spooky Posts:4088 Followers:294
On 12/05/2013 02:07 PM in NCAA Football

SPOOKY'S GODADDY.COM BOWL EXPRESS

All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread

SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


GODADDY.COM BOWL

ARKANSAS STATE vs. BALL STATE
Sunday, Jan 5, 9:00 pm
ESPN


Click Here to read all our betting previews at Spooky Express
In the final bowl game before the 2013-2014 BCS National Championship, we get the Arkansas Red Wolves against the Ball State Cardinals in the GoDaddy bowl. These two teams both had solid years, but the Red Wolves ended up with a 7-5 record, while the Cardinals ended up with a 10-2 record, finishing with a 7-1 record in the MAC, which featured some strong competition this year. This game could come down to the two offenses, as their defenses seem to rank pretty evenly.

When looking at the numbers, the Red Wolves allow 26.7 points per game, which is just slightly more than the 24.8 points per game that the Ball State Cardinals allow. Both of these teams saw their issues come on the road, as both of Ball State's losses came away from home, and the Arkansas State Red Wolves were just not a good road team, going 2-4 on the road in comparison to their nice 5-1 home record.

The offenses are where these two teams see big differences in terms of the numbers, as Ball State averages more than 10 points per game more than Arkansas State does. Arkansas State has scored 29.7 points per game, and Ball State has managed to put up 40.1 points per game against some pretty good competition this season.

Ball State Passing vs. Arkansas State Rushing

Two different styles of offensive play in this game. Arkansas State rushes for 206 yards per game on average, which is 29th in the country. On the other side, Ball State is a top 10 passing team, as they average 333.3 yards per game through the air. Which style of offense is going to get the best of the other? That's going to be the question that will likely decide the outcome of this post-New Years bowl game.

Consensus

Currently this sports betting line has moved to -8.5 on most sportsbooks for the Ball State Cardinals. When you look at who these two teams played and beat, it's really tough to bet against this Ball State team. They lost two tough games this year, but they had some solid wins and have a very strong passing game. Arkansas State on the other side really hasn't had any very strong wins, and they also have a tough loss on their resume against 3-9 Memphis. I think that Ball State is simply the better team and they are going to show that in this game. I think Ball State wins by 10+, and I'll take the line and try and buy down to 6 for the favorites since the line keeps dropping and gives us more value. Ball State will win this game by more than a touchdown and I have been following this team all year and think this is a high scoring game leading into the National Championship game.


BALL STATE -6

ARKANSAS STATE / BALL STATE OVER 60 POINTS

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