ncaa football week twelve
3 Replies | 798 ViewsOn 11/17/2011 09:34 AM in NCAA Football
Two Unit Plays (12-15)(-14.30 units)
Three Unit Plays (10-13)(-13.20 units)
Overall Record (47-55)(-32.55 units)
4-5 picking up 1.30 units last week. Second straight winning week. I was so closed to hitting that 50 unit mark and hanging it up two weeks ago, but after sweeping the board two weeks ago and this past week coming out in the plus after hitting both best bets, I am still alive. Here is what I got for week twelve.
Skipped the Tuesday & Wednesday games. Also taking a pass on the Thursday & Friday games. It is very unusual for me not to get a feel on any of those games.
Kansas St +9 vs. Texas (3 unit best bet)…………….Let me start by saying that if I am wrong about this game, I am going to be way wrong and Texas will win by 30 or more. There is nothing special about Texas this year. Texas when they win big is usually against a lousy team. Newsflash…..Kansas St is not lousy. Great chance for a straight up win for Kansas State. Texas hurting right now, that might explain the five points, yes I said five points they scored last week vs. Missouri. Almost impossible to look ahead and past Kansas St, but Texas has a big rivalry game coming up on Thanksgiving as well. Everything points to a close game. Home field is the only thing in favor of Texas this week.
Virginia +18 vs. Florida State (3 unit best bet)……………Again like the above game, I could be wrong and it could get ugly not in my favor. Florida St is the team everybody knows about, they are the big name team who is getting back to where there program used to be. But, Virginia I think is flying under the radar. They have the same 7-3 record as FSU, they are both 5-5 ATS this year. It just does not sound like there is 18 points difference between these two. Virginia is winning the games they are supposed to win and they beat Miami-Florida and Georgia Tech. Give me all those points!!
USC +15 vs. Oregon (two unit play)…………Of course what is fresh in everybody’s mind is last weeks thumping of the unbeatable Stanford/Luck team. There is certainly a chance of a letdown, but probably not since they are playing USC. Southern Cal is scoring a lot of points and playing their best football of the year right now. Just cannot pass up two touchdowns with a team like USC. I think this will be a shootout, with the Ducks outscoring the Trojans. Lets make it Oregon 44 USC 34
Over 67½ USC/Oregon (two unit play)………….Just need to read above. I think I like this total maybe more than the side play. Hopefully both are winners. I thought this total would have been in the mid seventies.
Baylor +16 vs. Oklahoma (two unit play)………….Always take some guts going against a team like the Sooners. I think the reason this line is this high is how bad Baylor looked last week. Baylor at home on a Saturday night will be sky high. Baylor is a scoring machine at home. This reminds me of my other plays where if I am wrong it won’t be close, but I will take my chances. I should probably play the over in this one as well, but I will pass on that one. Sooners win 48 -40
The rest of these are one unit plays (no write-ups)
NC State +7½ vs. Clemson
Penn State +7 vs. Ohio State
Under 39½ Penn State/Ohio State
Texas Tech +18 vs. Missouri
Good Luck Everybody!!