coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:18 PM

Sal Selvaggio says: "I made the Bengals 7.5-point favorites and have to think Cincy minus-6.5 offers a little value. Last week was really telling with San Diego having everything to play for and needing overtime to beat a Chiefs team mailing it in. The Bengals match up well with a strong pass defense and should be able to limit Rivers & Co. The weather will be cold, with the potential for snow, conditions that have to favor Cincy. The Bengals been lights-out at home all year long and still look a little undervalued to me. Lay the points here."

Pick: Bengals

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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:19 PM


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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:20 PM

OVER is 7-2-1 in last 10 Chargers-Bengals games.

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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:21 PM

the west coast-to-east coast travel angle does not bother san diego SD was 3-2 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in 10 am PST starts TY.

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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:21 PM


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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:22 PM

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers - Open: 48, Move: 45.5

The weather at Lambeau Field is expected to be frigid and the total has sharp and public bettors divided. Sharp action came in on the Under when the number was posted, but public money has been liking the Over.

"This has been the most bet game of the wildcard playoff matchups this weekend and by far has been the biggest public side," the oddsmaker said. "Sharp bettors have hit the total on the Under 48 value which is now at 45.5. The public is on the Over which is helping to keep the books balanced here. Action overall is very balanced for a game that will polarize bettors based on fan base and geo-location."

The 49ers opened as 2.5-point road faves at most outlets with that line still holding firm since open.

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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:22 PM

WHY 49ERS WILL COVER

The 49ers will be able to cover the spread because of Michael Crabtree. The wide receiver missed the first three months of the season with a torn Achilles, but his return has sparked improved performance from quarterback Colin Kaepernick. Since Crabtree's return, Kap's numbers have improved across the board, and it has opened up more opportunities for Anquan Boldin. Crabtree's return should help spread the field, meaning more running lanes for Frank Gore and Colin Kaepernick. That could prove to be the deciding factor.

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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:23 PM

Early Line: Seattle -8.5 OVER New Orleans Next Week

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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:23 PM

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (+2.5, 45.5)

The San Francisco 49ers enter the postseason as the league's hottest team and it may take the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field to cool them off when they visit the Green Bay Packers on Sunday. The 49ers closed the regular season with six consecutive wins and have won the past three matchups with the Packers, who clinched the NFC North last week with a 33-28 win at Chicago in Aaron Rodgers' return to the lineup. It will be a rematch of the season opener, won by host San Francisco 34-28.

Green Bay has been unable to slow the 49ers' offense, surrendering an average of 36.3 points in the past three defeats, including a 45-31 drubbing in last season's playoffs. The last two meetings have been in San Francisco, but the weather could have a major bearing on Sunday's matchup - the high temperature is expected to be zero degrees with wind chills reaching minus-30. "You just have to block it out," said 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick, who has accounted for seven touchdowns in the past two matchups.

TV: 4:40 p.m. ET, Fox.

LINE: The 49ers opened as 2.5-point road faves. The total opened 48.5 but is down to 45.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will hover around zero degrees with wind blowing across the field at 12 mph.

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coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
01/05/2014 12:23 PM

WHY PACKERS WILL COVER

It's always easier to cover when you're a home dog, but what'll assist the Packers more on Sunday are the historically cold conditions. As we move closer to kickoff, the projections for the weather dip lower and lower with the most recent forecasts predicting temperatures around -10 °F a wind chill of -30 °F. For comparison, the legendary "Ice Bowl" was played at around -15 °F with a wind chill of -48 °F. While it can get chilly in San Francisco, the 49ers are not accustomed to anything remotely as cold as what they'll experience Sunday. If the weather can keep a lid on their passing attack while not significantly limiting Green Bay's, the Packers could cover the 2.5-point spread.

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