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On 12/05/2013 12:34 PM in NCAA Football
All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread



Thursday, Dec. 26, 6:00 pm

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The day after Christmas features a game that absolutely stands out to me from a betting standpoint. The Pittsburgh Panthers won, and lost some ugly games this year, but it was a one point win in the second to last week of the season against Syracuse that made them bowl eligible. They finished with a 6-6 record, and now get to play a team in Bowling Green who is fresh off of their most impressive victory of the year.

Bowling Green beat the-then 14th ranked Northern Illinois Huskies by 20 in the MAC Championship Game, and that capped off an incredibly impressive 10-3 season for them. For Bowling Green in that huge game, it was the passing game and Matt Johnson, who proved to be better than Heisman candidate Jordan Lynch, as he tossed for 5 touchdowns in that big win.

Bowling Green has been quite the nice surprise this season, and now they get to go against an ACC team in the Little Caesars Bowl on Thursday, December 26th at 6:00pm EST.

Pittsburgh's 6-6 record features some nice wins though, as they did beat the Duke Blue Devils, who won the ACC's Coastal Division, and they also beat Notre Dame by a touchdown. Aside from that though, none of their other wins really jump off the page at you, but they did just enough to become bowl eligible.

Bowling Green Defense

Bowling Green's defense is absolutely ridiculous. They rank 5th in the entire country in points allowed, as they give up only 14.8 points per game. Two of their three losses this year came by a combined four points, which is pretty crazy to think about as well. This defense has kept teams under 22 points 10 times this season, and has kept teams to scoring under one touchdown or less an incredibly seven times as well. The Bowling Green defense should give Pittsburgh fits.


The numbers simply don't lie here. Pittsburgh is pretty mediocre across the board, and while they do have some talented players, they are going against a team who has played some incredibly football this year. Bowling Green does it both offensively and defensively, and I'm not sure that I can see Pittsburgh keeping up.

The spread on most sports betting sites is actually sitting still at -6 for the Bowling Green Falcons. Getting this game at under a touchdown for Bowling Green is a very nice spot, and I'm going to take advantage of it before the line moves around too much. Bowling Green could be our Bowl Game of the Year. Way too early to determine what the strongest play will be but this game should and may not be close. They probably have the biggest differential in the 35 years I have been doing this so either that says this is a no brainer or it means nothing at all. Will update as we get closer to game.


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