November 7, 2011
It took all 19 weeks of the regular season to sort out the playoff picture in the CFL, but after last week’s games the two matchups in the semifinal round are set, while East Division winner Winnipeg and West Division winner British Columbia enjoy a week off.
Last Thursday, Toronto closed-out its season on a strong note with a 33-16 victory over Hamilton as one-point home underdog. Edmonton posted a 23-20 win over Saskatchewan in Friday’s only game, but came nowhere close to covering as as a nine-point home favorite. Things really heated up on Saturday with Calgary taking out the Blue Bombers 30-24 in a game that ended as a ‘push.’ Montreal then came up woefully short in a 43-1 loss to the Lions as a three-point road underdog in a game that cost it the East title while securing the West for BC in a three-way tie breaker.
The following is brief preview of this upcoming Sunday’s playoff games along with the opening point spread and ‘over/under’ lines as provided by TheGreek.com.
Sunday, Nov. 13
Hamilton Tiger Cats vs. Montreal Alouettes (-5 ½) Over/Under (55 ½)
Hamilton enters the postseason as the sixth seed with an overall record of 8-10 straight-up (9-9 against the spread) after losing three of its last five games. It is 2-7 SU (4-5 ATS) on the road this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in its last six games overall. Montreal brings a rare three-game losing streak into this matchup; ending the regular season 10-8 SU but just 6-12 ATS. It went 6-3 SU (3-6 ATS) at home this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in three of its last four games overall.
These two teams met four times this season. The series ended-up evenly split 2-2 SU, but the Tiger Cats do hold a 3-1 edge ATS. The Alouettes won both games at home SU, but failed to cover as six-point home favorites in a 27-25 victory on Oct. 27. The total stayed ‘under’ in both of the games in Montreal. Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games in this series. The total has stayed ‘under’ in eight of the last 11 games.
The Tiger Cats finished the regular season averaging 26.7 points a game, while the Alouettes led the CFL in scoring with an average of 28.6 points a game.
Calgary Stampeders vs. Edmonton Eskimos (-2 ½) Over/Under (51 ½)
Calgary finished the regular season at 11-7 SU overall (10-7-1 ATS) after winning its final three games. It is 6-2 both SU and ATS on this road this year and the total has gone ‘over’ in four of its last five games. Edmonton went 4-1 SU down the stretch to finish 11-7 SU as well. It is 9-9 ATS overall and the total has stayed ‘under’ in four of its last five games. It was 6-3 SU (4-5 ATS) in nine homes this season.
The Stampeders beat the Eskimos 30-20 in Week 11 as three-point favorites on the road, after losing the first two games this season as home favorites. Calgary lost the first game 24-19 as a three-point favorite and the next game 35-7 as an 8.5-point favorite. The total stayed ‘under’ in all three games. The Stampeders are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Edmonton. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last six games played there.
The Stampeders were tied with BC for the second most points in the CFL at 511, while the Eskimos gave-up the second fewest points in the league at 401.