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junkmansports
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My thoughts on the TCU game

0 Reply | 714 Views
On 09/02/2011 10:24 AM in NCAA Football
I have no play on this game just a few thoughts

The frogs and bears line up for what may be a huge game for TCU. TCU starts its last season in the Mountain West Conference, and must replace Dalton with Matt Brown or Casey Pachal. If Pascal goes down the freshman Brown must take over. TCU’s defense is expected to be as strong as ever. LBs Tank Carder and Tanner Brock are both on the preseason Butkus Award watch list.

So what we have here on the TCU side is young QB’s and a very strong D.

There is no longer that underlying wonder of whether Baylor can have a winning season.

Plus, Griffin is going into his fourth season, though he is still classified as a junior after a medical hardship because of his early season-ending knee injury two years ago.

The Bears return several top receivers and expect Terrance Ganaway to fill a hole at running back in an offense that last season set school records with 6,179 total yards and 405 points.

Baylor was on par with other offenses in the high-scoring Big 12 last season with 475 yards and 31 points a game. But the Bears also had one of the worst defenses, giving up 435 yards and 31 points a game.

New Bears defensive coordinator Phil Bennett brings an aggressive style and a sense that things can be much better on that side of the ball.

ATS Trends
Texas Christian

Horned Frogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Big 12.
Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

Baylor

Bears are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 games as a home underdog.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.

OU Trends
Texas Christian

Under is 8-1 in Horned Frogs last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 6-1-1 in Horned Frogs last 8 vs. Big 12.
Under is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games in September.

Baylor

Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 non-conference games.
Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 home games.
Over is 7-2 in Bears last 9 games overall.

Head to Head

Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meeting

Good Luck

Junk
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