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cnotes
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Cnotes NFL Playoff POD'S, STAT'S NEWS PLAYOFF GOY !!

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On 12/30/2013 01:22 AM in NFL
December 29, 2013


Saturday, Jan. 4

AFC - (5) Kansas City at (4) Indianapolis (NBC, 4:35 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Colts -2 ½, 46

Indianapolis Home Record: 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS
Kansas City Road Record: 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS

Head-to-Head: The Colts have won five of the last six matchups against the Chiefs, which includes a 23-7 road victory in Week 16 as a 7 ½-point underdog. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 during this span.

Playoff Notes: Indianapolis has dropped its last two playoff games, the most recent coming last season at Baltimore (9-24) in the Wild Card Round. Kansas City is 0-7 both SU and ATS in its last seven playoff appearances. The last postseason win for the Chiefs came in 1994.

NFC - (6) New Orleans at (3) Philadelphia (NBC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Eagles -2 ½, 55

Philadelphia Home Record: 4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS
New Orleans Road Record: 3-5 SU, 1-7 ATS

Head-to-Head: The Saints have won four of the last five meetings against the Eagles. The last encounter took place from the Superdome as New Orleans captured a 28-13 win.

Playoff Notes: The Eagles have dropped their last three playoff appearances both SU and ATS, with the last defeat coming in 2011. Since QB Drew Brees and head coach Sean Payton joined forces in 2006, the Saints have gone 5-3 SU and 3-5 ATS in the playoffs. All three of the losses came on the road and New Orleans gave up 39, 41 and 46 points in those defeats, which helped the ‘over’ go 3-0.

Sunday, Jan. 5

AFC - (6) San Diego at (3) Cincinnati (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Bengals -6 ½, 47

Cincinnati Home Record: 8-0 SU, 8-0 ATS
San Diego Road Record: 4-4 SU, 4-3-1 ATS

Head-to-Head: Cincinnati defeated San Diego 17-10 as a 2 ½-point road favorite in Week 13. Including this win, the Bengals have won their last three affairs against San Diego.

Playoff Notes: The Bengals are 0-5 both SU and ATS in their last five playoff games and four of those losses came by double digits. Cincinnati hasn’t won a playoff game since 1991. The Chargers have dropped their last two playoff games, falling to the Jets 17-14 in 2010 at home in on the road in 2009 to the Steelers, 35-24.

NFC - (5) San Francisco at (4) Green Bay (FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: 49ers -1, 49 ½

Green Bay Home Record: 4-3-1 SU, 3-5 ATS
San Francisco Road Record: 6-2 SU, 6-1-1 ATS

Head-to-Head: The 49ers have won and covered three straight encounters against the Packers, which includes a 34-28 victory in Week 1 as a five-point home favorite. In last year’s playoffs, San Francisco ran past Green 45-31 as a three-point home favorite. The ‘over’ has easily cashed in all three games during the 49ers’ winning streak.

Playoff Notes: In the last two seasons under head coach Jim Harbaugh, the 49ers are 3-2 both SU and ATS in the playoffs. The Packers have gone 5-3 in the playoffs with QB Aaron Rodgers under center. Surprisingly, Rodgers has only started two playoff games from Lambeau Field and he’s gone 1-1.
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12/30/2013 01:25 AM
NFL betting: 49ers, Colts, Eagles, Bengals open as faves


With the Week 17 finale between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys complete, all of the lines for the opening round of the NFL playoffs have hit the board at wagering outlets.

Despite a valiant effort from backup QB Kyle Orton, the Dallas Cowboys will miss out on the postseason as the Eagles triumphed 24-22. Philadelphia will host the New Orleans Saints in the opening round of the playoffs.

The Eagles have opened as 2.5-point home faves with the total opening at 55.

In the other NFC matchup, the San Francisco 49ers are currently 2.5-point faves as they travel to the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field to face Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. The total is currently 49.5.

In the AFC, the Cincinnati Bengals are 7.5-point faves as they host the San Diego Chargers. The total for this game is currently 47.

Finally, the other AFC matchup pits the Indianpolis Colts against the Kansas City Chiefs with the home team Colts as 2-point faves with a total of 47.
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12/30/2013 01:26 AM
Top 5 NFL Trends


KC
IND Under is 7-0 in Colts last 7 Saturday games.


NO
PHI Under is 6-0-1 in Eagles last 7 playoff home games.


NO
PHI Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games on grass.


NO
PHI Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.


KC
IND Over is 4-0-1 in Chiefs last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
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12/30/2013 01:36 AM
Injury Report:


Carolina Panthers

Steve Smith WR Ques Jan 12 - Knee - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Colin Cole DT Ques Jan 12 - Calf - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Chris Scott G Out indefinitely - Knee - 12/15/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jonathan Stewart RB Out indefinitely - Knee - 12/15/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
James Dockery CB I-R - Shoulder - 11/15/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jeff Byers C I-R - Foot - 11/05/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Amini Silatolu G I-R - Knee - 10/16/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Charles Godfrey S I-R - Achilles - 09/17/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Garry Williams T I-R - Knee - 09/11/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0


Cincinnati Bengals

Devon Still DT Ques Jan 5 - Back - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jermaine Gresham TE Ques Jan 5 - Hamstring - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Tyler Eifert TE Ques Jan 5 - Shoulder - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Alex Smith TE Ques Jan 5 - Wrist - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Terence Newman CB Out indefinitely - Knee - 12/22/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Zac Robinson QB Out indefinitely - Elbow - 09/04/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Kevin Huber P I-R - Mouth - 12/17/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Clint Boling G I-R - Knee - 12/03/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Geno Atkins DT I-R - Knee - 11/04/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Taylor Mays S I-R - Shoulder - 10/30/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Leon Hall CB I-R - Achilles - 10/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Robert Geathers DE I-R - Elbow - 09/18/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Emmanuel Lamur LB I-R - Shoulder - 09/04/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Sean Porter LB I-R - Shoulder - 09/04/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Brandon Joiner LB I-R - Undisclosed - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0


Denver Broncos

Wes Welker WR Prob Jan 12 - Concussion - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Derek Wolfe DE Ques Jan 12 - Illness - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Kayvon Webster CB Ques Jan 12 - Thumb - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Steve Vallos C Ques Jan 12 - Concussion - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Rahim Moore S Out Jan 11 - Leg - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Von Miller LB out for season - Knee - 12/23/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Kevin Vickerson DT I-R - Hip - 11/26/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Stewart Bradley LB I-R - Wrist - 10/27/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Dan Koppen C I-R - Leg - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Ryan Clady T I-R - Foot - 09/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0


Green Bay Packers

Clay Matthews LB Ques Jan 5 - Thumb - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Brad Jones LB Ques Jan 5 - Ankle - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Johnny Jolly DT I-R - Shoulder - 12/22/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Brandon Bostick TE I-R - Foot - 12/22/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Johnathan Franklin RB I-R - Concussion - 11/28/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Casey Hayward CB I-R - Hamstring - 11/24/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
James Nixon CB I-R - Knee - 11/24/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Sederrik Cunningham WR I-R - Wrist - 11/24/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Seneca Wallace QB I-R - Groin - 11/13/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jermichael Finley TE I-R - Neck - 11/05/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Sam Barrington LB I-R - Hamstring - 11/05/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Greg Van Roten G I-R - Foot - 10/15/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Bryan Bulaga T I-R - Knee - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Rob Francois LB I-R - Achilles - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
DuJuan Harris RB I-R - Knee - 08/28/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0


Indianapolis Colts

Ricky Jean-Francois DT Ques Jan 4 - Foot - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Daniel Adongo LB Ques Jan 4 - Hamstring - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Sergio Brown S Ques Jan 4 - Groin - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Joe Reitz G Ques Jan 4 - Concussion - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Cory Redding DE Ques Jan 4 - Shoulder - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Mike McGlynn G Ques Jan4 - Elbow - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Vontae Davis CB Ques Jan 4 - Groin - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Montori Hughes DT out for season - Knee - 12/24/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Pat Angerer LB I-R - Knee - 12/18/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Chris Rainey RB I-R - Leg - 12/10/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Delano Howell S I-R - Foot - 11/27/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Reggie Wayne WR I-R - Knee - 10/22/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Ahmad Bradshaw RB I-R - Neck - 10/08/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Dwayne Allen TE I-R - Hip - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Donald Thomas G I-R - Quadricep - 09/17/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Vick Ballard RB I-R - Knee - 09/13/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Justin Hickman LB I-R - Foot - 09/01/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Lawrence Sidbury LB I-R - Shoulder - 08/27/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0


Kansas City Chiefs
ATS* O/U*
Player Status/Updated
Current

Season

Current

Season
Branden Albert T Ques Jan 4 - Knee - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Justin Houston LB Ques Jan 4 - Elbow - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Sanders Commings DB I-R - Shoulder - 12/01/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Travis Kelce TE I-R - Knee - 10/13/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0



New England Patriots

Josh Boyce WR Ques Jan 11 - Foot - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Devin McCourty DB Ques Jan 11 - Concussion - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Alfonzo Dennard CB Ques Jan 11 - Knee - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Mark Harrison WR Out indefinitely - Foot - 09/04/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Armond Armstead DE Out indefinitely - Illness - 07/30/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Rob Gronkowski TE I-R - Knee - 12/09/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Tommy Kelly DL I-R - Knee - 11/03/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Sebastian Vollmer T I-R - Leg - 10/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jerod Mayo LB I-R - Pectoral - 10/16/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Vince Wilfork DL I-R - Foot - 10/03/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Markus Zusevics OL I-R - Arm - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
T.J. Moe WR I-R - Achilles - 09/01/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Adrian Wilson S I-R - Hamstring - 08/31/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0



New Orleans Saints

Keyunta Dawson DE Ques Jan 4 - Ankle - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Travaris Cadet RB Ques Jan 4 - Personal - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jabari Greer CB Out indefinitely - Knee - 12/16/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Kenny Vaccaro S I-R - Ankle - 12/25/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Victor Butler LB I-R - Knee - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Joseph Morgan WR I-R - Knee - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Kenyon Coleman DE I-R - Pectoral - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Will Smith LB I-R - Knee - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Patrick Robinson CB I-R - Leg - 09/18/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0


Philadelphia Eagles

Colt Anderson S Ques Jan 4 - Knee - 12/30/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Julian Vandervelde C Ques Jan 4 - Back - 12/30/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Earl Wolff S Ques Jan 4 - Knee - 12/30/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jeremy Maclin WR I-R - Knee - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jason Phillips LB I-R - Knee - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Arrelious Benn WR I-R - Knee - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0


San Diego Chargers

Brandon Taylor S out for season - Knee - 12/20/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
John Phillips TE I-R - Knee - 12/23/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Johnny Patrick DB I-R - Ankle - 12/18/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Larry English LB I-R - Bicep - 11/14/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Mike Harris T I-R - Ankle - 10/09/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Malcom Floyd WR I-R - Neck - 10/01/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Dwight Freeney LB I-R - Quadricep - 10/01/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Danario Alexander WR I-R - Knee - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Steve Williams CB I-R - Pectoral - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jonas Mouton LB I-R - Knee - 09/02/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0



San Francisco 49ers

Jonathan Baldwin WR Ques Jan 5 - Shoulder - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Carlos Rogers CB Ques Jan 5 - Hamstring - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Bruce Miller FB Out indefinitely - Arm - 12/18/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Mario Manningham WR out for season - Knee - 12/27/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Cornellius Carradine DT I-R - Knee - 12/12/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Marcus Lattimore RB I-R - Knee - 12/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Chris Culliver CB I-R - Knee - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Ian Williams NT I-R - Ankle - 10/07/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0



Seattle Seahawks

Percy Harvin WR Out indefinitely - Hip - 12/29/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Tharold Simon CB out for season - Foot - 12/13/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
K.J. Wright LB Out indefinitely - Foot - 12/09/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Brandon Browner CB Out indefinitely - Suspension - 11/26/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Greg Scruggs DE Out indefinitely - Knee - 09/05/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jeron Johnson S I-R - Hamstring - 12/12/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Sidney Rice WR I-R - Knee - 10/30/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Spencer Ware FB I-R - Ankle - 10/22/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Jesse Williams DT I-R - Knee - 08/27/13 notes 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
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12/30/2013 10:46 PM
NFL weather report: An early look at Wild Card Weekend weather

Weather could play a role in three of the four NFL Wild Card Weekend games, with cold, rain and snow in the forecast for Saturday and Sunday.

Here’s a look at the early forecast for Philadelphia, Cincinnati and Green Bay.

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5, 54.5)

The early forecast for Philadelphia calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid 20s with winds blowing SSW at 6mph from corner to corner. The Eagles have won four straight at home since the weather turned cold while the Saints have struggled in outdoor venues and average only 17.8 points per road game compared to an average of 34 points at home.

San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (-7, 46)

The Chargers could take on the cold Ohio winter in Cincinnati Sunday. The extended forecast calls for a 46 percent chance of snow and rain with winds blowing SSW at 7 mph, cooling gametime temperatures in to mid 30s. The Bengals are a perfect 8-0 ATS at home while the Chargers 4-3-1 ATS on the road this season.

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (+2.5, 48.5)

The frozen tundra of Lambeau Field will make an appearance during the Wild Card Weekend, with temperatures in Green Bay expected to plummet into the low teens for this matchup. The forecast is also calling for 25 percent chance of snow and winds blowing NNW at 5 mph. The Packers were just 3-5 ATS as hosts while the Niners boast a 7-1 ATS mark on the road.
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12/30/2013 10:49 PM
NFL Opening Line Report: Wild Card Weekend odds


A wild Week 17 made for an even wilder Wild Card Weekend in the NFL. That’s a whole lotta “wild”.

Those furious finishes have oddsmakers carefully plotting out the spreads and totals for the first four games of the NFL postseason. We talk with Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, about the opening odds for the NFL Wild Card Weekend matchups.

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5, 46.5)

Indianapolis rolled into the postseason with three-straight wins, including a 23-7 victory over the Chiefs. Kansas City, on the other hand, went 2-5 down the stretch including a narrow loss to San Diego with all its starters in Nike sideline gear Sunday.

“I don’t think resting starters is a bad thing,” says Korner. “At this point in the season, one game won’t ruin momentum or slow down players from clicking. This line is based on the Colts current play. Indianapolis has shown very well recently and they’re coming on strong. We really like this number.”

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5, 54.5)

Football bettors should keep an eye on the weather for Saturday’s game at Lincoln Financial Field. The early forecast is calling for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the high 20s, as of Monday morning. The Saints’ road woes are well documented – going 1-7 ATS away from New Orleans – and is the reason why the Eagles are favorites.

“This being an away game is the biggest factor here,” says Korner. “Philadelphia has the momentum going into this game but this being outdoors and with the possible elements, is keeping this spread from being on the New Orleans side.”

Korner says the weather could have an impact on not only the total but could give the Eagles the edge if the forecast does turn nasty.

“The Saints love to air it out while the Eagles are built more for the run,” he says. “If the weather turns inclement, then it’s defiantly conducive to what Philadelphia wants to do.”

San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (-7, 46)

Korner and his stable of oddsmakers sent out a suggested spread of Bengals -6 for this Sunday game. However, books have upped that number as high as a touchdown with money coming in on the home side.

“We thought we’d keep it lower, being a competitive playoff game,” Korner says. “But that’s been driven up. I think anyone that wants to bet San Diego should wait it out and see if this spread goes higher to 7.5.”

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (+2.5, 48.5)

The Packers got into the postseason with a thrilling win over Chicago. Green Bay opened as a home underdog versus the San Francisco team picking up steam at the right time. The Niners have won six straight, going 4-2 ATS in that span.

“The difference here is the San Francisco defense,” says Korner. “This could be a letdown for Green Bay coming off that big win. Weather will be a factor in this one too.”

Korner says the total could see major adjustments depending on the forecast at Lambeau Field. There is a 25 percent chance of snow and temperatures are expected to dip into the low teens – a far cry from the warm weather in the Bay Area.

“The total is a little high for this one,” he says. “However, a few weeks back when we had all that sloppy weather, all the games went Over. I think that is still in the minds of bettors as we’re looking at weather playing a possible role in three of the four playoff games.”
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12/30/2013 10:51 PM
Chargers live Super Bowl long shots if amazing trend continues


If you’re looking for a Super Bowl long shot to bet this NFL postseason, recent history points to the San Diego Chargers.

The last four Super Bowl winners have been featured in the Philadelphia Eagles’ home opener - Baltimore, New York, Green Bay and New Orleans – a game the Chargers won 33-30 on Sept. 15.

San Diego is currently a 40/1 long shot to win Super Bowl XLVIII – the biggest odds on the NFL futures board – the exact same price it opened the season at. The Chargers are 17/1 underdogs to win the AFC Championship.

The Bolts made the postseason cut with an overtime win over Kansas City in Week 17, getting help from losses to Miami and Baltimore, and face Cincinnati as a touchdown road underdog in the AFC Wild Card game.

San Diego finished the season 9-7 SU and 9-6-1 ATS, making the playoffs with four straight wins (3-1 ATS) to close out the regular season.
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12/30/2013 10:52 PM
Seahawks, Broncos favorites to win Super Bowl XLVIII


The NFL playoff picture is complete and oddsmakers haven’t wasted any time pricing out the favorites to win Super Bowl XLVIII.

Here’s a look at the updated futures to win the big game, as well as the conference championships, courtesy of the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas:

SUPER BOWL

PATRIOTS 7/1
49ERS 7/1
BRONCOS 5-2
PACKERS 16/1
SEAHAWKS 2/1
SAINTS 25/1
BENGALS 16/1
CHARGERS 40/1
COLTS 25/1
PANTHERS 10/1
EAGLES 25/1
CHIEFS 30/1

2014 NFC CONFERENCE

49ERS 7-2
PACKERS 8/1
SEAHAWKS 4-5
SAINTS 12/1
PANTHERS 5/1
EAGLES 12/1

2014 AFC CONFERENCE

PATRIOTS 3/1
BRONCOS 5-8
BENGALS 6/1
CHARGERS 17/1
COLTS 11/1
CHIEFS 13/1
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12/31/2013 11:40 PM
NFL line watch: Bolts bettors should wait to charge


Each week during the pro football season, Covers Expert Art Aronson looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

New Orleans Saints (+2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

What you see is what you get with the early number in this one. Philadelphia opened up as a 2.5-point favorite and, with pretty much even wagering, that’s likely to hold firm. So if you’re waiting for this one to tip a half point either way, you most likely are out of luck.

As to the game, the spread seems to be too thin by about a point - especially considering that the Saints have not played one game this season in cold weather, which is invading the Northeast this week.

Did you think on Halloween night that the Eagles had a ghost of a chance of going 7-1 on the back nine? Only a defensive letdown in Minnesota sits between Philly and an eight-game winning streak. Andy Reid might still be in town if he had had more confidence in Nick Foles and less in Michael Vick.

Spread to wait on

San Diego Chargers (+7) at Cincinnati Bengals

Say what you want about Andy Dalton, but the kid is seventh in the league in passing yards and the Bengals have put up nearly 27 points a game (more than Seattle, San Francisco and Indianapolis) this season.

Just about a month ago the Bengals headed west and picked up a nice 17-10 win over San Diego in a defensive battle that was primarily played out between the 40 yard lines.

There has been decent early money on Cincinnati, even with the substantial line, but if the money gets serious come close to game time, they might be forced to either throw another half point more on the number.

San Diego backers, who like the way the Chargers have played on the road this season (wins at Denver, Kansas City and Philadelphia give the Bolts some significant street cred), could then swarm.

Total to watch

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (46.5)

You can build a legitimate case for this one going Under based on the game that these teams played in Kansas City a little more than a week ago. The Colts’ defense put the hammer down on Kansas City’s offense, holding the Chiefs to just about 300 total yards.

But the Chiefs were crushed by turnovers in that game. Three fumbles were lost, and K.C. recovered three more of its own bobbles. Alex Smith also threw an interception.

All that won’t happen the second time around. The Chiefs should be fresh (most starters sat out the regular season finale) and figure to move the ball. Adjustments will be made and there should be some points scored in this one.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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01/01/2014 11:58 AM
NFL line watch: Bolts bettors should wait to charge

Spread to bet now

New Orleans Saints (+2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

What you see is what you get with the early number in this one. Philadelphia opened up as a 2.5-point favorite and, with pretty much even wagering, that’s likely to hold firm. So if you’re waiting for this one to tip a half point either way, you most likely are out of luck.

As to the game, the spread seems to be too thin by about a point - especially considering that the Saints have not played one game this season in cold weather, which is invading the Northeast this week.

Did you think on Halloween night that the Eagles had a ghost of a chance of going 7-1 on the back nine? Only a defensive letdown in Minnesota sits between Philly and an eight-game winning streak. Andy Reid might still be in town if he had had more confidence in Nick Foles and less in Michael Vick.


Spread to wait on

San Diego Chargers (+7) at Cincinnati Bengals

Say what you want about Andy Dalton, but the kid is seventh in the league in passing yards and the Bengals have put up nearly 27 points a game (more than Seattle, San Francisco and Indianapolis) this season.

Just about a month ago the Bengals headed west and picked up a nice 17-10 win over San Diego in a defensive battle that was primarily played out between the 40 yard lines.

There has been decent early money on Cincinnati, even with the substantial line, but if the money gets serious come close to game time, they might be forced to either throw another half point more on the number.

San Diego backers, who like the way the Chargers have played on the road this season (wins at Denver, Kansas City and Philadelphia give the Bolts some significant street cred), could then swarm.


Total to watch

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (46.5)

You can build a legitimate case for this one going Under based on the game that these teams played in Kansas City a little more than a week ago. The Colts’ defense put the hammer down on Kansas City’s offense, holding the Chiefs to just about 300 total yards.

But the Chiefs were crushed by turnovers in that game. Three fumbles were lost, and K.C. recovered three more of its own bobbles. Alex Smith also threw an interception.

All that won’t happen the second time around. The Chiefs should be fresh (most starters sat out the regular season finale) and figure to move the ball. Adjustments will be made and there should be some points scored in this one.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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