cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 07:45 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (4 - 4) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 4) - 11/10/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, November 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (6 - 3) at CINCINNATI (6 - 2) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (3 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 4) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 9) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (5 - 3) at DALLAS (4 - 4) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
DALLAS is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
DALLAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (6 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 4) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (4 - 4) at CAROLINA (2 - 6) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 5) at MIAMI (1 - 7) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (6 - 3) at ATLANTA (5 - 3) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (6 - 2) at CHICAGO (5 - 3) - 11/13/2011, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (1 - 7) at CLEVELAND (3 - 5) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (2 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 5) - 11/13/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (6 - 2) at SEATTLE (2 - 6) - 11/13/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (6 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 1) - 11/13/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
NY GIANTS are 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (5 - 3) at NY JETS (5 - 3) - 11/13/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 76-45 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-3 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, November 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 6) at GREEN BAY (8 - 0) - 11/14/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 07:47 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, 11/10/2011

OAKLAND at SAN DIEGO, 8:20 PM ET NFL
OAKLAND: 1-5 ATS off BB home losses
SAN DIEGO: 14-4 Under at home vs. Oakland


Sunday, 11/13/2011

PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: 15-5 ATS at Cincinnati
CINCINNATI: 6-0 ATS vs. conference

DENVER at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
DENVER: 9-1 Over off road game
KANSAS CITY: 0-6 ATS at home after scoring 14 points or less last game

JACKSONVILLE at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 22-8 Over off division road loss
INDIANAPOLIS: 6-0 Over off home loss

BUFFALO at DALLAS, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 0-6 ATS off division game
DALLAS: 2-11 ATS as favorite

HOUSTON at TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 6-0 Under as favorite
TAMPA BAY: 1-8 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less

TENNESSEE at CAROLINA, 1:00 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 36-16 ATS vs. NFC
CAROLINA: 10-1 Under as home favorite

WASHINGTON at MIAMI, 1:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 33-14 ATS as road underdog of 3.5 to 7 pts
MIAMI: 2-9 ATS in home games

NEW ORLEANS at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 12-3 Under vs. division
ATLANTA: 1-11 ATS at home off 3+ ATS wins

DETROIT at CHICAGO, 4:15 PM ET (TC)
DETROIT: 6-0 Over off win by 28+ pts
CHICAGO: n/a

ST LOUIS at CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 1-7 ATS this season
CLEVELAND: 0-6 ATS on grass

ARIZONA at PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 2-8 ATS off home win
PHILADELPHIA:

BALTIMORE at SEATTLE, 4:05 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 6-0 ATS after allowing 300+ passing yds
SEATTLE: 8-2 Over in November

NY GIANTS at SAN FRANCISCO, 4:15 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 0-7 ATS after allowing 400+ total yards
SAN FRANCISCO: 7-0-1 ATS this season

NEW ENGLAND at NY JETS, 8:20 PM ET (TC) | NBC
NEW ENGLAND: 42-24 ATS in division road games
NY JETS: 9-0 Under after allowing 99 or less rushing yds last game


Monday, 11/14/2011

MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
MINNESOTA: 0-6 ATS Away off SU win
GREEN BAY: 7-0 ATS off 2 game road trip

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 07:48 PM

NFL

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 10

8:20 PM
OAKLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland


Sunday, November 13

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games

1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Arizona is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. CAROLINA
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Carolina is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
Carolina is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CLEVELAND
St. Louis is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
Washington is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Miami is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

4:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. SEATTLE
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Baltimore is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

4:15 PM
NY GIANTS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home

4:15 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Detroit

8:20 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
NY Jets are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing New England


Monday, November 14

8:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Minnesota's last 21 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 21 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 07:58 PM

NFL Trends - Week 10

November 9, 2011

Thursday, Nov. 10 (8:20 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Raiders won and covered both meetings LY and have covered last 4 vs. SD since 2009. Oakland has also covered its last four on road. Raiders, based on team trends.



Sunday, Nov. 13 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Bengals have won and covered their last five in 2011. Cincy also "under" 8-3-1 last 12 since late 2010. Marvin Lewis 8-1 last 9 as home dog. Bengals and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Denver has covered last two and three of last four at Arrowhead. "Overs" 6-2 last 8 in series, and Broncos "over" 23-7 last 30 since late 2009. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

Jags "under" 7-1 in 2011. Road team had covered six straight in series prior to LY when home team covered both. Indy 2-7 vs. line TY, no covers last four. Jags and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Chan has covered first four as dog TY. Dallas 2-7 last 9 as home chalk (2-3 for Jason Garrett). Cowboys "under" last 3 TY after "over" 16-4 previous 20. Bills "over" 6-2 last 8 since late 2010. Bills and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

Houston "under" 6-3 TY for Wade Phillips. Bucs 2-2 vs. line at home TY but still just 5-17-1 last 23 vs. spread at Raymond James Stadium. Texans and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Ugh! Carolina 5-2 vs. line last seven TY. Panthers also "over" 5-3 in 2011. Titans "over" 3-1-1 last five TY. Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.

Sparano 0-3 vs. line at home TY, no covers last seven as host, 5-19 against number last 24 at Sun Life Stadium. Sparano "over" 13-6 last 19 at home as well. Skins no wins or covers last 4 TY and "under" 12-3 last 15 since mid 2010. Skins, based on extended Sparano home woes.

Falcons have covered 3 of last 4 meetings, split 1-1 LY. Saints 1-4 vs. line away TY, 2-8 last 10 against spread away. Saints "over" 7-3 last 10 away as well. "Over" 5-1 last six meetings. "Over" and slight to Falcons, based on "totals" and team trends.

Browns 1-7 vs. line TY, 1-11 last 12, 2-14 last 16 on board. Cleveland 0-5 as chalk since 2010. Rams "under" 9-4 last 13 since late LY. "Under" and Rams, based on "totals" and team trends.

Cards, 3-8 last 11 against number on road. Cards "over" 16-8-1 last 25 since late 2009. Eagles and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.


Sunday, Nov. 13 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Pete Carroll still 8-4 vs. line at home since LY, also "over" 8-3 last 11 as host. Ravens "over" 6-2 last 8 away. "Over," based on "totals" trends.


Sunday, Nov. 13 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Lions covered both meetings LY after Bears did same in 2009. Lions 3-0-1 vs. line away TY and 8-1-1 against points last 10 away. Lions "over" 6-0-1 last 7 on road. "Over" and Lions, based on "totals and team trends.

Harbaugh 7-0-1 vs. line TY, SF 8-0-1 last 9 on board since late 2010. 49ers 14-5-3 last 23 on board at Candlestick. Coughlin, however, 23-7 last 29 as dog. Niners also "over" 5-1 last 6 at home. "Over," based on "totals" trends.




Sunday, Nov. 13 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

These two "over" all four since LY. Rex Ryan 2-0 SU and vs. line hosting Belichick. Patriots 8-3 against points last 11 away since losing early LY at Jets. "Over," based on "totals" trends.


Monday, Nov. 14 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

"Overs" 5-1 last six in series. Pack 7-1 vs. points last 8 at Lambeau since mid 2010. Pack won and covered both meetings LY and is 11-3 vs. spread last 14 overall since late 2010. "Over" and Pack, based on "totals" and team trends.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 08:01 PM

Raiders at Chargers

November 9, 2011

The AFC West race is currently the tightest one in football, not necessarily the best. Oakland, San Diego, and Kansas City each own 4-4 record atop the division, while Denver sits one game back at 3-3. The Chiefs and Broncos hook up on Sunday from Arrowhead Stadium, while the Raiders and Chargers get the Week 10 card going on Thursday night in Southern California.

These two old AFL rivals are each riding multiple-game losing skids, but the air has been deflated from Oakland’s balloon over the last two weeks. Since the Raiders acquired Carson Palmer from the Bengals, Oakland has been outscored 66-24 in home defeats to Kansas City and Denver. The Chiefs pitched the shutout at the Black Hole in Week 7, as Kansas City intercepted six passes, while taking two back for touchdowns.

Following the bye week, Oakland squandered a 10-point lead in a 38-24 home defeat to a Denver squad that had lost by 35 points the week prior. Making things worse for the Silver and Black, the Broncos rushed for 298 yards, including 117 from the nimble-footed Tim Tebow. The Raiders had an opportunity to pull off the season sweep of the Broncos, but the loss drops Oakland to 1-2 inside the division.

The Chargers looked to be in cruise control atop the AFC West at 4-1, but three consecutive losses to the Jets, Chiefs, and Packers has forced a three-way tie in the division. San Diego returned home after last Monday’s overtime loss at Kansas City to battle the unbeaten Packers. Green Bay traveled west and didn’t skip a beat in a 45-38 victory at Qualcomm Stadium to improve to 8-0, while San Diego failed to cover for the third straight week.

Both these offenses rank in the top-10 of the league, while the Raiders own the third-best rushing attack (151.9 yards/game). Oakland ran for just 100 yards in the 14-point loss to Denver, while missing leading rusher Darren McFadden to a foot injury. In fact, the former Arkansas standout has been hurt for several weeks as McFadden carried the ball just twice in the Kansas City blowout. McFadden is listed as ‘out’ with the short week, giving Michael Bush another opportunity to start at running back.

The Raiders swept the season series from the Chargers in 2010 by taking each game as a substantial underdog. Oakland won in the Black Hole last October, 35-27 as seven-point ‘dogs, in spite of getting outgained by San Diego, 506-279. The Raiders benefited from a safety, a blocked punt returned for a touchdown, and a fumble return for a score to seal the victory. Also, Oakland was able to win that game without the services of an injured McFadden in the backfield, while snapping a 13-game skid to San Diego that dated back to 2003.

In the second meeting last season in Southern California, the Raiders knocked out the Chargers with a swift kick to the face in a 28-13 rout as 12 ½-point ‘dogs. Oakland jumped out to a 14-0 lead after one quarter, thanks to a touchdown on the ground and through the air from Jason Campbell. San Diego was limited to 21 yards on the ground, as Ryan Mathews missed the game with a high ankle sprain. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for the Bolts, while turning into a costly defeat as San Diego fell one game short for the AFC West title.

There is one strong trend that favors the Raiders in this game as Oakland owns a 14-3 ATS mark since 2008 as an underdog off a loss. The Silver and Black cashed in both instances this season against the Jets and Texans, as Oakland won each game outright. This trend has been an extremely strong on the road, with the Raiders going 8-2 ATS, including a 6-0 ATS mark inside the division.

The Chargers are listed as seven-point home favorites, while the total is set at 48. The game will be televised nationally on the NFL Network with kickoff set for 8:20 PM EST.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 08:04 PM

Struggling Buccaneers Host Houston Texans

The Houston Texans take a three-game winning streak to the road Sunday when they visit the slumping Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Texans (6-3) have dropped two of their last three games away from home and face a Tampa Bay team that has gone 1-3 over its past four overall.

Houston opened as a 3-point road favorite according to the Don Best odds screen and has seen early betting action in its favor, as the line has moved to -3 ½ at some sportsbooks. The total remains at its initial 45 ½-point offering.

The Buccaneers (4-4) have seen their last three games go ‘under’ the total, but not because they're playing good defense. The Bucs have surrendered 20 points or more each time and are giving up an average of nearly 30 over their past four following a 27-16 road loss to the New Orleans Saints last week.

Tampa Bay played the Saints twice in the last three games and traveled to London for a matchup with the Chicago Bears in between. The team had won four of five prior to dropping two in a row to New Orleans and Chicago, although the one loss during that stretch was a 48-3 rout on the road against the San Francisco 49ers.

The Texans are tied for sixth in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll and have played outstanding defense over their last three games, allowing an average of 11 points in winning all of them. However, they had given up an average of 27 in losses to the Baltimore Ravens and Oakland Raiders before this winning streak.

Houston is hoping to get All-Pro wide receiver Andre Johnson back following surgery on his hamstring. Johnson has missed the past five games and may sit out again with a bye on tap for Week 11.

Without him in the lineup, the Texans have pounded the ball on the ground with running backs Arian Foster and Ben Tate leading the charge. The duo rushed for 239 yards on 31 carries combined last week, scoring twice in the 30-12 victory against the Cleveland Browns.

The Bucs are ranked No. 18 and welcomed back their top rusher LeGarrette Blount against the Saints after he missed two games with a sprained knee. Blount rushed for 72 yards on 13 carries and will need to step up as the main option since backup Earnest Graham is out for the season with a torn Achilles.

Tampa Bay has managed to beat the spread in just seven of its last 26 home games. Houston has split its four road ventures this season, going 2-2 SU and ATS.

Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by CBS. The weather forecast for Tampa Bay on Sunday is expected to be partly cloudy with a high temperature of 78.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 08:06 PM

Surprising Cincinnati Bengals Host Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine games with the Bengals.
Few NFL pundits predicted the Cincinnati Bengals would be leading the Pittsburgh Steelers at this point in the season, but that’s exactly where we stand for Sunday afternoon’s AFC North showdown.

Cincinnati opened as 3-point home ‘dogs at Don Best and the line has yet to move. The total is 41 ½ points, down slightly from the 42 open. CBS will broadcast from Paul Brown Stadium at 1:00 p.m. (ET).

The Don Best Linemakers Poll is skeptical about the Bengals’ fortunes as well, ranking them 17th in the NFL (92.1). Pittsburgh is tied for fourth with New Orleans (97.3) and only trailing Green Bay, New England and Baltimore.

The Bengals (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS) are riding a 5-game winning streak after a 24-17 win at Tennessee last week. They closed as 1 ½-point ‘dogs and have now covered five straight games as well.

The 41 combined points scored last week just slipped ‘under’ the 41 ½-point total. The ‘over’ was 6-1 in Cincinnati’s first seven games with its 24.4 PPG scoring (ranked 14th) higher than expected.

Rookie Andy Dalton gets a lot of the credit. He’s exhibited poise with an 85 quarterback rating (ranked 15th), which is higher than big names like Matt Ryan and Philip Rivers. The leading receiver is deep-threat rookie A.J. Green (599 yards) but Dalton’s 6.6 yards per attempt ranks just 26th. Getting questionable tight end Jermaine Gresham (hamstring) back would be a boost.

Dalton ranks 21st among NFL signal callers with 1,696 passing yards. The team is also just 21st in rushing (104.1 YPG). However, Dalton has 10 TDs in the red-zone without being picked off there, which has increased scoring.

Defense has also been a key with just 301.3 YPG allowed (ranked fourth). That includes the second-ranked run ‘D’ (84.5 YPG). The team could be missing linebacker Rey Maualuga (ankle), who has missed the last three games and is questionable.

The Bengals’ critics point towards their easy schedule, with only two of their first eight opponents currently having a winning record. Road tilts at Baltimore and Pittsburgh over the next three weeks will really turn up the heat in addition to Sunday’s game.

Cincinnati is 2-1 SU and ATS at home, beating Buffalo (23-20) and Indianapolis (27-17) and losing to San Francisco (13-8). It’s 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as a home underdog, 1-0 this year after getting 3-points from Buffalo.

The Steelers (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) just suffered an emotional 23-20 Sunday night home loss to Baltimore that was decided with eight seconds left. They now sit a half-game behind both Baltimore and Cincinnati in the AFC North and have already lost the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Ravens after getting swept.

Pittsburgh’s loss snapped a 4-game winning streak that was highlighted by a 25-17 victory over New England the week before. The team now heads on the road where it’s just 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS, having played only one road tilt since October 2.

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger can make dumb decisions at times, but he has 3-straight, 300 yard games and is ultra-dangerous with the game on the line. He won’t have receiver Emmanuel Sanders (knee) this week as he will be out a few games. That makes the probable return of Hines Ward (head) even more important.

The run defense did well last week in holding Baltimore to just 67 yards on 27 carries. Linebackers LaMarr Woodley (hamstring) and James Farrior (calf) missed last game and are each listed as questionable. The run ‘D’ has been stout all year at 95.6 YPG (ranked sixth) and Cedric Benson is not likely to have a big day, leaving the burden on Dalton.

Defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau would normally blitz the heck out of a rookie quarterback, but Dalton is more cerebral than most. The Steelers will certainly bring some intense pressure at times, but will more likely pick their spots in trying to confuse the TCU product.

This rivalry has been dominated by Pittsburgh lately, going 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine. The two losses, both SU and ATS, came in 2009 during the Bengals' surprising run to the division title.

Pittsburgh is also 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 trips to Cincinnati.

Sunday weather in the Queen City should be cloudy and in the 50s.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 08:08 PM

Denver Broncos Clash With Chiefs In Kansas City

There was once a time when there was about as much a mystery between eventual results of Denver (3-4 straight up and against the spread) and Kansas City (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) matchups as there was when John Wooden’s UCLA Bruins hoopsters took the court.

Confounding scorelines over the past few weeks, however, make it anyone’s guess what might transpire when the Broncos and Chiefs tee it up Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead. The Don Best odds shows Kansas City posted as a 3-point favorite at most every Las Vegas property as of midweek, with the total solid at 41½.

Kickoff time off exit 9 of I-70 on Sunday is 1:00 p.m. (ET), with CBS providing the TV coverage. Bill Macatee, departing from his normal golf coverage duties, and Steve Tasker will describe the action.

Indeed, Denver was the Chiefs’ personal punching bag throughout the ’60s, dating to Kansas City’s days when campaigning as the Dallas Texans between 1960-62. In 20 meetings during the days of the AFL, the Chiefs/Texans beat the Broncos 19 times. Scorelines were often humiliating for Denver, beaten savagely by counts such as 59-7, 52-21, 37-10, 56-10, 52-9, 34-2 and 30-7. Only once in the ’60s did the Broncos beat Dallas/KC, that coming in the 1964 season at old Bears Stadium (prior to the days it was known as Mile High Stadium) by a 33-27 tally.

Denver finally announced a change in the dynamics of the rivalry in the first post-merger meeting on October 4, 1970, when a ferocious defensive effort by Lou Saban’s squad led the Broncos to a 26-13 win over the defending Super Bowl champs. The Chiefs gained just 121 yards that afternoon when QB Len Dawson was sacked seven times by a voracious Denver pass rush led by DE Rich “Tombstone” Jackson. Still, the Broncos would have to wait until 1974 before notching their first road win in the series, when John Ralston’s team won at Arrowhead by a 17-14 count.

Which brings us to Sunday, and teams off disparate efforts last week. The nature of the NFL suggests a certain weekly back-and-forth that would seem to apply to this matchup a week after Denver shocked Oakland by a 38-24 count, and the Chiefs were ambushed by the winless Dolphins, 31-3. That mindset would favor a Kansas City bounce-back this week.

There is plenty of statistical precedent for such thought, not to mention empirical evidence supporting the Chiefs’ bounce-back theory. Consider the last regular-season meeting between the two a year ago at Arrowhead, won by the Chiefs 10-6. Although KC didn’t cover the spread, and the affair was an unsightly one, the defining matchup was Romeo Crennel’s KC defense confusing the Denver offense with its ever-changing coverages.

Now, with young Tim Tebow at QB for Denver, it would seem to be advantage Chiefs, as the ex-Gator has been easily rattled and taken from his comfort zone by disguised blitzes and coverages in his three starts this season.

But, as Lee Corso might say, “Not so fast, my friends.”

Recognizing Tebow’s limitations, and strengths, Broncos coach John Fox devised a different mode of attack last week against the Raiders. Utilizing Tebow’s ability as a powerful runner, Denver introduced a series of read options into its playbook at Oakland, and the result was that the Raiders were almost helpless to stop the Bronco infantry. A now-healthy Willis McGahee and Tebow combined for 280 rush yards and two touchdowns on 32 carries last week at the Coliseum, the first time the Broncos had a pair of 100-yard rushers in a game since Jon Keyworth and Otis Armstrong turned the trick in the aforementioned 1974 season, also at Oakland.

Love him or loathe him, Tebow, in a non-traditional way, is going about silencing his many critics. The Broncos are now 2-1 in his starts this season, and nearly rallied from a huge deficit against San Diego in the other game in which he made an extended appearance. Over two seasons, Tebow’s record as a starter is a respectable 3-3. Moreover, Denver has rallied from double-digit deficits in each of Tebow’s wins, suggesting a contagious effect the former Heisman winner can have on teammates.

Tebow has also tossed just one pick (though it was returned for a 100-yard TD by the Lions) and six TDs in his work this season.

What Denver does against an angry Kansas City offense is another matter, but again the matchups might not be too bad for the Broncos. The Chiefs prefer to set up their running game with the pass, but Denver has proven it can collapse a pocket, having registered 20 sacks. Texas A&M rookie LB Von Miller has been making his presence felt, and then some, his Usain Bolt-like explosion at the snap helping him record 6½ sacks this season.

Miller is fast becoming a defensive difference-maker, a force that opposing offenses must account for on every play.

Denver will also like its chances to slow down Matt Cassel and the Chiefs’ aerial assault. Although Cassel passed for 607 yards and five TDs against the Broncos in two games last season, most of that damage came in the first meeting when the Broncos were sitting on a huge lead and allowed Cassel to pile up stats in a futile come-from-behind effort in a game Denver won easily, 49-29. Cassel’s 433 passing yards that afternoon in the Mile High City game were among the most misleading game statistics of 2010, with almost all of the damage occurring long after the outcome was decided.

More telling are the numbers in the second matchup, the taut 10-6 Chiefs win at Arrowhead, when Cassel was mostly ineffective, thanks largely to vet Bronco CB Champ Bailey who shadowed Cassel’s favorite receiving target, Dwayne Bowe. After allowing Bowe to catch 13 mostly meaningless passes in the first meeting, Bailey got serious and held Bowe catchless in the rematch.

Note, too, that KC has not been much of a margin team this season, with only its win over mistake-prone Oakland considered easy. Denver, surprisingly just a game out of the AFC West lead at midseason, could make the division race even more interesting with a mild upset on Sunday at Arrowhead.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 08:10 PM

Saints Travel To Face Soaring Atlanta Falcons

The last two Saints, Falcons meetings in Atlanta have gone ’under.’
The soaring Atlanta Falcons hope to overtake the New Orleans Saints for the lead in the NFC South on Sunday when they square off at the Georgia Dome in the first of two meetings. The Falcons (5-3) are the defending division champions and ride a three-game winning streak into this key matchup against the Saints (6-3).

Game time is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by FOX.

New Orleans opened as a 1-point road favorite according to the Don Best odds screen, but early betting on Atlanta has pushed the line to a pick ’em. The total came out at 51 ½ and has since been bet down to 50 at most sportsbooks.

The underdog has beaten the line in the last four meetings between the teams, with the Falcons going 3-1 against the spread despite going 1-3 straight up in those games. The Saints are tied for fourth in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll and have won eight of the past 10 meetings in the series.

The road team emerged victorious in each game last year, with the Saints taking a 17-14 victory as two-point underdogs in Week 16 at the Georgia Dome. A short touchdown pass from Drew Brees to tight end Jimmy Graham with just over three minutes remaining proved to be the winning score.

Brees currently leads the NFL with 3,004 passing yards this season while Graham ranks fifth among all receivers with 791 yards.

The Dec. 2010 meeting ended well short of the 50-point line, which was also the same closing total in the 2009 game in Atlanta that saw the Saints slip past the Falcons, 26-23.

New Orleans has dropped its last two road games overall and failed to cover three in a row away from home since beating the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-10 during a four-game winning streak. The Saints are coming off a 27-16 home win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, which followed a 31-21 road loss to the St. Louis Rams.

Atlanta’s past two wins have both came on the road, and the team’s last home victory took place on October 16 against the Carolina Panthers, 31-17. The Falcons fell two spots in the Don Best rankings to No. 16 despite their winning streak and have seen their past four games go ‘under’ the total.

Atlanta drafted rookie wide receiver Julio Jones in the first round this year in hopes of adding another offensive weapon that could help beat New Orleans. Jones turned in the best performance of his young career in a 31-7 win over the Indianapolis Colts last week, totaling three catches for 131 yards with two of them going for touchdowns. He also ran the ball twice for 33 yards.

The Falcons enter Week 10 in excellent health with strong safety William Moore (thigh) the only question mark for this Sunday. New Orleans will likely still be without halfback Mark Ingram (heel) along with starting corner Tracy Porter (neck) who was involved in a frightening collision during last week's win over the Bucs.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27327 Followers:33
11/09/2011 08:12 PM

Kolb Injury Delays Odds For Eagles, Cardinals Game

The Philadelphia Eagles hope to keep their slim playoff hopes alive with a win at home over the Arizona Cardinals this Sunday.

Sunday’s game starts at 1:00 p.m. (ET) and will be televised nationally on FOX. NFL odds have yet to be posted due to the uncertain status of Arizona quarterback Kevin Kolb.

Despite the fact that Philadelphia is just 3-5 SU and ATS, the Don Best Linemakers Poll still considers the Eagles one of the NFL’s strongest teams, ranking them at No. 9 this week. Arizona is in the bottom 10, coming in at No. 25 in this week’s poll.

Arizona (2-6) snapped a six-game losing streak with an overtime win over the St. Louis Rams last week, winning 19-13 on a 99-yard punt return by Patrick Peterson. The Cardinals improved to 4-4 ATS with the cover as a 1 ½-point home favorite.

One of the major storylines around this game was supposed to be Kolb’s return to face his former team, but that showdown is in question with Kolb doubtful with a foot injury that casued him to miss last week's contest. Kolb hasn't been ruled out yet and his backup, John Skelton, did a serviceable job filling in last week against St. Louis, going 20-for-35 passing with one touchdown and no interceptions.

Philadelphia (3-5) looked to be back on the right track after a 34-7 win over Dallas two weeks ago, but the Eagles hit another speed bump Monday night losing outright to the Chicago Bears as an 8-point favorite at home. The New York Giants seem to be pulling away in the NFC East at 6-2, and at this point Philadelphia will have to finish the season 7-1 just to get to 10 wins.

The Eagles’ 23rd ranked rushing defense (124 rushing yards against per game) again proved to be an Achilles heel Monday night. Philadelphia allowed 164 rushing yards, which also opened up the passing game for Jay Cutler. The Eagles should get a reprieve this week with Arizona’s 26th ranked rushing attack (95.9 rushing yards per game) coming to town, but they’ll obviously need to resolve this issue down the stretch.

Philadelphia has been a favorite of over four points three times this season, and is 0-3 both SU and ATS in those three games. Arizona is 0-2 SU and 2-0 ATS as an underdog of more than four points this season.

Once the line is released, Philadelphia figures to be a considerable favorite at home.

Historically, totals betting has trended towards the ‘over’ when these two teams have met, going 8-1-1 in their last 10 meetings. Seven of those games were from 2002 or earlier. More recently, the total has gone ‘under’ in five of Arizona’s last seven games on the road and five of Philadelphia’s last seven games at home.

A cloudy day is forecast for the City of Brotherley Love this Sunday, though temperatures are expected to be mild with an afternoon high reaching the low-60s.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: