cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/19/2014 05:15 PM

NBA

Wednesday, February 19

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What's behind the NBA's most profitable Over/Under runs?
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Straight up records and points per game often tell only a small fraction of the story when it comes to NBA totals. We look at four teams that possess some interesting total trends to see why they occur so bettors can try and determine if they’ll continue.

Memphis Grizzlies (29-23 SU, 22-30 O/U)

There may not be a better team in the NBA at getting opponents to play their style than the Memphis Grizzlies. According to advanced statistics, they average the lowest amount of possession attempts per game at 91.6 yet they are quite efficient offensively, averaging 102 points per 100 possessions. This is just further evidence of what we know about the Grizz: They are a slow, deliberate team that runs their offense through their bigs and uses the shot clock to get high percentage shots.

And while oddsmakers have a good grip on this team’s totals at home they seem to underestimate the Grizzlies’ ability to impose their methodical will on the road. This is evidenced 14-14 O/U record at home and their 8-16 O/U record away from FedEx Forum.

Portland Trail Blazers (36-17 SU, 33-19-1 O/U)

Maybe it’s the fact their tucked away in the Pacific Northwest or that they just continue to surprise everyone, but oddmakers can’t seem to get a handle on the Trail Blazers’ totals. Stats have Portland as the league’s best offensive team, averaging 107.9 points on less than 98 possessions per game.

According to advanced metrics, they are right near the bottom defensively allowing 105.7 points per 100 attempts, translating into a 33-19-1 O/U record overall. However, it is interesting to note the proliferation of the Over has slowed over the last 10, going 4-5-1 O/U. And bettors could see this trend continue if the Blazers make a move to shore up their defense before the deadline.

Charlotte Bobcats (23-30 SU, 24-27-2 O/U)

Head coach Steve Clifford was hired to give the Charlotte Bobcats an identity and that he has, turning the Bobcats into a defensively-tough, offensively-efficient squad that is currently in a playoff position for the first time since the 2009-2010 season.

The Bobcats average 95.1 possessions per game, have the lowest turnover rate in the league, and the second best defensive rebounding rate. But they are a sub-par offensive team, averaging just 94.7 points per game and their defense efficiency falls off away from home, allowing 99.6 away from Time Warner Cable Arena and 94.4 at home. This may explain why the O/U is 9-16-1 in Charlotte and 16-9-2 on the road.

Atlanta Hawks (25-26 SU, 30-21 O/U)

The Atlanta Hawks are about as “middle of the road” as you can get. They currently sit with a 25-26 record overall, averaging 101.4 points per game while allowing 100.9 points per contest. Even considering their ATS record, they are about as even as Steven with a 26-25 ATS count. So why would the Hawks’road record lean so heavily towards the Over with a 30-21 O/U record?

The main reason seems to be that they’re a team of runs. For example, in November they averaged 98.1 points while allowing 98.5. While, through December and January, they averaged 105.3 and allowed 102.3 points. Not surprisingly, the total goes on runs as well with the Over hitting in stretches of nine and five games in a row and four in a row on two separate occasions. Meanwhile, the Under has paid out in runs of five and six and has currently hit in the team’s last three before the break.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/19/2014 05:16 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 19

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CHICAGO (27 - 25) at TORONTO (29 - 24) - 2/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 65-79 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against Central division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (22 - 31) at CHARLOTTE (24 - 30) - 2/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 82-116 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (16 - 39) at CLEVELAND (21 - 33) - 2/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (25 - 28) at ATLANTA (25 - 27) - 2/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 74-59 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (20 - 33) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 29) - 2/19/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
NEW YORK is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (41 - 12) at MINNESOTA (25 - 28) - 2/19/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (19 - 35) at PHOENIX (31 - 21) - 2/19/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (24 - 27) at UTAH (19 - 33) - 2/19/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (39 - 15) at PORTLAND (36 - 17) - 2/19/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (31 - 22) at SACRAMENTO (18 - 35) - 2/19/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (36 - 17) at LA LAKERS (18 - 35) - 2/19/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/19/2014 05:17 PM

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Portland
The Spurs head to Portland tonight where they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against the Trail Blazers. Portland is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Trail Blazers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 19

Game 701-702: Chicago at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.132; Toronto 125.920
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 11; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 183
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Detroit at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.935; Charlotte 117.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 2 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Orlando at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.927; Cleveland 114.201
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+7); Under

Game 707-708: Washington at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.184; Atlanta 117.759
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: New York at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 115.983; New Orleans 120.545
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Indiana at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.852; Minnesota 116.511
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2 198
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Boston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 110.489; Phoenix 123.942
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 13 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8); Over

Game 715-716: Brooklyn at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 121.260; Utah 113.390
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-2 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: San Antonio at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 117.651; Portland 124.724
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 7; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2); Over

Game 719-720: Golden State at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 121.438; Sacramento 114.587
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 207
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5); Under

Game 721-722: Houston at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.651; LA Lakers 116.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+8 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/19/2014 05:17 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, February 19

Chicago at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Chicago: 30-46 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
Toronto: 8-1 ATS against Central division opponents

Detroit at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Detroit: 17-3 OVER when the line is +3 to -3
Charlotte: 22-9 OVER when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days

Orlando at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Orlando: 9-23 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less
Cleveland: 21-8 ATS against Southeast division opponents

Washington at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Washington: 19-8 ATS in road games off a home loss
Atlanta: 2-10 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days

New York at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
New York: 8-19 ATS as an underdog
New Orleans: 25-12 OVER as a favorite

Indiana at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Indiana: n/a
Minnesota: n/a

Boston at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Boston: n/a
Phoenix: n/a

Brooklyn at Utah, 9:05 ET
Brooklyn: 11-1 ATS in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days
Utah: 17-30 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent

San Antonio at Portland, 10:05 ET
San Antonio: n/a
Portland: n/a

Golden State at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Golden State: n/a
Sacramento: n/a

Houston at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Houston: n/a
LA Lakers: n/a

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/19/2014 05:31 PM

FEBRUARY'S RECORD:

25- 17 *****

11- 12 DOUBLE PLAY

10- 5 TRIPLE PLAY



Wednesday, February 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Charlotte -

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +6 500 *****
Cleveland -

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -3 500
Toronto -

Indiana - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +3 500
Minnesota -

New York - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -3.5 500 *****
New Orleans -

Boston - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix -6 500
Phoenix -

Brooklyn - 9:00 PM ET Brooklyn -3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Utah -

San Antonio - 10:00 PM ET Portland -1.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Portland -

Golden State - 10:00 PM ET Golden State -4 500 *****
Sacramento -

Houston - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +8.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/20/2014 02:06 PM

Hoop Trends - Thursday

February 20, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 12-0 ATS (7.58 ppg) since Feb 21, 2013 on the road when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Rockets are 0-12 OU (-20.58 ppg) since Apr 05, 2011 when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season, and won by more than three in the last matchup.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 11-0 ATS (6.64 ppg) since Nov 17, 2012 on the road after Ray Allen shot worse than 33% from the field in a win.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Bucks are 0-12 ATS (-11.71 ppg) since Mar 22, 2012 at home after a win in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two and scored more than 95 points.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Rockets are 7-0 OU (13.29 ppg) since Nov 02, 2012 after James Harden had at least 10 assists in a win.

-- The Thunder are 7-0 OU (13.50 ppg) since Nov 10, 2013 at home after Reggie Jackson played fewer than 30 minutes in a road win.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/20/2014 02:07 PM

Thursday Tips

February 20, 2014


Heat at Thunder - 8:05 PM EST

Miami: 38-14 SU, 23-28-1 ATS
Oklahoma City: 43-12 SU, 32-23 ATS

A rematch of the 2012 NBA Finals takes place at Chesapeake Energy Arena tonight as the Thunder goes for the season sweep of the Heat. The last time these teams hooked up in South Florida in late January, Oklahoma City overcame an early 18-point deficit to chase out Miami, 112-95 to cash as four-point road underdogs. In fact, the Thunder even took a 25-point lead in the second half, led by Kevin Durant's 33 points, as OKC played without point guard Russell Westbrook.

However, the Thunder is expected to get Westbrook back in the lineup tonight after missing the last 28 games following minor knee surgery. Oklahoma City put together a 21-7 SU and 17-11 ATS during Westbrook's absence, while winning nine consecutive games at home. The Thunder has lost six of the last seven meetings with the Heat, including each of the last two at Chesapeake Energy Arena.

The Heat is playing the final leg of a six-game road trip (broken up by the All-Star break), as Miami held off Dallas on Tuesday night, 117-106 for its third straight victory. LeBron James scored a season-high 42 points, while the Heat topped the 100-point mark for the sixth time in the last seven games. Miami has covered twice in three opportunities as an underdog this season, including outright victories against the Clippers and Blazers.

Oklahoma City has been off since last Thursday's 107-103 triumph over the Lakers, but the Thunder failed to cash as 10 ½-point road favorites. OKC has drilled the 'over' in four of the past five games, including three of the last four at Chesapeake Energy Arena. In Miami's last 11 road games, the Heat has hit the 'over' seven times, while doing so in the previous two victories at Dallas and Golden State.

Nuggets at Bucks - 8:05 PM EST

Denver: 24-28 SU, 22-30 ATS
Milwaukee: 10-43 SU, 21-32 ATS

Two teams going nowhere meet in Milwaukee, but it's actually the Bucks who are playing with confidence right now. Milwaukee won just its 10th game of the season on Tuesday, a 104-100 triumph as three-point home underdogs against Orlando, but it was the sixth cover in seven tries. Also, the Bucks have cashed 'dog tickets six consecutive times, including four straight when receiving points at BMO Harris Center.

And then we have the Nuggets. Following a 12-4 stretch from mid-November through early December, Denver has fallen off the mountain by losing 20 of its past 31 games, including five in a row. Brian Shaw's club fell in overtime on Tuesday to Phoenix after blowing a late fourth quarter lead, while losing six of their past seven games away from the Pepsi Center.

The Bucks and Nuggets hooked up in Denver on February 5, as Denver held on for a 110-100 victory, but failed to cover as 11 ½-point favorites. Ty Lawson scored 18 points and dished out 13 assists for the Nuggets, but the point guard will miss his third straight game tonight with injured ribs. Denver has compiled a 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS record as a road favorite this season, while winning seven straight meetings with Milwaukee.

Rockets at Warriors - 10:35 PM EST

Houston: 37-17 SU, 28-24-2 ATS
Golden State: 32-22 SU, 24-27-3 ATS

Both these clubs are playing with no rest, as the Rockets go for their third win over the Warriors this season. Houston beat Golden State twice in a one-week span back in December, including a 116-112 triumph at Oracle Arena as 3 ½-point underdogs, the seventh victory in eight meetings for the Rockets. Now, Houston will try to extend its eight-game winning streak following another victory last night.

Kevin McHale's club went into Staples Center on Wednesday night and dominated the Lakers, 134-108, the seventh straight contest in which the Rockets have topped the 100-point mark. Seven Rockets scored in double-figures, as Dwight Howard scored 20 points and pulled down 13 rebounds in his first game in Los Angeles since signing with the Rockets in the offseason. Playing with no rest has been no problem for the Rockets this season, posting a 9-4 SU/ATS record on the second of a back-to-back.

The Warriors are seeking consecutive wins for just the second time since early January, as Golden State knocked off Sacramento last night, 101-92 to cash as five-point road favorites. Mark Jackson's team is just 6-10-1 ATS since a 10-game winning streak that ended last month, while losing six of its past 10 contests played at Oracle Arena. The Warriors have won three of their last four games with no rest, but Golden State has covered just once in this stretch.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/20/2014 03:27 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 20

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MIAMI (38 - 14) at OKLAHOMA CITY (43 - 12) - 2/20/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 72-54 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (24 - 28) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 43) - 2/20/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-59 ATS (-32.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 203-261 ATS (-84.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (37 - 17) at GOLDEN STATE (32 - 22) - 2/20/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 20

Hot teams
-- Oklahoma City won 15 of its last 17 games. Heat won 11 of its last 14 game (3-1-1 vs spread in last five).
-- Rockets won their last eight games (6-2 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Milwaukee lost 19 of its last 22 games. Nuggets lost last five games, are 0-6 vs spread in last six.
-- Golden State split its last six home games.

Series records
-- Nuggets won their last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder lost six of last seven games with Miami.
-- Rockets won 17 of last 20 games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Four of last five Heat-Thunder games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Golden State games stayed under.




NBA

Thursday, February 20

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Denver's last 22 games
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games when playing Denver

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 16 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing Houston
Golden State is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home


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NBA

Thursday, February 20

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Game of the Day: Heat at Thunder
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Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5, 205.5)

The Miami Heat attempt to avenge a 17-point loss to Oklahoma City when they visit the Thunder in Thursday’s nationally televised showdown. Kevin Durant scored 33 points when Oklahoma City posted a 112-95 victory in Miami on Jan. 29 while LeBron James scored 34 for the Heat. The two leading MVP candidates figure to be primed for the rematch, while Thunder guard Russell Westbrook is a game-time decision to return from his latest knee surgery.

The Heat are wrapping up a six-game road trip and have won six of their last seven games after recording a 117-106 road victory over Dallas on Tuesday. James scored a season-best 42 points on 16-of-23 shooting for his 50th career 40-point outing and he is averaging 38.3 points over the last three contests. Oklahoma City is playing for the first time since the All-Star break concluded and possesses the top record in the NBA. Durant is also on a roll and is averaging 40 points over the last three games and his 43-point outing against the Los Angeles Lakers on Feb. 13 was his eighth such outing of the season.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened as 3.5-point home faves and the total opened 205.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Miami (-14.3) - Thunder (-14.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Thunder -4.2

INJURY WATCH: Russell Westbrook, Thunder (Knee - Probable)

ABOUT THE HEAT (38-14 SU, 23-28-1 ATS, 31-21 O/U): James is third in the NBA in scoring (26.8) – Durant leads at 31.5 – and has played spectacularly since a dismal 13-point outing in a loss to lowly Utah on Feb. 8. A surprise scoring contributor in the victory over Dallas was journeyman forward Chris Andersen, who scored a season-best 18 points on 7-of-9 shooting as Miami pulled within 2 1/2 games of Eastern Conference-leading Indiana. “From here on out, we’ve got to take care of business and try and get that first spot back,” Andersen said afterward.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (43-12 SU, 32-23 ATS, 28-27 O/U): Westbrook has missed the last 27 games and Oklahoma City has thrived without him, going 20-7 during the stretch. The star point guard originally hurt his knee in last season’s playoffs against the Houston Rockets and he has experienced two setbacks – both requiring additional surgery – this season. Westbrook practiced with the squad on Wednesday and it will be interesting to see if coach Scott Brooks handles Westbrook cautiously to avoid another setback. Durant has stepped up with 20 30-point outings during Westbrook’s latest absence.

TRENDS:

* Over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. NBA Southeast.
* Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last five Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: 52 percent of wagers are on the Heat +3.5.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/20/2014 03:30 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, February 20

Miami at Oklahoma City, 8:00 ET
Miami: 19-32 ATS off a road win
Oklahoma City: 15-7 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Denver at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Denver: 42-27 OVER in road games
Milwaukee: 11-2 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

Houston at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Houston: n/a
Golden State: n/a

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
02/20/2014 03:30 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Miami at Oklahoma City
The Heat head to Oklahoma City tonight carrying a 6-1 ATS record in the last 7 games versus the Thunder. Miami is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20

Game 501-502: Miami at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.126; Oklahoma City 123.479
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over

Game 503-504: Denver at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 108.847; Milwaukee 112.908
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Houston at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 124.193; Golden State 123.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 212
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: