dietz Posts:238 Followers:1
On 03/14/2014 03:44 PM in General

Horses for Saturday

Well Saturday is a big day on the way to Derby Trail and this weekend it is at Oaklawn Park with 3 graded stakes races.

Race 8 Azeri Stakes Grade 2

Close Hatches is the best horse in this field. Talent, breeding you name it. This horse is 7 of 8 in money with 5 wins and 2 seconds. My only concern is this is the first time out in 2014 and will she come out firing. Even if she does not run her best race she can still win, she is that good.

DONT TELL SOPHIA has two wins on this track this year and looks to be in peak form.

Tough race, I don't see much money to be made with 3 horses being favorites. Not a great betting race, but I will take a chance the CLOSE HATCHES is out for a prep race. She may go off at 8/5 or 4/5. You have to play to beat her.
I am going to use the 3 horse, DIXIE STRIKE in exotics with DONT TELL SOPHIA and CLOSE HATCHES.

DIXIE STRIKE is a huge closer and if a speed duel happens up front this horse may pick up the pieces with DONT TELL SOPHIA in the stretch.


RACE 9 RAZORBACK HANDICAP

I will make this simple.........Taking GOVERNOR CHARLIE to win. Baffert sends this horse cross county after the removal of one of Pletchers horses. He must think this horse rates well to do this. He has ran once this year and came in 2nd. I think that was a prep race off the lay off for a graded stakes and Baffert chose this one.

GOVERNOR CHARLIE over ALL exacta and to win.


RACE 10 REBEL STAKES

Big prep race for Derby hopefuls. I think this race comes down to two horses
TAPITURE and STRONG MANDATE. These two to me look like the best horses in the field and I see them finishing 1-2.
To throw a horse in here that could add some money to exotics is the 2 horse RIDE ON CURLIN. He is getting weight from both horses and Desormeaux is on board who may try to sneak this horse out front and steal race.

exacta box on TAPITURE/STRONG MANDATE
TRIPLE TAPITURE/STRONG MANDATE over STRONG MANDATE, TAPITURE over RIDE ON CURLIN
triple RIDE ON CURLIN, over STRONG MANDATE- TAPITURE over STRONG MANDATE TAPITURE

try super of STRONG MANDATE/TAPITURE over STRONG MANDATE/TAPITURE over RIDE ON CURLIN over ALL

these are my choices. if you chose to follow good luck.

PS heading to vegas next week for opening round of NCAA tourney. Looking for the best sports book to watch and wager.

dietz Posts:238 Followers:1
03/15/2014 02:24 PM

If it rains at oak lawn all wagers are off.

dietz Posts:238 Followers:1
03/15/2014 02:25 PM

If it rains at oak lawn all wagers are off.

dietz Posts:238 Followers:1
03/16/2014 10:57 AM

Race 8. Winner in close hatches. Just class of field. Dixie strike had too slow of pace for her liking n Don't Tell Sophia was third but no match for Close Hatches

Race 9 I was just wrong. Horse ran horrible. Tough when you cross country with a horse. Bad pick

Race 10. Close but no winner. My 3 choices came 2-3-4. Winner Hopportunity. This horse comes cross country n wins for Baffert, but Govornor Charlie could not in previous race.

Good prep race and nothing wrong with how Tapiture ran. Good derby prep

spooky Posts:4142 Followers:295
03/16/2014 11:59 AM

Thanks Dietz!

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