jimmythegreek Posts:10312 Followers:375
On 11/06/2011 10:48 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 9

Atlanta -6.5 over Indianapolis (bought half):
Having won back-to-back games for the first time this season, rejuvenated Atlanta takes the field Sunday looking for its first road victory over the Colts, the NFL's only 0-8 team. Although the Falcons (4-3) have already matched the number of losses they had all of last season, when they finished with the NFC's best record, the team feels like it's heading in the right direction. Atlanta, a half-game behind NFC South-leading New Orleans, put together two of its best defensive performances leading up to its bye. After allowing an average of 26.0 points and 383.4 yards in its first five games, Atlanta gave up an average of 315.5 yards in a 31-17 victory over Carolina in Week 6 and a 23-16 win over Detroit on Oct. 23.

Despite their past struggles in this series, the Falcons would seem to have a good chance to keep rolling against an Indianapolis team in the midst of its worst losing streak since starting 0-10 in 1997. Atlanta has lost three straight to the Colts since a 28-21 home win in 1998 - Peyton Manning's rookie season - its lone victory in 14 meetings. The Falcons have lost three times in Indianapolis and three in Baltimore. Matt Ryan took over in 2008 and has started all but two games since, but for a few moments against the Lions it looked like he might be out for a while. Ryan's left foot and knee were twisted when left tackle Will Svitek stepped on his foot, but he seemed to dodge a potentially severe injury and missed only a few plays.

The Colts are 31st in total defense (402.9 yards per game), 32nd in scoring defense (31.5 points per game) and tied for 30th with 12 sacks. Indianapolis is 31st against the run (144.0 ypg), which doesn't bode well for trying to slow down Michael Turner, who rushed for 122 yards against Detroit - his fourth 100-yard game of the season. The Falcons may get rookie receiver Julio Jones back. The sixth overall pick missed the team's last two games with a hamstring injury before returning earlier this week, though his participation was limited Wednesday. Indianapolis' problems, meanwhile, are hardly exclusive to the defensive side.

The Colts are 30th in total offense (294.9 ypg) and 30th in scoring (15.1 per game). Curtis Painter is averaging 168.3 passing yards with a touchdown and four interceptions in his last three games - he was picked twice in last Sunday's 27-10 loss at Tennessee - and running back Joseph Addai has been slowed by a hamstring injury. Indianapolis has already matched the number of defeats it had in its previous two seasons combined, and its record-tying streak of nine straight playoff appearances is essentially over. Same with the outcome of this game sometime into the fourth quarter as the dirty birds fly high by double digits.















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jimmythegreek Posts:10312 Followers:375
11/06/2011 10:58 AM

New Orleans -8.5 over Tampa Bay:
Hoping to regroup from one of the more stunning defeats of the NFL season, the Saints try to avenge last month's loss to the Buccaneers on Sunday at the Superdome in a matchup which has control of the NFC South at stake. Coming off a 62-7 rout of Indianapolis on Oct. 23, New Orleans (5-3) entered last Sunday as a huge favorite over previously winless St. Louis but emerged with a shocking 31-21 loss. The Saints were never in the game, trailing 24-0 well into the third quarter against a Rams team which hadn't scored more than 16 points in any previous week. New Orleans saw its South lead drop to one-half game over Tampa Bay (4-3) and Atlanta, both of which were idle last week. The Bucs could be alone atop the division with a win Sunday or will share first place if Atlanta also wins, but they've already beaten the Falcons.

Their hopes of surpassing the Saints surely would be helped if Legarette Blount is back after missing two games with a sprained MCL in his left knee. The bruising second-year running back has rushed for 328 yards and three touchdowns in five games. His return would come at an opportune time after Earnest Graham, who started the last two games, suffered a season-ending torn Achilles' tendon in a 24-18 loss to Chicago in London on Oct. 23. Blount could post impressive numbers against a New Orleans run defense ranked 24th in the NFL with an average of 124.1 yards allowed. Graham rushed for 109 yards in a 26-20 home win over New Orleans on Oct. 16. Drew Brees had a season-worst three interceptions in that defeat, though he did throw for 383 yards. The Bucs failed to sack Brees in that game, but he was sacked a career worst-tying six times last Sunday and threw two more interceptions.

The Saints compiled just 70 and 56 rushing yards, respectively, against the Buccaneers and Rams - their two lowest totals of the season. While they've won 23 consecutive games when rushing for at least 125 yards - the longest active streak in the NFL - they are 0-3 when recording less than 100 this season. Truth is however, New Orleans is a different team playing at home in the Superdome compared to their rough road that has made the NFC South a legitimate race. They are more in their comfort zone and prepared to seek revenge against the Bucs who have to be feeling a confidence level accelerated of their own.











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jimmythegreek Posts:10312 Followers:375
11/06/2011 11:03 AM

San Francisco -4 over Washingon:
After going eight straight seasons without a playoff berth or a winning record, the San Francisco 49ers are certainly enjoying their resurgent 2011 campaign. The mood seems to be much more somber in Washington, where the Redskins find themselves in the midst of what has become an annual three-game skid. The 49ers look to win six straight for the first time in nearly 14 years Sunday when they visit the Redskins. San Francisco (6-1) continued its best start since 1998 with a 20-10 win over Cleveland last Sunday. Frank Gore rushed for 134 yards and a score, leading the 49ers to their fifth straight win. The team hasn't won six in a row since a single-season franchise-best 11-game run with Steve Young as quarterback in 1997.

Gore, who ranks fourth in the NFL with 96.4 rushing yards per game, has recorded a career-best four consecutive 100-yard efforts. He's compiled at least 125 yards and found the end zone in each. In addition to Gore's consistent play, the 49ers have used an outstanding defense to help build a four-game lead in the NFC West. San Francisco has surrendered a league-low 15.3 points per game and is tied for third with 16 takeaways. The 49ers' top-ranked run defense hasn't allowed a 100-yard rusher in the last 29 games - the longest active streak in the NFL. That doesn't bode well for Washington's Ryan Torain, who managed 14 yards on eight carries in place of the injured Tim Hightower during last weekend's 23-0 loss to Buffalo in Toronto.

After allowing 296.5 yards per game during their 3-1 start, the Redskins (3-4) have surrendering an average of 406.3 while dropping three straight. Washington has a losing streak of at least three games in 12 consecutive seasons - the longest such run in the NFL. Hightower's torn left ACL is one of many injuries to strike the Redskins. Tight end Chris Cooley (finger, knee) and left guard Kory Lichtensteiger (torn right ACL) are both out for the season while receiver Santana Moss (fractured left hand) remains out. Left tackle Trent Williams' status is uncertain due to a sprained right ankle. Tight end Fred Davis, who leads the team with 36 receptions for 517 yards, was wearing a walking boot on his left foot Monday but is likely to be available.

Despite gaining just 31 yards on 20 carries over the last three games, Torain figures to again carry the load out of the backfield. Former Dallas running back Tashard Choice, whom the Redskins claimed off waivers last Saturday, has already been ruled out for this game. With their running game sputtering, the Redskins would love to see John Beck come out with a better performance. Beck threw for 208 yards with two interceptions and was sacked a franchise-record 10 times by the Bills. Beck should be wary of 49ers cornerback Carlos Rogers, who leads the team with three interceptions. Rogers spent the first six years of his NFL career in Washington before leaving as a free agent over the summer. He's one of many players producing for Jim Harbaugh. While the first-year coach surely doesn't want the 49ers overlooking the struggling Redskins, he doesn't seem shy about discussing the future, which may include the possibility of clinching a division title before the end of November. Frisco's defense and dominating running game wear out the Skins, and possibly hopes of a postseason berth looking down the road.
























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jimmythegreek Posts:10312 Followers:375
11/06/2011 11:11 AM

NYJ/Buffalo over 45:
The New York Jets' bye week may have come at an inopportune time following two straight victories, though they're confident the momentum won't be lost due to the layoff. Given their history under coach Rex Ryan following a week off, they better hope that's the case Sunday against the Buffalo Bills, who look to win their first five home games for the first time in 16 years. The Jets (4-3) have lost both games following their bye since Ryan took over before the 2009 season and entered this year's week off with consecutive wins, including 27-21 over San Diego on Oct. 23. Recent history is on the Jets' side heading into Sunday's matchup. New York has won five of the last six meetings, including three straight in Buffalo.

Buffalo (5-2) hasn't won its first five home games since the 1995 season, but the Bills should have a solid chance of ending that streak if they can duplicate their most recent performance. Buffalo dominated Washington 23-0 last week in Toronto, notching its first shutout since beating Miami on Dec. 17, 2006. The Bills allowed only 178 total yards - a far cry from giving up at least 414 in each of the previous five contests - and intercepted two passes to give them an NFL-most 14.

The Bills still rank 26th in the league allowing an average of 385.9 yards. They'll have a chance to improve on that number against the Jets offense, who busted out for a season-high 162 rushing yards against San Diego, as Shonn Greene rushed for 112 - his most since running for 117 against the Bills in a 38-14 win Oct. 3, 2010. The Jets totaled 273 rushing yards in that contest, then ran for 276 in a 38-7 win over Buffalo on Jan. 2. In the past four meetings, New York is averaging 279.0 yards on the ground. Buffalo is 20th in the league allowing an average of 120.0 yards rushing, but it has countered that with a strong ground game of its own.

The Bills rank fifth with 140.6 rushing yards per game led by Fred Jackson, who ran for 120 last week. Jackson is second in the NFL averaging 103.0 yards, and his six rushing touchdowns are tied for fifth. In addition, his 353 receiving yards rank fourth among running backs. Given the success of the running games, both quarterbacks are going to have to be equally as solid and not make mistakes. If either team looks to put up quick strikes, the accuracy of the passing games are going to be key in crunch time as the offense will look to wear down the defenses who have shwon mulitple signs of breakdown even against the higher competition.

Best of luck to all on Sunday
YTD 15-17







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miners26 Posts:103 Followers:0
11/06/2011 11:26 AM

good luck Greek, may play that Bills/Jets over but leaning the other way in Skins game.