11/22/2011 07:28 PM
Tech Trends - Week 13
November 22, 2011
Thursday, Nov. 24
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
TEXAS at TEXAS A&M...A&M has covered five of last six meetings. Mack 1-6 last 7 as dog. Slight to A&M, based on series trends.
Friday, Nov. 25
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
BOWLING GREEN at BUFFALO...Note that the visiting team has covered the last five in this series. Falcs only 2-3 vs. line away TY but 22-12 vs. spread away from Doyt-Perry Stadium since '07. Bulls 3-0 vs. line at home in MAC play this season but had dropped previous seven vs. line as league host. BGSU, based on series road and team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...EMU in revenge mode because NIU has destroyed Eagles lately, winning and covering last three by staggering158-9 aggregate! Huskies 7-2 last 9 vs. spread at DeKalb. NIU, based on series trends.
AKRON at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Zips just 2-6 against points last eight as visitor. WMU 5-2 vs. spread last seven at Waldo Stadium and is 11-5-1 last 17 on board. WMU, based on team trends.
TOLEDO at BALL STATE...Rockets 7-4 against line last 11 as visitor. But Ball State now on 5-game cover streak in late 2011. Slight to Ball, based on team trends.
LOUISVILLE at SOUTH FLORIDA...Cards 5-0 vs. line away TY, 8-0 last eight, 10-1 last 11 away since HC Charlie Strong arrived LY. Cards, however, have never won or covered in four previous trips to USF. Skip just 2-7 against line last 9 at Raymond James Stadium. UL, based on Cards' road mark.
HOUSTON at TULSA...Both hot, Tulsa covering last five and UH last six in 2011. Home team has won and covered four of last five meetings, including last two at Tulsa. Slight to Tulsa, based on series trends.
IOWA at NEBRASKA...Iowa no covers is last six reg.-season games on road. Huskers, however, only 1-5 vs. line at Lincoln TY. Ferentz still 13-6 last 19 as dog. Slight to Iowa, based on extended Ferentz dog mark.
PITT at WEST VIRGINIA...Brawl! Pitt lost and failed to cover last two brawls for Wannstedt. But Panthers are 17-9 against spread on road since 2007 (1-2 TY for Graham). Todd Graham 10-4 last 14 as do at Tulsa and Pitt (4-1 in role TY). Pitt, based on Graham dog marks.
ARKANSAS at LSU...Tough matchup lately for LSU, which is 1-3 SU and 0-4 vs. line vs. Arkansas last four meetings. Petrino 28-14 last 42 on board. Les Miles only 2-3 against points at home TY and 2-4 last 6 vs. spread at Baton Rouge. Arkansas, based on team trends.
COLORADO at UTAH...Buffs have dropped heir last eleven spread decisions as a visitor. Utah, based on team trends.
BOSTON COLLEGE at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Spaziani 8-2 vs. line last 10 away from Chestnut Hill (3-2 TY). Al Golden has covered 6 of last 7 TY, though Canes still only 11-19 vs. line as host since '07. Slight to BC, based on Spaziani dog marks.
UTEP at UCF...UTEP 4-1 vs. line on road TY, 5-3 as dog TY, and 26-18 last 44 as dog since early 2004. Slight to UTEP, based on Price marks.
CAL at ARIZONA STATE...Home team has covered last five meetings, though worth noting Tedford is 7-1 SU vs. ASU since taking Cal job in 2002. ASU no covers last three TY. light to Cal, based on recent ASU woes.
Saturday, Nov. 26
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN...Just as John Cooper consistently failed vs. Michigan, Jim Tressel dominated the Wolverines. This might be Luke Fickell's only shot at Michigan. Tressel won last 7 vs. Michigan and was 9-1 SU vs. Mich, he also covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 meetings. Fickell also 3-0 as dog TY. Brady Hoke, however, is 5-1 vs. line at Ann Arbor TY. Slight to OSU, based on series trends.
MISSOURI vs. KANSAS (at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City)...Turner Gill only 3-7 vs. points away from Lawrence since taking over at KU. Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.
RUTGERS at UCONN...Schiano has won and covered last three in series, all close and all by 4 or fewer. Schiano 3-1 vs. line away TY. UConn 12-6 vs. line last 18 at home (2-4 for Pasqualoni TY). Slight to Rutgers, based on series trends.
CINCINNATI at SYRACUSE...Road team 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings. But Cincy only 3-7 vs. line away for Butch Jones since 2010 (2-3 TY). Cuse no covers last 3 or five of last 6 TY, and just 2-9 last 11 vs. Big East foes at Carrier Dome. Slight to Cincy, based on team and series road trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at NORTHWESTERN...Road team has covered last four meetings. Slight to NU, based on series trends.
PURDUE at INDIANA...Old Oaken Bucket! Purdue 2-6 as chalk since LY and Danny Hope 4-9 laying points since taking over in 2009. Slight to IU, based on Purdue negatives.
ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA...Zook 4-8 as visiting chalk since taking over Illini in 2005. Visiting team has covered last four meetings, however. Gophers upset Zook 38-34 late LY and are 3-0-1 vs. line last four TY. Minnesota, based on team trends.
GEORGIA at GEORGIA TECH...Away team 7-0-1 vs. spread last 8 meetings and 9-1-1 against number last 12 in series. Georgia, based on series road trends.
VANDERBILT at WAKE FOREST...Grobe has kind of owned Vandy with handy wins and covers last three meetings, and Wake 4-1 vs. line at home TY. Slight to Wake, based on series trends.
CLEMSON at SOUTH CAROLINA...Spurrier has covered 4 of last 5 in Palmetto State battle. Slight to SC, based on series trends.
MARYLAND at NC STATE...Terps no covers last 6 or 9 of last 10 TY. Tom O'Brien 6-0-1 last 7 as ACC host, has also covered last 5 at Raleigh vs. FBS-level foes. NCS, based on team trends.
DUKE at NORTH CAROLINA...Tobacco Road classic. Heels have only covered 1 of last 6 in series. Duke 4-1-1 vs. line last 6 away and 8-3-1 last 12 as road dog. Duke, based on team and series trends.
TENNESSEE at KENTUCKY...UK hasn't beaten UT since 1984, when a Jerry Claiborne Wildcat team beat Johnny Majors' Vols 17-12. Tenn. has also covered last four meetings. Joker 8-5 vs. line at home since LY (3-3 TY). Slight to LSU, based on team trends.
WYOMING at BOISE STATE...Blue carpet has lost some of its spread magic lately, as Boise no covers first four at home TY and no covers last 5 since late LY. Broncs 3-9 last 12 vs. spread as host. Dave Christensen 3-1 vs. line as road dog TY, 12-4 in role since arriving at Wyo in 2009. Wyo, based on recent trends.
NEVADA at UTAH STATE...Pack winning SU but still no covers last 4 TY. Nevada 7-15 as road chalk since 2007. Utags 25-10 as dog since 2007. Slight to USU, based on team trends.
RICE at SMU...Rice has covered last five and eight of last nine meetings. SMU no covers last five TY. June Jones 4-10 as home chalk since arriving at SMU in 2008. Rice, based on series and team trends.
ALABAMA at AUBURN...Iron Bowl! Auburn has covered 5 of last 6 meetings. But Nick Saban 12-5 vs. spread away from Tuscaloosa since 2009. Slight to Bama, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at OREGON...Civil War! Not much home-field edge lately in Civil War, with road team covering last five. Mike Riley 5-11 against points last 16 on board and has covered only 4 of last 10 as dog, negating earlier sold marks in role. But Ducks only 2-5 vs. line last seven at Autzen Stadium. Slight to OSU, based on series trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA...Beamer has dominated series lately, winning last 7 and covered 6 of those vs. Cavs. UVa 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 TY as it looks resurgent, though Beamer 26-11 against points last 37 as reg.-season visitor since 2004 (2-3 TY). Slight to VT, based on series trends.
PENN STATE at WISCONSIN...Bielema 13-4-1 last 18 on board since mid 2010. Bielema 8-1 vs. line last nine at Camp Randall. PSU 3-7-1 vs. line TY. Wisconsin, based on Bielema marks.
TEXAS TECH vs. BAYLOR (at Jerry Jones Cowboys Stadium, Arlington)...TT now "over" 8-3 last 11 since LY. Baylor "over" 15-4-1 in reg. season since LY. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
FLORIDA STATE at FLORIDA...Gators no covers last seven TY. Gators had won six straight in series and covered five of those until LY's 31-7 loss. FSU, based on team trends.
EAST CAROLINA at MARSHALL...ECU has won and covered last two meetings, but Herd 4-1 vs. spread last five at Huntington. Slight to ECU, based on recent series trends.
NEW MEXICO STATE at LA TECH...Sonny Dykes' La Tech has won and covered last six. LT has also won and covered big the last two years vs. DeWayne Walker and is 13-6 vs. spread last 19 as WAC host. LT, based on team and recent series trends.
MEMPHIS at SOUTHERN MISS...Larry Porter not-so-awful 5-6 vs. line away since LY, but this year's Memphis has yet to cover back-to-back games. Despite recent spread setbacks, USM still 7-2 vs. line last 11 TY. Slight to USM, based on recent trends.
AIR FORCE at COLORADO STATE...CSU covered vs. Force LY but had dropped previous three vs. line in series. Falcs only 5-14 last 19 against points in reg. season. Slight to CSU, based on AFA negatives.
WASHINGTON STATE vs. WASHINGTON (at Century Link Seahawks Field, Seattle)...Apple Cup! The dog team has covered 8 of the last 10 Apple Cups. Cougs 10-5 vs. line last 15 as dog since early 2010. WSU, based on Apple Cup dog trend.
OLE MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Egg Bowl! MSU has won and covered last two Egg Bowls. Rebs no covers last 4 or 8 of last 10 on board TY, also 1-5 vs. spread last 6 as SEC visitor. Houston Nutt's last game at Ole Miss. MSU, based on Ole Miss negatives.
NOTRE DAME at STANFORD...Brian Kelly 4-1 as underdog at ND and 12-2 last 14 in role at Cincy & ND since 2007. Slight to ND, based on Kelly marks.
SAN JOSE STATE at FRESNO STATE...Pat Hill only 7-24 last 31 vs. line at Dog House. SJSU has covered 4 of 5 on road TY. San Jose, based on team trends.
IOWA STATE at OKLAHOMA...Bob Stoops 23-10 vs. spread last 33 at home. Paul Rhoads 7-4 last 11 as dog. Slight to OU, based on Stoops' home mark.
SAN DIEGO STATE at UNLV...SDSU has covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 vs. UNLV. But Rebs 3-0 vs. line as host vs. FBS TY and 8-1 in role since Bobby Hauck arrived LY. Home team 20-2 vs. line in UNLV games vs. FBS foes since Hauck's arrival in 2010. UNLV, based on recent team trends.
UCLA at SOUTHERN CAL...Note last five meetings "under" with SC covering last two after Bruins had covered previous three. UCLA hasn't win at Coliseum since Cade McNown's junior year of 1997. Neuheisel 1-8 vs. points last nine on road since early 2010. Lane Kiffin has covered five out of last six TY. Slight to SC, based on team trends.
TULANE at HAWAII...UH slumping with no covered 4 of last 5 TY. Hawaii also no covers last three at Aloha Stadium. Wave actually a bit better vs. spread on road (5-5-1 last 11) than at home. Slight to Tulane, based on Hawaii recent woes.
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
TROY at WESTERN KENTUCKY...WKU has covered nation's-best 8 in a row while Troy has dropped 6 of last 8 vs. number. WKU, based on recent trends.
UL-LAFAYETTE at ARIZONA...Ragin' Cajuns 5-1 vs. line away TY and 11-1 vs. spread last 12 on road! ULL, based on team trends.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...MTSU has won and covered 3 of last 4 meetings although Blue Raiders only 7-16 vs. spread since LY. FIU, based on MTSU negatives.
UAB at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...Owls winless SU and 2-8 vs. line TY, 3-17 last 20 on board. UAB on surprising 7-2 spread run. UAB, based on team trends.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: