cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
On 11/22/2011 06:54 PM in NCAA Football

Cnotes NCAAF Week # 13 Best Bets 11/22-11/26 !

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/19/11 35-­13-­0 72.92% +­10350 Detail
11/18/11 3-­0-­1 100.00% +­1500 Detail
11/17/11 3-­3-­0 50.00% -­150 Detail
11/16/11 0-­4-­0 0.00% -­2200 Detail
11/15/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/12/11 26-­29-­2 47.27% -­2950 Detail
11/11/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/10/11 1-­5-­0 16.67% -­2250 Detail
11/09/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/08/11 1-­3-­0 25.00% -­1150 Detail
11/05/11 17-­21-­0 44.74% -­3050 Detail
11/04/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
11/03/11 4-­2-­0 66.67% +­900 Detail
11/02/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
11/01/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
Totals 97-­87-­3 52.72% +650

Tuesday, November 22

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami (Ohio) - 7:00 PM ET Ohio -9 500

Ohio - Over 55 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 06:56 PM

Ohio seeks 5th straight win hosting Miami Ohio

MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS (4-7)
at OHIO BOBCATS (8-3)

Kickoff: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Ohio -7.5

Ohio University goes for its fifth straight win on Tuesday when it hosts a Miami Ohio team coming off two consecutive three-point losses.

The Bobcats have won the past five meetings (SU and ATS) with their in-state rival RedHawks, beating them by an average of 15.2 PPG during this series streak. Ohio has won these games by out-rushing Miami by a whopping margin of 1,159 to 415 over this five-game span, which averages out to 232 to 83 YPG. Bobcats star RB Donte Harden has done a good chunk of this damage with 183 yards (8.3 YPC) and 4 TD in two career games against the RedHawks. And considering Miami ranks last in all of FBS in rushing offense (75 YPG), it makes sense to expect this rushing discrepancy to continue. The pick here is for OHIO to win and cover.

This FoxSheets coaching trend also supports the Bobcats.

Frank Solich is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of OHIO. The average score was OHIO 31.8, OPPONENT 22.0 - (Rating = 2*).

The RedHawks do not usually have success running the football, gaining just 117 yards on 54 carries (2.2 YPC) in the past two games. But QB Zac Dysert is no slouch, averaging 291 total YPG, third-most in the MAC. Dysert’s arm has really gotten a workout in the past five games, completing 126-of-172 passes (73%) for 1,638 yards (328 YPG), 15 TD and 6 INT. Dysert has struggled in his career against Ohio, throwing for 498 yards, 2 INT and 6 INT in two meetings. But WR Nick Harwell had a monster game against the Bobcats last year, catching 11 passes for 219 yards. Harwell has also been unreal in his past two games, grabbing 29 passes for 367 yards and 5 TD. Considering Ohio has allowed 594 passing yards in the past two weeks, Harwell should have another big night. Dysert has suffered from poor pass protection all year, as Miami has allowed the second-most sacks in the nation at 3.8 per game.

On defense, Miami has been much better since Toledo hung 49 on them in late October. The RedHawks are allowing just 16.0 PPG in the four games since. Miami’s pass defense has been very good (194 YPG, 25th in nation), but its run defense has been porous at times, allowing 163 YPG (68th in FBS).

Ohio ranks 20th in the country in rushing yards (211 YPG), but it can also throw the ball with QB Tyler Tettleton. The sophomore has thrown for 2,665 yards (242 YPG), and at least one touchdown in each of his 11 games this season. He has also scored a rushing touchdown in four straight games, giving him a total of 31 TD (23 passing, 8 INT), and only six interceptions this season. Senior WR LaVon Brazill had his four-game streak of 100+ receiving yards snapped last week at Bowling Green, but he still caught his 10th TD pass of the season.

Defensively, the Bobcats are pretty sound (343 YPG, 31st in nation) despite just 1.4 sacks per game (102nd in FBS). They created three Bowling Green turnovers last week, and will look to attack a Miami offense that has 12 giveaways in the past six games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 06:59 PM

LSU And Alabama Emerge From Week 12 Rubble

Imagine it's Dec. 4 and the only conference champions with less than two losses on the season are the Virginia Tech Hokies and Houston Cougars.

Don't laugh; it could happen.

Upsets dominated the 12th week of the campaign with four of the top 7 teams in the BCS Standings going down in defeat. Once the new rankings are released later today, the SEC should dominate the BCS with LSU, Alabama and Arkansas running 1-2-3. Considering that conference has won the last five BCS Championships, perhaps we should've seen this coming.

The upsets meant a rough week for bettors backing top-ranked chalk as well. Three of the top 5 teams in the Don Best Linemakers Poll – Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Oregon – were upset and only two BCS top 10's covered spreads.

That logjam in the SEC, and the West Division specifically, could be solved this Friday when LSU hosts Arkansas. A win for the Tigers puts them into the SEC Championship against Georgia on Dec. 3, and knocks the Razorbacks out of any BCS consideration. An Arkansas victory would really create trouble, and I won't pretend to understand how a three-way tie for the division between LSU, Alabama and Arkansas would sort itself out.

It's possible that a Razorbacks win would send 'Bama to the SEC title tilt, assuming the Crimson Tide can take care of business next Saturday at Auburn.

If you're among the many today thinking it all points to an LSU, Alabama rematch for the BCS Championship, imagine that possibility with neither the Tigers nor the Crimson Tide being the SEC champs. Such a scenario might not be as farfetched as you might think.

There is a clause in the BCS selection procedures that allows for three teams from the same conference to take part in the BCS bowl games provided the two non-champions of that conference are ranked 1-2 in the standings. Georgia eventually taking the SEC title might still lead to Alabama and LSU being ranked in the top two BCS slots.

Oklahoma State still has a shot to prevent an all-SEC matchup for the BCS Championship. The Cowboys suffered their first loss of the season last Friday at Iowa State, dropping a 37-31 decision in double overtime to the Cyclones who closed as 26½-point underdogs. Oklahoma State will now have a week off before hosting Oklahoma on Dec. 3.

The Sooners are coming off their own upset loss, 45-38 at Baylor with the Bears getting 17 points from the oddsmakers. That defeat ended Oklahoma's BCS title hopes, but the Sooners can still earn at least a share of the Big 12 with wins this week at home vs. Iowa State and then in Stillwater vs. the Cowboys.

Oregon is still in control of the Pac-12, but the Ducks' 38-35 defeat vs. Southern Cal ended their BCS title hopes. Laying 15 at home to the Trojans, Oregon's rally just fell short after USC built a 38-14 lead late in the third quarter. The Ducks will be visited by Oregon State this Saturday, and just need to win to host the Pac-12 Championship the following week.

The Ducks' loss might have also gone a long way to sewing up an at-large BCS bid for Stanford, 31-28 winners against California this past week. The Cardinal didn't come close to covering the pointspread (17½) and will close out their regular season Saturday night at home vs. Notre Dame.

Remember the Big Ten? Gone from the BCS discussion for the most part since late-October, the conference heads into its final regular season week with half of the inaugural championship matchup decided. Michigan State stomped Indiana, 55-3, as 27-point chalk last Saturday to clinch the Legends Division. The Spartans will know who they're playing in Indianapolis on Dec. 3 once the outcome of this week's matchup between Wisconsin and Penn State is in the books.

Wisconsin (-14½) survived a slow start to win on the road at Illinois this past week, 28-17, while Penn State (+6) upset Ohio State in Columbus, 20-14.

Virginia Tech and Houston are both two wins away from BCS bowls. The Hokies (-9½) avoided the upset madness in Week 12 with a 24-21 triumph at home vs. North Carolina last Thursday, and now face a dangerous trip to Charlottesville to meet the Virginia Cavaliers. The winner will gain the Coastal Division crown and meet Atlantic Division winner Clemson for the ACC title (Dec. 3).

Houston (-19½) is coming off a 37-7 victory over SMU, the Cougars' sixth consecutive pointspread win. They'll be in Tulsa this week for a huge battle with the Golden Hurricane, the winner earning host rights to the Conference USA Championship Game the following week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 07:01 PM

LSU And Arkansas In Clash Of BCS Giants

The undisputed Week 13 marquee matchup in college football takes place Friday in Baton Rouge where the BCS No. 1 LSU Tigers host the No. 3 Arkansas Razorbacks.

LSU opened as big 14-point favorites, but has been quickly bet down to 12 ½-13 at Don Best. Kenny White is sending his total out at 54 and CBS will broadcast at 2:30 p.m. (ET) from a very loud Tiger Stadium.

The SEC has taken its dominance of the college ranks to a new level. Its members have already won the last five national titles and now hold the top-3 spots in the BCS, incredibly all from the SEC West Division. Alabama is currently second ranked.

LSU and Alabama also run 1-2 in the Don Best Linemakers Poll, with Arkansas a bit further back at No. 8.

The Tigers are the only undefeated team from a major conference, with BCS No. 8 Houston still unblemished in Conference USA. Les Miles’ team is in the national title game with two more wins and could possibly make it with one loss, although they don’t want to find out.

LSU (11-0 straight up, 8-3 against the spread) easily handled Mississippi last Saturday, 52-3 as 30 ½-point road favorites. Starting quarterback Jordan Jefferson was a perfect 7-of-7 passing for 88 yards, but wasn’t needed much with a running game that racked up 353 yards.

Jefferson has had one of the strangest seasons in recent memory. He was suspended for the first four games before becoming Jarrett Lee’s backup. That scenario lasted five games until Lee’s shaky performance (24 passing yards, two interceptions) against Alabama. The Tigers still won 9-6, but Lee is now second string.

The 6-foot-5 senior Jefferson is by far the better scrambler and hasn’t thrown a pick yet, albeit in just 41 attempts. Of course, a lot of quarterbacks would look good guiding a team ranked 21st in the nation in rushing offense (219.5 YPG) and second in scoring defense (10 PPG).

Miles’ defense has been even more stifling in Baton Rouge (8.0 PPG). The ‘under’ is 3-2 in those games, with the offense scoring 42.4 PPG.

The Tigers are only 2-3 ATS at home this year, ranging from 14-49 point favorites. They’re just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a 10 ½-point home favorite or greater.

The Razorbacks (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) were ranked No. 8 in the BCS two weeks ago, but have snuck up on the field as teams ahead of them kept losing. They’ve won 7-straight (5-2 ATS) with their only loss September 24 at Alabama, 38-14 as 11-point ‘dogs.

Quarterback Tyler Wilson leads the nation’s 10th ranked pass attack (316.9 YPG). Receiver Jarius Wright has 1,002 yards, but three others have at least 441 yards and that doesn’t include the still dangerous Greg Childs, who has missed games with knee problems.

Wilson has the offense humming the last three weeks, home wins over Mississippi State (44-17), Tennessee (49-7) and South Carolina (44-28). The Mississippi State game last Saturday was played in the alternative home location of Little Rock. The ‘over’ is now 4-0 in the last four.

Dennis Johnson (606 yards) is the Razorbacks’ main runner, but it’s going to be very hard to run on LSU at home and they’ll have to live and die with the pass. They ran for just 17 yards on 19 attempts at Alabama and Wilson (185 passing yards) was not able to bail them out.

LSU wants to pound the ball, keeping possession of the clock and Wilson off the field. The Razorbacks are allowing 164.2 YPG on the ground (70th nationally), although have been better the last three at home (100.3 YPG). Bama ‘rolled’ up 197 yards on them on 39 carries.

Coach Bobby Petrino’s guys have only played three true road games, going 0-3 ATS (2-1 SU). The others were closer than expected wins at Vandy (31-28) and Mississippi (29-24). The 21.1 PPG allowed on the season is over double LSU.

Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in the last four games against LSU, including a 31-23 home win last year as 3 ½-point favorites. Ryan Mallett (320 passing yards) was the quarterback then, while Jefferson had 184 through the air.

The Razorbacks are also 3-0 ATS (1-2 SU) in the last three at LSU, with each decided by three points or less.

Running back Knile Davis (ankle) is listed as doubtful after missing the whole season. He had a great year last year for the Hogs with 1,322 rushing yards.

Baton Rouge weather is partly cloudy and temperatures in the 70s.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 07:03 PM

Texas Aggies Bid Big 12 And Longhorns Farewell

Thursday's matchup at Kyle Field comes 50 years and one day after the first time I witnessed the Texas Aggies and Texas Longhorns go at each other on the gridiron. Standing at the south end of the stadium with my dad following Texas' 25-0 win, a disappointed kid with tears streaming down his face, my grandfather approached us and asked me what was wrong.

"We lost, grandpa," I blubbered.

He just smiled and chuckled, "That all depends on who we are."

It was a tough lesson in life, discovering there were – Gasp! – Longhorns in my family. That same grandfather, in a last-ditch attempt to dissuade me from attending A&M, would later tell me that the only women who went to Texas A&M were "corn-fed gals looking for their Mrs. degrees." He was at least happy when I married a Longhorn, perpetuating the family's division of loyalties.

There will be a little sadness again this week, win or lose, when the two old rivals meet for the final time as conference opponents. The Aggies are heading to the SEC next season and Texas has told them it will be 2019 before the series can resume, so bragging rights for quite some time are on the line.

The folks in charge of setting the college football betting lines feel those bragging rights will belong to Texas A&M who opened as an 8½-point favorite.

Bragging rights is about all that is on the line in this contest. Both teams have the necessary six wins for bowl eligibility, but just barely with both schools suffering disappointing seasons. The outcome might mean a slightly more prestigious game, but we may be talking about the difference between the Pinstripe Bowl in the Bronx to the Meineke Car Care Bowl in Houston.

No team in college football has been more disappointing than the Aggies. Ranked No. 8/9 in the two preseason polls, and No. 10 in the Don Best Linemakers Poll, Texas A&M has blown its chance to be part of the BCS discussion by coughing up four double-digit leads in the second half to account for all but one of the five losses.

It's almost unthinkable that A&M needed last Saturday's 61-7 romp past Kansas to become bowl eligible. Thirty-two point favorites at home over an extremely poor Jayhawks squad, the victory snapped a three-game losing streak for the Aggies and was just the third winning ticket for their backers against the spread this season.

Every facet of the game deserves blame in A&M's shortcomings. Ryan Tannehill has been directing an A&M offense that ranks among the leaders in just about every category, but turnovers have come at critical times and the unit has come up short when outcomes were on the line. The defense deserves its fair share of the blame, getting some credit for facing a strong offensive conference but also still unable to make that one extra stop required to win a contest.

Mike Sherman and his coaching staff are guilty as well. The Aggies have played one of the toughest schedules this season, but the talent is definitely there for Sherman, and the second-half collapses are inexcusable.

Mack Brown and Texas can still have a solid season despite the disappointment from the last two weeks. After climbing to 16th in the BCS with a 52-20 cruise over Texas Tech in Week 10, the Longhorns have dropped a 17-5 decision at Missouri and 17-13 home defeat to Kansas State most recently. Texas will finish up in a week at Baylor, so closing out an 8-4 campaign with road wins over the Aggies and Bears would make for a good rebound from last year's 5-7 squad that missed the bowl season.

The offense has been a Jekyll & Hyde unit this season, ranking 48th nationally by averaging over 405 yards per game and the bulk of that distance on the ground (223.8 YPG). Those numbers have been reduced dramatically the past two games in which the offense has averaged under 280 yards and scored just one touchdown in consecutive losses to Missouri and Kansas State.

Quarterback has been the most-troubling position, beginning the year with Garrett Gilbert before moving to the duo of David Ash and Case McCoy. The unit could still be without guard Sedrick Flowers (shoulder) and receiver Jaxon Shipley (knee) who are both questionable for Thursday's contest.

The Aggies are also dealing with a couple of injuries and could be especially thin in the backfield. Leading rusher Cyrus Gray, who went over the 1,000-yard mark in last week's win, is doubtful with a shoulder injury. Christine Michael was lost for the season with a knee injury suffered in the loss at Oklahoma a couple of weeks back, and was just a yard short of 900 when he was hurt. It would leave a heavy burden on sophomore Ben Malena if Gray is unable to answer the bell.

Several factors favor A&M, starting with the Aggies having a superior offense and a defense that will be facing a much weaker offense than the likes of Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Baylor, Kansas State and Oklahoma. Still, the stats reached getting to this matchup won't mean a thing in this one.

Forget home-field advantage for one time at Kyle Field. Yes, if all the Aggies yell at once, they will make more noise than the Texas fans. But this is going to be an emotional, high-energy game on both sides, and the teams have swapped beating each other on their own fields the past two seasons. Winning in College Station hasn't exactly been a problem for Texas who leads the all-time series 75-37-5 heading into this 118th meeting.

Weather should not factor in the battle that kicks off at 8:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN. The College Station forecast for Thanksgiving evening calls for mostly clear skies, temps in the mid-to-upper 60s at start and very little wind.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 07:04 PM

Oklahoma Sooners Home To Meet Iowa State Cyclones

The Sooners have covered five of their last six against Iowa State.
The Iowa State Cyclones just ruined one Oklahoma team’s perfect season and will now try to hurt another’s chances of playing in a BCS bowl game when they visit the Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday.

Oklahoma is a 28-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen and has won 12 straight meetings in the series. Saturday's total opened at 61½.

The Cyclones (6-4, 3-4 Big 12) pulled off arguably the biggest upset of the season last Friday when they topped Oklahoma State 37-31 in double overtime as 26 ½-point home underdogs, handing the Cowboys their first loss of the year. Iowa State became bowl eligible for the second time in three years and hopes to carry the momentum from the shocking win over the Cowboys into Norman.

However, the Sooners (8-2, 5-2) fell victim to the upset bug themselves a day later when they lost to the Baylor Bears 45-38 as 17-point road favorites. Oklahoma visits Oklahoma State in their annual intrastate rivalry game on December 3 that should decide who represents the Big 12 with an automatic bid to a BCS bowl.

The Cowboys are ranked No. 3 in the latest edition of the Don Best Linemakers Poll while the Sooners sit one spot behind them at No. 4.

Last year, the Sooners embarrassed the Cyclones 59-0 at home as senior running back DeMarco Murray broke the school record for most touchdowns with 58. That huge loss to Oklahoma still sits in the back of the minds of Iowa State’s players, who will be looking to win their fourth straight game overall.

The Cyclones began their winning streak with a 41-7 victory at Texas Tech on October 29 after head coach Paul Rhoads decided to make a switch at quarterback. Rhoads tabbed freshman Jared Barnett as the starter against the Red Raiders after junior college transfer Steele Jantz struggled during a four-game losing streak.

Barnett has yet to lose a game as a starter and will face a huge test against the Sooners. He threw for a career-high 376 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions against Oklahoma State in a shootout with Cowboys QB Brandon Weeden and now looks to outduel Oklahoma’s Landry Jones, who ranks second in the country with 379.6 yards per game through the air.

Weeden ranks third nationally with 373.7 passing yards per game and burned Iowa State’s secondary for 476 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Jones completed 30 of 34 passes for 334 yards with three touchdowns and no picks in last year’s meeting with the Cyclones, connecting on his first 13 passes and 25 of his first 27.

Game time is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by FX. The weather forecast for Norman on Saturday calls for windy conditions under mostly sunny skies with a high temperature of 57

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 07:06 PM

Iowa Tackles Nebraska Cornhuskers In Lincoln

The Nebraska Cornhuskers' inaugural Big Ten season hasn’t gone as planned. They try to finish the regular season strong when they host the Iowa Hawkeyes on Friday.

Nebraska is a 9½-point favorite at Don Best with a total of 53½. Fans of both schools will have to put their Black Friday shopping on hold for a bit as kickoff is noon (ET) from Memorial Stadium in Lincoln.

Nebraska (8-3 straight up, 3-7-1 against the spread) was considered the preseason favorite in the Legends Division after moving over from the Big 12. However, three conference losses have helped give the division to the Michigan State Spartans even though Nebraska handily beat them (24-3) in Lincoln to end October.

The BCS No. 21 Cornhuskers will drop out of the top-25 with another loss and to a lower bowl. They only have themselves to blame with a 28-25 home loss to Northwestern on Nov. 5 as 17½-point favorites and a 45-17 loss at Michigan last week as 3½-point ‘dogs that ended their division hopes.

The only win since Michigan State was 17-14 at Penn State two games ago. However, that should have an asterisk as the Nittany Lions were reeling from Joe Paterno’s firing and they still almost came back to win (‘pushing’ the 3-point spread).

Nebraska’s offense has struggled the last four games (20.8 PPG) compared to the first seven (37.6 PPG). Sophomore quarterback Taylor Martinez is not accurate, completing just 56 percent of his passes. The identity of the offense used to be running the ball with Martinez and Rex Burkhead, but both were contained against Northwestern and Michigan.

Coach Bo Pelini’s defense has also struggled with consistency. The 24.3 PPG allowed is much higher than last year (17.4 PPG) even though the Big Ten is more offensively challenged than the Big 12. The season-ending injury to defensive lineman Jared Crick in October really hurt.

Nebraska is 5-1 SU overall at home this year, but has just one cover versus the Spartans.

The Hawkeyes (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS) have the same 4-3 SU conference record as Nebraska, but that’s an accomplishment for coach Kirk Ferentz in what most considered a rebuilding year.

Junior quarterback James Vandenberg has been a big part of the effort, taking over for Ricky Stanzi who is currently holding a clipboard for the NFL’s Kansas City Chiefs. Vandenberg leads one of the conference’s best passing attacks (241.3 YPG) and has 11 TDs versus just one interception the last five games.

Vandenberg had a solid game last week (22-of-32, 273 yards, three TDs) in a 31-21 win at Purdue. Beating a mediocre Boilermakers team shouldn’t be too much to brag about, but Iowa was 0-3 SU and ATS on the road heading into the contest.

Two of those road losses were as favorites at Iowa State (44-41 final) and Minnesota (22-21), the other as 4-point ‘dogs at Penn State (13-3). The Hawkeyes are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games dating back to last year.

The ‘under’ is 19-7-2 in Iowa’s last 28 away games (2-2 this year though).

Ferentz needs to get the running game going this week with sophomore Marcus Coker (1,297 yards). The next highest rusher has just 79 yards, so he can’t afford to get hurt. Coker will need to get the ball 25-30 times for Iowa to have a chance to win.

The Iowa defense ranks 69th in the country in passing (234 YPG) and 63rd in rushing (153.8 YPG). However, it’s done a good job in the red-zone and the 23.5 PPG allowed is less than Nebraska despite allowing almost 30 yards more per game.

The defense did a great job limiting Michigan’s dual-threat quarterback Denard Robinson in a 24-16 win on November 5. However, that was in Iowa City and Martinez and the Nebraska offense are due for a good effort in its home finale.

These teams haven’t met since 2000, but they have dubbed this renewed rivalry ‘The Heroes Game.’ This could develop into one of the better matchups in the Big Ten as neighboring states and with both programs having solid futures.

Lincoln weather should be relatively warm in the 50s with a few showers possible.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 07:08 PM

Alabama 3-TD Favorite Vs Auburn In Iron Bowl

The Alabama Crimson Tide have a national title bid firmly within their grasp, but can’t afford a letdown when they meet their in-state rival Auburn Tigers on Saturday afternoon.

Alabama is a 21-point road favorite at Don Best, with the total beginning at 45. CBS will broadcast the 76th Iron Bowl at 3:30 p.m. (ET) from Auburn’s Jordan-Hare Stadium.

The Crimson Tide (10-1 straight up, 7-4 against the spread) had what appeared to be a schedule break last Saturday against FCS Georgia Southern. However, they only won 45-21 as big 42 ½-point home favorites, with the triple-option attack testing them with 302 rushing yards.

The 66 combined points scored went ‘over’ the 54-point total after the ‘under’ was 3-0 in the Crimson Tide’s previous three. The big surprise was allowing 21 points, although they still lead the nation at 8.4 PPG.

Coach Nick Saban’s team is 0-3 ATS in its last three after starting the year 7-1 ATS. The prior two games were a 24-7 win at Mississippi State as 17 ½-point favorites and a 9-6 home loss to LSU as 5 ½-point favorites.

The Crimson Tide weren’t hurt by the relatively close Georgia Southern win. They moved up from No. 3 to No. 2 in the BCS thanks to Oklahoma State’s stunning Friday night loss to Iowa State. No. 4 Oregon and No. 5 Oklahoma also went down and 'Bama should get into the national title game without another defeat.

Alabama has ridden running back Trent Richardson hard the last two weeks, 32 carries each game for 302 total yards. The Tigers are 98th in the country against the run (193.1 YPG) and Georgia (304 rushing yards) embarrassed them in that department two weeks ago. Look for plenty of carries this Saturday.

Sophomore quarterback A.J. McCarron saw his reputation take a hit in the LSU loss and it’s important he have a big game in the hostile environment. This will be his first start in the Iron Bowl, having been behind Greg McElroy last year. He hasn’t had a 200-yard passing day in three games and will be mostly a game manager this week.

The BCS No. 24 Tigers (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS) would love to end their rival’s title hopes. Last year, it was them who had everything to lose in the matchup, but Cam Newton engineered an incredible 28-27 comeback road win after trailing 24-0 and Auburn ultimately became national champion.

This has been a close series with eight of the last nine decided by 10 points or less. Auburn is 3-0 ATS in the last three at home and 5-1 ATS in the last six overall. The last game at Jordan-Hare was in Alabama’s 2009 national title season, a close 26-21 Bama win as 10-point favorites.

The ‘under’ is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.

Auburn also played a FCS team last Saturday and failed to cover, 35-16 over Samford as 31 ½-point favorites. It was just a 21-16 margin before consecutive fourth-quarter touchdowns and had to be disturbing for coach Gene Chizik after a 45-7 loss at Georgia the week before.

The Tigers are 6-0 SU (3-3 ATS) at home this year. However, none of the victories were against teams currently ranked in the top 25. The real struggles have come with a brutal road schedule, 1-4 SU and ATS against all current top-20 squads.

The question for Saturday is whether Auburn can get the running game going and take pressure of sophomore quarterback Clint Moseley. He’s made four starts this year after replacing the ineffective Barrett Trotter and hasn’t thrown for more than 167 yards in any of them.

Chizik has a very good running back combo in Michael Dyer (1,194 yards) and Onterio McCalebb (526 yards), but Alabama has the nation’s top-ranked run defense (74.6 YPG).

The Don Best Linemakers Poll has Alabama ranked second behind LSU. Auburn is not held in high regard here, currently outside the top-40.

Auburn could be without right tackle Brandon Mosley (knee) which would be a blow against the Alabama pass rush. Tide defensive end Nick Gentry and wide receiver DeAndrew White are expected to return after 1-game suspensions.

Weather should be mostly cloudy with high temps getting into the low 70s during the day.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 07:09 PM

Oregon Ducks In Bounce-Back Against Beavers

Four of the last five in this series at Autzen Stadium have gone ’over.’
Every time the Oregon State Beavers and Oregon Ducks engage in battle, NCAA football betting fans know that it is going to be a tremendous duel. This rivalry is known as the Civil War for a reason, and it will be contested for the 115th time on Saturday at Autzen Stadium.

Kickoff in this crucial Pac-12 North matchup is set for 3:30 p.m. (ET), and there will be regional television coverage on ABC on the West Coast and on ESPN2 on the East Coast. You can also view the game online with ESPN3.com.

Last week, the Ducks (9-2 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) blew any chance they had of playing in the BCS National Championship Game for a second straight season when they were beaten at home by the USC Trojans, 38-35. Still, a trip to the Rose Bowl almost seems like a given.

Oregon, the No. 5 ranked team in our Don Best Linemakers Poll, needs to win this game to win the Pac-12 North and earn host rights to face either the UCLA Bruins, Utah Utes or Arizona State Sun Devils in the conference championship. The Ducks will be heavily favored against whoever comes out of the Pac-12 South.

Should the Ducks lose the Civil War, the Stanford Cardinal will represent the Pac-12 North in the league's first championship game next Friday (Dec. 2).

Questions are really starting to swirl over just how good the Oregon defense is. Sure, the team forced a slew of turnovers against Stanford two weeks ago, but just in the past four weeks, the unit has conceded 38 to the USC Trojans, 30 to the Cardinal and 28 to the Washington State Cougars.

As was proven with last week's loss, the offense can't do it alone. The unit is still phenomenal for sure, averaging 496.1 YPG and 45.6 PPG. LaMichael James has 1,616 all-purpose yards in just nine games played, and it is possible that both he and Kenjon Barner could be 1,000-yard rushers by season's end.

Oregon State (3-8 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) won a huge game at home against the Washington Huskies last week 38-21, but that might not be enough for head coach Mike Riley to keep his job after this game is over.

Riley's offense has been all over the board this season. The team scored at least 37 points three times this year, but was also held to single digits three times.

The problem has really come on the ground. The Beavers are only running for an average of 93.0 YPG, No. 116 in the nation, and no one on the team has even 500 rushing yards.

Sean Mannion has thrown for 3,033 yards and 13 TDs this year, but 16 INTs is just far too many. However, he does have a great target in Markus Wheaton, who needs 53 receiving yards to reach the 1,000-yard barrier on the campaign.

The Ducks have won three in a row in this series, scoring at least 37 points in all three efforts. The road team has won three out of four SU, and last year's 37-20 win for Oregon in this series snapped a four-game cover streak for the underdogs.

The Beavers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record, but they are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games.

Oregon is laying 28 on the NCAA football odds, while the total is up from 63 at the start of the week to 63½ as of Tuesday afternoon.

Expect a dreary day on Saturday, as the forecast is calling for temperatures in the low-50s with cloudy and potentially rainy weather. There is a 30 percent chance of showers at Autzen Stadium.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23607 Followers:32
11/22/2011 07:11 PM

Clemson Tigers Travel To Meet South Carolina Gamecocks

Clemson has won six of the last eight matchups played in Columbia.
The Clemson Tigers and South Carolina Gamecocks are set to wrap up their regular season schedules against one another in a battle for bragging rights in the Palmetto State. Kickoff is slated for Saturday night at 7:45 (ET) from Columbia, and there will be television coverage on ESPN and ESPN3.com.

Clemson (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) had a legitimate chance of playing for the BCS National Championship before it went on the road last week and laid a terrible egg against the North Carolina State Wolfpack. It was a brutal game that probably didn't ultimately mean much, but it was a harsh reminder for Tajh Boyd and company that they probably were never really one of the best 10 teams in the nation.

The Tigers struggled offensively without their top freshman, Sammy Watkins. The unit only mustered 13 points and 337 yards of offensive, a far cry from the 35.1 PPG and 466.4 YPG that the team is averaging.

Watkins, who sat out last week with a shoulder injury, is expected to be back in the fold this week. He already has 1,040 receiving yards and 165 rushing yards to go with a team-leading 10 touchdowns.

The Gamecocks (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) are going to hope to reach the 10-win mark for the first time under Steve Spurrier and for the first time since 1984. It would be only the second time in team history that it was able to log 10 victories in a single season.

Connor Shaw hasn't truly proven that he is much of a passer this year, throwing for only 1,008 yards with nine TDs against six INTs since taking over for the expelled Stephen Garcia. However, he does have 376 rushing yards and six more scores with his legs.

The running game is still averaging 196.9 YPG this year despite the fact Marcus Lattimore's season was cut short a month ago. Brandon Wilds has delivered though, rumbling for 462 yards and three TDs in Lattimore's absence.

These two teams are tied at No. 18 in our Don Best Linemakers Poll, and their action on the field really couldn't be much closer. The two have split the last six meetings with both teams winning two road games. The Gamecocks do have a slender 4-2 ATS edge in that stretch, and have won each of the last two meetings in this series.

South Carolina is now favored by four points after opening the week at -2½. The total is set at 50.

This may not be the only time that these two teams lock horns this year. Both are strong candidates for the Chick-Fil-A Bowl played on New Year's Eve, though both are hoping to be further up their respective conference bowl ladders when the season is said and done with.

Mother Nature won't be a factor in this game, as there are partly cloudy skies and a minimal chance of rain in the forecast. Expect comfortable temperatures right around 70 degrees.

The Tigers will take on either the Virginia Cavaliers or the Virginia Tech Hokies in next week's ACC Championship Game regardless of what happens in Columbia on Saturday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: