cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/06/2014 12:31 AM

Divisional Round Outlook

January 5, 2014


Saturday, January 11

NFC - (6) New Orleans at (1) Seattle (FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Seahawks -8 ½, 48

Seattle Home Record: 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS
New Orleans Road Record: 4-5 SU, 2-7 ATS

Head-to-Head: The Seahawks destroyed the Saints in early December, 34-7 to cash as 6 ½-point home favorites. Seattle has won each of the last two meetings, including a 41-36 upset of New Orleans as 10-point home underdogs in the Wild Card round of the 2010 playoffs.

Playoff Notes: Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have split four playoff games, while posting a 3-1 ATS record. New Orleans edged Philadelphia in the Wild Card round, 26-24 to pick up its first road playoff win in the history of its franchise. In Sean Payton's tenure, the Saints had allowed at least 36 points in each of their three previous away playoff games prior to Saturday's victory over the Eagles.

AFC - (4) Indianapolis at (2) New England (CBS, 8:15 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Patriots -9, 53 ½

New England Home Record: 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS
Indianapolis Road Record: 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS

Head-to-Head: The Patriots ripped apart the Colts in 2012 at Gillette Stadium, 59-24 as 10-point favorites. New England has won each of the last three meetings with Indianapolis (all at home), while Tom Brady has beaten the Colts in four of his last meetings.

Playoff Notes: Indianapolis overcame a 28-point deficit in Saturday's 45-44 shocker over Kansas City to win the franchise's first playoff game since 2009. The Colts have lost each of their last two road postseason contests, including a 24-9 defeat at Baltimore last season. The Patriots have been eliminated at home in three of the last four postseasons, as New England lost to Baltimore last January, 28-13.

Sunday, January 12

NFC - (5) San Francisco at (2) Carolina (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: 49ers -1 ½, 43

Carolina Home Record: 7-1 SU, 6-1-1 ATS
San Francisco Road Record: 7-2 SU, 7-1-1 ATS

Head-to-Head: The Panthers edged the 49ers in early November, 10-9, as Carolina cashed outright as six-point road underdogs. Carolina has won four straight meetings with San Francisco since 2004, including home victories in 2007 and 2010.

Playoff Notes: The 49ers have won four of six postseason games under Jim Harbaugh, including a 2-0 record on the highway. Carolina is seeking its first playoff victory since 2005, while hosting its first postseason contest since a 33-13 defeat to the Cardinals in 2008.

AFC - (6) San Diego at (1) Denver (CBS, 4:40 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Broncos -10 ½, 56

Denver Home Record: 7-1 SU, 5-2-1 ATS
San Diego Road Record: 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS

Head-to-Head: These two divisional rivals split a pair of meetings with the road team winning each matchup. Denver held off San Diego in November, 28-20 as seven-point favorites, while the Chargers shocked the Broncos in Denver a month later, 27-20 as 10-point underdogs. Each of the two games finished 'under' the total.

Playoff Notes: The Broncos lost that epic second round matchup to the Ravens in double overtime last season, 38-35, while Denver is 2-2 at home in the playoffs since 2000. The Chargers and Broncos are meeting for the first time ever in the postseason, while San Diego is 4-4 in its last eight playoff contests since 2006.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/06/2014 01:04 AM

NFL Divisional Weekend opening lines


With Wildcard Weekend in the books, next week's NFL Divisional Weekend matchups are set and early lines are already out.

The San Diego Chargers' reward for their impressive 27-10 road win in Cincinnati is a trip to Denver to face the Broncos. The Broncos are listed as early 10-point faves in what will be the third time they play each other this season. Back in Week 10 the Broncos covered a 7-point spread in San Diego winning 28-20, but the Chargers returned serve by going into Denver five weeks later and stealing a 27-20 victory in a game where they were 10-point dogs.

The Patriots opened as 7.5-point home faves as they welcome the Colts and Andrew Luck to Gillette Stadium, where New England went 6-2 ATS this season. The Colts earned the trip to New England with their improbable 45-44 comeback win over Kansas City Saturday. This is the first time these two teams will face each other this season.

In the Saturday NFC matchup The New Orleans Saints travel to Seattle to take on the top seeded Seahawks who opened as 8-point home faves. This will be a rematch of a Week 13 game where the Seahawks manhandled the Saints 34-7 in Seattle on Monday Night Football and obliterated the 6.5 point spread. The Saints were 1-7 ATS on the road this season, but managed to claim their franchise's first ever road playoff win Saturday in Philadelphia.

In a rematch in what might have been the game of the year in the NFL, The San Francisco 49ers take on the Panthers in Carolina. This game has opened as a Pick'em, which seems appropriate seeing as both teams love to run the ball, play great defense and have a dynamic quarterback. The first meeting was the Panthers' breaking out party of sorts, as they bruised their way to 10-9 victory at Candlestick Park.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/06/2014 06:45 PM

Divisional Playoff Angles

January 6, 2014


NFL Divisional Playoff Perspective

Once again, after expanding its playoff format to 12 teams in 1990, the NFL left the door wide open to the possibilities of a Wild Card team running the table and hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.

Since the Wild Card system began in 1970, only 10 wild card teams have advanced all the way to the Super Bowl. Of those, only six won the Super Bowl. And of those 10 wild card teams, only four teams managed to win three games on the road to make it to the Super Bowl - the last three of whom captured the crown.

In fact, five of the last seven Super Bowl champions have played in the first round of the playoffs, including the Baltimore Ravens last season.

Will the trend continue this season or will the top seeded teams have their say? And speaking of top ranked teams, the No. 1 seed from the NFC has not won a Super Bowl since 1999.

It’s important to remember that 39 of the last 47 Super Bowl winners have owned a Top 10 ranked defense. (Are you listening Carolina, New Orleans, San Francisco and Seattle?)

Remember, it’s not always the best team that wins in the NFL playoffs… it’s the hottest.

Before we crown anyone just yet, let’s first check a few Divisional Round angles in the NFL playoffs that are noteworthy.

All results are since 1990 and are ATS (Against The Spread), unless noted otherwise.

Bye And Large Top Seeds Up To Speed

No. 1 seeds enjoy the luxury of not only hosting a game in this round but also play with an added week of rest.

For the most part these teams have met with modicum of success, going 67-25 SU and 48-42-2 ATS in this role.

The best the NFC has to offer has gone 37-9 SU and 28-17-1 ATS, including 22-8-1 ATS as favorites of 6 or more points.

The NFC spotlight shines on top-seeded Seattle this Saturday.

While not up to par with the NFC, top seeds from the AFC have gone 30-16 SU and 20-25-1 ATS, including 7-2 SU and ATS when facing a foe off a Wild Card round spread win of more than 17 points.

No. 1 seed Denver will look to improve on those numbers when they host division rival San Diego on Sunday.

Success Breeds Success

Speaking of the added benefit of an extra week to prepare this time of the year, rested hosts in this round that enjoyed success last season use that experience to their advantage.

That’s confirmed by the fact that teams that won 11 or more games last year are 32-6 SU and 24-13-1-1 ATS at home with a week to prepare in Divisional Round contests.

Denver, New England and Seattle all fit the bill this season, rather cautiously though as teams in this role are just 8-4 SU and 4-8 ATS the last seven years.

On the flip side, teams that were losing teams last years (seven or fewer wins) are just 4-24 SU and 11-16-1 ATS in this round, including 1-13 SU and 3-11 ATS when playing off an upset, underdog win.

New Orleans and San Diego look to oblige this week.

Clint Eastwood Says

Here’s a brief capsule of this year’s Divisional Round combatants along with some relevant Good, Bad and Ugly trends…

New Orleans at Seattle

Good: Seahawks 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS home behind QB Russell Wilson
Bad: Saints 1-5 SUATS away all-time in the playoffs
Ugly: Seahawks 0-3 SUATS vs. Saints when New Orleans off SUATS win

Indianapolis at New England

Good: Colts QB Andrew Luck 6-1 SUATS as a dog vs. greater than .667 opp
Bad: Visiting team 5-13 ATS in Colts postseason games
Ugly: Pats QB Tom Brady 0-6 ATS playoffs w/rest vs. opp off BB wins

San Francisco at Carolina

Good: Niners QB Colin Kaepernick 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS away vs. non div opp
Bad: Playoff road favorites off playoff road favorite win are 1-3 ATS
Ugly: Niners are 3-15 ATS all-time vs. Panthers, 0-5 ATS last 5 away

San Diego at Denver

Good: Chargers QB Phillip Rivers 4-1 ATS as a playoff dog
Bad: Broncos 2-6 SUATS last 8 playoff games
Ugly: Broncos QB Peyton Manning 1-6 ATS home favorite vs. San Diego

Highway Blues

Life on the road for Wild Card teams who won at home has been rocky at best, especially if those who grabbed the cash as well.

These highwaymen are just 13-37 SU and 18-30-2 ATS in this role against well-rested higher-seeded foes.

And if these same Wild Card winners take to the road against .750 or les opponents, they dip to a filthy 3-24 SU and 8-18-1 ATS in these affairs.

Indianapolis will try its best to avoid becoming road kill this week.

Stat Of The Week

In NFL Divisional Round playoff game history since 1990, there have been only two home underdogs. They both won the game straight up.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/06/2014 06:47 PM

Divisional Trends

January 6, 2014


Divisional Round Breakdown

There are only eight teams left standing in the fight for the Lombardi Trophy, and today at Vegas Insiders, we're breaking down the four games with some great trends to remember for each of the games.

No. 6 New Orleans Saints at No. 1 Seattle Seahawks
The Line: Seattle -8 (47.5)

The Seahawks won the first meeting of the year 34-7, and they still have only lost one game at home in the career of QB Russell Wilson. They've got four straight ATS wins against teams with a winning record at home, and they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 against teams with winning records. New Orleans did cover last week against the Philadelphia Eagles, but that ended a skid of six straight ATS losses away from home. New Orleans has gone just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 playoff games. The 'under' is 5-0 in New Orleans' last five road games, and it is 5-0 in Seattle's last five games played since their Week 12 bye.

No. 4 Indianapolis Colts at. No. 2 New England Patriots
The Line: New England -7.5 (53)

These two teams didn't meet this season, and this is the only matchup of the weekend where the two teams haven't squared off. Last season though, New England won 59-24 when these clubs met. There have only been two other teams in NFL history who have come back from down 24 points or more to win playoff games. The next week, those teams are 1-1 SU and ATS with extremely mixed results. The Buffalo Bills stormed into the AFC Championship Game after beating the Houston Oilers. The San Francisco 49ers collapsed and lost by 35 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Pats are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games, and they have played 10 of those 11 games here at Gillette Stadium (2-8 ATS). New England went 6-2 ATS this season at home. The 'under' has cashed in Indy's last six playoff games, but the 'over' is 44-18-1 in New England's last 63 games played on field turf. The 'over' is also 3-0-1 in New England's last four playoff games played in the Divisional Round of the postseason.

No. 5 San Francisco 49ers at No. 2 Carolina Panthers
The Line: San Francisco -1.5 (43)

The Panthers are the only home underdogs this weekend, and this game also represents the lowest 'total' of the week to boot. The Niners didn't score an offensive touchdown in a 10-9 loss at home to these Panthers earlier this year. Carolina has only been to the NFC Championship Game two other times in its history. San Fran has been there in consecutive seasons. The Panthers are 11-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Niners have won seven games in a row and are 4-2-1 ATS in those games. The 'under' is 8-1 in Carolina's last nine games, but the 'over' is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in this series.

No. 6 San Diego Chargers at No. 1 Denver Broncos
The Line: Denver -10 (54.5)

The Broncos are the biggest favorites of the weekend, and this one has the highest 'total' on the board even though both games this season were decided by one score and neither got into the 50s. San Diego is the only team to win in Denver this season. The Bolts have gone 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Broncos are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight against AFC West teams, but both the loss and the push came against San Diego. The 'under' is 6-2 in the Chargers' last eight games overall, while Denver has pushed four straight playoff games past the closing number.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/06/2014 06:49 PM

NFL Divisional Weekend opening lines

With Wildcard Weekend in the books, next week's NFL Divisional Weekend matchups are set and early lines are already out.

The San Diego Chargers' reward for their impressive 27-10 road win in Cincinnati is a trip to Denver to face the Broncos. The Broncos are listed as early 10-point faves in what will be the third time they play each other this season. Back in Week 10 the Broncos covered a 7-point spread in San Diego winning 28-20, but the Chargers returned serve by going into Denver five weeks later and stealing a 27-20 victory in a game where they were 10-point dogs.

The Patriots opened as 7.5-point home faves as they welcome the Colts and Andrew Luck to Gillette Stadium, where New England went 6-2 ATS this season. The Colts earned the trip to New England with their improbable 45-44 comeback win over Kansas City Saturday. This is the first time these two teams will face each other this season.

In the Saturday NFC matchup The New Orleans Saints travel to Seattle to take on the top seeded Seahawks who opened as 8-point home faves. This will be a rematch of a Week 13 game where the Seahawks manhandled the Saints 34-7 in Seattle on Monday Night Football and obliterated the 6.5 point spread. The Saints were 1-7 ATS on the road this season, but managed to claim their franchise's first ever road playoff win Saturday in Philadelphia.

In a rematch in what might have been the game of the year in the NFL, The San Francisco 49ers take on the Panthers in Carolina. This game has opened as a Pick'em, which seems appropriate seeing as both teams love to run the ball, play great defense and have a dynamic quarterback. The first meeting was the Panthers' breaking out party of sorts, as they bruised their way to 10-9 victory at Candlestick Park.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/08/2014 12:47 AM

Divisional Playoff History

January 7, 2014


Divisional Playoff games have historically been the territory of home teams and favorites (almost always one and the same), their dominance has not been especially pronounced in recent years. Indeed, since the 2004 postseason, road underdogs stand 23-16 against the number in the Division Round.

Remember some dynamics worth mentioning that are unique to this round. Since 1990, when the playoffs expanded from 10 teams to 12, all Division Round hosts have been off a "bye" and a week of rest.

And almost all of the "powerhouse" NFL teams in recent memory are from that first-round "bye" group, including 54 of the last 70 Super Bowl participants since '78 (when the first-round "bye" was introduced).

However, at least one top conference seed has met defeat in seven of the past eight seasons, including Denver in the AFC a year ago.

Also identifiable with this round are lopsided results, which have recurred with regularity over the decades. In fact, since 1975, more than half of these games have been decided by double-digit margins.

Favored teams laying a TD or more (usually representing the cream of the NFL crop) have covered at a 56% (42-33-1) in the Division Round since '75.

The strongest trend in recent years has been on the "totals" side, "overs" in particular, now 11-1 since the 2010 season playoffs (and 4-0 a year ago).

Following are the point-spread results in various spread categories of NFL Division Round playoff games since 1975. Our "charting" begins with the '75 season because, prior to then, playoff home teams were predetermined in a divisional rotation, as opposed to the better won-loss record.

A "margin of victory" chart for the games since 1975 is included as well.

CATEGORY RESULT

Favorites vs. line... 76-72-3 (1 pick)
Favorites straight up... 104-47
Favored by 0-3 points... 9-15-1
Favored by 31/2-61/2 points... 26-23-1
Favored by 7-91/2 points... 27-22
Favored by 10-131/2 points... 12-8
Favored by 14 points or more... 3-3-1
Home teams straight up... 107-45
Home teams vs. spread... 79-70-3
Home favorites vs. spread... 74-68-3
Home underdogs vs. spread... 4-2
Home picks vs. spread... 1-0
Over/under (since 1986...) 60-48

MARGINS OF VICTORY

1-3 points... 36
4-6 points... 12
7-10 points... 26
11-13 points... 12
14 points or more... 66

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/08/2014 02:08 PM

NFL line watch: Keep an eye on Chargers-Broncos total

Spread to bet now

San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers (+2)

After winning last week in Lambeau Field, the 49ers will be backed by the public this week.

That public money is going to go up against the sharp, professional money as those bettors will be on the underdog in this game.

San Francisco is a known commodity with the public after playing in the Super Bowl last season. The 49ers also have revenge in this game after losing at home 10-9 to Carolina as 6-point favorites earlier this season. Revenge is a strong betting angle for public bettors.

There’s also liability for the sportsbooks with teasers in this game, especially with the current line of Panthers +2. They make a strong teaser bet, especially with the total low at 42. The sportsbooks want to get this line down to at least 1 for that reason, and since we expect the sharp money to be on the underdog, we suggest betting Carolina now as the current number will be gone soon.


Spread to wait on

Indianapolis Colts (+7) at New England Patriots

The world was against Indianapolis in their game against Kansas City last week.

The Colts went from a 2.5-point favorite to a 2.5-point underdog at one point in the betting last week. The public and sharps were both on the Chiefs as a small underdog and the big money move showed dislike for the Colts.

The way the game played out swayed nobody’s opinion as the Colts trailed 38-10 in the second half. While they wasted all their energy, the Patriots were sitting at home and getting rest.

Some sportsbooks have already moved this line to New England -7.5 and it will most likely go higher once the public starts betting. If you like the Colts in this game wait until right before kick off as the best number will be available then.


Total to watch

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (54.5)

It will be interesting to see what the bettors do with the total on this game, especially since this is the third meeting of the season between San Diego and Denver.

The oddsmakers opened this total high at 54.5, which is the highest of the four games this weekend. The first game in San Diego had 48 points scored and the second meeting in Denver had 47 points scored.

San Diego has played 14 of their 17 games Under 55 points and two of those Overs came in Weeks 1 and 2. So over their last 15 games, the Chargers are 14-1 to the Under based on the posted total.

Denver went 10-6 to the Over based on the current total with two of those Unders coming against the Chargers. In Denver’s home playoff game last year, the Broncos and Ravens combined to score 73 points.

Overall, it’s hard to play Denver games Under the total. But the numbers suggest that’s the way to play this game. Some sportsbooks have moved the total to 55, so we’ll see which way the money moves this total come Sunday afternoon.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/08/2014 02:10 PM

Can Branch be Colts' 'Inside Man' versus Patriots?

The Indianapolis Colts are taking a page out of the New England Patriots’ dirty bag of tricks, signing former Patriots receiver Deion Branch just in time for Saturday’s AFC Divisional Round matchup in New England.

The Colts added the 34-year-old Branch, who played seven seasons with the Patriots, due to injuries to the WR corps. However, the question had been raised whether or not Branch will be used for his inside info on New England and QB Tom Brady rather than his aging skill set.

“We figured the questions were going to come up that we were signing this guy who spent some time in New England," Colts head coach Chunk Pagano told reporters. "Is it just a coincidence or do you need the guy to help you win a football game and help your team? Every decision we make is based on what's best for this team and what gives us the best chance to win, and we think we have one heck of a football player."

Before the Patriots get their panties in a bunch over the Branch signing, they should look in the mirror – or back to January 2012 when New England signed former Denver Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels as an offensive assistant just before taking on the Broncos in the AFC Divisional Round. The Patriots rolled Denver 45-10 as a 14-point home favorite.

Not all “inside man” signings work out though. The Baltimore Ravens brought in two of Peyton Manning’s most popular targets this season, TE Dallas Clark and WR Brandon Stokley, but their familiarity with Manning didn’t make a difference in Broncos’ 49-27 trouncing of the Ravens as 7.5-point chalk in Week 1 of the season.

The Colts are 7.5-point underdogs in New England Saturday. The total is set at 53 points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/08/2014 06:47 PM

QB Tom Brady still fired up for playoffs

January 7, 2014


FOXBOROUGH, Mass. (AP) - Tom Brady head-butted teammates before his first Super Bowl.

Twelve years and four more NFL championship games later, the quarterback hasn't lost his fire.

He still shows it before games and after big plays by banging helmets with other New England Patriots.

''I'm pretty emotional,'' Brady said Tuesday.

That should be obvious when the Patriots come back from a first-round bye to face the Indianapolis Colts in an AFC divisional-round playoff game Saturday night. Especially if he has plenty of scoring plays to celebrate.

His mood would be quite different if NFL sacks leader Robert Mathis keeps getting close enough to tackle him or hurry his passes.

''He's a great player and been a great player for a long time,'' Brady said. ''He's having one of the best years of his career.''

So what can Brady do if he sees the 11-year veteran bearing down on him?

Step up in the pocket? Throw quickly? Duck?

''I can't really run away from him,'' Brady said with his usual jab at his lack of speed, ''so that option's out the door.''

There's no doubt he'll have his eyes trained on the linebacker who lines up in different places on different plays.

''You have to understand where he's at. He really has a sense of urgency,'' Brady said.

And a knack for stripping the ball while sacking the quarterback.

''That's why he's one of the best players in the league, because he makes those types of plays happen,'' Brady said. ''He makes them on a regular basis. It's not a fluke when he does it.''

Mathis led the NFL with 19 1-2 sacks and forced eight fumbles. His strip-sack of Kansas City's Alex Smith led to a Colts touchdown in their 45-44 wild-card win over the Chiefs last Saturday.

The Colts overcame a 28-point, third-quarter deficit to win that. The Patriots overcame a 24-point halftime deficit against the Denver Broncos for a 34-31 regular-season overtime win.

''It was a great game, a great team win,'' Brady said of Indianapolis' victory. ''Once you get some momentum going on your side, it's pretty remarkable to be able to do that.''

Another big lead Saturday night likely won't be safe until the very late stages, not with Brady and Andrew Luck leading their offenses.

''We've been in a lot of close games, they've been in a lot of close games,'' Brady said. ''They find a way to win them. That's how they got to this point.''

The Colts are 6-1, including the playoffs, in games decided by six points or fewer. The Patriots are 8-4 in games decided by seven or fewer.

Brady downplays the meeting with Luck, who has a chance to match Brady's accomplishment of winning a Super Bowl in his second season.

The chance to keep the youngster from upstaging the all-time great doesn't provide extra motivation.

''My motivation is pretty simple,'' Brady said. ''I just try to win. That's what I try to do and try to be part of the reason why we're successful.''

For Luck, Brady can serve as an example.

''He has definitely set the standard for success at the quarterback position,'' Luck said, ''the way he handles himself, watching from afar, the competitive nature and basically all the right things he does. Yeah, I guess he is a barometer and he is the standard.''

The Patriots practiced indoors Tuesday with the outside temperature in the low teens. Brady said he had a cold.

''A little bit, but I'll live,'' he said. ''Hopefully not on the injury report. I'll try to talk my way out of that one.''

Brady wants to be around for it all - the practices, the games, the celebrations. So he's treating this week with his usual intensity.

''I think he's just trying to relay that to everyone else,'' Patriots defensive end Rob Ninkovich said. ''You do your work now. You put in the time now. You study the tape and you practice hard now, so when the games come you've already done it three times in the week. So you go out there and just play and have fun.''

In his 14th NFL season, the enthusiasm of the MVP of the 2002 Super Bowl persists.

''It's incredible to play in this,'' he said. ''These are the moments you dream about, to be in the NFL playoffs and you have a chance with eight other teams to be the last team standing.

''It's why we work hard. It's why every guy puts a lot out there. You sacrifice a lot of things. A lot of people would die to be in our positions. I don't think you take those things for granted.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
01/08/2014 06:49 PM

Rivera: Kaepernick will be tough to stop

January 7, 2014


CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) - Panthers coach Ron Rivera is expecting a few more big plays from San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick this time around.

Rivera says that Kaepernick ''didn't play that well'' against Carolina in a regular-season matchup on Nov. 10. The Panthers limited the third-year quarterback to 91 yards passing, 16 yards rushing and no touchdowns in a 10-9 win over the 49ers at Candlestick Park.

On Sunday, the two teams meet in the NFC divisional playoffs in Charlotte, N.C., and Rivera expects Kaepernick will be on his game - and make it that much tougher on his defense.

''I don't expect that again,'' Rivera said Monday. ''I expect the young man to come out and play well. He's a good football player and he showed it (Sunday) night'' against Green Bay.

The 49ers have won six straight games, including a 23-20 playoff win over the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Kaepernick threw for 223 yards and a touchdown and ran for 98 yards against the Packers.

Over the past six games, Kaepernick has elevated his play, averaging 231 yards passing per game with 11 touchdowns and three interceptions.

Rivera says the 49ers are a much better team than they played back in November.

''All you have to do is watch the way he has played down the stretch,'' Rivera said. ''We caught them at a good time and it turned out in our benefit.''

Perhaps.

Kaepernick was without wide receiver Michael Crabtree in the last meeting and tight end Vernon Davis left early in the game with a concussion. Crabtree had eight catches for 125 yards in the win over Green Bay.

Mario Manningham led the 49ers with 30 yards receiving in the last game against Carolina and San Francisco's longest pass play went for 14 yards. The 49ers managed just 10 first downs against Carolina and failed to get into the end zone.

''We owe them,'' Kaepernick said Sunday of the Panthers.

San Francisco's win over Green Bay served as a stark reminder of what not to do while defending Kaepernick.

Defensive coordinator Sean McDermott pointed to a crucial moment on the final drive when the outside edge rusher lost containment and Kaepernick scooted free for an 11-yard gain on third-and-8. Five plays later Phil Dawson kicked the winning field goal as time expired.

McDermott said his defense did a nice job of staying in their rushing lanes and keeping Kaepernick in the pocket last time around, sacking him six times.

He said that will be key on Sunday, too.

''I thought our guys played aggressive up front,'' McDermott said. ''We played discipline. The coverage was good enough at times to get him to hold the ball.''

Defensive tackle Dwan Edwards also stressed the importance of not trying to do too much outside of the scheme.

''Our defensive ends can't get too far past the quarterback or he takes off and it gives him huge lanes,'' Edwards said. ''It's important that everyone stays in their lanes and when someone does get out of their lane we have to cover that up quickly.''

McDermott said the last game against the 49ers felt like an old school NFC playoff slugfest.

But like Rivera, he's not so sure it will be such a low-scoring affair this time around.

''You just never know in the playoffs,'' McDermott said. ''You saw the scores this past weekend. You had some halves where teams were completely shut down, and then they came out and exploded. ... I'm sure they're a better football team and I'd like to believe we're a better football team as well.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: