cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
On 11/02/2011 05:49 PM in NHL

Cnotes Wednesday's NHL Best Bets !

Preview: Flyers (6-4) at Sabres (6-4)

Date: November 02, 2011 7:30 PM EDT

Buffalo Sabres coach Lindy Ruff believes his team's been lacking the intensity that led to its tremendous start.

The Philadelphia Flyers hope Ilya Bryzgalov has regained his early form after some recent struggles.

The Sabres host the Flyers on Wednesday night in the teams' first meeting since last season's memorable playoff battle.

Buffalo (6-4-0), which outscored opponents 20-10 in winning five of its first six, dropped to 1-3-0 over its last four games with Saturday's 3-2 loss to Florida.

"We have to wake up and do what it takes to play a system in this league," said Miller, who has a 3.04 goals-against average during his personal three-game skid. "You're not going to get away with making cute plays, you're not going to be able to carry the puck in ... you're not going to have that luxury. Too many mistakes, myself included. We're all accountable here."

The Sabres have been outscored 10-6 at even strength over their past four games.

"I said the other night it wasn't acceptable - how we acted and how we played. It's not acceptable," Ruff told the Sabres' official website.

"You can go five or six minutes and play really well. Then we've done some things that have kind of hurt ourselves and we get on our heels. I don't think we've been the team we were that started the year, and we're just trying to get back to that."

A chance to avenge last season's loss in the Eastern Conference quarterfinals could have Buffalo more motivated. The Sabres held a 3-2 advantage over the Flyers (6-4-1) before surrendering 10 goals in the last two games and losing the series.

While Buffalo continues to falter, Philadelphia is coming off a 5-1 win over Carolina on Saturday behind a goal and three assists from Claude Giroux and a pair of goals from Jaromir Jagr.

The Flyers also got considerably better goaltending. Bryzgalov made 24 saves against the Hurricanes, looking more like the goalie who started 3-0-0 with a 1.67 GAA than the one who was 0-4-1 with a 4.62 GAA over his next five games.

"Sometimes, you just need to turn the switch on in your head and everything's changed," Bryzgalov said. "You have to fix your head, turn the switch on and go on."

With five goals and two assists over his last four games Jagr certainly appears to have found his form after going seven games without a goal upon returning to the NHL.

It's Giroux, though, who may draw the bulk of the Sabres' attention. The former first-round pick had a series-high nine points - eight assists - against Buffalo in the postseason.

Three of those assists came on the power play, which right now could use some work. After converting 11 of 40 (27.5 percent) chances through eight games, the Flyers are 1 for 14 over their last three.

"We're always working on it; we've worked on it for every pre-game skate," coach Peter Laviolette said. "I think you look at what you're doing and look at what you're generating and you hope to be opportunistic with the puck going in the net."

They'll have to make do in Buffalo without one of their most significant offensive weapons. Danny Briere, who has five power-play points this season and scored six goals against the Sabres in the playoffs, will miss his second straight game Tuesday with an upper-body injury.

That's good news for Miller, who posted two shutouts in the playoffs versus Philadelphia but gave up a combined 20 goals in the other five games.

Bryzgalov, meanwhile, went 0-3-0 with a 4.23 GAA during his last three meetings with Buffalo while with Phoenix.

Sabres left wing Ville Leino, who signed a six-year, $27 million contract in the offseason, faces his former team for the first time. He's recorded just one goal and one assist in 10 games.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 05:50 PM

Preview: Maple Leafs (5-3) at Devils (2-4)

Date: November 02, 2011 7:30 PM EDT

Following a disappointing road trip, the New Jersey Devils are likely excited about what's waiting for them at home.

The struggling Devils could have Martin Brodeur back in goal Wednesday night when they host the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Brodeur returned to practice Monday for New Jersey (4-4-1) after he was sidelined for more than two weeks with a bruised right shoulder.

The 39-year-old was hurt Oct. 13 making a diving stop against Los Angeles in the first period. He finished the period and was replaced by Johan Hedberg, who has gone 2-3-1 with a 2.61 goals-against average and a shutout during Brodeur's absence.

Although Brodeur reported no problems following Monday's practice, the four-time Vezina Trophy winner did admit to being more conscious about the injury.

"I feel pretty good," he told the Devils' official website. "I'm happy about the way it went.

"I don't feel any limitation or anything, but mentally knowing I hurt my shoulder, I'm hesitant to do certain things."

Despite getting over the mental aspect, the NHL's all-time leader in wins and shutouts deemed himself ready to play after practice Tuesday.

"I felt real good today and if they need me tomorrow, I'll be ready," said Brodeur, who went 1-2-0 with a 3.00 GAA last season against the Maple Leafs. "It's the hardest I've gone as far as reaction and competing and I was fine."

Coach Peter DeBoer initially said he'd leave that decision up to Brodeur. On Tuesday, however, he said the team would "have to get medical clearance first," though he's certainly hoping that comes soon considering the boost Brodeur should provide.

"He's probably the best goalkeeper of all time," DeBoer said. "He would give us a lift on the ice and in the dressing room."

DeBoer is quick to point out, though, that Brodeur wouldn't give much help to an offense that has the second-fewest goals in the league (20) and has converted only 10.3 percent of its power-play chances (3 for 29).

"It's nice to have him back," DeBoer said, "but he can't score goals for us or play the point in the power play."

The Devils haven't played since Saturday's 3-1 loss in Dallas, the conclusion of a 1-3-0 road trip. New Jersey was the victim of a unlucky bounce against the Stars, as Dallas' tiebreaking goal with 8:26 remaining ricocheted off the skate of Devils defenseman Mark Fayne and past Hedberg.

"I like what we're doing, I don't like the results right now," DeBoer said. "I have to stick with the belief that if we keep doing the right things, we're going to get rewarded for it."

Toronto (7-3-1), meanwhile, has typically been getting the results DeBoer covets.

The Maple Leafs had won two in row before a 3-2 loss to Ottawa on Sunday. Clarke MacArthur scored both goals for Toronto, which has yet to lose consecutive games.

"Our attitude is not to lose two games in a row and what's happened, happened,' coach Ron Wilson said. "We'll be focused on the next game."

Phil Kessel, who leads the Leafs with 10 goals and 18 assists, didn't record a point Sunday for just the second time in 11 games. He had two goals and an assist as Toronto went 2-1-1 against the Devils last season.

Jonas Gustavsson, who has gone 2-2-0 with a 3.03 GAA in starting the last four games for Toronto, posted a 1.00 GAA in winning his two starts against New Jersey in 2010-11.




Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 05:52 PM

Preview: Coyotes (4-3) at Avalanche (3-4)

Date: November 02, 2011 9:30 PM EDT

A new line has the Phoenix Coyotes' offense clicking.

The Colorado Avalanche hope they can continue to find the back of the net at home.

The Coyotes will try to win a season-high third straight and extend their point streak in this matchup to seven Wednesday night, when the host Avalanche look to build on their first win in Denver in 2011-12.

Since coach Dave Tippett moved Ray Whitney off the top line with captain Shane Doan and Daymond Langkow and alongside Radim Vrbata and center Martin Hanzal, that new trio has contributed five goals and seven assists in two games.

Whitney scored twice and set up Hanzal's goal in Thursday's 5-3 win over New Jersey, and Vrbata scored twice off assists from Hanzal and set up Langkow's overtime goal Saturday in a 3-2 victory over Los Angeles.

"We got (Whitney) back on our line, and we can see that chemistry from last year, even (in the) last game," Vrbata told the Coyotes' official website after snapping a seven-game stretch without a goal. "Tonight we scored a couple. I think the chemistry is there. Hopefully we'll continue like that."

They combined for three goals and five assists last season when the Coyotes went 3-0-1 against Colorado to improve to 5-0-1 in the last six meetings. Phoenix outscored the Avs 13-5 in 2010-11, including 7-2 in two games in Denver.

The Coyotes, who have killed 34 of 37 penalties since opening night, stopped all 12 power-play chances Colorado had last season.

Repeating that effort could be a challenge, as the Avalanche (7-4-0) are 10 for 24 with the man advantage in their last eight games.

They went 1 for 4 on Sunday as Milan Hejduk notched his team-high third power-play goal in a 3-2 victory over the Kings.

The Avalanche, the league leaders with six road wins, had scored twice while dropping their first three in Denver.

"Even though we're 1-3 at home we've been in every game and probably should have won two or three," said center Matt Duchene, whose winner in the third period was his first goal in seven games. "We want to be a good home team."

Newcomer Semyon Varlamov could help make that happen. The former Washington Capital matched a career high for wins in a month with five after making 30 saves Sunday.

Varlamov has never faced Phoenix (5-3-2).

If backup Jean-Sebastien Giguere gets his fourth start of the season, it will be the first time he goes against the Coyotes since 2009 while with Anaheim. He is 0-1-3 with a 2.63 goals-against average in his last four starts versus Phoenix.

Mike Smith will likely be in net for the Coyotes after turning aside 131 of 142 shots during their 3-0-1 run.

He is 1-0-1 with a 0.96 GAA in two starts against the Avalanche, with the last coming three years ago while with Tampa Bay.

Ryan O'Reilly, who leads the Avs with seven assists, scored on their only third-period shot and added the only goal in the tiebreaker the last time these teams met, a 4-3 victory April 1 that snapped a five-game skid to Phoenix.

Doan led the Coyotes with four assists and five points against the Avalanche in 2010-11.




Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 05:53 PM

Slumping Sabres host Flyers on Wednesday

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (6-4-1, 13 points)

at BUFFALO SABRES (6-4-0, 12 points)


Puck drops: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Buffalo -140, Philadelphia +120, Total: 5.5

The struggling Sabres are hoping a date with the Flyers on Wednesday night will jump-start their team.

Buffalo is 1-3-0 in its past four games and is eager to pay back Philadelphia after losing to the Flyers in seven games in first round of the playoffs last season. Philly is also struggling a bit, going 2-4-0 in its past six games since a 4-0-1 start to the season. But the Flyers offense is clicking, ranking second in the NHL with 3.7 goals per game, including 13 tallies in the past two games. And they also showed they could get the puck past Ryan Miller in last year’s playoffs, netting 10 goals in the final two games of the series. And that was without 39-year-old Jaromir Jagr, who even with three years removed from the NHL, has 11 points (5 G, 6 A) in 11 games in his return to the league this season. The pick here is for underdog PHILADELPHIA to get the big road win.

This pair of FoxSheets trends also supports the Flyers:

BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS (12.5%, -10.7 Units) in home games against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BUFFALO 2.3, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 2*).

BUFFALO is 8-14 ATS (36.4%, -13.3 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BUFFALO 2.7, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 1*).

The Flyers are missing a few key players, as C Daniel Briere (ribs), RW Matt Read (upper body) and D Chris Pronger (eye) are all expected to miss Wednesday’s game. The key to Philadelphia winning is the performance of its erratic goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov. He started the season 3-0-0 with a 1.67 GAA, but then went winless in his next five starts (0-4-1) with a miserable 4.62 GAA. He could be starting another hot streak though, as he stopped 24 of 25 shots in Saturday’s 5-1 win over Carolina. Bryzgalov has not enjoyed facing the Sabres recently, going 0-3-0 with a 4.23 GAA in his past three meetings against them when he was with Phoenix. Philly started the season 11-of-40 (27.5%) on the power play, but is just 1-for-14 over the past three games. Claude Giroux leads the team with 15 points (7 G, 8 A), including four points (1 G, 3 A) in Saturday’s game. Giroux led all scorers with nine points in the postseason series with Buffalo last year.

Buffalo has been outscored 10-6 at even strength over the past four games, and Miller has dropped three straight contests, posting a subpar 3.04 GAA during the personal losing skid. Miller blanked the Flyers twice during last year’s playoffs, but he also surrendered 20 goals in the other five games. For his career, Miller is 12-8-1 with a 2.88 GAA and .905 Save Pct. against Philadelphia, numbers not up to his lofty career standards. The Sabres have been led by Thomas Vanek’s 15 points (8 G, 7 A) and Jason Pominville’s 14 points (5 G, 9 A). Each of these players has five points in the past three games. Defenseman Andrej Sekera leads Buffalo with a strong +6 rating.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 06:01 PM

NHL
Dunkel

Toronto at New Jersey
The Maple Leafs look to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at Ottawa and build on their 16-5 record in their last 21 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Toronto is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 2

Game 51-52: Toronto at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.379; New Jersey 11.091
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Under

Game 53-54: Philadelphia at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.098; Buffalo 12.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-135); Over

Game 55-56: Phoenix at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.045; Colorado 11.615
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+120); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 06:02 PM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 2

Hot teams
-- Coyotes won three of their last four games.
-- Toronto is 3-0 this season in game after a loss.

Cold teams
-- Philly lost four of its last six games. Sabres lost three of last four.
-- Colorado lost three of its four home games.
-- Devils lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Flyers' last seven games went over the total.
-- Three of four Phoenix road games went over the total.
-- Four of five Toronto road games went over the total.

Series records
-- Flyers are 7-3 in last ten visits to Buffalo; Philly beat Sabres in seven games in playoffs last spring.
-- Coyotes won five of last six games against Colorado.
-- Maple Leafs lost three of last four visits to New Jersey.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 06:03 PM

NHL

Wednesday, November 2

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games at home

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Colorado is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 06:03 PM

NHL

Wednesday, November 2

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Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets
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Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres (-140, 5.5)

The Philadelphia Flyers are a hard bunch to figure out early this season, though maybe that’s to be expected.

They’re trying to get used to Ilya Bryzgalov starting most nights in goal and reshaped their offense in the offseason. Plus, they’re missing captain Chris Pronger as he recovers from an eye injury.

But this is getting to be a bit much.

After jumping out of the gate to pick up nine points through their first five games, they’ve either been invisible or amazing – and often both within a span of 60 minutes. Following a wild 9-8 loss to Winnipeg, Philadelphia rebounded to drill Carolina 5-1 on Saturday thanks to a four-goal third period.

The Flyers’ newly formed line of Jaromir Jagr, Claude Giroux and Scott Hartnell combined for nine points in that win and look to be really coming together. As long as the Flyers can stay out of the penalty box and avoid long stretches of play in their own end, they should be in the mix to score an upset.

Pick: Flyers


Phoenix Coyotes at Colorado Avalanche (-140, 5.5)

There were a couple of good signs that came out of Colorado’s 3-2 win over Los Angeles on Sunday.

It was the club’s first win on home ice this season and last year’s leading scorer, Matt Duchene, scored his first of the season which also turned out to be the game winner.

"I thought we played our best hockey after we got the lead, after Duchene's goal," Avalanche coach Joe Sacco told reporters. "We started to play more to our identity. We were on loose pucks, we had a better forecheck. I think that's a positive sign."

If you dig into the numbers though, you’ll see there’s some work to be done. Colorado was outshot 32-16 and was outplayed for long stretches during the game.

Meanwhile, Phoenix is coming off a pair of nice wins over New Jersey and L.A.

Pick: Coyotes


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 06:04 PM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 2

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TORONTO (7-3-0-1, 15 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (4-4-0-1, 9 pts.) - 11/2/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 9-4 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 14-31 ATS (-20.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 5-17 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 4-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (6-4-0-1, 13 pts.) at BUFFALO (6-4-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/2/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-18 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 60-53 ATS (+121.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
BUFFALO is 16-22 ATS (-10.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-14 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 8-7 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 8-7-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.5 Units)

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PHOENIX (5-3-0-2, 12 pts.) at COLORADO (7-4-0-0, 14 pts.) - 11/2/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 50-41 ATS (+8.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 100-84 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 122-116 ATS (+259.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 18-14 ATS (+36.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 274-245 ATS (+23.1 Units) first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24470 Followers:32
11/02/2011 06:05 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, November 2

TORONTO at NEW JERSEY, 7:30 PM ET
TORONTO: 9-4 SU in road games after a division game
NEW JERSEY: 10-25 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

PHILADELPHIA at BUFFALO, 7:30 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 7-4 SU after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games
BUFFALO: 14-8 SU when playing with 3 or more days rest

PHOENIX at COLORADO, 9:30 PM ET
PHOENIX: 16-7 SU after a 2 game unbeaten streak
COLORADO: 17-28 SU in home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: