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UCF vs. BAYLOR
Wednesday, Jan 3, 8:30 pm
ESPN Click Here to read all our betting previews at Spooky Express In this year's Tostitos Fiesta Bowl, we have two teams who can score, and have played some pretty solid defense as well. The Central Florida Knights have allowed just 19.6 points per game, while the Baylor Bears have allowed 21.2 points per game on average this year. Both teams were 11-1 this year, but they did it against a fairly different level of competition, and that shows in the sports betting spread in this game.
The real stat that is absolutely mind blowing is the average points per game for these two teams. Central Florida has done a very good job scoring, averaging 33.2 points per game, which is 41st best in the country. Unfortunately though, they are going to have some keeping up to do against the top scoring team in the entire nation, as the Baylor Bears average an absolutely insane 53.3 points per game on the year. Scoring that many points is something that is just hard to explain, except that this offense is more than just a bit explosive.
Yards per game is a stat that you have to look at though, as Baylor ranks first in the country in that stat as well, averaging 624.5 yards per game. Not only has Baylor done it through the air, with 359.3 yards per game, but they do it on the ground also with 265.2 yards per game rushing. Those are some pretty scary numbers for any defense, and you can bet that Central Florida is going to have to find a way to slow this offense down if they want to make it a game.
We talked about Baylor's great passing game, but Central Florida has done a good job airing it out also, averaging 280 yards per game, which is 28th best in the country. Blake Bortles for UCF is going to be a huge part of this game, and he's going to have to show everyone why he's projected as a high draft pick in the 2014 NFL Draft.
The Baylor Bears are one of the bigger sports betting favorites in this bowl season, and that's interesting especially in a game that's this big. Baylor is -17 on most sportsbooks currently, and while I can see them scoring a ton of points, I know that UCF is going to be hyped up out of their mind for this game. I think that Central Florida may be able to keep this within two scores. Everything points to a Baylor win and just like the Alabama game don't believe they will lose the game and worth playing in teasers and moneyline parlays. Anytime you are laying more than 2 touchdowns it becomes dicey hoping against a back door cover. Going to sit tight for now on the side but do feel this game will fly over the total and will jump on that now. Remember the Totals are opinions and the side is where we make our money and hope we do well enough with the totals to add some icing to the cake. I may come back with a play on the side later today so check back otherwise maybe we will just hope that we start rolling with the totals in tonights game.
UCF vs. BAYLOR(TBD)
UCF / BAYLOR OVER 66 POINTS
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