coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:22 AM

Dolphins have covered 5 straight games

Miami has been out gained by over 350 yards by opponents this season

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:24 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:25 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:26 AM

Saints off a road loss: 19-2 ATS

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:26 AM

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (-1.5, 45)

Tom Brady, whose completion percentage is his lowest since 2004, needs one win to match Dan Marino (147) for fourth place on the all-time list. The future Hall of Famer threw a late interception to seal last week's 24-20 loss to the Dolphins - the Patriots' first game since losing All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski to a season-ending knee injury two weeks ago.

Baltimore's four-game winning streak is tied for the NFL's longest with San Francisco - the team it beat to win last season's Super Bowl - and the Ravens' last two wins have come in dramatic fashion. Justin Tucker's 61-yard field goal in the final minute stunned Detroit on Monday night, one week after Joe Flacco capped a back-and-forth thriller against Minnesota with the game-winning touchdown pass with four seconds left.

LINE: Baltimore opened -2.5 and is now -1.5, with the total down a half-point to 45.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 55 percent chance of thunderstorms and wind blowing across the width of the field at 12 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New England (-4.8) - Baltimore (-0.5) - home field (-3.0) = Patriots -1.3
TRENDS:

* Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous outing.
* Ravens are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:26 AM

Maurice Jones Drew, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (Questionable, hamstring)

While the word "playoffs" and "Jaguars" never go in the same sentence, the Jaguars did put up four wins this season which is better than most predicted. The Jags are running out of healthy offensive players with running back Maurice Jones-Drew questionable, tight end Marcedes Lewis questionable, WR Cecil Shorts on IR, guard Will Rackley on IR and their backup guard Austin Pasztor also questionable Sunday. The Jaguars are ranked dead-last in the league in points scored (15.8) and are 30th or worse in total yards and rushing yards. The Jaguars have only completed 32 percent of their third-down conversion attempts. The Titans travel to Jacksonville looking for their first division win of the year and revenge over their 29-27 loss to the Jaguars earlier in 2013.

The Titans are 5-point favorites on the road against Jacksonville. The total is 44.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:26 AM


Matchup: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

Spread: Panthers minus-3
Public consensus pick: 62 percent picked Panthers

Public perception: The Saints would be expected to get the most betting support, but the Panthers have been picking up followers all season and it doesn't help the Saints' cause that they lost on the road at St. Louis last Sunday.

Wiseguys' view: The sharps have also contributed in driving this line higher. The advance line at the LVH SuperBook a week ago Tuesday was Panthers minus-2.5 and we've seen many books go as high as minus-3.5, but that's where the wiseguys have been buying back on the Saints.

Tuley's take: This is exactly what I was talking about in the previous game. The Saints beat the Panthers 31-13 just two weeks ago and now we're getting them with points. I'm not a big "revenge" handicapper and instead prefer to take the team that has shown it can beat the other team already (especially if now getting points). Granted, the last meeting was in New Orleans and Carolina is 5-1-1 ATS at home this year while the Saints are 1-6 ATS on the road, but I still believe a repeat of the first meeting is more likely than the Panthers turning the tables.

The pick: Saints

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:29 AM

NFL BLITZ BIG 5 PICKS

1) Titans -4.5
2) Bills +1.5


Bills match up well against the Dolphins...

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:29 AM

- The Bengals, in the hunt for home-field advantage in the playoffs, are 6-0 in Cincinnati this season while outscoring opponents 199-103 in those games.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13439 Followers:19
12/22/2013 10:29 AM

Saints under Coach Payton off any loss: 17-4 ATS streak

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0