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Pfile Nickname roguesalmon
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12/19/2013 01:53 AM
Great stuff as usual. Thank you for your efforts with the picks,opinions. Have a good holiday season.
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Pfile Nickname spooky
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12/19/2013 09:53 AM
All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread

SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


BEEF 'O' BRADY'S BOWL EXPRESS

EAST CAROLINA vs. OHIO
Monday, Dec. 23, 2:00 pm
ESPN

On day two of the college football bowl game action, we get an interesting game between the ECU Pirates and the Ohio Bobcats. The Pirates have some very impressive wins this year, as they were able to knock off North Carolina and Middle Tennessee for starters, and also lost to Virginia Tech by only five points. The Pirates ended the year with a 9-3 record overall, but a tough loss to Marshall kept them out of the Conference USA Championship game.

In this game the Pirates get the 7-5 Ohio Bobcats, who had a pretty tough schedule this year. Ohio actually beat that same Marshall team who beat ECU, and also beat North Texas as well. Ohio did it in many different ways offensively, but they struggled a bit down the home stretch of the season, as the team lost three of their final four games.

This game is going to be an early kickoff on Monday the 23rd, and it's set to get underway at 2:00pm EST. East Carolina's offense is going to be a major deciding factor in this game for sports bettors, and we'll take a look at the match-up more in-depth here, and then get to our thoughts.

ECU Offense

It's all about that very, very nice passing game for the ECU Pirates. They have one of the strongest passing games in the country, as they rank 10th in passing yards per game at 331.5, and the great passing numbers have led to a massive number of points. The Pirates average 40.4 points per game, which is 11th best in the country, and they have been a bettors favorite when looking at betting on the total on their games.

Consensus

When you look at the Ohio Bobcats, I just see a lot of middle of the road numbers, and some losses that leave you scratching your head. They're an interesting team though, and their win over Marshall is big. ECU is a heavy favorite in this game though, as they are laying around -13.5 on most sportsbooks, and I expect this number to get to -14 and possibly even higher and why I posted this game almost 10 days ago with the lower pointspread.

ECU has the far better offense, and in all honesty they just have a better team this year. I expected ECU to push Marshall and possibly play in the C-USA title game, but they couldn't get it done. They'll show us something on Monday though, and get a nice bowl game win against the Bobcats by more than the -13.5 spread. ]East Carolina should win this game by 3 touchdowns and really dont see this game being close. As always, check back as we get closer to game.


EAST CAROLINA -12

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Pfile Nickname spooky
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12/19/2013 10:01 AM
All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread

SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


SHERATON HAWAII BOWL

BOISE STATE vs. OREGON
Tuesday, Dec. 24, 8:00 pm
ESPN


Christmas Eve is going to give us an early present in terms of a very interesting football game at the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl. The Boise State Broncos are going to be taking on the Oregon State Beavers. It's definitely worth pointing out that the Broncos have officially seen head coach Chris Petersen leave for another job. Petersen saw his team get beaten in their opening game by Washington 38-6 this year, and apparently he liked what he saw over there, as he left to become their new head coach.

Back to the game though, as Boise State is still moving forward and looking to get a bowl game win to cap off an 8-4 season. The Boise State record may look solid, but they didn't have many wins that jump off the screen at you. They lost a tight game to Fresno State by one, lost to Washington as previously mentioned, and then lost to BYU and San Diego State. Those were their major tests this year, and they just couldn't pass with flying colors.

Oregon State on the other hand finished just 6-6 this year, but that doesn't tell the whole story. They won six straight to get to that point, but their five game losing streak to end the year featured losses to ranked teams (or teams right outside of the top 25) in Stanford (by 8), USC, Arizona State, Washington, and Oregon (by 1). If that's not one of the toughest home stretches that you've ever seen, then it has to be close to it. Oregon State has an excellent quarterback in Sean Mannion, who threw for 4,403 yards and 36 touchdowns, and he'll be a player to watch.

Oregon State Offense

Passing yards and points, that's what Oregon State does. They've put up some major passing yards this year on average, as they rank 3rd in the country at 382.1 yards per game. To go along with that stat, you'll see that the Beavers rank 32nd in the country in points per game at 34.5, and that'll bode well against a Boise State defense who has struggled against the very good offenses this year.

Consensus

Boise State may rank 37th in the country in points against at 23.8 per game, but the issue is what's happened in their losses. When they played those teams mentioned above, we saw them give up 41, 38, 37, and 34 points. Oregon State can put points up, and this game should be a shootout but I will get back to that as we get closer to kickoff. This is an interesting game but I see Boise State winning this game by 2 touchdowns and I wouldn't be surprised to see them play well for the interim coach. Another money line dog that will get us the money. A lot of late controversy going on not only with the coaching situation but now with the starting quarterback. Hard to go back on the play but proceed with caution.


BOISE STATE +4

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  • 12/24/2013 09:41 PM
    It's tough to cap teams that have to send one QB home for breaking violations (peeing off room balcony got Pete's sake) or the backup getting hurt in practice and not playing well! Tough break for what should of been a great game!
    Women are Angels.
    And when someone breaks our wings, we simply continue to fly...
    Usually on a broomstick but we're flexible like that
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Pfile Nickname spooky
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12/19/2013 10:12 AM
All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread

SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION POINSETTIA BOWL

UTAH STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Thursday, Dec. 26, 9:30 pm
ESPN


That's a heck of a long bowl game name that we have here, but it has a very good match-up in it. The Utah State Aggies had an interesting year where they lost starting quarterback Chuckie Keeton, and back-up freshman Darell Garretson had to step in and get the job done for the team. The Aggies ended the year at 8-5, winning their final five regular season games, getting to play against Fresno State in the Mountain West Championship game. They fell just short, losing to the Bulldogs by a touchdown, but had one heck of a turnaround.

The Northern Illinois Huskies on the other hand are a bit disappointed not to be playing in a BCS Bowl, as it looked like they could very well be the team to make it, until they lost to Bowling Green by 20 in the MAC Championship game. The Huskies were undefeated up until that point as well, making this an even tougher loss for them to swallow. The have one of the best quarterbacks in the country in Jordan Lynch, who actually finished third in Heisman voting as well.

This game kicks off at 9:30pm EST the day after Christmas, and the question that many are wondering is whether or not the Huskies are going to be able to bounce back after that loss to Bowling Green that ended their perfect season.

Utah State Defense

The Utah State Aggies always had a good defense, but after Keeton went down, they really stepped up. They rank 7th in the entire country in points allowed, as they only give up 17.3 points per game. They run a well-balanced attack on offense, but their defense really sets them up nicely it seems.

Northern Illinois Offense

The NIU offense ranks 4th in rushing yards and 9th in points for (312.5 yards per game and 41.6 points per game), and we fully expected to see that offense just run over Bowling Green, but it was just the opposite. Bowling Green frustrated this powerful Northern Illinois offense, and I'm definitely interested to see how they do against a strong Utah State defense, which is similar to Bowling Green in terms of stats.

Consensus

Some of these pre-New Years bowl games really are great, and this should be one of them. Northern Illinois is currently a favorite in terms of the betting line. With how strong Utah State's defense is though, paired with the fact that I think Northern Illinois will be a bit let down after losing their undefeated season, I'm taking the Aggies to win this game. Utah State should win this game by almost a touchdown. Should be an interesting game with Northern Illinois offense vs the Utah State defense. You saw with Bowling Green how they shut down NIU in the championship game and I really believe it will happen again. As indicated at the beginning of the thread this is one game where we got the better of it early by grabbing a field goal and now having the line move considerably the other way. Also think this game goes UNDER the number. Not a strong opinion but passing it along nonetheless.


UTAH STATE +3

UTAH STATE / NORTHERN ILLINOIS UNDER 58 POINTS

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Pfile Nickname spooky
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12/19/2013 10:18 AM
All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread

SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


MILITARY BOWL

MARYLAND vs. MARSHALL
Friday, Dec. 27, 2:30 pm
ESPN

Friday, December 27th's afternoon bowl game is going to feature two teams who we've seen put points up early and often at times this year in the Marshall Thundering Herd and the Maryland Terrapins. The Thundering Herd finished at 9-4 and are coming off of a Conference USA Championship game loss to the Rice Owls, while the Maryland Terrapins ended the year at 7-5, and actually had only a 3-5 ACC record at the end of the year.

Have to think that Marshall is a big favorite here right? Not so fast. The Thundering Herd are currently favored by -2.5 on most online sports betting sites, and I wouldn't be surprised if it floats around that for a bit. The Thundering Herd had a tough loss, and we've seen Maryland play some strong games this year. Unfortunately though, it seemed like every time that the Terrapins had a tough game, they fell short of getting the win, and I could see that happening here as well.

The Terrapins had exactly one win over a team who had a better than .500 record (they did beat Old Dominion who is an FBS Independent as well). That doesn't make up a very impressive resume overall, and I think the Terrapins could be in trouble against a high powered Thundering Herd offense led by Rakeem Cato.

Marshall Offense

The Thundering Herd were a force offensively this year. They ranked 7th in points per game at 43, ranked 21st in passing yards per game at 291.2, and ranked 22nd in rushing yards per game at 211.2. Their offense is very, very good, and they get to go against a Maryland defense that ranks 48th in points against, but most importantly has had issues scoring at times this year. I could fully see Cato and the Thundering Herd offense having a very big day.

Consensus

All four of Marshall's losses came to bowl teams this year, and while they don't have a ton of wins over big time opponents, and lost a tight one to Virginia Tech, they had a nice win against an ECU team who I think is very underrated. Marshall is a small favorite here, and I'm going to be on this one before the line moves up much more. In my opinion, Marshall's offense will be far too much for Maryland, and just because you play in the ACC doesn't mean that you are going to be able to keep up with opponents. Marshall's defense is solid as well, as they allow only 23.2 points per game, which is going to be a problem for Maryland. Marshall should win this game by 3 touchdowns and really dont see this game being close. A very unique bowl season that there seem to be quite a lot of games that may not be close. Quite often you may want to know if I feel a game will win by 3 touchdowns why would I bother playing a moneyline and laying a few more odds. Well its gambling. Anything can happen including a back door cover. Even though a team may have a strong power rating doesnt necessarily mean the team needs to win and cover by a lot. The objective is to cash a ticket and hopefully we are on the right side more often than not. I am also playing the Over in the game since I see this being a high scoring game.


MARSHALL PK (moneyline)

MARSHALL / MARYLAND OVER 60 POINTS

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Pfile Nickname spooky
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12/20/2013 10:50 AM
All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread

SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


HEART OF DALLAS BOWL

UNLV vs. NORTH TEXAS
Wednesday, Jan 1, 12:00 pm
ESPNU

To me, this bowl game here is one that should be one of the more interesting, evenly matched bowl games, with the only difference being a defensive statistic. In terms of their per game averages on offense you are going to see that they rank anywhere from 47th to 71st between the two teams in all of the stats. That's pretty crazy when you find two teams that are this evenly matched in the Heart of Dallas bowl.

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are sitting at 7-5 overall, and they average 31.3 points per game. Their defense has been their real issue, as it's never a good thing when you allow more points on average than you score, as they allow 31.5 points per game. Their offense has some firepower, but the defense has the ability to break down at different points, which makes for a scary combination for sports bettors.

The North Texas Mean Green on the other side are 8-4 this year, and they average almost the same in points per game at 31.5. On defense though this is where the huge difference really comes in. North Texas has a much better defense than UNLV does, allowing just 18.1 points per game. They've also won six of their last seven games of this year.

While North Texas was hot to end the year, they had a few tough losses, with a close one coming against Ohio, and also losing to the Georgia Bulldogs early in the year. UNLV on the other side went 3-3 to end the year, but all three of their losses came against bowl teams, who are all strong competition.

Consensus

The UNLV Rebels do walk into a difficult spot here. North Texas essentially has a home game because they are so close to home. The Mean Green will be plenty comfortable in this one. Dan McCarney is North Texas’ coach, and he has the Mean Green playing some tremendous defense. UNLV’s run defense still hasn’t proven it can stop a good rushing attack, and I think North Texas has their way on the ground here. UNLV has had a great season, but I don’t like this matchup at all for the Rebels. North Texas is an interesting team, their defense has really been impressive at times this year, especially against evenly matched, or overmatched competition. This is a spot where I think it really does favor the Mean Green, as UNLV has a solid offense, but not one that I can see dominating this North Texas defense. UNLV's defense is also a real liability, and I can see North Texas taking advantage of this. Look for the North Texas defense and home-field advantage to lead to a comfortable win for the Mean Green. Either the public is underestimating these non BCS teams or we are in for a big surprise. North Texas will win this game by more than 2 touchdowns and surprise most everyone but Spooky. Will update as we get closer to game. The current spread on this game is at -6.5 for the Mean Green, and I love this at under a touchdown for the better team in my opinion and have been recommending this wager for weeks. I think the Mean Green win this game by more than two touchdowns though.


NORTH TEXAS -6

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Pfile Nickname spooky
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12/20/2013 10:49 PM
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SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


TEXAS BOWL

SYRACUSE vs. MINNESOTA
Friday, Dec. 27, 6:00 pm
ESPN

Out in Reliant Stadium on Friday, December 27th we get two teams who had interesting seasons to say the least. The Syracuse Orange ended up at 6-6 overall, just barely becoming bowl eligible in their last game, which was a three point win against the Boston College Eagles. The Orange had some tough losses to take, but didn't really have any wins that blow you away when you look at them on paper.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers on the other side were a nice surprise to finish out the year at 8-4 overall. They beat some solid teams in UNLV, San Jose State, Nebraska, Indiana, and Penn State. They finished their year out by barely losing to Michigan State 14-3. The Golden Gophers were a solid team this year, and they are looking to round out the year with a nice bowl game win as well.

This game kicks off with a sports betting line of right around -4 for the Minnesota Golden Gophers on most sports betting sites. I'm not surprised to see the Golden Gophers favored here, and I think in this spot against a team who they are likely to overmatch, that they could very possibly pull out a nice bowl win.

Check the Numbers

When two teams are pretty evenly matched you think on paper, you should check the stats. I really like the stats here that favor towards Minnesota. When you look at the numbers, Minnesota averages 26.4 points per game, while Syracuse averages only 22.8 per game. The defense though is what really sticks out, as Syracuse gives up 26.1 points per game, but Minnesota has played some solid offenses this year, and allowed just 22.3 points per game.

Consensus

Two teams, one who snuck into a bowl game, and the other who was prepared for a bowl game weeks ago. The Golden Gophers still aren't getting quite enough love in my opinion, and while I'd love to see this line move a little lower for the Gophers', I'm going to be looking at it for a bet on the moneyline. Minnesota's offense isn't going to have much of an issue against the Syracuse defense, but I could very likely see Syracuse not being able to put up a ton of points on this Minnesota defense. This is one of those games that I have as a small favorite and its hard to lay the points yet more difficult to take a team I am not sure can win grab only a few points. At this point I am leaning towards taking Minnesota on the moneyline and making it a small play. Will update as we get closer to game.


MINNESOTA PK (moneyline)

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Pfile Nickname spooky
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12/20/2013 10:56 PM
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SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD



FIGHT HUNGER BOWL

WASHINGTON vs. BYU
Friday, Dec. 27, 9:30 pm
ESPN2


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The BYU Cougars are looking to continue an incredible stretch of bowl game wins, as they've won seven of their last eight, and they'll get a tough match-up on the 27th of December against the Washington Huskies. The Cougars finished this year out with a 8-4 record, while the Huskies had the same record. Washington has some drama to deal with though, as head coach Steve Sarkisian left the program to go coach USC, meaning that we aren't sure exactly what to expect from this team in their bowl game.

These teams are pretty similar from a defensive standpoint, but the Huskies have had to score over a touchdown more per game on average, and they've played against a conference that features many teams who can really put points on the board. BYU has done a very good job offensively of spreading things out and working both the pass game and the run game, which has been a key to their success this year.

Both teams suffered three of their four losses away from home, so obviously they both love their home field advantage, which neither will have. Washington comes into this game as an early sports betting favorite at -3, and it's likely that this number is going to stay pretty consistent throughout the sports betting sites.

Strong Defense

Both of these teams play some good defense, and we've seen that this year. BYU for starters allows just 21.3 points per game, while Washington is a tad higher at 23.4 points per game. Both of them had tough games this year, but you can't deny the fact that Washington had to play against Stanford, Oregon, Arizona State, UCLA, and Oregon State, which makes their points per game allowed even more impressive.

Consensus

While I'm aware of the questions surrounding Washington right now without their head coach, I don't think the team will lose focus. They have some strong players across the board, and quarterback Keith Price should do a great job leading this team yet again. The senior quarterback is playing in his final game, and he'll be poised and ready to go out with a victory. I simply think that Washington has too much offense for BYU, and that they are going to get the best of them. I like the money line here with Washington, and I want to make sure that I get it before that number goes up if it does. Plus the object of the game is to win so why get beat by a point or two. Washington wins this game by a touchdown, plain and simple. Forget the coaching situation, forget everything. Too much is made of interim coaches and everything. The players play and they win this game. I would absolutely play this game on the moneyline and not risk laying any points and also love the OVER in this game.


WASHINGTON PK (moneyline)

WASHINGTON / BYU OVER 64 POINTS

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12/20/2013 11:02 PM
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SPOOKY EXPRESS BOWLING FOR DOLLARS SELECTION AND ANALYSIS THREAD


RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL

MIAMI vs. LOUISVILLE
Saturday, Dec. 28, 6:45 pm
ESPN

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Next year, the Louisville Cardinals will be joining up with the Miami Hurricanes in the ACC for what should be a tough league when all is said and done. This year though, they get to go at it in the Russell Athletic Bowl in what will be quarterback Teddy Bridgewaters' final college football game. The Hurricanes and Cardinals had strong years, and they both did so in large part thanks to some strong offensive play. Both teams came up short of their goal for a BCS Bowl, but it helps us fans out because we get an incredible bowl match-up before New Years.

The Hurricanes finished up the year at 9-3 overall, but their three straight losses to Florida State, Virginia Tech, and Duke are what sent them out of the top 25, and also out of any serious contention for the ACC Title this year. Stephen Morris had a solid year as the Hurricanes' quarterback, but made some key mistakes, just like the entire team did at different points this year.

The Louisville Cardinals on the other hand were 11-1, and early on were one of the most talked about college football teams out there. Their one single loss came to surprising team in the Central Florida Knights, who finished at 8-0 in conference play, and held off Louisville for the top spot in the American. Louisville is led by none other than Teddy Bridgewater, but they also have a defense that has been huge this year.

Louisville Defense

I really think that the Louisville defense could be the difference maker in this game. They have been absolutely great, even though it hasn't been against the best competition. Their defense allows just 12.4 points per game, and the offense helps out with 35.1 points per game. Obviously going against a Miami team who scores 35.9 points per game will be tough, but if Louisville can force turnovers then they can win this game.

Consensus

All-in-all, I'm a believer in what Louisville has done this year, and I think their defense, and Bridgewater will step up when it matters most here. Bridgewater will go out on a win, and the Cardinals are currently favored by -3 on most sportsbooks. I like the line and think they'll win this by a couple of touchdowns or so when all is said and done. Anytime I can play the moneyline when the line is 3 or less I will take that instead of getting backdoored by a point or two. I'm going to take Bridgewater and the strong Cardinals' defense to get the win, and to send Bridgewater to the NFL with a nice bowl victory under his belt. Louisville should win this game going away and once again this looks like another fantastic play. Will update as we get closer to game
.


LOUISVILLE PK (moneyline)

LOUISVILLE / MIAMI FL OVER 57 POINTS (Opinion)


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