coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:44 AM

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-3, 45.5)

Panthers’ time of possession vs. Saints’ Superdome offense

The Seahawks may have laid the blueprint for locking down the Saints during last Monday’s squash, but Carolina coach Ron Rivera may not even look to his defense to slow down Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense Sunday night. The Panthers offense can do that. Carolina tops the league in time of possession, chewing up more than 33 minutes per game, and has limited opponents to an average of 58.7 plays per game – fewest in the NFL.

New Orleans defense is improved but the backbone of the Big Easy is Brees and that potent pass game. The Saints sit second in time of possession this season - 32:30 – but held on to the football for only 26:22 in the loss to Seattle. Opponents have been trying to kill the clock in recent meetings with New Orleans, limiting it to an average of only 29:05 TOP and just over two touchdowns in the Saints last three games. New Orleans is 0-3 ATS in the span.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:44 AM

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5, 42)

Quarterback EJ Manuel missed more than a month for the Bills, but he has come back to throw for four touchdown passes and one interception in his last three starts. Buffalo saw its slim playoff chances evaporate in the 34-31 overtime loss to Atlanta last week, a setback that led team president Russ Brandon to express concern over whether playing in Toronto wrecks a home-field edge for the Bills.

Tampa Bay's Mike Glennon, a third-round draft pick, had guided the Buccaneers to consecutive straight victories before running into Carolina's stone-wall defense last week. Glennon was the league's Offensive Rookie of the Month in November, but failed to throw a TD pass for the first time in the 27-6 loss to the Panthers.

LINE: The Bucs opened -2.5. The total is down a half-point from the opening 42.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with wind blowing toward the N end zone at 6 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Buffalo (+4.5) - Tampa Bay (+4.5) + home field (-3.0) = Buccaneers -3.0
TRENDS:

* Bills are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Bills last five road games.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:45 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:45 AM

Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (collarbone) is still out, QB Matt Flynn will start versus Atlanta.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:46 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:46 AM

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 40.5)

After finding the end zone just once in his first 10 games, Mike Wallace scored in his second straight contest as Miami posted a 23-3 triumph over the New York Jets last week. The Dolphins are tied for sixth place in the AFC with Baltimore, which handed the Steelers just their third loss in eight games with a 22-20 decision on Thanksgiving.

Ben Roethlisberger has thrown eight touchdown passes in his last three games - and his next one will snap a tie with Hall-of-Famer Terry Bradshaw (212) for the most in franchise history. Wallace's departure opened doors for Antonio Brown, who has reeled in an NFL-best 85 receptions and 1,103 yards - as well as six touchdowns.

LINE: The Steelers opened -3 and are now -3.5. The total opened at 41.5 and is down one point.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with a 66 percent chance of snow.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Miami (+2.0) + Pittsburgh (0.0) + home field (-3.0) = Steelers -5.0
TRENDS:

* Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 9-2 in Steelers last 11 vs. AFC.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:47 AM

Teams favored week after playing Mike Tomlin’s Steelers: 13-35 against the spread.

Ravens: 7 of last 9 games decided by 3-points or less

Only one team with a worse “yards per play” on offense than Baltimore

Minnesota giving up most points per game in the NFL

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:47 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:49 AM

NFL BLITZ BIG 5 PICKS!

1) Redskins +3
2) 49ers -3


  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0
coleryan Posts:13458 Followers:19
12/08/2013 10:50 AM

The SU winner of the last 24 Cleveland games has covered 22 times (spread has mattered only twice)

  • Last 7 Days Record: 10-5-0