SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD
BUFFALO WILD WINGS BOWL
KANSAS STATE vs. MICHIGAN
Saturday, Dec. 28, 10:15 pm
Kansas State and head coach Bill Snyder have not won a bowl game in over a decade, which is very surprising thinking about some of the strong teams that they've had in years past. This year won't be an easy one either, as they are going up against a team in the Michigan Wolverines who started this year filled with big goals, goals that they simply didn't come close to hitting. Now, the Wolverines are looking to end the year on a high note, after going 7-5 this year, the same record as a Kansas State teams who had similar hefty goals for their program.
While both teams were 7-5, they were actually pretty similar on paper as well.The Wolverines' balanced offensive attack was led by quarterback Devin Gardner. But Gardner was ruled out by Coach Hoke Thursday.Shane Morris will make his first collegiate start for Big Blue when they face Kansas State.
It's safe to say that in terms of stats neither team really jumps off the page with what they do on the offensive side of the ball, but they've both had some nice wins, and some tough losses as well.
For Michigan, when looking at their losses you'll see that they lost to Penn State in four overtimes, Michigan State, Nebraska, Iowa, and Ohio State this year. All of those losses are respectable, but they are also the reason why this team isn't playing in a bigger bowl, since they couldn't grab one or two of those big wins. But that all changes now with Morris making the start.
Kansas State on the other side started their year off in a rough way, by losing to North Dakota State at home. They bounced back though before suffering losses to Texas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, and Oklahoma, all of which are respectable losses as well.
These two teams are even in quite a few ways, but one that definitely sticks out is their offensive power. Both teams can really score, as we saw them average similar numbers in points per game. Michigan put up an average of 33.8 points per game, and Kansas State scored 33.4 points per game on average. It'll be interesting to see how Michigan's offenses does with a new quarterback under center in the Buffalo Wild Wings bowl.
Very, very tough game to call here before the injury to Gardner was announced. Spooky projected this one right around the opening number and thought it would come down to motivation. While both teams are going to want it, the Wolverines suffered that brutal loss to Ohio State where they missed a two point conversion for a shot to win the game and now their dual-threat quarterback is out.
I think that Kansas State comes out with nothing to lose and pulls out this win as we posted a week ago. Kansas State should win this game by a bit more than a field goal and they have a tremendous edge on the coaching sidelines as well. So I am on Kansas State moneyline. Kansas St on the moneyline was the play a few weeks ago and the injury only helps the play. However, you will be laying a bunch on the moneyline. While it is hard to suggest the pointspread when that isn't what I originally played, you could play a teaser with Kansas St and Louisville - though that isn't my play. That is just a thought. Either way I do feel comfortable laying the points and really like the OVER in a high scoring game today. As posted all over the sides are where the play is and the totals are only opinions whether strong or not. Make sure you play the sides 3x as strong as any totals.
KANSAS STATE PK (moneyline)
KANSAS STATE -6
KANSAS STATE / MICHIGAN OVER 51 POINTS
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