spooky Posts:4137 Followers:295
On 12/05/2013 02:06 PM in NCAA Football

SPOOKY'S BBVA COMPASS BOWL EXPRESS

All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread

SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


BBVA COMPASS BOWL

VANDERBILT vs. HOUSTON
Saturday, Jan 4, 1:00 pm
ESPN


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The Vanderbilt Commodores and Houston Cougars both come into this game with 8-4 records, and both had strong seasons in order to make it to the BBVA Compass Bowl game. The one big difference that you are going to see here is that the Commodores are going to be without their starting quarterback in this game. Austyn Carta-Samuels is out as he underwent knee surgery to fix a torn ACL that was suffered on October 19th. He missed two games and then started the final three games of the regular season. The team decided to do the surgery so he had time to prepare for the NFL Draft workouts.

Now, the Commodores team who grabbed eight wins this year, and averaged 29.2 points per game, are left without their quarterback, and that leaves us with many questions. They don't get any type of easy walk here either, as the Houston Cougars can definitely score, and play some strong defense as well. The Cougars score more points (33.9 per game) and allow less points per game (20.2 per game against 24.7 per game) than this Vanderbilt team does.

Houston is a big time passing team as they rank 26th in the country in passing yards per game, and this Vanderbilt defense is going to have their hands full. They average 284.1 yards per game through the air, and in total average 422.5 yards per game. Vanderbilt's defense has had a few big tests this year, but seeing how they respond to losing their quarterback in a spot where they need to step up will be interesting.

Run Game

I think the run game for these two teams could decide the outcome honestly. They are pretty even, averaging 133 yards per game and 138.4 yards per game (in favor of Houston) this year in rushing yards per game, but the two defense will be pumped up for this game.

Consensus

Here we go again. A really nice underdog that I expect to win the game outright. Not only that I wouldnt be surprised to see them win by more than a touchdown. The concern is not the talent on the field but the coaching which Vanderbilt has a significant advantage. Surprisingly the Houston Cougars are actually getting +2.5 points on most sports betting sites, and it could be moving up to +3. Regardless though, I think this is a spot where the Cougars can win this game. Just because the Commodores are in the bigger conference, doesn't automatically give them an edge. Houston has shown us that they can really score, and I think they'll cause some issues for Vanderbilt. I'm going to be taking the Cougars with the points, and I'll also lay a bet on them on the moneyline as well. Will jump on Houston as one of our moneyline underdogs but will return closer to kickoff for an update as we get closer to game.


HOUSTON +4

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