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Kansas City vs. Detroit, 03/31/2014 13:08
Money Line: +150 Kansas City
Kansas City is an improving team that went 41-25 down the stretch last season. The Royals also won the season series against Detroit last season and have upgraded this year with outfielder Norichika Aoki and second baseman Omar Infante, who played for Detroit last season.
The Tigers are being overvalued here with Justin Verlander on the mound. Detroit has lost 11 of Verlander's past 13 starts. Verlander had a down season last year and Detroit's bullpen remains highly suspect.
The Royals are very familiar with Verlander and have bothered him in the past with their speed. Only once in six starts did Verlander defeat Kansas City last season.
Royals starter James Shields had four quality starts in five outings versus Detroit last season giving up three runs in 15 innings when pitching at Comerica Park. The Royals have won 11 of Shields' last 12 road starts.
Shields can definitely hang with Verlander - if not outpitch him - and the Royals have the far superior bullpen.
(Editor's note: Long-time Vegas pro Stephen Nover's strongest underdog baseball play is available for purchase. Stephen has beaten the bases in five of the last seven years and is anticipating another big season.)