tonygeorge Posts:114 Followers:2
On 02/20/2014 11:37 AM in Cappers

THURSDAY FREE PLAY

Duke vs. North Carolina, 02/20/2014 21:00
Total: -105/+151 Under

Duke -2 @ North Carolina (Total 151)

The Tar Heels are making a run and finding chemistry and Roy Williams has them playing the best ball of the season on a 7 game win streak. Duke is riding a 4 game win streak after a brutal OT loss to Syracuse but has the better team here. Road game is a 20 minute bus ride across town for this one so the homecourt while it will be wild, Duke well knows the scenario tonight.

Amazingly the road team is 22-8 in this series which is unreal considering both have strong homecourt power numbers, and the UNDER is 8-2 the last 10 in this series. Duke swept the series last year and won by 16 points in here their last trip as well, and the Tar heels have double revenge tonight. Catching points in this scenario at home is what oddsmakers are begging you to take. Duke has covered 8 out of 12 spreads on the road while North Carolina has covered home games at 8-7 ATS this year.

At days end the breakdown here is a tough nut to crack. Both teams defense is about even, both have explosive offenses and both teams have awesome head coaches. Duke playing for a #1 overall seed at being ranked 6th in the nation right now and their perimeter game is better, their offense is better, and I feel their bench is better. Laying less than a 3 pointer here against a team they have beaten 7 out of the last 10 times SU, and Duke has covered some numbers recently going 8-1 ATS their last 9 games has me giving a slight lean to the Blue Devils here. ALSO: a lean to the UNDER 151 in this game as well

Duke 74 North Carolina 69 - UNDER and Blue Devils is my Pro Pick

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