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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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12/08/2013 10:26 AM

Matchup: Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots

Spread: Patriots minus-11.5 (off the board most places)
Public consensus pick: 71 percent picked Patriots


Public perception: This game is off the board at most books. The Don Best odds screen has Brandon Weeden listed as doubtful and Jason Campbell upgraded to probable, but we're still waiting for most books to post a number. The ESPN PickCenter went with Patriots minus-11.5 (which was posted earlier in the week at the BetOnline offshore book) and the public predictably sided with the Patriots, a very public team.

Wiseguys' view: When more lines are available, we'll probably see the sharps land on the double-digit underdog. The Browns have the No. 4 defense in the NFL (306.8 yards allowed per game) and that has kept them in most games. Besides, if Campbell is indeed cleared to go, the veteran has been a capable game manager.

Tuley's Take: The Browns will be tempting if Campbell is a go as double-digit 'dogs are 14-8 ATS (63.6 percent), according to our "Opening Line" column from Monday. However, I wouldn't been quite as confident with Caleb Hanie or Alex Tanney having to go against Bill Belichick and his staff.

The pick: Pass (pool play: Browns).
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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12/08/2013 10:26 AM
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS against the NFC East this season. They are 3-point faves at Washington Sunday.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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12/08/2013 10:36 AM
Teams that have played two straight overtime games: 19-19-1 ATS
(the tiredness effect seems to be accounted for) (Vikings)
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12/08/2013 10:36 AM
- Washington has rushed for at least 100 yards in 11 consecutive games, two shy of tying its longest streak under coach Mike Shanahan.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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12/08/2013 10:36 AM
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-6, 41.5)

Rams’ pass rush vs. Cardinals’ QB Carson Palmer


The high point in a low season for the Rams has been the play of their front four. St. Louis has been able to bring a dominant pass rush with just its defensive linemen, especially DE Robert Quinn who is second in the NFL with 13 sacks. Quinn has three sacks on Arizona QB Carson Palmer in Week 1, helping the Rams edge the Cardinals 27-24 as 3-point home underdogs. On the season, St. Louis has 37 sacks – tied for fifth in the league.

Palmer doesn’t respond well to pressure. The aging passer runs like he’s stuck in mud and has a bad habit of relieving that pressure by throwing away interceptions. Palmer was sacked five times and threw two INTs in the loss to Philadelphia last weekend and has been crushed 11 times in the past three games. To make matters worse, RB Andre Ellington is out of action, taking away one of Palmer’s favorite check downs when things get hot.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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12/08/2013 10:37 AM
Arizona WR Michael Floyd (ankle) & RB Andre Ellington (knee) are probable today versus St Louis.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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12/08/2013 10:37 AM
Field issues


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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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12/08/2013 10:38 AM

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12/08/2013 10:38 AM
Detroit RB Reggie Bush (calf) is probable & WR Kris Durham (shoulder) is questionable today versus Philadelphia.
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