02/18/2014 11:56 PM
I do quite a fair share of live betting on NBA. I find that there is spectacular value when a pre-game favourite is trailing at any point in the game. Their spread or money-line price will drop drastically giving you a great price to purchase them. Definitely no need to over-think it. Although upsets do happen, the favourites usually come out on top even when trailing.
There was a game on Feb 7: Portland @ Indiana Pacers. Pacers were -6 spread pre-game (-250ish on the Moneyline)
Portland had a 7 - 9 point lead with about 6 minutes left in the 4th quarter. The live line on Indy Moneyline at that point was +605. Pacers got it tied up, sent it to overtime, and won the game.
This is an example of how huge the value can be if you are willing to follow the pre-game favourite play when they are losing during the game.
Also: You can sometimes get GIGANTIC point spreads on losing teams.. Usually +25.5, 28.5, 30.5, etc.. Pretty huge in NBA. When teams get blown out, the spreads are still usually large enough to cover.
On Feb 9th, The Clippers (-16 pregame) absolutely dismantled the lowly 76ers. They won 123-78. However, the Live Betting spread for the 76ers was at one point +55.5! Biggest spread I've ever seen for an NBA game.
Good luck Live Betting y'all. Take advantage of the great value!