jimmythegreek Posts:11401 Followers:383
On 09/04/2014 06:07 PM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 1

It's back and hopefully better than last season! Welcome to year 4 of the NFL Greek Insider where we come off a 63% ATS 2013 regular season campaign based on week to week best bets by yours truly. This in by no way shape or form is related material compared to Saturday's CFB best bet, but simply a feature reviewing 3 or 4 focused matchups with the strongest opinions out of the JTG camp. Based on 17 weeks of material in 2013 we went 40-23-5 with an average of 4 plays per weekend. Let's hope we continue the positive trend beginning with a play for opening night on Thursday!

Seattle -5.5 over Green Bay:
The defending champion Seahawks open the 2014 campaign with higher hopes, a rejuvenated returning roster and increased eagerness attempting to build on their magical ride that ended last February with a 43-8 decimation of Denver in Super Bowl XLVIII. The curtain rises this evening at 8:30 PM EST from Century Link Field as the Green Bay Packers (8-7-1) come to town to take on Seattle (13-3) on NBC. As always Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth have the call.

In winning their first Super Bowl in team franchise history, the Seahawks were one of the more sound defenses leading the league yielding just 14.4 points per contests and 274 total yards against in scrimmage. Russell Wilson (3357 yards, 26 TD 9 INT) enters his third season with an elevated confidence, stellar offensive line in front of him, and a veteran staff for the most part returning on both sides of the ball. Wilson, meanwhile, posted a 101.2 passer rating that was seventh in the NFL last season. His 112.8 rating at home the last two seasons trails only Drew Brees and Manning. Marshawn Lynch (301-1257 4.2 12 TD) is healthy in the backfield along with Percy Harvin, who was limited to just one game in 2013 due to a hip injury. However, he recovered from that and a concussion in time to rush twice for 45 yards and return the second-half kickoff 87 yards for a TD in the Super Bowl. With Wilson also looking in mid-season form during the preseason, Seattle's offense could be even more dangerous than last season.

Meanwhile for the Packers, Aaron Rodgers hopes to lead Green Bay back to the postseason in more competitive fashion since he missed 7 games in 2013 due to a collarbone injury. In limited time, Rodgers ranked fifth with a 104.9 passer rating while throwing for 2,536 yards with 17 TDs and 6 INT's. Green Bay fell to San Francisco 23-20 in the wildcard round. Offensive player of the year Eddie Lacy (284-1178 4.1 11 TD) provided the Packers with some balance as they tied for fourth in the league at 4.7 yards per carry and ranked seventh averaging 133.5 per contest. The Packers' main area of concern again falls on protecting Rodgers. Green Bay was tied for 24th in scoring defense (26.8 ppg) and 25th in average yards allowed (372.3) last year, but hopes the addition of Julius Peppers and his 118 1/2 career sacks will give the cheese heads more depth and balance within that unit.

Neither of these offensive lines can be overly confident in its ability to keep the opposing pass rush off the quarterback, so expect Rodgers and Wilson to be making plays on the move. Making the most of broken opportunities is especially important to the Packers offense, given how adhesive the Seattle secondary and front line can be against the passing and running games respectively. Michael Bennett moves all over the line. Cliff Avril has speed off the edge. Brandon Mebane is an underrated pocket collapser on the interior. Seattle can even rush Bruce Irvin out of the LB position or bring on O'Brien Schofield, another versatile rusher who had a strong preseason. The Seahawks will mix and match personnel groupings until they find one that gives the right matchup.

Rodgers needs to play well for the Packers to win, but no player will have a bigger say in Green Bay's fortunes against Seattle than Lacy. If Seattle can neutralize his efficiency with each carry, Green Bay will become one dimensional. Not that Rodgers doesn't have the ability nor receivers to bring them back single handedly, however no running game to support makes it all the more challenging. Seattle won't look to go toe to toe when it comes to tempo and personnel because while Wilson is mobile with his feet to begin with, he has Lynch to gain positive yards methodically to keep the clock moving. If you're hoping to sustain long and successful drives while keeping Rodgers and the offense off the field, the time of possession edge could prove to be critical. Their defense could be asked to have to match Seattle's intensity, and that could be a lot to ask for with the loss of BJ Raji who tore his right bicep against Oakland in a preseason game and will miss the entire 2014 season.

I'll have more predictions over the weekend. GL to everyone this evening!








For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13764-14059-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 181-157-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 832-811-30
sharpsquare Posts:2410 Followers:5
09/04/2014 06:18 PM



Always a good read !

trytrytry Posts:1030 Followers:5
09/04/2014 08:44 PM

game has kicked off..nfl 2014 GL greek

  • Last 30 Days Record: 3-2-0
  • All Time Record: 48-24-1


ALL I DO IS TRYTRYTRY
jimmythegreek Posts:11401 Followers:383
09/06/2014 09:59 PM

Philadelphia -10 over Jacksonville (bought half):
With no Michael Vick sightings to cause any additional controversy, Nick Foles (203/317 2891 27 TD 2 INT) and the Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) looks to develop chemistry with each other under Chip Kelly and a new-look arsenal. LeSean Mccoy will look to once again reign supreme as the leading rusher of 2013 (314-1607 5.1 9 TD). McCoy is one of the few players remaining from last year's team that Foles will be regularly targeting, which does not bode well for opposing defenses in and around the league. Jacksonville (4-12) gave up 133 yards on the ground per contest last season, 4th worst in the league.

Employing a fast-paced offense proved to be a big hit as Philadelphia led the NFC in total yards and touchdowns en route to an NFC East Division title.Jeremy Maclin returns from a torn ACL which kept him out last season after being the team's top receiver in 2012, a role he's being counted on to resume after DeSean Jackson was released. Jordan Matthews is likely to take over as the number 3 receiver in the flat since Jason Avant moved on to Carolina and Josh Huff is out with a shoulder injury. Kelly will also be relying heavily on Darren Sproles as a multi-purpose back to take some pressure off of McCoy when it comes to depth and a healthy balance.

Chad Henne (305/503 3241 13 TD 14 INT) comes off another subpar season although what looked to finish with the potential to be winless ended on a positive note. Henne will be working with a rookie WR in Marquise Lee, much to the delight of Eagle CB Cary Williams who will be licking his chops. Allen Robinson also gives the Jags some depth, but with Cecil Shorts (66-777 3 TD) out with a hamstring injury, the Jags will likely have to rely on slowing down the tempo along with positive plays from the running game. Toby Gerhart has never had more than 109 carries in a season or 531 yards, but he should easily surpass both numbers this season. Denard Robinson is versatile and can always create problems for opposing defenses. However this unit ran for just 1,260 yards last season and averaged 3.3 yards per carry. That means tons of pressure on Henry and his limited core of receivers.

The Eagles Defense holds the key to success in 2014. While the Eagles Defensive unit started coming together late last season, they never fully turned the corner to become a formidable. With Billy Davis entering his second season as defensive coordinator, expect their unit, led by Bradley Fletcher and Malcolm Jenkins to be that much more experienced and improved in 2014. For Jacksonville, Red Bryant and Ziggy Hood are among the newer additions, but the veterans will also be more relied on to stop their opponents more efficiently especially after finishing 27th overall in 2013. It may take some time, but Gus Bradley feels he will eventually have those pieces in place.

Since Philadelphia plays up to their ability in track meet fashion, it's imperative Jacksonville will slow down the tempo and not fall victim to a shootout. Facing a well-oiled machine, Jacksonville's only hope is to make plays on defense giving them short field opportunities. Look for Foles to be on the same page with McCoy and is arsenal of receivers, attacking the Jaguars defense with an effective mix of the run and pass in quick tempo.

For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13764-14059-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 181-157-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 832-811-30
trytrytry Posts:1030 Followers:5
09/06/2014 10:11 PM

GL Greek thanks

  • Last 30 Days Record: 3-2-0
  • All Time Record: 48-24-1


ALL I DO IS TRYTRYTRY
jimmythegreek Posts:11401 Followers:383
09/06/2014 11:15 PM

Carolina +3.5 over Tampa Bay (bought half):
2013 proved to be a major success for Carolina (12-4) who won 11 of their final 12 regular season games after opening up 1-3. A huge reason for the turnaround was the maturely inspired play of Cam Newton (292/473 3379 24 TD 13 INT) shaking off a slow start. the 4th year starter out of Auburn underwent ankle surgery in the offseason but more recently fractured several ribs this preseason. Nonetheless, even if Newton is not quite 100%, you're hard pressed to notice any signs of fatigue or weakness in one of the league's more mobile and competitive QB's.

Head coach Ron Rivera gave Newton a vote of confidence that he will be able to start tomorrow's season opener who now seems to be the unprecedented leader after the Panthers released Steve Smith. Smith set all kinds of receiving records during his 13 year tenure at Carolina. Newton now has seasoned veterans Jason Avant and Jerricho Cotchery as top targets in the receiving core along with former Florida St wideout Kelvin Benjamin. Adding to the depth of a running game behind Newton, who can scramble and call his own number as versatile as any of the top backs in the league, is the health of Jonathan Stewart. Stewart gained 3,500 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns over his first four seasons but due to a series of injuries has been limited to half of each of the last 2 seasons active.

If there's any distraction that might throw off the mental psyche of the defense, it's the status of DE Greg Hardy, who faces a six-game suspension under the NFL's new domestic violence policy. He has appealed a July 15 conviction on misdemeanor charges of assaulting a female and communicating threats and has a trial date set for Nov. 17 during the team's bye week. Hardy led the Panthers with 15 sacks in 2013, so that may put more pressure on second-year tackles Star Lotulelei and Kawann Short. Both were solid on the interior as rookies while end Charles Johnson is coming off an 11-sack season.

For Tampa Bay, Josh McGown (149/224 1829 13 TD 1 INT) comes over from Chicago where he spent the last 3 seasons as well as his 11 year career mostly in the backup role. McGown played very well for the Bears in 2013 when Jay Cutler was on the sidelines. Doug Martin (127-456 3.6 1 TD) had a forgettable 2013 compared to his rookie breakout campaign of 2012, but claims he can duplicate those efforts with more chances and some blocking up front. Tampa Bay addressed its weak O-line by trading for six-time Pro Bowl guard Logan Mankins, but revealed just how desperate the situation is by talking with lineman Richie Incognito, the central figure in the Miami Dolphins' bullying scandal last year. For the Panthers, there is no reason to believe that they won't be as dominant stacking up the front 7 against the run.

With the addition of Lovie Smith at the helm the Bucs defense could make things a lot more challenging for Newton and company. However if Newton takes care of the ball and can remain efficient in the pocket and on the run, Tampa may not have enough weapons to stick around considering Carolina's defensive unit remains relatively intact. This will likely be one of those chess matches on both sides of the ball that could result in a heaping amount of running plays, punts and long heaps of time of possession. Experience wise and going with the matchup in intangibles, the Panthers win this in a close one.

For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13764-14059-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 181-157-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 832-811-30
jimmythegreek Posts:11401 Followers:383
09/07/2014 11:12 AM

also playing Minnesota/St. Louis over 43

best of luck to all in week 1

For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13764-14059-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 181-157-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 832-811-30