cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:12 PM

Notre Dame Heads West To Battle Stanford Cardinal

Coby Fleener has eight touchdown receptions for Stanford this year.
The Stanford Cardinal and Notre Dame Fighting Irish both look to end their regular seasons on a high note with a big win on national television in Palo Alto this Saturday night.

ABC has the telecast starting at 8:00 p.m. (ET). Stanford is currently a 6½-point favorite on the Don Best odds screen.

While Stanford is no longer in the BCS Championship and is clinging to very slim hopes of a spot in the Pac-12 title game, it can still essentially lock up an at-large bid to a BCS bowl with a win over the Irish. For Notre Dame, this is a perfect opportunity for Brian Kelly to pick up a signature win for the program, and to prove that the football team is back on the map. The winner of this game will not only increase its bowl status, but will also help its recruiting this offseason.

The Cardinal ranked No. 6 in this week’s Don Best Linemakers Poll, while Notre Dame came in at No. 14.

Stanford (10-1) has lost each of its last two games ATS after starting the season 9-0 both SU and ATS. The Cardinal hung on for the outright win over California in the “Big Game” last week, 31-28, but didn’t come close to covering the spread as 17½-point favorites. Still, the win did bring Stanford to 18-1 SU in its last 19 games.

Andrew Luck went 20-for-30 with 257 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Cal. While he’s no longer the top favorite, Luck is still a Heisman Trophy contender with no clear-cut winner out in the field this season. A big day against Notre Dame’s tough passing defense could make one more final case for himself.

Notre Dame (8-3) has had its shares of ups and downs this season, and just narrowly escaped with a 16-14 victory over Boston College as a 24-point favorite last week. The Irish have an impressive win over Michigan State, but failed to rise to the task against Michigan and USC. The difference between an 8-4 season and a 9-3 season with a road win over Stanford would be monumental, so there shouldn’t be any lack of motivation here.

The Irish took a major blow in the win over Boston College, losing running back Jonas Gray to a knee injury. Notre Dame will still have its leading rusher in Cierre Wood, but going up against Stanford’s stingy rushing defense that allows just 93 rushing yards per game, Gray’s presence will be missed.

Stanford is also dealing with injuries that could leave its receiving corps short. Wideout Chris Owuso (concussion) is doubtful, as is tight end Zach Ertz (knee). Tight end Levine Toilolo (shoulder) is questionable. That trio ranks 3-4-5 in receiving yards for the Cardinal.

Over the last nine years, Notre Dame is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS over Stanford. The Irish are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Stanford in Palo Alto. That said, Stanford has won each of the last two meetings between these teams, including a 37-14 blowout in Notre Dame last season.

The total for Saturday’s contest is currently set at 58. Stanford has gone ‘over’ the total in four of its last five games overall and five of its last six games at home.

There's a 20 percent chance of rain Saturday at Stanford, but the likelihood decreases after sunset. The weatherman is calling for a temperature in the upper-50s for the start of the contest.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:15 PM

Don Best Linemakers Poll And BCS Update

Tommy Rees and the Irish have been respected all season at Don Best.
As we near the end of the college football season, only so many matchups are left to be taken advantage of by looking at the Don Best Linemakers Poll. The BCS currently has three SEC schools in their top three, but Kenny White has a much different take on teams around the nation.

As usual, many teams are underrated in the latest standings from the BCS. Oklahoma just had a very close loss on the road at Baylor which dropped the Sooners from No. 5 to No. 9. Oklahoma only dropped one spot to No. 4 in the DB Poll because of the talent that the Sooners still possess.

The same goes for the No. 5 Oregon Ducks who lost on a missed field goal to the USC Trojans. Even with two losses on the year, they would still be favored on a neutral field over some top-10 BCS schools that are actually ranked higher than the Ducks.

Wisconsin is a team that still receives very little respect in the national polls, but the Badgers rank No. 7 in the DB Linemakers Poll. After two losses in a row, they beat their next three opponents by a combined score of 132-47. Two of those were on the road.

It is highly unlikely that the Badgers are just the 16th best team in the country where the BCS ranks them.

All year long the Don Best Poll has backed the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Suddenly, after a long absence, the Irish have found their way onto the Bowl Championship Series Standings at No. 22. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has been ranked in the teens for weeks and currently sits at No. 14 on the Linemakers Poll.

Take a look at the opening line between the No. 1 and supposed No. 3 team in the country as Arkansas was +14 at LSU. The line has moved to 12, but that kind of discrepancy should not show up between teams ranked so close, especially in the top three. That is why you’ll find the Razorbacks at No. 8 in the Don Best Linemakers Poll.

Virginia Tech has vaulted into a top-5 spot in the BCS while the Hokies are tied for No. 12 with Michigan State according to the Linemakers. This appears to be a case of top schools losing at the wrong time which automatically drops them down while pushing others up.

In a knee-jerk reaction to their win over Oregon, the USC Trojans moved from No. 18 all the way up to No. 10 in the AP Poll. While Southern Cal has played good football, the Trojans moved from No. 19 to No. 15 in a much more realistic move on the DB Poll.

Then finally we have the Houston Cougars. While they are undefeated, the DB Poll illustrates that Houston’s opponent this week will be their toughest of the season. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane rank No. 24 on the Don Best Poll while they are nowhere to be found in the BCS. Simply because they are undefeated, the Cougars get a top 10 spot nationally while they are No. 17 according to Kenny White.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DON BEST LINEMAKERS POLL - NCAA College Football Rankings
RANK TEAM RATING BCS
1 LSU 123.5 1
2 Alabama 122.0 2
3 Oklahoma State 119.7 4
4 Oklahoma 119.1 9
5 Oregon 118.9 10
6 Stanford 118.4 6
7 Wisconsin 117.9 16
8 Arkansas 117.4 3
9 Boise State 115.8 7
10 Georgia 114.1 13
11 Michigan 113.0 15
T-12 Virginia Tech 112.5 5
T-12 Michigan State 112.5 14
14 Notre Dame 112.3 22
15 Southern California 111.9 NR
16 Florida State 111.8 NR
17 Houston 111.5 8
T-18 South Carolina 111.1 12
T-18 Clemson 111.1 17
20 Texas Christian 110.3 20
21 Kansas State 109.9 11
22 Nebraska 109.0 21
23 West Virginia 108.8 NR
24 Tulsa 108.4 NR
T-25 Texas A&M 108.0 NR
T-25 Utah 108.0 NR
T-27 Georgia Tech 107.7 23
T-27 Southern Mississippi 107.7 NR
29 Ohio State 107.5 NR
30 Baylor 107.2 18
Don Best Linemakers Poll - College Football Power Rankings
Updated November 21, 2011

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:20 PM

College Notebook

November 22, 2011

Arizona...QB Nick Foles injured his back and had to leave the action late in last Saturday's game at ASU, with backup Bryson Beirne's only completion of the night a game-winning 23-yard TD to Juron Criner in Cats' 31-27 upset at Tempe. Cats have also announced that former West Virginia and Michigan HC Rich Rodriguez will assume the same position with UA next year. Cats have been operating with an inter HC, defensive coordinator Tim Kish, since dismissing Mike Stoops at midseason.

Arkansas...SEC scouts report RB Knile Davis, LY's leading rusher but out all of 2011 to date due to ankle injury, has been practicing and could be available for upcoming SEC West showdown vs. LSU.

Army...Oft-injured QB Trent Steelman was KO's with a right leg injury on the second play of last week's 42-14 loss at Temple. Steelman, who had missed recent action with a left ankle sprain, hurt the other leg vs. the Owls. Backups Angel Santiago and Max Jenkins went the rest of the way at QB for West Point.

Boise State...Top rusher Doug Martin returned from injury last week at SDSU and gained 129 YR, although sidekick D.J. Harper was sidelined with an ankle injury vs. Aztecs.

Bowling Green...QB Matt Schilz exited last Wednesday's game vs. Ohio with a sore knee, check status for Buffalo this week.

Cincinnati...Bearcat "O" in trouble now that QB Zach Collaros is sidelined for rest of season with leg injury. Bearcats not moving behind backup Munchie Leagaux, who completed only 12 of 31 passes in last week's 20-3 loss at Rutgers.

Clemson...Frosh sensation WR/KR Sammy Watkins missed last week's NC State game with a shoulder injury but hopes to be ready for South Carolina finale this week.

Colorado State...Starting QB Pete Thomas missed last week's 34-10 loss at TCU with knee problems. Backup Garrett Grayson was not too bad in relief, however, completing 14 of 24 passes for 248 yards with a TD and pick at Fort Worth.

Georgia...Star frosh RB Isaiah Crowell was KO'd in the early going of last week's 19-10 win over Kentucky with an ankle injury, status unknown for Ga. Tech this week. Backup Brandon Harton rushed for 101 yards for Dawgs in sluggish win over Cats.

Hawaii...QB Bryant Moniz is lost for the season with a leg injury. Warriors alternated soph David Graves (who took majority of snaps) with senior Shane Austin in 24-21 loss to Fresno last week. UH still depleted a t receiver spots with slotback Justin Clapp (ribs) and WR Allen Sampson (ACL) out for season, although WR Royce Pollard did return from knee injury vs. Bulldogs. Pollard is playing at less than 100%, however, and caught only 3 passes vs. Fresno.

Illinois...Under-fire HC Ron Zook was alternating QBs Nathan Scheelhaase and frosh Riley O'Toole last week vs. Wisconsin.

Kentucky...Frosh QB Maxwell Smith, who had been starting in recent weeks, was KO'd late in last week's 19-10 loss at Georgia with a shoulder injury. Former starter Morgan Newton came on in relief of Smith, whose status is questionable for Tennessee this week. Run-plugging DT Mister Cobble is also listed as questionable for Volunteers.

La Tech...Bulldogs won 24-20 at Fresno without top rusher Lennon Creer, sidelined by ankle injury. He could return this week vs. NM State. Bulldogs only rushed for 57 yards in Reno but rallied for late win behind QB Colby Cameron's 355 YP and 3 TDs, all in the 4th Q.

Memphis...Tigers' frosh QB Taylor Reed went down early in 3rd Q of last Thursday's 23-22 loss to Marshall with an ankle injury, with former starter Andy Summerlin on in relief down the stretch for Tigers.

Miami-Fl...RB Lamar Miller left last week's game at USF with a shoulder injury.

Middle Tennessee...HC Rick Stockstill has benched starter Logan Kilgore, with RS soph Jeff Murphy taking all of the snaps in last week's 45-19 loss to Ark State. Kilgore had tossed 6 picks in his previous 90 throws after splitting time with Murphy the previous two weeks vs. Tennessee & ULM.

Missouri...HC Gary Pinkel was suspended for last week's game vs. Texas Tech due to a DUI arrest. Defensive coordinator Dave Steckel filled in as the interim coach vs. Red Raiders, but Pinkel is due back on the sidelines for this week's border war vs. Kansas at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

North Carolina...RB Gio Bernard was KO'd by a concussion during last week's 24-21 loss at Virginia Tech, check status for Duke this week.

San Diego State...Star RB Ronnie Hillman was limited to just 3 carries on Saturday vs. Boise due to leg injuries. Backup Adam Muema did run for 119 yards but most of the damage was done late after Boise had surged to a 42-14 halftime edge.

South Florida...QB B.J. Daniels went out in the 3rd Q of last week's ugly 6-3 loss vs. Miami-Fla. with a shoulder injury. Backup Bobby Eveld was 5 for 9 thru the air but could not punch Bulls into endzone.

Stanford....Cardinal receiving corps continues to betray Heisman hopeful QB Andrew Luck. Injuries to WR Chris Owusu (concussion) and TEs Zach Ertz (knee) and Levine Toilolo (shoulder) have removed some of the best hands from the Stanford receiving corps, reflected in several drops by other targets in the past few weeks.

Tennessee...Soph QB Tyler Bray, out since early October with a thumb injury, returned to lineup last week vs. Vandy. Bray completed only 16 of 33 passes but helped end a late rally to force OT, then watched DB Eric Gordon win the game for Vols with a 90-yard TD interception return in overtime. UT can get bowl-eligible with a win this week over Kentucky, which hasn't beaten the Vols since 1984!

Texas...Longhorn offense stalling after numerous injuries to skill position weapons. Sr. RB/KR Fozzy Whittaker is now out for the season with a knee injury, joining frosh stars RB Malcolm Brown (toe) and WR Jaxon Shipley (knee) on sidelines. A desperate HC Mack Brown pulled struggling frosh QB David Ash in 3rd Q last week vs. K-State, with Case McCoy leading a belated rally that fell four points short of Wildcats in 17-13 Texas loss.

Texas A&M...RB Cyrus Gray hurt a shoulder last week vs. Kansas and status is questionable for Texas showdown on Thanksgiving. A&M was already down top rusher Christine Michael due to injury.

Toledo...QB Austin Dantin suffered a concussion last week at CMU, but Rockets still in good hands as long as co-QB Terrance Owens remains available.

UTEP...QB Nick Lamaison missed last week's game vs. Tulsa with a groin injury. Backup Carson Meger and other relievers Tate Smith and Jay hall could not keep pace with Golden Hurricane in Tulsa' 57-28 romp at Sun Bowl.

Washington State...QB Connor Halliday has been hospitalized with a lacerated kidney after last week's 30-27 overtime loss to Utah. Senior Marshall Lobbestael, who has started most of the season for the Cougars and has 16 TD passes, will get the call at QB for Saturday's Apple Cup finale vs. the Washington Huskies in Seattle at the Seahawks' Century Link Field (U-Dub's Husky Stadium now undergoing renovations).

Washington...Huskies opted to start Joe Montana's son Nick at QB last week at Oregon State in wake of starter Keith Price's knee injuries. Montana was very so-so, completing 11 of 21 passes for 2 TDs but only 79 yards passing in fading Huskies' 38-21 loss. Price made a surprise appearance in game in 4th Q.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:28 PM

Tech Trends - Week 13

November 22, 2011


Thursday, Nov. 24
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

TEXAS at TEXAS A&M...A&M has covered five of last six meetings. Mack 1-6 last 7 as dog. Slight to A&M, based on series trends.




Friday, Nov. 25
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

BOWLING GREEN at BUFFALO...Note that the visiting team has covered the last five in this series. Falcs only 2-3 vs. line away TY but 22-12 vs. spread away from Doyt-Perry Stadium since '07. Bulls 3-0 vs. line at home in MAC play this season but had dropped previous seven vs. line as league host. BGSU, based on series road and team trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...EMU in revenge mode because NIU has destroyed Eagles lately, winning and covering last three by staggering158-9 aggregate! Huskies 7-2 last 9 vs. spread at DeKalb. NIU, based on series trends.

AKRON at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Zips just 2-6 against points last eight as visitor. WMU 5-2 vs. spread last seven at Waldo Stadium and is 11-5-1 last 17 on board. WMU, based on team trends.

TOLEDO at BALL STATE...Rockets 7-4 against line last 11 as visitor. But Ball State now on 5-game cover streak in late 2011. Slight to Ball, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at SOUTH FLORIDA...Cards 5-0 vs. line away TY, 8-0 last eight, 10-1 last 11 away since HC Charlie Strong arrived LY. Cards, however, have never won or covered in four previous trips to USF. Skip just 2-7 against line last 9 at Raymond James Stadium. UL, based on Cards' road mark.

HOUSTON at TULSA...Both hot, Tulsa covering last five and UH last six in 2011. Home team has won and covered four of last five meetings, including last two at Tulsa. Slight to Tulsa, based on series trends.

IOWA at NEBRASKA...Iowa no covers is last six reg.-season games on road. Huskers, however, only 1-5 vs. line at Lincoln TY. Ferentz still 13-6 last 19 as dog. Slight to Iowa, based on extended Ferentz dog mark.

PITT at WEST VIRGINIA...Brawl! Pitt lost and failed to cover last two brawls for Wannstedt. But Panthers are 17-9 against spread on road since 2007 (1-2 TY for Graham). Todd Graham 10-4 last 14 as do at Tulsa and Pitt (4-1 in role TY). Pitt, based on Graham dog marks.

ARKANSAS at LSU...Tough matchup lately for LSU, which is 1-3 SU and 0-4 vs. line vs. Arkansas last four meetings. Petrino 28-14 last 42 on board. Les Miles only 2-3 against points at home TY and 2-4 last 6 vs. spread at Baton Rouge. Arkansas, based on team trends.

COLORADO at UTAH...Buffs have dropped heir last eleven spread decisions as a visitor. Utah, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Spaziani 8-2 vs. line last 10 away from Chestnut Hill (3-2 TY). Al Golden has covered 6 of last 7 TY, though Canes still only 11-19 vs. line as host since '07. Slight to BC, based on Spaziani dog marks.

UTEP at UCF...UTEP 4-1 vs. line on road TY, 5-3 as dog TY, and 26-18 last 44 as dog since early 2004. Slight to UTEP, based on Price marks.

CAL at ARIZONA STATE...Home team has covered last five meetings, though worth noting Tedford is 7-1 SU vs. ASU since taking Cal job in 2002. ASU no covers last three TY. light to Cal, based on recent ASU woes.




Saturday, Nov. 26
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN...Just as John Cooper consistently failed vs. Michigan, Jim Tressel dominated the Wolverines. This might be Luke Fickell's only shot at Michigan. Tressel won last 7 vs. Michigan and was 9-1 SU vs. Mich, he also covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 meetings. Fickell also 3-0 as dog TY. Brady Hoke, however, is 5-1 vs. line at Ann Arbor TY. Slight to OSU, based on series trends.

MISSOURI vs. KANSAS (at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City)...Turner Gill only 3-7 vs. points away from Lawrence since taking over at KU. Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.

RUTGERS at UCONN...Schiano has won and covered last three in series, all close and all by 4 or fewer. Schiano 3-1 vs. line away TY. UConn 12-6 vs. line last 18 at home (2-4 for Pasqualoni TY). Slight to Rutgers, based on series trends.

CINCINNATI at SYRACUSE...Road team 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings. But Cincy only 3-7 vs. line away for Butch Jones since 2010 (2-3 TY). Cuse no covers last 3 or five of last 6 TY, and just 2-9 last 11 vs. Big East foes at Carrier Dome. Slight to Cincy, based on team and series road trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at NORTHWESTERN...Road team has covered last four meetings. Slight to NU, based on series trends.

PURDUE at INDIANA...Old Oaken Bucket! Purdue 2-6 as chalk since LY and Danny Hope 4-9 laying points since taking over in 2009. Slight to IU, based on Purdue negatives.

ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA...Zook 4-8 as visiting chalk since taking over Illini in 2005. Visiting team has covered last four meetings, however. Gophers upset Zook 38-34 late LY and are 3-0-1 vs. line last four TY. Minnesota, based on team trends.

GEORGIA at GEORGIA TECH...Away team 7-0-1 vs. spread last 8 meetings and 9-1-1 against number last 12 in series. Georgia, based on series road trends.

VANDERBILT at WAKE FOREST...Grobe has kind of owned Vandy with handy wins and covers last three meetings, and Wake 4-1 vs. line at home TY. Slight to Wake, based on series trends.

CLEMSON at SOUTH CAROLINA...Spurrier has covered 4 of last 5 in Palmetto State battle. Slight to SC, based on series trends.

MARYLAND at NC STATE...Terps no covers last 6 or 9 of last 10 TY. Tom O'Brien 6-0-1 last 7 as ACC host, has also covered last 5 at Raleigh vs. FBS-level foes. NCS, based on team trends.

DUKE at NORTH CAROLINA...Tobacco Road classic. Heels have only covered 1 of last 6 in series. Duke 4-1-1 vs. line last 6 away and 8-3-1 last 12 as road dog. Duke, based on team and series trends.

TENNESSEE at KENTUCKY...UK hasn't beaten UT since 1984, when a Jerry Claiborne Wildcat team beat Johnny Majors' Vols 17-12. Tenn. has also covered last four meetings. Joker 8-5 vs. line at home since LY (3-3 TY). Slight to LSU, based on team trends.

WYOMING at BOISE STATE...Blue carpet has lost some of its spread magic lately, as Boise no covers first four at home TY and no covers last 5 since late LY. Broncs 3-9 last 12 vs. spread as host. Dave Christensen 3-1 vs. line as road dog TY, 12-4 in role since arriving at Wyo in 2009. Wyo, based on recent trends.

NEVADA at UTAH STATE...Pack winning SU but still no covers last 4 TY. Nevada 7-15 as road chalk since 2007. Utags 25-10 as dog since 2007. Slight to USU, based on team trends.

RICE at SMU...Rice has covered last five and eight of last nine meetings. SMU no covers last five TY. June Jones 4-10 as home chalk since arriving at SMU in 2008. Rice, based on series and team trends.

ALABAMA at AUBURN...Iron Bowl! Auburn has covered 5 of last 6 meetings. But Nick Saban 12-5 vs. spread away from Tuscaloosa since 2009. Slight to Bama, based on team trends.

OREGON STATE at OREGON...Civil War! Not much home-field edge lately in Civil War, with road team covering last five. Mike Riley 5-11 against points last 16 on board and has covered only 4 of last 10 as dog, negating earlier sold marks in role. But Ducks only 2-5 vs. line last seven at Autzen Stadium. Slight to OSU, based on series trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA...Beamer has dominated series lately, winning last 7 and covered 6 of those vs. Cavs. UVa 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 TY as it looks resurgent, though Beamer 26-11 against points last 37 as reg.-season visitor since 2004 (2-3 TY). Slight to VT, based on series trends.

PENN STATE at WISCONSIN...Bielema 13-4-1 last 18 on board since mid 2010. Bielema 8-1 vs. line last nine at Camp Randall. PSU 3-7-1 vs. line TY. Wisconsin, based on Bielema marks.

TEXAS TECH vs. BAYLOR (at Jerry Jones Cowboys Stadium, Arlington)...TT now "over" 8-3 last 11 since LY. Baylor "over" 15-4-1 in reg. season since LY. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

FLORIDA STATE at FLORIDA...Gators no covers last seven TY. Gators had won six straight in series and covered five of those until LY's 31-7 loss. FSU, based on team trends.

EAST CAROLINA at MARSHALL...ECU has won and covered last two meetings, but Herd 4-1 vs. spread last five at Huntington. Slight to ECU, based on recent series trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at LA TECH...Sonny Dykes' La Tech has won and covered last six. LT has also won and covered big the last two years vs. DeWayne Walker and is 13-6 vs. spread last 19 as WAC host. LT, based on team and recent series trends.

MEMPHIS at SOUTHERN MISS...Larry Porter not-so-awful 5-6 vs. line away since LY, but this year's Memphis has yet to cover back-to-back games. Despite recent spread setbacks, USM still 7-2 vs. line last 11 TY. Slight to USM, based on recent trends.

AIR FORCE at COLORADO STATE...CSU covered vs. Force LY but had dropped previous three vs. line in series. Falcs only 5-14 last 19 against points in reg. season. Slight to CSU, based on AFA negatives.

WASHINGTON STATE vs. WASHINGTON (at Century Link Seahawks Field, Seattle)...Apple Cup! The dog team has covered 8 of the last 10 Apple Cups. Cougs 10-5 vs. line last 15 as dog since early 2010. WSU, based on Apple Cup dog trend.

OLE MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Egg Bowl! MSU has won and covered last two Egg Bowls. Rebs no covers last 4 or 8 of last 10 on board TY, also 1-5 vs. spread last 6 as SEC visitor. Houston Nutt's last game at Ole Miss. MSU, based on Ole Miss negatives.

NOTRE DAME at STANFORD...Brian Kelly 4-1 as underdog at ND and 12-2 last 14 in role at Cincy & ND since 2007. Slight to ND, based on Kelly marks.

SAN JOSE STATE at FRESNO STATE...Pat Hill only 7-24 last 31 vs. line at Dog House. SJSU has covered 4 of 5 on road TY. San Jose, based on team trends.

IOWA STATE at OKLAHOMA...Bob Stoops 23-10 vs. spread last 33 at home. Paul Rhoads 7-4 last 11 as dog. Slight to OU, based on Stoops' home mark.

SAN DIEGO STATE at UNLV...SDSU has covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 vs. UNLV. But Rebs 3-0 vs. line as host vs. FBS TY and 8-1 in role since Bobby Hauck arrived LY. Home team 20-2 vs. line in UNLV games vs. FBS foes since Hauck's arrival in 2010. UNLV, based on recent team trends.

UCLA at SOUTHERN CAL...Note last five meetings "under" with SC covering last two after Bruins had covered previous three. UCLA hasn't win at Coliseum since Cade McNown's junior year of 1997. Neuheisel 1-8 vs. points last nine on road since early 2010. Lane Kiffin has covered five out of last six TY. Slight to SC, based on team trends.

TULANE at HAWAII...UH slumping with no covered 4 of last 5 TY. Hawaii also no covers last three at Aloha Stadium. Wave actually a bit better vs. spread on road (5-5-1 last 11) than at home. Slight to Tulane, based on Hawaii recent woes.




Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

TROY at WESTERN KENTUCKY...WKU has covered nation's-best 8 in a row while Troy has dropped 6 of last 8 vs. number. WKU, based on recent trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at ARIZONA...Ragin' Cajuns 5-1 vs. line away TY and 11-1 vs. spread last 12 on road! ULL, based on team trends.

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...MTSU has won and covered 3 of last 4 meetings although Blue Raiders only 7-16 vs. spread since LY. FIU, based on MTSU negatives.

UAB at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...Owls winless SU and 2-8 vs. line TY, 3-17 last 20 on board. UAB on surprising 7-2 spread run. UAB, based on team trends.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:30 PM

News & Notes - Week 13

November 22, 2011

Week 13

Teams playing with BCS pressure have struggled, like in 2007 when all of the teams that controlled their own destiny lost. Oklahoma State had it all in their favor. They were ranked #2 in the BCS, would play in the National Title game if they won their final 2 games and Brandon Weeden had moved to the top of the Heisman polls. They were taking on an Iowa State team that entered play 0-56-2 vs teams ranked 6 or higher in the AP poll. Paul Rhoads was the DC at Pitt when the Panthers knocked W Virginia out of the #2 spot and National Championship game back in that wacky 2007 season with a huge upset as a 4 TD dog and now engineered a 2nd one. At one point, ISU actually had an 8-3 FD edge but gave up a 70 yd IR TD and trailed 7-0. For the game ISU had a 33-24 FD edge and it was 24-24 after regulation with ISU winning in the 2OT...
Illinois outgained Wisconsin 301-285 but was done in by 4 TO's and ST mistakes. The Badgers' 4 TD's came on drives of 2, 30, 44, and 39 yards. Illinois had leads of 14-0 and 17-7 (after a PI wiped out a TD IL kicked a FG) at the half and IL had 15-5 FD and 224-93 yd edges. IL had TO's on 3 of their first four 2H poss setting up 2 UW short TD drives and at the end IL got to the UW29 and was int'd at the 19. Also, with the wind at the back of the punt, IL's PR let the punt sail over his head and it ended up going an extra 25 yds to the 3 yd line for a 74 yd punt...

Buffalo scored its most points S/'92 with 51 vs Akron and had a 497-239 yd edge. It was 30-3 at the half...

Munchie Legaux got his first QB start at Cincinnati as Zach Collaros was out. UC was held to a season low 225 yds by Rutgers. The Big East now has 5 teams with just 2 losses on the season and the race for an automatic BCS bowl berth is wide open. RU did have 385 yds offense and a 23-11 FD edge...

Georgia clinched an SEC Title game berth but were very unimpressive vs Kentucky. They did have a 317-165 yd edge but settled for short FG's. In the 1H they settled for 5 FG's, missing 1. In the 2H UGA was int'd in the EZ and fmbl'd at the UK40 before finally getting a 7 yd TD pass with 14:55 left to get up by 2 scores. UGA was SOD at the UK27 with 3:39 left...

Army ret'd QB Trent Steelman but he lasted just 2 plays. Temple led 28-0 at the half. Last year TU had 8 wins but did not get invited to a bowl and they now have 7 wins this year...

Michigan State clinched the Big Ten Legends division when Nebraska lost to Michigan. UM now has a shot at 10 wins and a win over Ohio St making it a glorious season in Brady Hoke's first year. The Wolverines did benefit from some short field in the game but finished with a 418-260 yd edge and had a 24-11 FD edge. It was NU's first game in Michigan Stadium since 1962. The game was tied at 10 and UM led 17-10 at HT before rec'd the 2H KO at the NU33 which set up a TD. They blk'd a punt setting up a 50 yd drive for a TD, got an 11 yd PR setting up a 31 yd TD drive, rec'd a fmbl...

Wake Forest WR Chris Givens had 191 yards receiving and WF had a 514-415 yd edge snapping a 3 game losing streak and becoming bowl eligible. Maryland is one of the most banged up teams in football and fell to 2-9 and gained 68 of their yards on an 11 play drive at the end of the game...

Miami and South Florida, a couple of disappointing teams were tied at 3 when UM drove 61/15pl to get a 36 yd FG on the final play of the game. One key play was that BJ Daniels, the starting QB for USF, left in the 3Q with a shoulder injury. Daniels had accounted for 371 yards total offense the previous week. The surprising number in this game was that at the 1H, UM had a 205-162 yd edge and the teams had combined for 6 points. The usual average in the NCAA is 13.8 yards for every point scored but this 1H had 367 yds for 6 pts - or 61.2 ypp...

Rice had a 13-0 lead hitting 54 and 51 yd FG's but Tulane got a 4&7 TD pass with 10:03 left. Rice got a TD with 1:04 left and opted for 2 which would have put them ahead of the spread but the 2 pt failed. TU did get to the Rice37 on their last drive which helped them finish with a 289-237 yd edge...

San Jose State jumped out to a 10-0 lead and led 20-14 at the half with a 264-153 yd edge. Navy went for it on 4&19 and were SOD at the SJS38, punted with 7:03 left and fired incomplete on 4&3 at the SJS45 with 2:29 left on their final 3 poss after SJSt went ahead 27-24 on the 4Q's 1st play...

Luke Kuechly set the career ACC record for tackles with 523. Notre Dame took their opening drive 80/7pl for a TD and their 2nd 46/9pl for a 40 yd FG and while they finished with a 417-250 yd edge, this one was ugly. ND only led 13-7 at the half and in the 2H, 8 of the first 9 poss were punts with the other being an int. Boston College got a TD with 1:57 left to pull within 16-14 but ND rec'd the onside kick...

It was a tough loss for Texas Tech who had been beaten by an avg of 42 ppg the prior 3 wks but led for all but the final 2:22 vs Missouri. TT jumped out to a 14-0 lead and led 17-10 at the half, 27-17 after 3Q's and finally with 2:22 left MO got a TD for the lead. TT lost 3 players to injury (WR Torres, RB Washington and OG Edwards) and were the 2nd straight team to complain about the condition of MO's artificial turf. MO was without Coach Gary Pinkel who was susp'd for the game due to a DWI. After leading the entire game, TT got the ball and drove right down the field and had a FD at the MO11. On 2&6 from the 7 a pass was tipped and int'd at the 4 with :32 left and MO got the fortuitous win.

INJURIES OF NOTE

Oregon State beat Washington for the 7th time in the last eight meetings. UW was starting Nick Montana at QB as Keith Price was banged up. Montana hit 11-21-79. When Oregon St went up 31-14 Price came off the bench and led an 85/10pl drive and got a 4&9, 20 yd TD pass. OSU fmbl'd the kick at their own 17 but Price was int'd at the 1 and the Beavers went 99/12pl getting a 4&gl, 1 yd TD run with 2:06 left to go up by 17 and Montana came back in. OSU had a 484-315 yd edge.

LETDOWN AND LOOK AHEAD

TCU showed some clear letdown after their upset win over Boise State which basically handed them the Mountain West title this past week. In fact in the 1H vs Colorado State they were outgained 183-148. TCU did end up recording its 45th victory for its senior class, a school record in a 34-10 win and extended their MW records by winning a 23rd straight league game and 16th straight league game at home. CSU had a first time starting QB in true frosh Garrett Grayson (14-24-228) and CSU finished the game with a 408-372 yd edge with TCU getting a 69 yd IR TD in the 3Q...

North Carolina State did indeed blow out Clemson but they benefitted from a short field the majority of the 1H. NCSt finished with a 398-337 yd edge. Clemson had just clinched the ACC Atlantic and decided to rest Sammy Watkins who was banged up. In the 1H NCSt led 7-3 when CU fmbl'd at their own 6 setting up a 6 yd drive for a TD, fmbl'd at their own 18 setting up an 11 yd drive for a 21 yd FG. NCSt got a 34 yd PR setting up an 11 yd TD drive to go up 24-3. CU did take over with 2:35 left trailing 37-6 and went 68/8pl getting a 2 yd TD run with 1:22 left...

Teams that have unbeaten seasons and National Championship hopes dashed, usually have a letdown spot the next week. Stanford struggled to get past Cal and Boise State did not cover vs San Diego State. BS did benefit from 3 early TO's by SDSt as after an int they went 24/4pl for a TD, SDSt fmbl'd a punt on their 10 setting up a BS TD and SDS fmbl'd the ensuing KO at their own 23 and BS on 3&14 got a 14 yd TD pass to lead 21-0. BS did lead 42-14 at the half. Leading 45-14 BS fumbled at the SDS3. SDS got to midfield and punted but roughing the P gave them a FD and they would get a TD 2pl later to pull within 45-21. SDS got a TD with 6:25 left to make it 45-29 with the 2 pt conv to get under the spread. BS rec'd the onside kick and went 36/4pl for a TD to get ahead of the spread, 52-29 with 4:11 left. The Aztecs went 76/17pl converting on 3&13, 4&14, 3&8 and with just :05 left in the game, got a 1 yd TD pass to make it 52-35. BS rec'd the onside kick.

MEANINGLESS GAMES

When Penn State took the field against Ohio State it was basically a meaningless game and the winner of next week's game vs Wisconsin will be the winner of the Big Ten Leaders div whether PSU beat or lost to OSU. The Lions showed great character and pulled out the road win. They led after Stephfon Green ran 39 yds for a TD 1:30 in and led the rest of the way. PSU had won just 2 of their last 10 games in Columbus but both came vs true frosh QB's in Art Schlichter in 1978 and Terrelle Pryor in 2008 and now a 3rd time vs Braxton Miller...

Tulsa was playing in basically a meaningless game vs UTEP. If they beat Houston next week, they get a spot in the conf champ game. TU showed no look ahead but did only have a 500-443 yd edge. In fact, at the half it was TU 297-263 and they only led 21-15 when they got a 94 yd KR TD with 2:45 left in the half, 29-15. TU got a 37 yd IR TD to go up 50-15 and UTEP did gain 64 of its yards on 11 plays in the final 4:00 after TU had scored a TD to make it 57-28.

BACKDOOR/FRONTDOOR COVERS

Texas A&M went to backup QB Showers with 8:00 left in the 3Q as the game vs Kansas was a rout. A&M finished with a 469-197 yd edge. You wouldn't think anything was on the line late in the game but KU took over with 6:52 left trailing 61-0. They would convert on 4&6 for a FD to the 13 and then with just :46 left in the game, got a 15 yd TD run by Sims on 2&12 for a TD which put the game Over the total and also had KU avoid the shutout.

MISLEADING FINALS

It was a shocking early score in the Furman-Florida game as FUR jumped out to a 22-7 1Q lead. UF used big passes. In the 1Q FUR had a 196-72 yd edge. UF got 80, 29, 64 yd TD passes and a 77 yd TD run then added 27 and 75 yd IR TD's for a very misleading 54-32 final in which FUR had a 20-19 FD edge...

At the half vs Louisville, Connecticut had a 165-105 yd edge but gave up a 100 yd KR TD to open the game and settled for a 24 yd FG and trailed 14-10. The game was 28-20 when UC rec'd an onside kick at their own 41 with :13 left when they tried the lateral play and UL ret'd a fumbled lateral 36 yds for a TD with no time left on the clock to make what was a 1 score game into a 34-20 final...

We're not sure if we should classify Nevada as a Misleading Final or just a brutal loss for the Wolf Pack. In the 1H NV had an amazing 272-43 yd edge. They fumbled at the Louisiana Tech 22, were int'd at the LT30 and were SOD at the LT33. NV had a 15-2 FD edge. NV still dominated the 3Q as well going 67/12pl for a 19 yd FG, 59/6pl settling for a 24 yd FG and on their 3rd poss, went 49/9pl for a TD. With 13:01 left, NV had a commanding 20-3 lead that should have been much worse and a 437-118 yd edge. LT got 84, 89 and 92 yd drive on their final 3 poss for the win.

OPTION OFFENSES ARE TOUGH TO DEFEND

Three big plays hurt Alabama and we have to wonder why FBS schools even schedule an FCS school which runs the option as it is very difficult to prep for. Georgia Southern basically had 2 big plays on its triple option offense and a ST play for their 3 TD's. Bama jumped out to a 17-0 lead but GS got an 82 yd run by FB Swope. With :52 left in the half GS had just converted on 4&1 at its own 32 and 5pl later got a 39 yd TD pass. GS also got a 95 yd KR TD and the confounding option had by far the best effort vs Alabama's D all year with 341 yards. Jaybo Shaw is a Georgia Tech transfer and hit 1-5 passes for 39 yds. GS did gain 37 of its yds in the final couple of plays when trailing 45-21. Trent Richardson rushed for 175 yds and had 3 TD's.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:32 PM

Virginia fits solid system

November 21, 2011

When U.S. space shuttle Apollo 17 returned safely to earth on Dec. 19, 1972 after landing on the moon, it was the sixth and last Apollo mission in which humans walked on the lunar surface.

Safe to say that after over 300 hours of elapsed time, the performance of the spacecraft was excellent for all aspects of the mission.

The Apollo program totaled 17 missions in all and included the only 12 humans to have ever set foot on another solar system body. Total funding of the Apollo program was $20.4 billion dollars, which by today’s government bailout standards appears to be a bargain.

In the world of college football, teams returning home for a season ending conference affair with a crew of 17 or more returning starters have been especially adept in these games when seeking revenge as they have logged a 34-21-2 (62%) against the spread record in these games since 1990 provided they are not taking on angry foe off a straight up favorite loss in its last game.

Closing out this year’s campaign we find two teams preparing for splashdown.

Dec. 3 -- New Mexico State vs. Utah State

Nov. 26 -- Virginia vs. Virginia Tech

Better yet, if they own a .400 or greater record they improve to 26-9-1 ATS (74%). With that you can eliminate the Aggies from the list above to find this year’s qualifier.

And best of all, if these same .400 or greater teams average 130 or more rushing YPG on the season they rocket to 22-3 ATS (88%) in these games, winning 19 of the 25 games in straight-up fashion.

Look for Virginia to put the final wraps on a job well done as they make a successful landing this Saturday.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:36 PM

Rivals Texas and Texas A&M square off Thursday

TEXAS LONGHORNS (6-4)
at TEXAS A&M AGGIES (6-5)

Kickoff: Thursday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas A&M -8.5

Two in-state rivals meet for the last time as Big 12 foes when No. 25 Texas travels to College Station on Thanksgiving Day to take on Texas A&M.

Both teams are struggling mightily. Texas has scored a total of 18 points during a two-game losing skid, and Texas A&M has dropped three of its past four contests, with two of those losses coming in overtime. Both teams are also banged-up on the offensive side of the ball. Longhorns top RBs Malcolm Brown (toe) and Joe Bergeron (hamstring) played at less than 100 percent last week, RB Fozzy Whittaker (knee) is out for the season, and now starting WR Jaxon Shipley is questionable with a knee injury. But the Aggies could also be missing their top two RBs, as Christine Michael (knee) is done for the season and Cyrus Gray (shoulder) is questionable to play on Thursday. Gray’s potential absence is especially key, since he rushed for 223 yards in last year’s 24-17 win in Austin. Although the Longhorns are 8-3 SU in this series since 2000, the Aggies are 5-1 ATS (3-3 SU) in the past six meetings, and Kyle Field will be louder than ever as the 12th Man crowd bids farewell to Texas and the Big 12. The pick here is TEXAS A&M to win and cover.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Aggies.

Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS A&M) - in conference games, off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival. (62-27 over the last 10 seasons.) (69.7%, +32.3 units. Rating = 3*).

Texas freshman QB David Ash has 0 TD and 6 INT in his past five games, and is expected to lose his starting job to Case McCoy, who has not thrown a single interception in 78 pass attempts this year. McCoy should start since he is listed first on the depth chart, but the two signal callers have alternated time since preseason starter Garrett Gilbert was benched and subsequently transferred. Although the Texas passing game is poor (182 YPG, 96th in nation), there is no FBS pass defense worse than Texas A&M, which is surrendering a nation-high 292 passing YPG. The Longhorns are much more adept in rushing the football (224 rushing YPG, 15th in nation) with a healthy 4.7 yards per carry, but the Aggies front seven has been stingy, allowing just 108 rushing YPG (15th in FBS) and a paltry 2.7 yards per carry (5th in nation).

Even with the injuries to their running backs, the Aggies still have a highly superior passing attack. QB Ryan Tannehill is 11th in the nation in total offense (315 total YPG), leading his team to 294 net passing YPG (15th in FBS). Tannehill has thrown 2+ TD passes in six straight contests, totaling 19 TD and 6 INT in this stretch. WR Ryan Swope has scored in four consecutive games, catching 34 passes for 410 yards in this span. Senior WR Jeff Fuller is also having a solid year (56 rec, 602 yds, 4 TD), and has lit up the Longhorns for five touchdown grabs in three career meetings against them. On the defensive side of the ball, A&M has been abusing opposing backfields with a nation’s best 3.7 sacks per game while averaging 7.8 Tackles For Loss (8th in nation). Texas has allowed 2.2 sacks per contest (T-80th in FBS), which could make for a long day for the Longhorn QB duo.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:37 PM

No. 3 Arkansas and No. 1 LSU clash Friday

ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS (10-1)
at LSU TIGERS (11-0)

Kickoff: Friday, 2:30 p.m. EDT
Line: LSU -13

No. 3 Arkansas brings its seven-game win streak to Baton Rouge to face unbeaten No. 1 LSU.

The Razorbacks have won their past three games by a combined 137-52 score, but they have been shaky on the road, getting crushed by Alabama and barely beating Ole Miss and Vanderbilt by a combined eight points. LSU has allowed a total of 53 points in its past seven games (7.6 PPG), and is winning at home by an average score of 42 to 8. But Arkansas won the past four meetings (3-1 ATS), including a 31-23 victory last year, and the Tigers are a woeful 9-30 ATS (23%) in November games since 1992. The Razorbacks are also mourning the death of TE Garrett Uekman, who died last Sunday of unknown causes, and they will try to win this one for their fallen teammate. LSU will likely win this game and move onto the SEC Championship, but ARKANSAS will keep the final score within 10 points.

This pair of highly-rated FoxSheets trends also side with the Razorbacks.

ARKANSAS is 12-1 ATS (92.3%, +10.9 Units) off 1 or more straight Overs over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ARKANSAS 38.9, OPPONENT 23.0 - (Rating = 4*).

LSU is 8-29 ATS (21.6%, -23.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992. The average score was LSU 27.0, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 3*).

Arkansas QB Tyler Wilson has been tremendous during the win streak, throwing for 2,208 yards (315 YPG), 14 TD and just 2 INT in the seven victories. Senior WR Jarius Wright is closing out his excellent collegiate career in style, piling up 428 yards and 4 TD over the past four games, gaining at least 90 in all four contests. TE Chris Gragg will provide a valuable dump-off option when LSU brings the pressure, and the junior is coming off a career-best game last week against Mississippi State (8 rec, 119 yds, 1 TD). But the Razorbacks aren’t simply a pass-happy offense. They have achieved a healthy balance of pass and run, gaining 168 rushing YPG over the past six contests. Junior RB Dennis Johnson has 493 yards (7.7 YPC) and 3 TD in the past five games. Arkansas will need everybody to play well if it is to thrive against the nation’s No. 2 defense in both scoring (10.0 PPG) and yardage (248 YPG).

LSU’s defense gets most of the credit for the team’s success, but it diminishes the pressure when it knows the offense can score. Arkansas (39.3 PPG) is the only SEC team with more points than LSU (37.9 PPG). The Tigers are also winning games with the turnover battle, as they lead the nation with a +1.6 TO margin per game (24 takeaways and 6 giveaways). One of the reasons they have been able to keep mistakes to a minimum is that LSU has three players that carry the football regularly. Spencer Ware leads the school with 650 yards (4.0 YPC), but Michael Ford (625 yards, 5.9 YPC) and Alfred Blue (445 yards, 6.4 YPC) are also strong runners. Ware and Ford have 7 TD, while Blue has six scores. This RB trio has taken the pressure off the senior QB time share of Jordan Jefferson and Jarrett Lee. Jefferson has also seen an increased role under center, completing 21-of-31 passes for 323 yards and 2 TD in the past three weeks. Jefferson and Lee have combined to throw 18 TD and just 3 INT on the season, but Arkansas has a strong pass defense allowing just 196 YPG (28th in nation).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/22/2011 07:38 PM

Trending: College football rivalries

The end of the regular season is the most telling time for college football teams. They’ve had an entire season to evolve into the teams they’ve become, and, unlike bowl season, they’re not coming off an extended layoff. But most importantly for many teams, they’re gearing up for a traditional rivalry game, the kind of matchup they’ve had circled since the day the schedule came out. And that means neither side is about to have a letdown.
Here’s a look at recent trends in some of the biggest matchups coming up over the remainder of the regular season…

Pittsburgh at West Virginia (Friday)
The Backyard Brawl has gone to the dogs of late. Dating back to Pitt’s monstrous upset of the Mountaineers in 2007, the underdog has not only covered but won SU in each of the past four matchups in this series.

Ohio State at Michigan (Saturday)
College football’s biggest rivalry has belonged to the Buckeyes over the past decade, as Ohio State has won nine of 10 against Michigan SU, including seven in a row. OSU has also gone 10-3 ATS against the Wolverines since 1998. The favorite has won seven of the past nine ATS, and the road team has covered in four of the past six.

Alabama at Auburn (Saturday)
Last year’s Iron Bowl provided Cam Newton’s Heisman moment, with the superstar QB leading Auburn’s stunning comeback win in Tuscaloosa. This year doesn’t figure to go nearly as well for the Tigers, who have fallen back to the pack with Newton gone. Auburn has fared very well ATS in recent years though, covering against Alabama five of the past six years. The total has also gone Under five straight, and eight of the past 10 years. While the Tigers have lost SU two of the last three times they’ve hosted ‘Bama, they’ve covered each time.

Georgia at Georgia Tech (Saturday)
The Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate rivalry has belonged to the road team as far as the spread is concerned. The visiting team has covered 11 of the past 13 years, and Georgia has won SU and ATS the last five times they’ve traveled west to Atlanta. The Bulldogs have the overall bragging rights as well, winning nine of the past 10 meetings while going 7-3 ATS. The underdog has covered each of the past three seasons, as well as nine of the past 14.

Oregon State at Oregon (Saturday)
Oregon has emerged as the clear-cut kings of Oregon football, and it figures to cruise to a second straight win in the Civil War. But the road team has covered each of the past five seasons in this matchup, and the underdog covered in four of those five matchups. Not surprisingly considering the strength of these offenses in recent years, the total has gone Over in eight of the past nine years.

Washington State at Washington (Saturday)
The Huskies have re-taken control of this rivalry the past two years, and have now won 9 of 13 SU and eight of 11 ATS over their in-state rivals. The away team has also fared well in the Apple Cup, covering in five of the past seven games.

Florida at Florida State (Saturday)
This game doesn’t have the kind of luster it had when the programs were consistent national title contenders, but the rivalry remains heated nonetheless. Including the 1997 Sugar Bowl, the favorite has covered in 13 of the past 17 meetings, and the home team has covered five of the last six times. That includes three blowout wins for the Gators the last three times they played in Gainesville (combined score of 116-29). The total has gone Under in eight of the past 10 meetings.

UCLA at USC (Saturday)
The Bruins have been the weaker sister in Los Angeles for years now, and it’s shown in their annual meeting with Southern Cal. USC has won 11 of the last 12 SU, and they’re also 8-4 ATS in those meetings. The total has gone Under in each of the past five years.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (December 3)
BCS title game implications may no longer apply, but Oklahoma State’s regular season could have a happy ending if it could snap an eight-game SU losing streak to Oklahoma in the Bedlam Series. The Sooners have also won six straight over the Cowboys ATS. This series has also been good to favorites, who are 10-5 ATS since 1996.

Army vs. Navy (December 10)
This series has belonged to Navy, as the Midshipmen have won nine in a row SU, going 7-2 ATS during that span. If you go back to 2001, the last time Army was favored in this game, the favorite has covered in eight of the past 10. The total has gone Under each of the past five years.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24819 Followers:33
11/23/2011 12:43 AM

TGS COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE...LOOKING FOR AN ANGLE?

Arkansas at LSU...U of A has brought its "A" game in SEC series, covering 4 straight (including 2 upsets). Hogs 8-4 as DD dog since 2005 (2 losses vs. Bama). Six of last 8 in series have gone "over."

Rutgers at CONNECTICUT...Resurgent Big East contender Rutgers has turned the tables in series, winning/covering last 3 after 0-4-1 vs. spread in previous 5. In LY's 27-24 home win, Knights kicked game-winning 34-yd. FG with :13 left.

Florida State at FLORIDA...FSU has dropped 6 of past 8 in "The Swamp," including 3 straight by avg. 29 points. Florida had season-high 4 TOs in LY's 31-7 torching.

Georgia at GEORGIA TECH...Streaking UGA has won 9 of past 10 in series (6-3-1 vs. spread). Dawgs' record-breaking QB Aaron Murray looked like Aaron Rodgers in LY's 42-34 home triumph, completing 15 of 19 for 271 yds. & 3 TDs.

Tennessee at KENTUCKY...UT on 26-game series win skein, including 14 straight in Lexington. Vols 7-2 vs. spread last 9 vs. UK; Cats 4-8 vs. spread last 12 vs. SEC foes.

East Carolina at MARSHALL...Triple-revenger Marshall needs victory here to become bowl elgible for just second time since 2004. ECU not "bowling" for first time since 2005. check result.

Ohio State at MICHIGAN...Michigan itching to snap frustrating 7-game losing streak in the "Big Game." Wolverine QB Denard Robinson especially amped for rematch after completing just 8 of 18 for 87 yards in 2010 vs. Ohio State.

Ole Miss at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Rebels only 4-13 vs. spread last 17 on board, including LY's 31-23 setback in the "Egg Bowl." MSU managed to pile up 498 yds. despite surprisingly subpar performance by star RB Ballard, who had season-low 43 YR.

Eastern Michigan at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Visitor has covered 9 of past 10 in MAC series. EMU desires to regain respect after 71-3 home series bludgeoning LY.

Michigan State at NORTHWESTERN...NW still haunted by LY's come-from-ahead 35-27 setback in Evanston. Wildcats roared to 17-0 lead before MSU stormed back behind QB Kirk Cousins, who completed 29 of 43 for 329 yds. & 3 TDs. Spartans outscored Cats 21-3 in 4th Q, producing 2 TDs in final 2 minutes.

Oregon State at OREGON...In LY's "Civil War," Oregon had 37-13 lead before allowing "meaningless" TD with 1:18 left. U of O 20-12 vs. spread last 32 at Auzten Stadium. Eight of last 9 in series have gone "over."

Clemson at SOUTH CAROLINA...CU in double-revenge mode in heated rivalry. Tigers' sizzling soph QB Tajh Boyd excited for rematch after failing to produce points after he relieved struggling starter Kyle Parker in LY's 29-7 setback in "Death Valley."

Louisville at SOUTH FLORIDA...Louisville in revenge mode following LY's 24-21 OT home loss vs. USF. Cards' backup QB J. Burke (3 TDs) admirably filled in for injured starter Adam Froman, who was out with injury. But L'Ville couldn't overcome back-breaking 100-yd. KO return, which narrowed deficit 14-10 right before halftime.

Ucla at SOUTHERN CAL...USC is 11-1 SU (8-4 vs. spread) vs. hated crosstown rival UCLA. Trojans led 28-7 LY before UCLA punched in face-saving TD with :23 left. Last 5 in series have easily gone "under," with avg. combined score of only 33 points!

Rice at SMU...Hooting Owls have been wise investment in old SWC rivalry, posting an 8-1 spread mark last 9 vs. SMU. Last 5 in series have gone "over."

Memphis at SOUTHERN MISS...Resilient USM has covered 6 straight in reg.-seas. following SU loss, while meandering UM hasn't covered consecutive games all year.

San Diego State at UNLV...Rebels have played with a lot of cause in Sam Boyd Stadium, registering a sizzling 8-1 spread mark vs. FBS foes since 2010.

Pitt at WEST VIRGINIA...Pitt out for blood after LY's 35-10 loss in the "Backyard Brawl" (Panthers worst home loss since 2001). Pitt has covered 4 straight as dog TY.

Troy at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Fast-rising WKU geeked to capture first series victory (Toppers 0-8-1 alltime). LY's tilt was tied in 4th Q before Troy scored twice in 7-minute period to pull out 28-14 home series victory.

Penn State at WISCONSIN...Badgers usually end reg-season with a bang in Camp Randall, recording 15-4 spread mark in home finales since 1991.

Houston at TULSA...Undefeated BCS-seeking UH in payback mode following LY's 28-25 series setback. Cougars' record-breaking QB Case Keenum eager for rematch after missing LY due to early-season ACL injury. UH's third-string QB Piland threw 5 ints. in 3-point loss.

Vanderbilt at WAKE FOREST...Ascending Vandy looking to settle a score with Wake Forest after absorbing 34-13 home loss in LY's finale. With sidelining injury to then-starting QB Larry Smith, Commodores were forced to go with seldom-used backup QB Jared Funk, who lived up to his last name by completing only 27 of 61 with 2 interceptions.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: