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Overs on Weekday Football???

1 Replies | 549 Views
On 11/03/2011 10:38 AM in NCAA Football
Wow has there been a ton of scoring in these weekday games lately...6 straight overs for Tuesday-Friday games and most of them not close including Tuesday's 120+ points and last night's 66 points on a 48-ish total...one interesting problem with trends is that they sometimes revert back to the mean....after the 6 in a row here are the totals based on scoresandodds closing lines....

Over-Under
Tuesday games 1-2
Wednesday games 2-0
Thursday games 7-6
Friday games 4-7

so the under actually has covered 15 of the 29 games after 6 straight overs...I'm probably fortunate that I didn't look at this last week or I would have seen unders going 15-8 thinking the trend would continue and then obviously I would have been murdered....

Bottom line is trends can be a useful tool to incorporate in your handicapping but don't lay a bet just on the trend....
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Pfile Nickname bobalou
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11/03/2011 10:44 AM
Sitting in waiting room waiting for MRI and thought I'd read a post or two. I like over/unders especially in teaser plays. Well you know me maybe I should rephrase that and say I like OVER plays. If I think it's going under I don't bet it TOOOO MANY things can go wrong but that's just me!
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