 10 times for a 40-yard average and intercepted four passes in a 13-3 Buckeyes triumph.

It was only the first of many surprises to come in The Game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:23 AM

No. 3 Arkansas and No. 1 LSU clash Friday

ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS (10-1)
at LSU TIGERS (11-0)

Kickoff: Friday, 2:30 p.m. EDT
Line: LSU -12, Total: 52

No. 3 Arkansas brings its seven-game win streak to Baton Rouge to face unbeaten No. 1 LSU.

The Razorbacks have won their past three games by a combined 137-52 score, but they have been shaky on the road, getting crushed by Alabama and barely beating Ole Miss and Vanderbilt by a combined eight points. LSU has allowed a total of 53 points in its past seven games (7.6 PPG), and is winning at home by an average score of 42 to 8. But Arkansas won the past four meetings (3-1 ATS), including a 31-23 victory last year, and the Tigers are a woeful 9-30 ATS (23%) in November games since 1992. The Razorbacks are also mourning the death of TE Garrett Uekman, who died last Sunday of a heart condition, and they will try to win this one for their fallen teammate. LSU will likely win this game and move onto the SEC Championship, but ARKANSAS will keep the final score within 10 points.

This pair of highly-rated FoxSheets trends also side with the Razorbacks.

ARKANSAS is 12-1 ATS (92.3%, +10.9 Units) off 1 or more straight Overs over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ARKANSAS 38.9, OPPONENT 23.0 - (Rating = 4*).

LSU is 8-29 ATS (21.6%, -23.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992. The average score was LSU 27.0, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 3*).

And this four-star FoxSheets coaching trend expects a high-scoring game to finish OVER the total:

Bobby Petrino is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) after a 2 game home stand as the coach of ARKANSAS. The average score was ARKANSAS 35.2, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 4*).

Arkansas QB Tyler Wilson has been tremendous during the win streak, throwing for 2,208 yards (315 YPG), 14 TD and just 2 INT in the seven victories. Senior WR Jarius Wright is closing out his excellent collegiate career in style, piling up 428 yards and 4 TD over the past four games, gaining at least 90 in all four contests. TE Chris Gragg will provide a valuable dump-off option when LSU brings the pressure, and the junior is coming off a career-best game last week against Mississippi State (8 rec, 119 yds, 1 TD). But the Razorbacks aren’t simply a pass-happy offense. They have achieved a healthy balance of pass and run, gaining 168 rushing YPG over the past six contests. Junior RB Dennis Johnson has 493 yards (7.7 YPC) and 3 TD in the past five games. Arkansas will need everybody to play well if it is to thrive against the nation’s No. 2 defense in both scoring (10.0 PPG) and yardage (248 YPG).

LSU’s defense gets most of the credit for the team’s success, but it diminishes the pressure when it knows the offense can score. Arkansas (39.3 PPG) is the only SEC team with more points than LSU (37.9 PPG). The Tigers are also winning games with the turnover battle, as they lead the nation with a +1.6 TO margin per game (24 takeaways and 6 giveaways). One of the reasons they have been able to keep mistakes to a minimum is that LSU has three players that carry the football regularly. Spencer Ware leads the school with 650 yards (4.0 YPC), but Michael Ford (625 yards, 5.9 YPC) and Alfred Blue (445 yards, 6.4 YPC) are also strong runners. Ware and Ford have 7 TD, while Blue has six scores. This RB trio has taken the pressure off the senior QB time share of Jordan Jefferson and Jarrett Lee. Jefferson has also seen an increased role under center, completing 21-of-31 passes for 323 yards and 2 TD in the past three weeks. Jefferson and Lee have combined to throw 18 TD and just 3 INT on the season, but Arkansas has a strong pass defense allowing just 196 YPG (28th in nation).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:32 AM

Friday, November 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Louisville - 11:00 AM ET Louisville +3.5 500
South Florida - Over 44.5 500

Eastern Michigan - 11:00 AM ET Northern Illinois -18 500
Northern Illinois - Under 65 500

Kent State - 12:00 PM ET Temple -17 500
Temple - Under 40.5 500

Bowling Green - 12:00 PM ET Buffalo -2.5 500
Buffalo - Over 53.5 500

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Nebraska -9.5 500
Nebraska - Under 53.5 500

Houston - 12:00 PM ET Houston -2.5 500
Tulsa - Over 76.5 500

Akron - 1:00 PM ET Western Michigan -27.5 500
Western Michigan - Under 60 500

Toledo - 2:00 PM ET Ball State +14 500
Ball State - Over 71.5 500

Arkansas - 2:30 PM ET Arkansas +11.5 500
Louisiana State - Over 53.5 500

Colorado - 3:30 PM ET Colorado +22 500
Utah - Over 48.5 500

Boston College - 3:30 PM ET[B] Boston College +13.5 500 [/B]
Miami - Under 44 500

Pittsburgh - 7:00 PM ET Pittsburgh +6.5 500
West Virginia - Under 57 500

Texas El Paso - 7:00 PM ET Texas El Paso +10 500
Central Florida - Over 53 500

California - 10:15 PM ET California +6 500
Arizona State - Under 53.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:35 AM

NCAAF

Friday, November 25

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College football betting weather report: Black Friday
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

You’ve placed your wagers on Friday’s college football action. But did you look to the skies? Here’s how Mother Nature could impact your bets on the holiday Friday:

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Northern Illinois Huskies (-18, 64.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 16 mph at Brigham Field, blowing SSW from corner to corner.

Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo Bulls (-2.5, 53.5)

The forecast in Buffalo is calling for winds, blowing SW from corner to corner, at speeds of up to 19 mph. Game-time temperatures will be in the low 50s.

Houston Cougars at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+2.5, 75.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 20 mph, blowing south down field in Tulsa Friday.

Akron Zips at Western Michigan Broncos (-28)

The forecast in Nazareth is calling for winds, blowing SW from end to end, at speeds of up to 19 mph.

Colorado Buffaloes at Utah Utes (-22, 48.5)

Snow is in the forecast in Salt Lake City, with a 62 percent chance of the white stuff. Game-time temperatures will dip into the high 30s at Rice-Eccles Stadium.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:37 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Friday's best games

Houston is 11-0, 8-2 vs spread, covering last six games; they've held last three opponents to 17 or less points. Tulsa won its last seven games, 5-0 vs spread in last five; their three losses are all by 20+ points, but losses are to Boise State and the other two Oklahoma schools. Dogs covered five of last six series games, with Houston failing to cover last two tries as series favorite. Cougars have won two of last three visits to this site. Home underdogs are 5-10 vs spread in Conference USA this year.

Underdogs covered six of last eight Backyard Brawls, with three of last four decided by 4 or less points; this is last time this will be a conference game, with Pitt bolting for ACC. West Virginia won six of last nine vs Panthers, winning three of last four played here, with wins by 3-32-21 points. Four of last five Pitt games stayed under total; seven of last eight Mountaineer games went over. Big East home faves are 5-6 vs spread.

Arkansas beat LSU three of last four years; five of last six series games were decided by 5 or less points. Underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in Hogs' last seven visits here. That said, LSU is 8-2 vs spread this season, and in games they didn't cover, they won 35-7/42-9- they're 2-2 as home faves, with home wins by 28-30-35-33 points. Arkansas won its last seven in a row; they're 1-1 as dogs, with only loss 38-14 at Alabama (+11). SEC double digit home favorites are 13-4 vs spread this year.

Arizona State just lost three close games in row, allowing 32.3 ppg; now they need win here and USC win over UCLA to get to Pac-12 title game. Cal Bears beat Sun Devils seven of last eight years, including 50-17 LY at home. Favorites covered five of last six series games. Cal lost rivalry game to Stanford last week; they're 1-3 as underdog this season. Pac-10 home favorites of 5+ points are 14-8 vs spread.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:38 AM

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 13

Houston Cougars at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+3, 75)

Why Houston will cover: The Cougars can see a BCS light at the end of the tunnel. That’s motivation. Plus, Houston’s top-ranked passing (448 ypg) and scoring (53.1 ppg) offense faces a Tulsa defense that ranks 107th against the pass.

Why Tulsa will cover: Tulsa has won seven straight and five straight ATS, thanks to an explosive offense. The Hurricane beat Houston last year.

Points: Both teams can light up a scoreboard and each has a mediocre defense. Both have been hitting the over in recent weeks.

Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5, 53.5)

Why Iowa will cover: NU is floundering ATS, going 0-2-1 in its last three and 3-8-1 in its last 12. Iowa is balanced and typically steady.

Why Nebraska will cover: Nebraska is 14th at running the ball and 19th against the pass. A quick lead and Iowa’s in trouble. Plus, the Hawkeyes aren’t great at doing anything, and have just one road win all year.

Points: The over is 7-3 in Iowa’s last 10, though the under has hit in four of Nebraska’s last five.

Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers (-12, 52)

Why Arkansas will cover: The Razorbacks offense has been on, scoring 44 or more in three straight. They won at LSU last year, so they won’t be intimidated by the surroundings.

Why LSU will cover: LSU’s defense has shut down the best of them and the unit ranks in the top 10 across the board. LSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six. Arkansas’ defense hasn’t been great against the run.

Points: The over has hit in Arkansas’ last four games, all with a similar total to this game. But with a potential BCS trip on the line, defense has prevailed in big games like this.

Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers (-6.5, 57)

Why Pittsburgh will cover: West Virginia struggles to run already and Pitt excels at stopping it, making the Mountaineers one dimensional. Pitt is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 vs. teams with a winning record.

Why West Virginia will cover: Pitt’s offense has been stagnant, and West Virginia’s defense has been improving. Plus, the Mountaineers’ offense averages 362 ypg through the air, and slowing the pass is not a Panthers’ strength.

Points: The over is 8-1 in WVU’s last nine, though it’s 1-4 in Pitt’s last five.

Georgia Bulldogs at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+6.5, 54.5)

Why Georgia will cover: Georgia is 7-2 ATS in its last nine. Meanwhile, GT is floundering, 1-4 ATS in its last five. Georgia ranks No. 2 at stopping the run, which is very favorable against the No. 2 rush attack of GT.

Why Georgia Tech will cover: Georgia was unimpressive in hanging on to beat hapless Kentucky last week. Georgia Tech’s offense can still steamroll the best of them on any given day.

Points: The under is 6-2 in Georgia’s last eight and is 3-1 in Tech’s last four.

Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats (+6.5, 51.5)

Why Michigan State will cover: The Spartans’ defense is No. 4 against the pass and No. 10 against the run. The Wildcats haven’t fared well against elite defenses. MSU is 6-2 ATS in its last eight.

Why Northwestern will cover: The Wildcats have won four straight SU, including at Nebraska. An offense that ranks 37th in both rushing and passing can put a lot of pressure on opponents.

Points: The over is 7-2 in NW’s last nine Big Ten games, but is under in its last three overall.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (-8, 45)

Why Ohio State will cover: Ohio State has owned Michigan for most of the last decade. The Buckeyes have a defense that ranks 14th overall and an offense that continues to get better.

Why Michigan will cover: The Wolverines won’t take lightly a real shot at knocking off the hated Buckeyes. Ohio State is 0-3 ATS in its last three - Michigan is 3-1 in its last four - and Michigan shut down a Nebraska offense that has similar strengths to OSU.

Points: The under is 4-1 in Michigan’s last five, and OSU’s strength is still its defense.

Wyoming Cowboys at Boise State Broncos (-32.5, 61)

Why Wyoming will cover: The Cowboys fare well on the road, 12-4 ATS in its last 16. Boise State, meanwhile, is 0-4 ATS in its last four. Wyoming’s pass defense is steady.

Why Boise State will cover: Boise State, for its recent flubs, still has one of the top offenses around, and the defense remains strong against the rush (Wyoming’s preferred way to move the ball). Plus, it’s Senior Day at BSU. They’ll do what it takes to send Kellen Moore and Co. out in style.

Points: The over is 6-0 in Boise’s last six but 0-3 in Wyoming’s last three.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers (+21, 47)

Why Alabama will cover: Alabama’s defense ranks No. 1 in the nation in stopping the run, stopping the pass, and in points allowed. Auburn’s offense can’t move the ball through the air.

Why Auburn will cover: That’s a big spread for the Iron Bowl, especially against the defending national champions who are unbeaten at home.

Points: Auburn’s going to struggle to move the ball consistently, so that’s a big number for one team, the road team, to hit by itself.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Baylor Bears (-12.5, 77.5)

Why Texas Tech will cover: Texas Tech can throw the ball (No. 7) and Baylor can’t stop it (No. 93). Baylor is 2-3 ATS in its last five.

Why Baylor will cover: Baylor can also throw (No. 5), but they can run the ball, too (No. 25). And Texas Tech is 119th at stopping the run. The Bears are 7-1 in their last eight vs. teams with a sub-.500 record.

Points: Points will be easy to come by, though that’s a real high number.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia Cavaliers (+5, 45.5)

Why Virginia Tech will cover: The favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Statistically, Virginia Tech is better in just about every way. The Hokies are now in position for a potential BCS title and must be reinvigorated.

Why Virginia will cover: Virginia is on a roll, 6-1 SU and 4-0 ATS lately. The defense has held opponents to 21 or fewer six of the last seven games.

Points: The under is 8-1 in Virginia’s last nine and is 2-1-1 in VT’s last four.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Wisconsin Badgers (+14.5, 49)

Why Penn State will cover: After going 5-0-1 ATS early, Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS since. The Nittany Lions defense is No. 3 in points allowed and their last seven games have all been decided either way by 10 points or less.

Why Wisconsin will cover: Penn State’s defensive liability is in slowing the run, which fits into Wisconsin’s gameplan (10th). The Badgers are 6-0-1 ATS at home.

Points: The under is 9-1-1 for PSU and has hit in UW’s last two.

Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (-28, 63.5)

Why Oregon State will cover: The Beavers have their issues, but they can throw it, averaging 286 ypg through the air. And Oregon ranks 87th at pass defense.

Why Oregon will cover: The Ducks offense is too powerful for OSU to stop it. And once they get the lead, and can run, run, run, it’ll only grow.

Points: The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks (-4, 50)

Why Clemson will cover: The Tigers still have one of the more powerful offenses around and it only takes a few breaks for them to blow a game wide open.

Why South Carolina will cover: The Gamecocks have alternated win/loss ATS all season long. Last week, they lost. And Clemson is 0-3 ATS in its last three. Plus, USC is No. 2 in pass defense, which negates Clemson’s chief strength.

Points: All trends point toward and under finish.

Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners (-28, 68.5)

Why Iowa State will cover: After a rough midseason ISU is back on track, going 3-1 ATS in its last four. The team can run the ball and run defense is OU’s main concern.

Why Oklahoma will cover: Oklahoma’s offense can pass and run and averages 44.7 ppg (sixth). Iowa State’s defense ranks 84th in points allowed.

Points: The over is 6-2 for OU games and there should be some points scored both sides here.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford Cardinal (-6.5, 58)

Why Notre Dame will cover: The Irish continue to improve on offense, while Stanford seems to be taking steps back, especially on defense.

Why Stanford will cover: Stanford can beat teams by running or passing and Notre Dame is just OK against both.

Points: The over is 4-1 in Stanford’s last five, but both teams seem poised for breakout offensive outbursts.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:40 AM

Where the action is: Black Friday's NCAAF line moves

Black Friday isn’t just about getting the best deals on Christmas gifts. It’s also about finding the best betting lines for a full slate of college football. We talk to Jay Rood, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage, about the biggest line moves on Friday’s board.

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Northern Illinois Huskies – Open: -20, Move: -18

Rood says there isn’t any public money on this MAC matchup, with nothing but sharp action dragging this line down. He can’t put his finger on the reason for the move, but does say the depth of these small-conference teams can play a role in the outcome.

“A lot of the time, it’s all about the starters,” he says.

Toledo Rockets at Ball State Cardinals – Open: +12, Move: +14

The MAC has been a favorite with sharp bettors this season. Rood is surprised by the amount of sharp bets coming in on the conference’s clashes, and the aggressiveness of their plays.

“The MAC games are amazing how much the line moves and it’s amazing how much the sharps love them,” says Rood. “This one could get as high as 17. I wouldn’t be surprised. They are aggressively moving the spread to the number they want them at.”

Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers – Open: -13.5, Move: -11.5

There has been straight-bet money coming in on Arkansas but almost all parlay action is on LSU. Rood says it’s been pretty quiet with this SEC showdown, but expects some frantic action – and movement – tomorrow afternoon.

“If the line does move, I think it will go down,” he says.” I could see this one closing closer to 10.”

Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers – Open: -8, Move: -6.5

It’s been nothing but sharp action on the Panthers for this classic Big East rivalry. Rood, who tags this “The Sharp Game of the Day,” is a little confused as to the reason why, stating that not only is this a big conference game but also a huge recruiting situation.

“Pitt has come up short in all its big spots this season,” says Rood. “West Virginia has the tools to hang a lot of points on opponents.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
11/25/2011 10:42 AM

NCAAF

Friday, November 25

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Black Friday NCAAF action: What bettors need to know
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Houston Cougars at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+2.5, 75.5)

THE STORY: No. 7 Houston looks to complete its quest for a perfect regular season and a possible BCS bowl bid with perhaps its toughest road trip of the year at Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane are also undefeated in Conference USA play, so this will determine the winner of the West Division and decide who gets to host the Conference USA Championship Game on Dec. 3. This matchup pits the league’s two best quarterbacks in Houston’s Case Keenum and Tulsa’s G.J. Kinne. Kinne trails only Keenum — the NCAA’s career record-holder in every major passing category — in passing yards per game, pass efficiency and total offense.

TV: Noon ET, FSN

LINE: Houston opened as high as -3.5 and has dropped to -2.5. The total has climbed from 75 to 75.5.

WEATHER: The forecast in Tulsa is calling for winds, blowing south down field, at speeds of up to 20 mph.

ABOUT HOUSTON (11-0, 7-0 Conference USA, 9-2 ATS): Lost amid the hoopla of Keenum leading the Cougars’ record-breaking offense has been the play of the defense the last three games. Houston has held its previous three opponents to 37 combined points, including a 37-7 victory over SMU last weekend. The Cougars limited the Mustangs’ high-octane offense to only 263 total yards, 24 of which were on the ground. Senior linebacker Sammy Brown was named the Walter Camp National Defensive Player of the Week after recording 4.5 tackles for loss and three sacks.

ABOUT TULSA (8-3, 7-0 Conference USA, 7-4 ATS): Houston has received the national headlines out of C-USA, but the Golden Hurricane have been awfully impressive as well. If not for an ultra-aggressive non-conference schedule that included losses to Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Boise State, Tulsa could very well be 11-0 heading into this matchup, too. Kinne was named the Conference USA Player of the Week after his team’s 57-28 win at UTEP, completing 76 percent of his passes for 300 yards and three touchdowns. It was Kinne’s 14th 300-yard passing game of his career.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Golden Hurricane are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 conference games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Houston is looking for its school-record 12th win of the season.

2. Tulsa has won seven straight, and six have come by at least 17 points.

3. The Cougars lead the nation in both total offense (618 yards per game) and scoring offense (53 points per game).

PREDICTION: Tulsa 45, Houston 42. In a season full of BCS-shaking upsets, the Golden Hurricane will provide the latest in a high-scoring shootout between two evenly matched teams.



Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers (-11.5, 52)

THE STORY: After last week’s shuffling of the BCS puzzle, the only thing certain is that the SEC will once again be represented in the National Championship Game by at least one school. Right now, it's shaping up as an Alabama-Louisiana State rematch, but No. 3 Arkansas will have something to say about that. The Razorbacks used last weekend’s chaos to jump up into third in the BCS standings. They probably still need a win over the No. 1 Tigers and an Alabama loss to reach the National Championship Game, but anything is possible. Several scenarios exist in the case of a three-way tie atop the SEC West between LSU, Alabama and Arkansas. The easiest way for the Tigers to ensure themselves a spot in at least the SEC Championship game would be to topple the Razorbacks in Baton Rouge. Arkansas will be playing with heavy hearts after backup tight end Garrett Uekman was found dead in his dorm room Sunday.

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: LSU opened at -13.5 and has been bet down to -11.5. The total has remained steady at 52.

ABOUT ARKANSAS (10-1, 6-1 SEC, 7-4 ATS): The Razorbacks’ loss came to No. 2 Alabama way back on Sept. 24. Since then they have taken down three ranked teams, including a 44-28 win over then-No. 9 South Carolina on Nov. 5. Arkansas has eclipsed 40 points in each of the last three games and boasts a passing attack that is averaging 316.9 yards - 10th best in the nation. Tyler Wilson has 21 touchdowns and five interceptions and was named the SEC Offensive Player of the Week after putting up 365 yards and three scores in a 44-17 drubbing of Mississippi State last Saturday.

ABOUT LSU (11-0, 7-0, 8-3 ATS): Aiming to stop that passing attack will be the Tigers’ No. 2-ranked scoring defense, which is holding opponents to 10 points. That defense is allowing only 158.3 yards through the air and has yielded a total of 11 touchdowns in 2011. LSU has shown off its offense in the last two weeks, beating Western Kentucky and Ole Miss by a combined 94-12. The time-share at quarterback between Jordan Jefferson and Jarrett Lee has not been an issue because the running game has accounted for 644 yards the last two weeks.

TRENDS:

* Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Louisiana State.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Louisiana State.
* Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Alfred Blue has ripped off runs of at least 45 yards in back-to-back games for the Tigers.

2. Saturday will feature the highest-ranked matchup at Tiger Stadium since No. 1 LSU beat No. 3 Ole Miss in 1959.

3. Arkansas is ranked in the top three for the first time since Oct. 15, 1978.

PREDICTION: LSU 24, Arkansas 17 -- The Razorbacks will put up a few points, but the Tigers will get the stops they need to win.



Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers (-6.5, 57)

THE STORY: The 104th installment of the Backyard Brawl comes amid speculation over how much longer this rivalry game will continue. While the Panthers aren't ACC-bound for another two seasons, the Mountaineers are in litigation to leave the Big East as early as next year for the Big 12, which could make scheduling it a challenge. WVU athletic director Oliver Luck said last week he and Pitt AD Steve Pederson “both have a strong desire to maintain the rivalry,” which again has BCS implications. The visiting Panthers and No. 23 Mountaineers are both 3-2 in Big East play, behind 4-2 leaders Louisville and Rutgers, and are coming off bye weeks.

TV: ESPN, ESPN3.

LINE: West Virginia opened at -7.5 and has dropped to -6.5. The total has stayed steady at 75 points.

ABOUT PITTSBURGH (5-5, 3-2 Big East, 5-5 ATS): The Panthers will counter the league's top passing attack (362.1 yards) with a defense that's yielded just 176.4 passing yards over its last five games. Pitt delivered one of its best defensive performances last time out in a 21-14 win at Louisville, in which it held the Cardinals to just 165 passing yards and 115 on the ground. The Panthers didn't allow the second touchdown until just 12 seconds remained, and limited the Cardinals to 3-for-11 on third-down conversions. Remarkably, they also didn't incur any penalty yards in rebounding from a 26-23 home loss to Cincinnati in which the Panthers blew a 10-point second-half lead.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (7-3, 3-2 Big East, 5-5 ATS): After stumbling at home in a mistake-plagued loss to Louisville on Nov. 5, the Mountaineers earned a hard-fought road triumph at Cincinnati, 24-21 on Nov. 12. Junior quarterback Geno Smith continued his torrid season with 372 yards against the Bearcats, the sixth time he's topped 370. He's put up the school's two highest single-game efforts (463 vs. LSU, 450 vs. Connecticut) already, and needs just 111 yards to surpass Marc Bulger's season mark of 3,607. One of Smith's top targets has been sophomore Stedman Bailey, whose 10 touchdown catches are two behind the school's season record held by Chris Henry and Darius Reynaud.

TRENDS:

* Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.
* Mountaineers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine conference games.
* Over is 8-1 in Mountaineers' last nine games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Panthers' last five games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Mountaineers have won two straight in the series, following back-to-back Pitt triumphs that included the 13-9 stunner at Morgantown in 2007.

2. Pittsburgh's Todd Graham and WVU's Dana Holgorsen will make their Backyard Brawl head coaching debuts, though Graham was an assistant under the Mountaineers' Rich Rodriguez for the 2001-02 games.

3. The victor will know how Louisville stands by kickoff, as the Cardinals play South Florida earlier Friday, but Rutgers doesn't take the field until Saturday at Connecticut.

PREDICTION: West Virginia 33, Pittsburgh 23 – Pitt leads 61-39-3 all-time, but the Mountaineers will feed off some extra emotion with the uncertainty of perhaps never hosting a “Brawl” again.



Cal Golden Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils (-6, 54)

THE STORY: Arizona State once appeared destined to represent the Pac-12 South in the conference title game, but a three-game losing streak has changed the program’s fortunes. The Sun Devils desperately need a victory over California on Friday and then will must wait and see wait unfolds Saturday to see whether or not there is a three-way atop the division. If the Sun Devils, UCLA and Utah all end with a 5-4 conference slate, Arizona State is the division champ. UCLA clinches the division if it beats USC on Saturday.

TV: ESPN.

LINE: Arizona State opened around -5.5 and has climbed to -6. The total opened at 53.5 and has climbed to 54.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (6-5, 4-4 Pac-12 South, 6-5 ATS): The Sun Devils are 5-1 at home after losing to Arizona last Saturday. Junior running back Cameron Marshall has rushed for a Pac-12 high 16 touchdowns and is two behind the school record shared by Woody Green (1972) and Terry Battle (1996). Sophomore quarterback Brock Osweiler is coming off a 487-yard outing that ranks fifth-highest in Arizona State history. Osweiler has passed for 3,377 yards, second-most in school history behind Andrew Walter (3,877 in 2002). Osweiler has 21 touchdown passes against 10 interceptions. Senior receiver Gerrell Robinson has 61 receptions for 1,100 yards. The Sun Devils have allowed 97 points during their three-game skid.

ABOUT CALIFORNIA (6-5, 3-5 Pac-12 North, 3-7-1 ATS): The Golden Bears have an impressive duo of receivers in sophomore Keenan Allen and senior Marvin Jones. Allen is having one of the top seasons in Cal history with 84 catches for 1,200 yards. The receptions are third most in school history and the yardage ranks second most behind Geoff McArthur (1,504 yards in 2003). Jones has at least one catch in 36 consecutive games and ranks eighth in school history with 143 receptions. He has 49 catches for 704 yards this season. Junior quarterback Zach Maynard has thrown for 2,565 yards and 16 touchdowns against 11 interceptions. Senior linebacker Mychal Kendricks leads the Bears in tackles (88) and tackles for loss (11).

TRENDS:

* Home team is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Golden Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in Arizona State.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Cal leads the series 16-14 and has won seven of the last eight meetings.

2. The Golden Bears are just 1-4 on the road and have allowed 31 or more points in each game.

3. Arizona State has forced 28 turnovers and its plus-11 turnover margin is tops in the Pac-12.

PREDICTION: California 34, Arizona State 31 – The Golden Bears continue dominance of series and the Sun Devils complete a devastating slide to miss the Pac-12 title game.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: