Ole Miss has covered 11 of the last 14 meetings against LSU.
It has been a frustrating season for the Ole Miss Rebels, but all of the frowns in Oxford will turn upside down if the team can pull off one of the biggest upsets of the year on the NCAA football betting odds in their home finale against the LSU Tigers.
Saturday's SEC West showdown is set for 7:00 p.m. (ET) at Vaught Hemingway Stadium, and you can watch this one live on ESPN.
The Bayou Bengals (10-0 SU, 7-3 ATS) are ranked No. 1 in the land by just about all accounts, including here in our Don Best Linemakers Poll. They are three wins away from the BCS National Championship Game, and theoretically, this should be nothing more than a bump in the road before the regular season finale against the Arkansas Razorbacks at home next week.
The Tigers have played remarkable defense this year, allowing 253.2 YPG and 10.7 PPG. Both marks are No. 2 in the country behind their division rivals, the Alabama Crimson Tide. In games against non-Top 25 opponents though, the defense has really stepped it up, allowing just 7.2 PPG, and the unit has only allowed a grand total of three touchdowns in those six games.
The offense looked shaky last week against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in the first half, but in the end, the team put 42 points on the board, the sixth time in the last seven games in which LSU has scored at least 35.
It's difficult to see how the Rebels (2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS) will be able to get anything going against this defense. The team ranks No. 113 in America at 297.7 YPG, and it only scored seven points at home against the suspect Louisiana State Bulldogs just last week.
This is going to be the final home game in the tenure of head coach Houston Nutt, who will step down after next week's Egg Bowl against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. He hasn't won a conference game this year, and has yet to have a truly successful season since coming from Arkansas Razorbacks.
The Tigers make their living on the ground with a rushing attack that is putting up 197.4 YPG. Spencer Ware, Michael Ford and Alfred Blue are combining to average 31.7 carries per game for 152.6 YPG. All three of them have six touchdowns.
The Ole Miss rush defense allowed 389 rushing yards in the comparable game against Alabama, and the Rebels are allowing 210.1 YPG.
If you're grasping for reasons to like the Rebels on Saturday, just look at recent history. This was only a seven-point game in Baton Rouge a year ago, and LSU's victory was the first win in this series for the men in purple and gold since 2007.
Ole Miss is 11-3 ATS against the Tigers since 1997, and a respectable 6-8 SU in those games as well.
Still, the oddsmakers have made no bones about which team is the better in this game. The No. 1 team in the land has opened up favored by 28½.
Expect nice weather on Saturday for the Mississippi home finale. Temperatures are expected to dip into the low-50s at night, but the forecast is calling for clear weather and a minimal chance for rain.