cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/02/2014 12:00 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 2

OHIO ST: 22-11 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less

DEPAUL: 3-13 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

ST JOHNS: 12-3 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite

GEORGE MASON: 2-10 ATS off a home win

GEORGE WASHINGTON: 7-1 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 05:54 PM

Hot & Not

March 3, 2014


Who's Not in Hoops

Bubbles are going to be bursting all around in college basketball, but today, we're going to be looking at the teams which are bursting our bankrolls instead of our bubbles.

Check out the list of teams who are on the nastiest slides in the land as we head into the beginning of March.

Saint Louis Billikens (0-6 ATS L/6) – The mainstream college hoops world might still not realize that Saint Louis has one of the best teams in America, but bettors sure have picked up on that. All of a sudden, the Billikens can't buy a cover to save their lives. Their once vaunted defense has allowed 67, 71, 59, 85, 62, and 63 points in their last six games, none of which have been covers. Granted, we know that these aren't bad defensive stats at all, but for a team which really prides itself on that side of the ball and is allowing just 60.5 points per game for the season, there is some cause for concern. More problematic? Saint Louis failed to cover against VCU twice in this stretch. The Rams are wreaking more havoc, and they seem like the team ready to make the biggest run in the dance instead of the Billikens.

Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (0-6 ATS L/6) – The Ramblers have lost six games in a row, and they really haven't come all that close to covering any of those games either. They'll go into their first Missouri Valley Tournament this week, and in all likelihood, they'll end up being one and done against a Bradley team which they just lost to 55-38 two weeks ago. Loyola-Chicago is just 4-12 for 'over' bettors in games played away from home, and if you wonder why this 9-21 team isn't covering games, there's your stat to back it all up.

Indiana State Sycamores (0-5 ATS L/5) – It's almost like Indiana State didn't want to dance this year. The Sycamores probably needed to win the remainder of their regular season games when February started, save for a game against the unbeaten Shockers. Instead, Indiana State hit the self-destruct button, and it started with near misses against Southern Illinois and Evansville at home. From there, the Sycamores have been beaten in three straight, and though they're going to end up with at least 21 wins this season, there's really no shot at the NCAA Tournament without winning Arch Madness.

Syracuse Orange (0-4-1 ATS L/5) – You wouldn't think that the Orange would be on this list, but things really started to fall apart from a betting standpoint this year for them when Head Coach Jim Boeheim lost his mind and got a couple technical fouls right at the end of the game against Duke. The 'Cuse were six-point dogs that day, and what should have been an pointspread victory turned into a push on the college basketball betting odds because of the mini-Bob Knight moment. Now, Syracuse is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games, and is going to be threatened for sure in its regular season finale at Florida State this weekend.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 05:56 PM

Mid-Major Tournaments

March 3, 2014


We've listed below, by conference alphabetical order, upcoming tournament specifics for those lower-profile Division I leagues. Also included are any teams that enjoy home-court tourney edges; the top contenders in each loop, noted by italics, with any clear-cut favorite or co-favorite accompanied by an *; and last season's conference results in the NCAA, NIT, CBI, and CIT.

Before Selection Sunday, we’ll also review how these leagues have fared in recent Big Dance action.

March Madness...it’s here!

AMERICA EAST

Schedule: First round, quarterfinals, and semis March 7-9 at SEFCU Arena, Albany, NY (home court of the Albany Great Danes); final March 15 at home of highest remaining seed. New member UMass-Lowell is in its transition period from Div. II and is ineligible for the conference tournament.

Top Contenders: Vermont, Stony Brook, Hartford, Albany.

Betting Notes: Vermont assumed command of the league race down the stretch and brings a 10-game win streak and top seed into Albany. The Catamounts are well-balanced and fairly good shooting (47.1% from floor and 39.2% beyond arc), though they lack a real go-to threat (6-8 sr. F Clancy Rugg is the leading scorer at 12.7 ppg). The home team of Strat-O-Matic headquarters on Long Island, Stony Brook, is the last team to beat Vermont (67-64 on Jan. 24) and features four double-digit scorers led by soph F Jameel Warney (14.9 ppg). Keep in mind that Albany made the homecourt edge work in the conference tourney last season when stealing the NCAA bid as the fifth seed. None of the bottom four seeds (UMBC, Binghamton, Maine, or New Hampshire) won more than nine games in the regular season.

Last year: NCAA-Vermont lost vs. Duke, 73-6; NIT-Stony Brook won vs. UMass 71-58, lost vs. Iowa 75-63; CBI-Vermont lost at Santa Clara, 77-67; CIT-Boston U lost at Loyola (Maryland), 70-63; Hartford lost vs. Rider, 63-54.

ATLANTIC SUN

Schedule: March 4, 6, 9, all at homecourts of higher seeds. Florida Gulf Coast is the top seed.

Top Contenders: Florida Gulf Coast, Mercer, South Carolina-Upstate.

Betting Notes: This conference tourney was where FGCU and “Dunk City” started its longshot run to the Sweet 16 last March when the event was held on Mercer’s home floor. This season, it’s all campus sites, and the Eagles have the home edge based on a tiebreaker vs. the Bears. Mercer, however, also has some postseason pedigree, winning the CIT two years ago and still featuring a couple of key contributors from that team in srs. G Langston Hall (team-leading 14.9 ppg) and F Daniel Coursey (10.1 ppg). Mercer, which defeated Tennessee in a first-round NIT game last march, also beat Seton Hall and Ole Miss in pre-league play. “Dunk City” no longer has last year’s coach (Andy Enfield moving to Southern Cal) but does have four starts back from last year’s Cindrella bunch, led by jr. Gs Bernard Thompson (15.1 ppg) & Brett Comer (14.2 ppg).

Last year: NCAA-FGCU won vs. Georgetown, 78-68; won vs. San Diego State, 81-71; lost vs. Florida, 62-50; NIT-Mercer won at Tennessee, 75-67; lost at BYU, 90-71.

BIG SKY

Schedule: Tourney March 13-15 at home of regular-season champion Weber State. Top seven teams qualify; top seed Weber State will get a bye into the semifinal round.

Top Contenders: Weber State, North Dakota, Montana, Eastern Washington.

Betting Notes: The Sky had a very topsy-turvy race that didn’t sort out at the top until the end of February, when Weber State finally emerged and was able to sew up the home edge in the conference tourney prior to this week’s final regular-season games. Although the Wildcats were hardly as dominant as many were expecting after returning most of the team that advanced to the CIT final last season, which was a bit of a surprise considering the presence of sr. G Davion Berry (19.1 ppg), a Cal State Monterey Sea Otter transfer and another Oakland product like recent Weber star Damian Lillard and considered the Sky’s best talent. Coach Randy Rahe also returned another All-Sky performer in 6-10 C Kyle Tresnak (11.2 ppg), and frosh combo G Kyle Senglin (11.6 pgp) might be the league’s best newcomer. Despite some less-than impressive efforts, they’re the team to beat. There are several dangerous scorers among the top contenders, including North Dakota’s Troy Huff (19.4 ppg), Montana’s Kareem Jamar (19.7 ppg), and Eastern Washington’s Tyler Harvey (21.8 ppg), although Harvey’s Eagles are still no sure bet to even make the field of seven. If EWU qualifies, however, it might be pose the biggest challenge to Weber because of the Eagles’ hot recent play. The 2012 & ’13 tourney champs from Montana still has the aforementioned Jamar and a potent backcourt, but Wayne Tinkle‘s Grizzlies are undersized this season and one of the lowest-ranked rebounding teams in the country.

Last year: NCAA-Montana lost vs. Syracuse, 81-34; CIT-Weber State won vs. Cal Poly, 85-43; won vs. Air Force, 78-57; won vs. Oral Roberts, 83-74; won at northern Iowa 59-56; lost vs. East Carolina 77-74; North Dakota lost at Northern Iowa, 77-66.

BIG SOUTH

Schedule:Tourney March 4-9 at HTC Center, Conway, SC (home court of Coastal Carolina Chanticleers).

Top Contenders: High Point, VMI, Coastal Carolina, Radford, Winthrop, Gardner-Webb, UNC-Asheville.

Betting Notes: Absolutely, completely wide-open event with the top seven teams separated by just two games in the league standings. The most consistent of that bunch has probably been High Point, coached by up-and-comer Scott Cherry, a former North Carolina Tar Heel under Dean Smith whose coaching career includes several seasons on Jim Larranaga’s George Mason staff, including the Patriots’ Final Four campaign of 2005-06. The Point made the CIT field last season and owns perhaps the most-dynamic element in the Big South, ACC-caliber 6-7 soph F John Brown (19.6 ppg), who along with onetime Florida and Virginia Tech transfer 6-9 sr. Allan Chaney (15.4 ppg), who overcame a hearty condition that was believed to have ended his career a few years, gives the Panthers the best inside scoring combo in the league. Keep an eye, however, on explosive VMI, the nation’s top scoring team (88.5 ppg) featuring an electric trio composed of Gs frosh QJ Peterson & sr. Rodney Glasgow, plus 6-9 bruiser PF D.J. Covington, giving the Keydets three players scoring better than 18 ppg. Note of caution in this league...remember that low-seeded Liberty, after just 12 wins entering the tourney last season, won the event to steal a Big Dance bid. The winner in Myrtle Beach is very likely to be involved in one of the 16 vs. 16 play-in games at Dayton.

Last year: NCAA-Liberty lost vs. North Carolina A&T, 73-72; NIT-Charleston Southern lost at Southern Miss, 78-71; CIT-High Point lost at UC Irvine, 80-71; Gardner-Webb lost vs. Eastern Kentucky, 69-62.

METRO ATLANTIC

Schedule: Tourney March 6-10 at MassMutual Center, Springfield, MA. The top five seeds gets byes in the first round; games will pit 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10, and 8 vs. 9, with winners advancing to quarterfinal round.

Top Contenders: Iona, Manhattan, Quinnipiac, Canisius.

Betting Notes: By virtue of wins in 12 of its last 13 games, Iona enters Springfield in pole position for its third straight MAAC Tourney crown and Big Dance berth. The Gaels are a bit better-balanced than in recent seasons, though still own lots of potency in the backcourt with Gs Sean Armand (17.6 ppg) & A.J. English (17.5 ppg). Iona’s only slump this season came when losing 4 of 5 around New Year’s when 6-7 F Isaiah Williams (10.7 ppg) was unavailable, but the ascent commenced soon upon his return. Steve Masiello’s Manhattan, a bitter loser to the Gaels in last year’s title game and the only team to beat Iona in nearly two months, can’t wait to take another swing at the Gaels now that do-everything G George Beamon (19.6 ppg; injured last season) iis once again in the fold. The Jaspers also own the top defensive force in the MAAC in 6-7 PF Rhamel Brown, one of the nation’s leaders in blocked shots (3.9 pg). Canisius cannot be overlooked, either, with MAAC high scorer G Billy Baron (24.9 ppg; son of HC Jim Baron) capable of shooting the Griffs into any game.

Last year: NCAA-Iona lost vs. Ohio State, 95-70; NIT-Niagara lost at Maryland, 86-70; CIT-Canisius won vs. Elon, 69-53; won in OT at Youngstown State, 84-82; lost vs. Evansville, 84-83; Loyola-Maryland won vs. Boston U, 70-63; won vs. Kent State, 73-59; lost at East Carolina, 70-58; Rider won at Hartford, 63-54 lost at East Carolina, 75-54; Fairfield lost at Kent State, 73-71.

MEAC

Schedule: Tourney March 10-15 at the Scope, Norfolk, VA (not the home court of Norfolk State, which plays its games at Echols Hall); First round pits seed 4 vs. 13, 5 vs. 12, 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10, and 8 vs. 9; winners advance to quarterfinals, and so forth.

Top Contenders: NC Central*, Hampton, Norfolk State, Morgan State.

Notes... NC Central is the clear favorite entering Norfolk next week, but Levelle Moton’s high-flying Eagles had better beware, because the top seed has lost three straight years in the quarterfinal round of this event, not even getting close enough for a sniff of the title game. Having said that, most expect NCC to prevail and note that the Eagles are probably the only MEAC rep that would likely bypass one of the 16 vs. 16 play-in games that have often involved loop tourney champs in the past. The Eagles also brought a 15-game SU win streak into Monday’s game vs. Savannah State, and Moton’s team was good enough to beat NC State and play unbeaten Wichita State within 11 in pre-league play. Senior G Jeremy Ingram (20.4 ppg) is one of the most-lethal scoring threats in the league. An interesting darkhorse could be Todd Bozeman’s Morgan State, which dealt with a near-suicidal non-conference slate only to emerge stronger for conference play. The Baltimore-based Bears are led by potent sr. G Justin Black (18.8 ppg).

Last year: NCAA-North Carolina A&T won vs. Liberty, 73-72; lost vs. Louisville, 79-48; NIT-Norfolk State lost at Virginia, 67-56; CIT-Savannah State lost at East Carolina, 66-65.

NORTHEAST

Schedule: Quarterfinals March 5, semis March 8, final March 11, all at home of highest seed.

Top Contenders: Robert Morris, Bryant, Wagner, St. Francis (NY).

Betting Notes: Here we go again with the home team of the Pittsburgh Airport, Robert Morris, which looked to be an NEC also-ran after a difficult pre-league experience and minus three starters from last year’s contender than beat Kentucky in the NIT. But HC Andy Toole has confirmed his candidacy for future openings up the ladder by steering the Colonials to the NEC regular-season crown and homecourt edge in Moon Township for as long as RMU stays alive in this tourney. Senior G Karvel Anderson (19.6 ppg) and all-name F Lucky Jones (13.3 ppg), two holdovers from last season, have fueled the charge. Bob beckel’s alma mater Wagner enters the tourney on the heels of eight straight wins. The Staten Island-based Seahawks play their roles well and are the best rebounding team in the loop, as Fs Mario Moody & Orlando Parker stay put in the paint and remain there for 40 minutes (or as long as they are on the floor). St. Francis (NY) beat Jim Larranaga’s Miami Hurricanes and almost beat Jim Boeheim’s Syracuse in pre-league play.

Last year: NCAA-Long Island lost vs. James Madison, 68-55; NIT-Robert Morris won vs. Kentucky, 59-57; lost at Providence, 77-68.

OHIO VALLEY

Schedule: Tourney March 5-8 at Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN (not the home court of Nashville-based Tennessee State, which plays its games at the Gentry Complex, or Nashville-based Belmont, which plays its games at the Mike Curb Events Center).

Top Contenders: Belmont, Murray State, Eastern Kentucky, Morehead State.

Notes...Belmont has not skipped a beat since moving from the Atlantic Sun last year, winning the OVC bid to the Dance last March and top seed again entering this year’s event, played across town from campus in Nashville at the Municipal Auditorium, an early ’60s creation that looks as if it landed in Music City straight from an episode of The Jetsons. Rick Byrd’s team has been to the Dance six times since 2006 and closed the regular season with six straight wins, with sr. 6-5 swingman J.J. Mann (18.4 ppg) and soph G Craig Bradshaw (15.6 ppg) assuming much greater scoring burdens this season. With four scorers averaging better than 13 points, Murray State has the sort of balance to do well in the bang-bang–bang succession of a tourney format, while Eastern Kentucky has won 46 games the past two seasons, shoots the lights out (49% from floor) and owns maybe the league’s best guard in sr. Glenn Cosey (18.8 ppg & 85.1% from the FT line). Looking for a longshot? Try SE Missouri State, which at 50% from the floor (ranks 4th nationally) shoots even better than EKU and just beat Murray in double OT on Saturday. The Redhawks also have two 19+ ppg scorers in juco F Jarekious Bradley (19.4 ppg) and former Missouri transfer F Tyler Stone (19.l1 ppg). Heady sr. PG Lucas Nutt, son of HC Dickey Nutt, is one of the top assist men in the OVC.

Last year: NCAA-Belmont lost vs. Arizona, 81-64; CIT-Eastern Kentucky won at Gardner-Webb, 69-62; lost at Evansville, 86-72. Tennessee State lost at Evansville, 84-72.

PATRIOT

Tourney March 3-12, all at home of higher seeds. Top four seeds receive byes in first round.

Top Contenders: Boston U, American, Holy Cross, Bucknell.

Betting Notes: Patriot newcomer Boston U, which returned all five starters from last year’s team that competed in the America East and qualified for the CIT, picked a good year to switch leagues as some of the recent Patriot powerhouses are down a bit, which was not unexpected after recent stars such as Lehigh’s C.J. McCollum and Bucknell’s Mike Muscala were drafted into the NBA after last season. The Terriers have been cutting it close lately, however, with five of their last six games decided by single-digit margins, including a home loss vs. CBS head honcho Les Moonves’ alma mater Bucknell, which could be an interesting darkhorse after winning its final six regular-season games as sr. G Cameron Ayers (15.5 ppg) stepped up his scoring production. American U set the pace for much of the season thanks to its superb 49.5% FG shooting (ranks fifth nationally), though the Eagles enter the tourney having lost three of five. Still, they will host games in this event, across the street from where Chris Matthews works (and where Norah O'Donnell used to work) at the NBC News Washington bureau, unless they must face Boston U.

Last year: NCAA-Bucknell lost vs. Butler, 68-56; CBI-Lehigh lost at Wyoming, 67-66.

SOUTHERN

Schedule: Tourney March 8-11 at U.S. Cellular Center, Asheville, NC.

Top Contenders: Davidson*, Chattanooga, Wofford.

Betting Notes: Before bolting for the A-10 next season, Davidson is having last hurrah in the SoCon, streaking to 12 straight wins to run away with the regular-season crown and establish itself as the clear favorite in Asheville. Savvy vet HC Bob McKilliop, who bears a resemblance to the late, great Leslie Nielsen, had to break in three new starters from last year’s Big Dance qualifier, and the Wildcats took their lumps vs. a tough pre-league slate, but they emerged as a force behind a familiar name from past March runs, F De’Mon Brooks (18.4 ppg), plus a Miami-Ohio transfer, G Brian Sullivan, who proved invaluable by contributing 13.5 ppg. Wofford is the only team that played Davidson tough down the stretch, and the upperclass-laden Terriers finally put things together in late January when embarking upon a nine-game winning streak fueled by jr. G Karl Cochran (15.2 ppg). Chattanooga had earlier run off ten wins in a row during a surge that roughly coincided with the return to active duty of soph G Ronrico White (11.2 pgp) from preseason his surgery. Ole Miss transfer and former football er Z Mason is a force on the blocks as well.

Last year: NCAA-Davidson lost vs. Marquette, 59-58; CBI-College of Charleston lost vs. George Mason, 78-77; CIT-Elon lost at Canisius, 69-53.

SOUTHLAND

Schedule: Tourney March 12-15 at Merrell Center, Katy, TX. New members Abilene Christian and Incarnate Word are in the transition period from Division II and will be ineligible for the conference tourney until the 2017-18 season.

Top Contenders: Stephen F. Austin*, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, Sam Houston State, Oral Roberts, Northwestern State.

Betting Notes: If this looks a bit familiar to last year regarding SFA, it should, because the ‘Jacks were also heavily favored in this event last march only to get KO’d in Katy and settle for the NIT instead before HC Danny “Cool McCool” Kaspar departed for Texas State in the offseason. But new HC Brad Underwood (who moved from South Carolina, where he assisted Frank “The Bouncer” Martin), plugged in three new starters and SFS has not skipped a beat. Some suggest that if the ‘Jacks met the same fate in the Southland Tourney as a year ago, they still might be on the radar for an NCAA Tourney at-large berth. Could you imagine two Southland entries in the Big Dance? Totally unselfish team led by 6-6 jr. F Jacob Parker, who has almost doubled his scoring output from a year ago to 14.8 ppg. Given a puncher’s chance might be Oral Roberts, with a lethal 1-2 punch in former Utah transfer F Shawn Glover (21.7 ppg) and soph G Korey Billbury (14.9 ppg), a local Tulsa product with a string of four straight 20+ point games.

Last year: NCAA-Northwestern State lost vs. Florida, 79-047; NIT-Stephen F. Austin lost at Stanford, 58-57; CIT-Oral Roberts won at UT-Arlington, 87-76; won vs. UC Irvine, 76-62; lost at Weber State, 83-74.

SWAC

Schedule: Tourney March 11-15 at Toyota Center, Houston, TX. Grambling, Mississippi Valley State, Arkansas Pine Bluff, and Southern U are all ineligible for the NCAA Tourney due to APR scores, but will compete in the conference tourney.

Top Contenders: Alabama State, Texas Southern, Alabama A&M.

Betting Notes: The SWAC received a special exemption from the NCAA to adjust which team earns its automatic berth to the tournament, the NCAA announced Saturday. The SWAC is in a unique situation where four teams are ineligible for the postseason because of poor APR scores but all will still be allowed to compete in the conference tournament at the Toyota Center in Houston March 11-15. If one of the four ineligible teams wins the tournament, then the team among the six eligible teams that advances the furthest in the tournament would receive the NCAA tournament bid. If there is a tie among those six teams then the bid will go to the highest seed among those tied teams. Looks like a 16 vs. 16 play-in game spot for the SWAC, though don’t forget that Southern U came as close as we have seen in years to pulling a 16 vs. 1 upset in the sub-regional last season against Gonzaga.

Last year: NCAA-Southern U lost vs. Gonzaga, 64-58.

SUMMIT

Schedule: Tourney March 8-11 at Sioux Falls Arena, Sioux Falls, SD (not the home court of nearby, Brookings-based South Dakota State, which plays its home games at Frost Arena, or nearby, Vermillion-based South Dakota, which plays its home games at the Dakota Dome). New member Nebraska-Omaha is ineligible in its transition year from Division II. The Summit League was formerly known as Mid-Continent Conference.

Top Contenders: North Dakota State, IPFW, South Dakota State, Denver.

Betting Notes: Wins in seven straight and 12 of 13 have thrust NDSU into the pole position for the upcoming Summit event in Sioux Falls. The Bison have also mostly been steamrollering their Summit foes in this surge fueled by the nation’s most-accurate shooting offense (50.9% from floor!). Hybrid 6-7 point-forward Taylor Braun (18 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 4.0 apg) is a 4-year starter and a matchup nightmare for foes, while another sr., bruising 6'8, 250-lb. PF Marshall Bjorklund (career-best 13.6 ppg), anchors the paint. The best chance to knock off the Bison might be with another hot-shooting team, IPFW, hitting 49.1% from the floor (ranks tenth nationally) with a deep (nine players average ten or more minutes) and well-balanced (eight score between 7-15 ppg) led by 6-5 swingman Luis Jacobo’s 14.9 ppg. The Mastodons and NDSU split a pair of 11-point decisions this season, and worth noting Jacobo more than held his own vs. Braun, narrowly outscoring him (32-30) over the two games.

Last year: NCAA-South Dakota State lost vs. Michigan, 71-56; CIT-Oakland lost at Youngstown State, 99-87.

WAC

Schedule: Tourney March 12-15 at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV. New member Grand Canyon is ineligible in its transition year from Division II.

Top Contenders: Utah Valley State, New Mexico State.

Betting Notes: What is left of the WAC contains only a few familiar names from the recent past (specifically new Mexico State, which has earned two straight Big Dance invitations from the loop). Suddenly, however, there has been some extra Tabasco sauce added to the burgeoning Utah Valley State-NM State rivalry after the melee following last week’s Wolverine OT win in Orem. For what it’s worth, the Aggies have been something of a disappointment this season, failing to dominate the watered-down WAC as most expected despite owning more size than any team in the loop (thanks in part to 7-5 soph Sim Bhullar) and the league’s most exciting player in skywalking 6-4 G Daniel Mullings (16.9 ppg). But NMSU has mostly played to the level of the competition in this league. Vet HC Dick Hunsaker (former Ball State HC; also interim HC at Utah when Rick Majerus took a leave in 2001) has steered this program since its inception as a 4-year entity in 2002, and his son Holton (a four-year starter at G) leads the team in scoring at 13.5 ppg. Though NMSU is more physically imposing than UVSU, Hunsaker is squeezing more out of his material than Aggie counterpart Marvin Menzies.

Last year: NCAA-New Mexico State lost vs. Saint Louis, 64-44; NIT-La Tech won at Florida State, 71-62; lost at Southern Miss, 63-52; Denver won vs. Ohio, 61-57; lost at Maryland, 62-52.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 05:57 PM

Big Monday Action

March 2, 2014


**Notre Dame at North Carolina**

-- As of early Sunday night, most betting shops had North Carolina (22-7 straight up, 16-13 against the spread) installed as an 11.5-point home favorite. The Tar Heels have won 11 consecutive games and haven't tasted defeat since a Jan. 20 loss at Virginia.

-- Notre Dame (15-15 SU, 8-18-2 ATS) has lost three of its last four games while going 0-4 ATS. The Fighting Irish suffered a gut-wrenching loss at home Saturday. Pittsburgh went into the Joyce Center and captured an 85-81 triumph in overtime as a 3.5-point road 'chalk.' In the losing effort, Pat Connaughton scored a team-best 19 points, while Eric Atkins added 17 points and nine assists.

-- Roy Williams's squad scratched past Va. Tech 60-56 in Blacksburg on Saturday. UNC failed to cover for the second straight time as a 10.5-point road favorite. Nevertheless, the Tar Heels are still 9-2 ATS during their 11-game winning streak. James Michael McAdoo led the way against the Hokies with a team-high 15 points.

-- UNC has won 14 of its 17 home games, posting a 10-7 spread record. The Tar Heels have won seven in a row at home and have taken the cash in their last six home contests.

-- Atkins leads Notre Dame in scoring (13.7 points per game), assists (4.8 APG) and steals (1.3 SPG).

-- Notre Dame has only been a double-digit underdog twice, going 1-1 ATS. However, we will point out the Irish's 4-1 ATS mark when listed as a 'dog of six points or more.

-- The 'over' is 15-12 overall for the Irish.

-- Totals have been an overall wash for UNC (14-14), with the 'over' going 9-7 in its home games. -- When these new ACC adversaries met in South Bend, UNC collected a 73-62 win as a 1.5-point road favorite. The 135 combined points fell 'under' the 145-point total. McAdoo was the catalyst for the Heels, producing 18 points, eight rebounds and four steals. Marcus Paige, who averages team-highs in scoring (17.2 PPG) and assists (4.5 APG), added 16 points and dished out six helpers. Garrick Sherman scored a team-high 17 points for Mike Brey's team.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Kansas State at Oklahoma State**

-- Oklahoma State (19-10 SU, 11-13-1 ATS) has its mojo back thanks to the the return of sophomore sensation Marcus Smart, who watched his team go winless during his three-game suspension stemming from an incident with a fan in Lubbock during a loss to Texas Tech. Travis Ford's team ended a seven-game losing streak in Smart's first game back, and it has now won three in row both SU and ATS.

-- How does a team win a game when it gets destroyed on the board by a 41-22 margin? Well, you better have Smart on your squad and you better force 22 turnovers. That was the recipe for success in Oklahoma State's 72-65 win Saturday night over Kansas as a one-point home favorite. Smart finished with 21 points, six rebounds, five assists and four steals. Markel Brown also scored 21 points by making all 10 of his attempts from the free-throw line. Le'Bryan Nash added 16 points and four blocked shots.

-- Kansas State (20-9 SU, 16-10-1 ATS) picked up a huge win Saturday night when it knocked off Iowa State by an 80-73 count as a two-point home 'chalk.' Five players scored in double figures, including Thomas Gipson and D.J. Johnson. Gipson had 12 points, eight rebounds and a pair of blocked shots, while D.J. Johnson contributed 12 points and six boards off the bench. In just 16 minutes of playing time, Johnson made all five of his shots from the field. Marcus Foster, one of the nation's top freshmen and K-State's leading scorer (15.1 PPG), added 11 points.

-- As of early Sunday night, most books had Oklahoma State listed as an 8.5-point home favorite.

-- Oklahoma State has a 12-3 SU record and a 7-4 ATS mark at home this season.

-- Bruce Weber's team has won five of its last seven games, compiling a 4-3 spread record. Kansas State has been an underdog 11 times, going 6-5 ATS with four outright victories.

-- Kansas State has won five of the last six head-to-head meetings against Oklahoma State both SU and ATS. When these Big 12 rivals met in Manhattan on Jan. 4, the Wildcats won a 74-71 decision as 5.5-point home underdogs. Foster led the way with 17 points and eight rebounds. Nino Williams added 15 points and Gipson finished with 10 points and 11 boards. Nash had a team-high 20 points in the losing effort.

-- The 'over' is on a 6-2 run in the last eight KSU-OSU encounters.

-- The 'over' is 14-11-1 overall for the Cowboys, 7-4 in their home games. However, the 'under' has cashed at a 4-1 clip in OSU's last five outings.

-- The 'under' is 16-10-1 overall for KSU.

-- Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 06:00 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

XAVIER (20 - 9) at SETON HALL (14 - 15) - 3/3/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 1-0 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
SETON HALL is 1-0 straight up against XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (15 - 15) at N CAROLINA (22 - 7) - 3/3/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
NOTRE DAME is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
NOTRE DAME is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NOTRE DAME is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
NOTRE DAME is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
N CAROLINA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (17 - 12) at PITTSBURGH (22 - 7) - 3/3/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
PITTSBURGH is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (20 - 9) at OKLAHOMA ST (19 - 10) - 3/3/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 5-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 5-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTANA ST (14 - 14) at MONTANA (15 - 11) - 3/3/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MONTANA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 5-0 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (9 - 20) at COLGATE (12 - 17) - 3/3/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLGATE is 5-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LAFAYETTE (10 - 19) at LOYOLA-MD (11 - 18) - 3/3/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 45-72 ATS (-34.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MD is 1-0 against the spread versus LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MD is 1-1 straight up against LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 06:01 PM

NCAAB

Monday, March 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Notre Dame's last 14 games on the road
Notre Dame is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of North Carolina's last 13 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
XAVIER vs. SETON HALL
Xavier is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Xavier's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seton Hall's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seton Hall's last 11 games at home

9:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Kansas State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games when playing Kansas State
Oklahoma State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas State

9:00 PM
MONTANA STATE vs. MONTANA
Montana State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montana State's last 7 games on the road
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montana State
Montana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montana State

9:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games on the road
North Carolina State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 06:01 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, March 3

NOTRE DAME: 1-9 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

OKLAHOMA ST: 8-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders

PITTSBURGH: 2-12 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

SETON HALL: 2-12 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread

XAVIER: 11-2 ATS off a home win

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 06:02 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Kansas State at Oklahoma State
The Wildcats face Oklahoma State tonight in Stillwater where they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus the Cowboys. Oklahoma State is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MARCH 3

Game 717-718: Xavier at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 67.798; Seton Hall 62.929
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 5; 131
Vegas Line: Xavier by 1 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-1 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: Notre Dame at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 59.604; North Carolina 74.487
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 15; 140
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 11; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-11); Under

Game 721-722: NC State at Pittsburgh (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 59.114; Pittsburgh 72.110
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13; 128
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 135
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Under

Game 723-724: Kansas State at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 64.556; Oklahoma State 75.781
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 11; 142
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 8 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-8 1/2); Over

Game 725-726: Montana State at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 45.542; Montana 52.352
Dunkel Line: Montana by 7
Vegas Line: Montana by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+9 1/2)

Game 729-730: Savannah State at North Carolina Central (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 43.692; North Carolina Central 64.255
Dunkel Line: North Carolina Central by 20 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: North Carolina Central by 14; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina Central (-14); Under

Game 731-732: Navy at Colgate (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 43.825; Colgate 58.025
Dunkel Line: Colgate by 14
Vegas Line: Colgate by 11
Dunkel Pick: Colgate (-11)

Game 733-734: Lafayette at Loyola-MD (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 50.174; Loyola-MD 48.877
Dunkel Line: Lafayette by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Lafayette by 3
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (+3)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 06:03 PM

NCAAB

Monday, March 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Three NCAAB teams looking to play late-season spoiler
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

With one week left in the NCAAB regular season, plenty of teams are still hoping to punch their tournament ticket. There are also many programs not going dancing this March - baring a improbable run in the conference tournament.

Those team outside the NCAA picture can either pack it in or fight to the finish, and the ones that do choose to keep battling love to take on the role of spoiler against conference foes on the tournament bubble.

Here are a few schools that can play spoiled sports this week:

Seton Hall Pirates (14-15, 14-14 ATS)

Opponent: Xavier (Monday)

Seton Hall has been inconsistent this season, even with the thinning of the Big East. But the Pirates do have a 68-60 road win over Xavier and will be looking to finish their season above .500 with two games left on the schedule.

With Xavier riding a huge weekend win over Creighton, that likely earned it a spot in the tournament, this could be a letdown spot for a Musketeers team that had problems stopping Seton Hall during their February loss.


Illinois Fighting Illini (17-12, 12-12-4 ATS)

Opponent: Michigan (Tuesday)

Riding a three-game win streak, including a big win over Michigan State Saturday, the Fighting Illini have improved their tournament resume drastically over the past week. Their big win on the weekend also helped their opponent Michigan move up to a two-game lead in the Big Ten, meaning the Wolverines can clinch the outright conference title with a win on Tuesday.

That will be easier said than done as the Illini look to make it four wins in a row on Senior Night over the Big Ten leaders and continue to build up their tournament chances.


Mississippi Rebels (17-12, 10-12-3 ATS)

Opponent: Arkansas (Wednesday)

After Marshall Henderson picked up a suspension and an arrest during the offseason, Ole Miss looked like it would have no chance at repeating its magical 2013 run. But Ole Miss is still fighting, despite just two wins in its last seven games, going 4-2-1 ATS in that span.

The Rebels are likely out of the NCAA picture unless they can make a serious run in the conference tournament. With a 12-point win over Arkansas under their belts and a chance to ruin the Razorbacks' Senior Night, expect Henderson & Co. to embrace the spoiler role down the stretch.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24424 Followers:32
03/03/2014 06:03 PM

Take the money and run: Biggest betting streaks

ATS winning streak

Los Angeles Clippers

Doc Rivers wanted no part of Boston’s rebuilding and has hit the jackpot in Los Angeles, where his Clippers are hitting their stride as they begin the final 25 percent of the schedule. They have four SU wins in a row, four covers in a row and now they have added more scoring punch in former All-Star Danny Granger. Granger should provide extra punch off the bench if the leg injury to key reserve Jamal Crawford lingers. Rivers knows a thing or two about monitoring minutes from his days in Boston, limiting Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce to keep them fresh for when the games really count, and the Clips have enough games against losing teams to keep Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan from wearing down.

Next up: Tuesday at Phoenix


ATS losing streak

Saint Louis Billikens

It was bad luck that the Billikens had to travel to VCU right after their stunning loss to Duquense, but the schedule is the schedule. The Dukes were 13.5-point dogs before they came in to Saint Louis and won outright, and the Billikens then had to follow that up with a trip to VCU, which promptly won its 19th straight home game. Now Saint Louis' dream season is on hold and Billikens' bettors have had to swallow six consecutive ATS losses. The Atlantic 10 regular season title is still within sight for Saint Louis (25-4), but time to get things back in order before the A-10 tournament is short, and the loss to Duquesne which ended the Billikens’ 19-game win streak still stings.

Next up: Wednesday vs. Dayton


Over/Under streak

Boston Bruins

The Bruins are rarely associated with lazy hockey, but how else to explain their post-Olympics play? Boston’s three games since the break have produced a mind-numbing 24 goals, hardly what Claude Julien has in mind. The Bruins thrive on defense and tight checking, and after four straight games have gone Over, a 3-2 win is (perhaps temporarily) no longer the norm. There are rumors that goalie Tuukka Rask is not they guy anymore. There is even talk about bringing in a defenseman for the stretch run, but that might go on the back burner if Dougie Hamilton continues his strong play.

Next up: Tuesday vs. Florida

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: