cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/22/2013 08:02 PM

SNF - Bears at Eagles

December 20, 2013

CHICAGO BEARS (8-6 SU, 4-8-2 ATS) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) Line, Total: Philadelphia -3 & 56.5
Opening Line & Total: Eagles -4 & 56

Both the Eagles and Bears will be playing for a much-needed victory when the two division leaders meet at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday night.

Chicago got starting QB Jay Cutler back last week and was able to defeat Cleveland 38-31 while covering as one-point underdogs. This keeps the club one-half game ahead of the 7-6-1 Packers.

Philadelphia, on the other hand, lost 48-30 in Minnesota, which put an end to its five-game winning streak, but still kept them one game ahead of the Cowboys who blew a 23-point halftime lead in a loss to Green Bay.

The last time these two teams met in 2011, the Bears defeated the Eagles 30-24 as 8-point underdogs in Philadelphia. This series has been close since 1992 with Philadelphia holding a 7-6 SU advantage, but Chicago holding the 8-5 ATS edge. This includes a 4-1 ATS mark (3-2 SU) on the road.

Both teams have a slew of negative betting trends for this matchup. While the Bears are 0-7 ATS off a non-conference game over the past two seasons, the Eagles are just 2-12 ATS at home during this same timeframe.

The two teams are relatively injury-free, with the biggest potential absences both being on defense with Chicago LB Lance Briggs (shoulder) and Philadelphia S Kurt Coleman (hamstring) both considered questionable for this game.

Chicago QB Jay Cutler was a little rusty in his return from an ankle injury on Sunday, but he got the job done in the fourth quarter to lead his team to a 38-31 victory. Cutler overcame two first-half interceptions (one returned for a touchdown) and finished 22-of-31 (71%) for 265 yards (8.6 YPA) and three touchdowns.

The Bears rank second in the NFL in scoring at 29.0 PPG and have averaged 275.8 YPG through the air (5th in NFL), but have struggled mightily on defense due to their inability to stop the run. They are allowing 152.4 YPG on the ground on 5.2 yards per carry, both which rank last in the league. Chicago must shore up some of these issues if it is going to be able to contain the Eagles excellent running game propelled by LeSean McCoy.

However, as long as the Bears' receivers are healthy, this offense will be tough to keep up with in terms of scoring points. Alshon Jeffery has 80 receptions for 1,265 yards and seven touchdowns this season, and across the field is Brandon Marshall who has 90 catches for 1,185 yards and 10 touchdowns.

Chicago also has a solid ground game with 117.6 rushing YPG (13th in NFL) on 4.6 YPC (8th in league) thanks in large part to RB Matt Forte (1,200 rush yards, 4.7 YPC, 9 total TD). He has 72% of his team's rushing attempts this season, averaging 18.4 carries per game.

Although the Eagles were blown out in Minnesota by 18 points, QB Nick Foles was very effective in the game, throwing for 428 yards, three touchdowns and just one interception, increasing his gaudy season numbers to 23 TD and just 2 INT.

The Philly defense just couldn’t get stops when it needed to, which is a common theme this season, especially through the air where the club allows 292 passing YPG (2nd-worst in NFL). The team allowed Vikings backup QB Matt Cassel to throw for 382 yards and two touchdowns in the game.

Although Eagles top WR DeSean Jackson had a great game with 10 catches for 195 yards and a touchdown, the Eagles were too quick to give up on their ground game that leads the NFL in both rushing yards (152.9 YPG) and yards per carry (5.0 YPC).

They’ll need to slow the game down and get RB LeSean McCoy (8 TD), who leads the NFL with 1,343 rushing yards, more involved against a Bears defense that can’t stop the run. McCoy rushed just eight times for 38 yards against the Vikings, but if the Eagles can figure out a way to get him 20 or more touches against Chicago, then they should be in very good shape.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/22/2013 08:04 PM

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 55.5)

Chicago would like to keep some distance between itself and the Packers, who visit the Bears in the regular-season finale. The offense is humming right along no matter who is under center but the defense is an issue, surrendering an average of 31 points over the last four games and ranking last in the NFL against the run. Chicago RB Matt Forte has gone over 100 yards rushing in three straight games.

Philadelphia will be scoreboard-watching early in the day, needing a loss by the Cowboys to make a win over the Bears a division-clincher. The Eagles will also be looking for more out of a pass defense that is ranked 31st in the league. Eagles QB Nick Foles passed for a career-high 428 yards last week but has thrown an interception in each of the last two games after going his first seven starts without a pick.

LINE: Philadelphia opened as a 3.5-point fave, but has been bet down to -3. The total is up one point to 55.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 53 percent chance of showers and wind blowing across the width of the field at 8 mph.
POWER RANKINGS: Chicago (-2.0) + Philadelphia (-2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Eagles -3.5

* Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 December games.
* Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on grass.
* Over is 17-4 in Chicago's last 21 games following a SU win.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/23/2013 03:21 PM

49ers, Falcons clash on MNF

December 20, 2013

Atlanta Falcons (4-10 SU, 5-9 ATS) at San Francisco 49ers (10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) Line, Total: San Francisco -12, 45

Two teams heading in completely opposite directions clash Monday night when the Falcons visit the 49ers. While Atlanta has won-and-covered the same game just three times all season, San Francisco won its fourth straight game (3-1 ATS) last week with a 33-14 blowout victory in Tampa Bay.

These teams last met in the NFC Championship last season where the 49ers erased an early 17-0 deficit and finished the game on a 28-7 run to win 28-24 and advance to the Super Bowl. That comeback victory snapped the Falcons' four-game win streak in this series, but since 1992, the Niners hold a 16-10 advantage (SU and ATS) in this series, including a 10-2 SU mark (8-4 ATS) at home where the Over has gone 8-4. Atlanta is 13-3 ATS (81%) in road games after allowing 450+ total yards in its previous game since 1992, but San Francisco is 28-9 ATS (76%) when playing on Monday night in that same timeframe.

In terms of injuries, the Falcons could be weakened on defense with both LB Sean Weatherspoon (knee) and S Thomas DeCoud (head) 'questionable' for this game, while the 49ers could be missing some offensive depth with FB Bruce Miller (arm, IR) out and TE Vance McDonald (ankle) and WRs Quinton Patton (foot) and Jon Baldwin (calf) all 'questionable' for Monday.

The Falcons are having a miserable season, but are still playing hard with a 3-1 ATS mark in their past four games. Last Sunday they defeated the Redskins 27-26 behind two touchdowns on the ground from RB Steven Jackson.

QB Matt Ryan threw for 210 yards with one touchdown and one interception, while TE Tony Gonzalez was his top target with six catches for 62 yards and a touchdown. Atlanta’s passing offense has held up rather well throughout injuries this season, as Ryan has thrown for 277.6 yards per game (7h in NFL) with 22 TD and 13 INT. This has made up for a horrendous ground game that ranks last in the NFL with 79.3 rushing YPG.

Another big problem for Atlanta has been its struggles on the defensive end, with the team allowing 386.3 total YPG (29th in NFL), broken down into 131.4 yards per game on the ground (29th in NFL) and 254.9 yards per game through the air (25th in NFL). The Falcons were bailed out last week with some big plays though, forcing seven Redskins turnovers which is the same amount of takeaways they had amassed in the previous seven games combined. They will need to force some more miscues from Colin Kaepernick and San Francisco’s versatile offensive attack.

San Francisco has outscored opponents 102 to 50 during its four-game win streak with its defense allowing just 237.3 total YPG during this win surge. For the season, the Niners have allowed just 16.3 PPG and 299.1 total YPG, which both rank third-best in the NFL. They have done a great job in both facets, allowing only 199.7 passing YPG (4th in league) and 99.4 rushing YPG (6th in NFL), and have not allowed many long drives with a 33% third-down conversion rate.

Offensively, the 49ers rely mostly on their running game which is gaining 137.1 YPG (5th in NFL). RB Frank Gore rushed for 86 yards (3.9 YPC) of the team's 187 yards in the win over Tampa Bay last week. Gore has racked up 1,017 yards (4.2 YPC) and eight touchdowns on the season, and he scored the final two touchdowns of the NFC Championship win in Atlanta in January to cap off his day with 90 rushing yards on 4.3 YPC.

The Niners should be able to exploit the Falcons' porous defense even through the air where they have not clicked all season. They are throwing for just 179.1 yards per game (30th in NFL), but QB Colin Kaepernick (7.5 YPA, 18 TD, 8 INT) has played well during the win streak (8.1 YPA, 7 TD and 1 INT). This includes going 19-of-29 for 203 yards, 2 TD and 0 INT in last week's win over the Buccaneers.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/23/2013 03:23 PM

MNF - Falcons at 49ers

December 22, 2013

The Falcons were a few plays away from winning the NFC Championship over the 49ers last season. Instead, San Francisco grabbed the road win and the NFC title, as the Niners look to beat the Falcons again on Monday night. However, Atlanta is playing the role of spoiler this time around with little to play for following a disastrous season.

Mike Smith's team is suffering through a 4-10 season and last place in the NFC South, while enduring key injuries to wide receivers Julio Jones and Roddy White. Jones fractured his foot back in a Week 5 home loss to the Jets, while White missed three games with a hamstring injury and has broken the 100-yard plateau in just one contest. The Falcons started the campaign at 2-9, but Atlanta has won two of the last three games, including an exciting home victory last Sunday.

For the first time in eight weeks, the Falcons were listed as a favorite, taking on the struggling Redskins. Atlanta held off Washington as the Redskins failed to convert the go-ahead two-point conversion in the final minute of play in a 27-26 home victory. Washington cashed as 5 ½-point underdogs, while outgaining Atlanta by 233 yards. For all the problems the Falcons have gone through this season, the non-cover actually snapped a three-game ATS win streak for Atlanta.

The 49ers are riding a four-game hot streak after going cross-country and dominating the Buccaneers, 33-14 as 4 ½-point road favorites. San Francisco has limited all four opponents during this winning stretch to 17 points or less, while Tampa Bay put up only 184 yards of offense. Colin Kaepernick tossed a pair of touchdowns, as San Francisco held onto the ball for nearly 40 minutes.

Rewinding back to the previous meeting between the 49ers and Falcons last January at the Georgia Dome, San Francisco actually entered that contest as a 3 ½-point road favorite and trailed 17-0 in the second quarter after two early touchdown passes from Matt Ryan. The Niners erased a 24-14 halftime deficit by outscoring the Falcons, 14-0 in the second half, as Frank Gore rushed for a pair of touchdowns to give San Francisco its first NFC title since 1994 in a 28-24 triumph.

After starting the season at 1-2 SU/ATS, San Francisco has rolled from a pointspread standpoint by cashing in nine of the last 11 games with the two non-covers coming to playoff squads Seattle and Carolina. Jim Harbaurgh's own a terrific 7-0 SU/ATS record against teams eliminated from postseason contention, while Green Bay may not qualify for the playoffs and the Niners beat the Packers in Week 1.

The Falcons have had their issues away from the Georgia Dome this season, losing six of seven away contests. However, following five straight ATS losses on the highway, Atlanta has covered its last two on the road against Buffalo and Green Bay. In the role of an underdog, the Falcons have limped to a 3-6 ATS record, but have covered three in a row in this situation.

Baltimore's last-minute victory at Detroit in Week 15 snapped a four-game winning and cover streak for favorites on Monday night contests. Since there is no Monday night game in Week 17, this is the final Monday nighter of the season as favorites own a 10-6 SU and 7-8-1 ATS record. Following a 5-1 run to the 'over' to start on Mondays, the 'under' has caught up the last two months with an 8-2 stretch, as 'unders' are currently 9-7 in the Monday primetime slot.

From a totals perspective, the Falcons started the season at 5-1 to the 'over,' but the 'under' is 5-3 the past eight weeks. The 49ers have trended in a similar direction with five of their first eight games sailing 'over' the total, while five of the last six have finished 'under' the total.

The Niners are listed as heavy 14-point favorites on Monday night, while the total is set at 46. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ESPN.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/23/2013 05:45 PM

Ok i split last nights TRIPLE PLAY.......HAD PHILLY RIGHT BUT THAT TOTAL JUST WENT OVER WITH ALL THE TURNOVERS THE BEARS MADE.....Well this is what i see this evening.........With Arizona winning at in a dominating style i can't imagine the niners thinking about next week traveling to Arizona to face the Cards in a win or go home game.......So either in a outright lost or a close win i'll take the falcons and the pts to keep it close......The Falcons would love to knock off the niners and play spoiler.......The Falcons has also played two West teams to the am going to take the UNDER also.........GOOD LUCK to all.........

Niners get caught up in the type of playing in the Sticks last game.........All the pregame or halftime festivities just might keep their minds on something else then the Falcons......


Monday, December 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 8:40 PM ET Atlanta +13.5 500 MONDAY NIGHT GOY

San Francisco - Under 46 500 MONDAY NIGHT TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/24/2013 10:13 PM

Football lines that make you go hmmm...

Week 17 is that oddly shaped gift at the back of the tree that rattles like a tin can stuffed with marbles.

What the hell could it be?

NFL bettors don’t know what they’re tearing into when it comes to the regular season finale. Could it be a PS4 or an easy pointspread cover? Or is it a cheesy holiday-themed sweater or a team giving up on the year?

Needless to say, Week 17 gives us plenty to ponder with numerous head-scratching spreads to round of the schedule. Here are a few NFL lines making bettors go hmmm…

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 44.5)

This AFC North matchup holds a ton of playoff weight with the Ravens trying to get into the postseason and the Bengals attempting to improve their seeding. It opened at the always brow-furrowing 5.5-point spread and has since jumped to Bengals -6.

This number seems a little low – even with all things considered. Baltimore is on the road after getting coal stuffed in its stocking versus the Patriots in front of its home crowd while Cincinnati is playing some of its best football of the season down the stretch. The Ravens edged the Bengals in overtime back in Week 10 but Cincy is 4-1 in the five games since, with quality wins over San Diego and Indianapolis.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (+13, 53.5)

The Broncos do need to win this game to keep the No. 1 seed safe and won’t rest their starters – at least not until they run up the score early and coast on a comfortable lead. This 53.5 point total could be a tall task with the Broncos playing it safe in the final 30 minutes.

With many key players limping into the playoffs and star pass rusher Von Miller out for the year, Denver will likely hit the Silver and Black with everything it has for two quarters before turning the offense over to backup QB Brock Osweiler and the running game.

Oakland is putting Terrellle Pryor back under center, which means more runs keeping the clock ticking. The Raiders were one of the top rushing teams in the league with the dual-threat breaking off gains with his legs and are 3-5 O/U with Pryor taking the snaps this season.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-3.5, 45.5)

The Redskins have nothing left to give. Well, maybe Mike Shanahan's pink slip, but that's it. Washington played the Cowboys tough last Sunday, trying to spoil their rival’s playoff chances. And it looked like they were going to do it before Dallas scored the go-ahead TD on a fourth-down conversion in the dying minutes.

If the Redskins had any heart left, that loss ripped those leftovers out of their chests.

Enter the Giants who, after posting a goose egg through the first six games of the schedule, have been a solid 6-3 since with those losses coming to Dallas, Seattle and San Diego. New York knows how to finish strong as well, going 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS in its last nine Week 17 contests.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/24/2013 10:15 PM

NFL line watch Week 17 betting: Jump on Giants vs. Redskins

Spread to bet now

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-3.5)

Has there been a more bizarre NFL team in recent years than the Redskins? Washington started its season with controversy about its nickname and will likely finish it with eight straight losses. The last time the Redskins won, we were still eating Halloween candy.

Washington lugs a 3-12 record (1-6 on the road) into New Jersey this Sunday, with Mike Shanahan coaching his final game for the team. The only thing that smells halfway decent about this one from the Skins’ perspective is the short commute. Don’t be sucked by the half a point or the Giants’ overall lousy play. New York is actually 6-3 since its nightmare 0-6 start and should cover. Jump quickly on this one.

Spread to wait on

Buffalo Bills (+8.5) at New England Patriots

This one might be a game-time decision for bettors, because there are a lot of moving parts at the top of the AFC playoff picture. At 1 p.m. ET, the 10-5 Bengals play at home against Baltimore in a game Cincinnati absolutely has to win to have a shot at the No. 2 AFC seed, which comes with a home game and a bye.

If the Bengals get it done, the 11-4 Patriots will have to hold serve in their 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff against the Bills in order to keep that No. 2 seed for themselves because Cincy won their head-to-head battle. New England also has an outside shot at the top seed in the AFC, but Denver would have to go down at Oakland. Best to see how the Bengals are doing around 3:45 p.m. ET. Then if you can, move before the numbers or vig changes on this game.

Total to watch

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (43.5)

Have you also noticed that scores are coming down? The results, no doubt, are inflated O/U totals and the cold weather. Heading into Monday night the Under had carried in 11 of 15 games during Week 16. With depressed posted totals for Week 17 (only two games in the 50s – Detroit at Minnesota and Denver at Oakland), the pendulum appears to have swung back for the final weekend of the season.

That has created a buying opportunity on the Browns-Steelers game. Until this past Sunday, Cleveland averaged nearly 30 points in its previous three games. The Steelers, meanwhile, have had no problem scoring points at home. With a modest 43.5 on the board, an Over play looks solid.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/25/2013 01:01 PM

Inside the Stats

December 25, 2013

A Merry Christmas to you and yours.

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards.

At The Wire

As we detailed in this space the last two weeks, the final four weeks of the NFL season is a race to the wire for teams in the playoff chase. It’s also time teams out of contention put things on cruise control and start preparing for next season instead.

According to our database some coaches shine while others wine during the final four games down the stretch.

From an ATS standpoint, listed below are coaches in their BEST and WORST roles throughout their NFL career and the situational role in which appear this week. Remember, the coaches listed in this spot last week combined to ring the register with a 6-1 ATS overall performance.

All results are ATS (Against The Spread).

Best Roles

John Fox, Denver: 7-1 as a favorite of more than 9 points
Mike McCarthy, Green Bay: 8-1 as an underdog
Joe Philbin, Miami: 3-0 at home
Ron Rivera, Carolina: 4-0-1 as a favorite

Worst Roles

Dennis Allen, Oakland: 0-4 off a double-digit loss
Jason Garrett, Dallas: 1-7 vs. division opponents
Jim Harbaugh, San Francisco: 0-6 vs. division foes
Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati: 4-10 after score 24 more points
Mike Munchak, Tennessee: 0-3 off a win

Vinegar And Oil

This week’s NFL ‘leaking oil’ favorites, those who have been out yarded in each of their last three games, are the Miami Dolphins and the New York Giants. Both teams will be laying points in to avenging division rivals.

While these ‘play against’ favorites started out as a house afire to being the season they quickly returned to the norm and have settled into a 50% proposition on the season.

Put A Pin In It

Off the highest scoring week in NFL history two weeks ago, last week was the lowest scoring week of the season with 69% of the games going UNDER the total.

The net result was a 5-11 UNDER week for total in the NFL.

For the season its been 126 OVERS and 110 UNDERS, with non-conference games leading the OVER charge, going 2-0 OVER last week, to close out the season at 47-15 (76%)!

With the final week of the campaign filled with all division matchups you’ll have to wait for the Super Bowl for the next non-conference OVER play.

Coaches Corner

If you missed our report last week, here is a list of college football coaches and their career tendencies in Pre-New Year's Day games.

Good Coaches

Bronco Mendenhall, BYU: 15-6 ATS as a dog vs. < 1.000 opponent
Al Golden, Miami Fl.: 0-4 SUATS vs. 900 > foe off a SUATS win
Brady Hoke, Michigan: 15-3 ATS off a loss if team .500 or greater
Hugh Freeze, Ole Miss: 9-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech: 17-1 ATS dog vs. an opp off a loss
Jim Mora, UCLA: 6-1 SUATS off a win vs. opponent off a win of 3 >
David Bailiff, Rice: 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS with rest
David Cutcliffe, Duke: 3-1 SU/ATS as a bowl dog

Bad Coaches

Mike Riley, Oregon State: 8-1 ATS away off BB losses (WIN-Hawaii Bowl)
Rich Rodriguez, Arizona: 1-5 ATS in all bowl games
Dan Mullen, Mississippi State: 8-18 ATS vs. .750 > opponents

Stat Of The Week

Notre Dame is 0-10 SUATS in bowl games versus an opponent off a win.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/27/2013 06:30 PM

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.........

13) We noted yesterday how Jon Kitna is making around $55,000 for his one week with the Cowboys; he is donating that money to the school district where is an Algebra teacher- that’s really generous.

I wonder if he makes $55,000 a year teaching school.

12) Aaron Rodgers is a go for Sunday in Chicago; 11-point difference in Packer spreads with/without Rodgers is the biggest right now for any NFL player. Packers opened as a 3-point road favorite, so they would've been an 8.5-point underdog without Rodgers starting.

Question is, how well can Rodgers play? He's missed last seven games

11) You look at Kyle Orton and see a player with a 35-34 career W-L record in NFL; not bad. Dallas won’t be impotent Sunday, though its been a while since Orton started and played a whole game, but its not like he’s Seneca Wallace or Curtis Painter.

10) You want to know why 70% of NBA players are broke within five years of retiring? Dwight Howard bought all his teammates Rolex watches for Christmas. Real ones.

9) If you're interested in such things, over is 23-7 in Detroit Piston games, 12-4 at home, 11-3 on road.

8) Pitt 30, Bowling Green 27-- Freshman James Conner ran the ball for 229 yards and also played some on defensive line, as Pitt survived loss of senior QB Tom Savage in second quarter. Not often an ACC team is underdog to a MAC team in a bowl game.

7) Utah State 21, Northern Illinois 14-- State RB Joey DeMartino ran ball for 143 yards and a TD in his hometown, as Huskies ended season with two straight losses after almost making it to a BCS bowl. Tough end to a terrific career for NIU QB Jordan Lynch, who only ran ball for 39 yards.

6) Odd thing is that the Steelers are 7-8, Arizona 10-5, and Pitt probably has a better chance of making the playoffs, since Cardinals need New Orleans to lose at home to the Bucs, which probably ain’t happening.

5) Quote of the Day, part 2, from Mark Cuban:

"I think Jerry would be crazy to fire Jason Garrett. Not that he would, but the hardest thing to do -- and I’ve said this before -- is hire a head coach. That’s the hardest thing to do in professional sports, in my opinion."

4) Hawks 127, Cavaliers 125, 2ot-- Atlanta is 3rd-best team in East; Jeff Teague hit buzzer beater for the win, offsetting 40 points from Kyrie Irving. Hawks lost Al Horford and Demarre Carroll to injuries

3) Trailblazers 116, Clippers 112 ot-- LaMarcus Aldridge scored 32 points three days after he had his wisdom teeth removed; this was an excellent game.
Chris Paul had 34 points, 16 assists for the Clippers, who lost second tough road game in 28 hours.

2) Michigan will start freshman QB Shane Morris in its bowl game Saturday, with starting QB Devin Gardner sidelined by turf toe.

1) Shouldn’t Texans’ owner Bob McNair order his coach to lose this week’s game, to ensure Houston gets the #1 pick in the draft? Maybe he thinks the way they’ve played this year, they’ll lose without being told to, but that #1 pick would be a huge trade chip that could improve a team in a hurry, if it could net multiple picks in a trade.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24370 Followers:32
12/27/2013 06:31 PM

NFL Week 17 road map: Games that matter

As the NFL reaches the final week of the regular season, more than half the teams in the league still have something to play for.

Whether it's a playoff spot, a first-round bye or home-field advantage throughout the conference playoffs, teams have a variety of motivations entering Week 17. Some control their own fate, while others need a little - or a lot - of help to realize their postseason dreams.

Here's a look at the games that matter as the season winds down Sunday:

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 44.5)

The Bengals have already clinched the AFC North title, but have a first-round bye in their sights. To land one, they'll need a home victory against the Ravens, combined with a New England Patriots loss in their season finale against Buffalo. The Ravens face a more harrowing path to the playoffs; they need either a win combined with a San Diego or Miami loss, or defeats by the Chargers, Dolphins and Pittsburgh Steelers if they fall in Cincinnati.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (+6, 45)

The Panthers face a wide range of outcomes. A victory or a New Orleans loss against Tampa Bay would secure the NFC South championship. Carolina also has an outside shot at the top seed in the NFC and home-field advantage all the way to the Super Bowl, but would need a win over the visiting Falcons combined with losses by the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-5.5, 41)

Miami doesn't control its destiny in its season finale. The Dolphins need to beat the Jets at home, but can't reach the playoffs unless they also get a Baltimore loss to Cincinnati, or a San Diego victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. Miami may benefit from playing a Jets team with nothing on the line, which may prompt them to give some second and third-stringers an audition.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7, 44)

The Steelers have the longest odds of any team still alive in the playoff hunt. Pittsburgh faces a must-win scenario at home against Cleveland, but that's only the beginning, it also needs Miami, Baltimore and San Diego to all lose. That would leave all four teams in a tie at 8-8, with Pittsburgh owning the tiebreaker in that scenario based on 4-2 NFC North record and the best conference record (6-6) of the remaining teams.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-11.5, 45.5)

Indianapolis has already secured the AFC South championship, but has a first-round bye in its sights. The Colts can secure the extra week of rest with a home victory over Jacksonville and a loss by both New England and Cincinnati. Indianapolis has the benefit of facing a Jaguars team with nothing to play for, a threadbare receiving corps and an expected time split between running backs Maurice Jones-Drew and Jordan Todman.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-8, 47)

With the AFC East division already wrapped up, the Patriots find themselves in a great spot to improve their position entering the postseason. The Patriots will lock up a first-round by with a victory over the Bills; even if they lose, they'll get an extra week off if Cincinnati and Indianapolis both lose. New England also has a shot at the top seed in the conference, but will need a win combined with a Denver loss.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (+11.5, 53.5)

Led by one of the most historically proficient offenses in NFL history, the Broncos are in position to enjoy a home-field edge throughout the AFC playoffs. If Denver earns a victory or tie in Oakland, or if New England loses to or ties Buffalo, Denver will have the top seed in the conference. Expect Peyton Manning and Co. to pile up the points against a Raiders defense that ranks among the worst in the league.

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-11, 43)

The Seahawks find themselves in a similar situation as the Broncos. Seattle can clinch the NFC West and home-field advantage throughout the postseason with a home victory in its season finale against division rival St. Louis. The Seahawks will also earn the No. 1 seed if San Francisco drops its last game in Arizona. Seattle fell 17-10 to the Cardinals on Sunday for its first home loss in 15 games.

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (OFF)

The NFC North Division title is at stake when the Packers visit the Bears at Soldier Field. Chicago holds a half-game lead over Green Bay, and can secure the division championship with either a win or a tie versus the Packers. Green Bay will have their MVP quarterback Aaron Rodgers back under center for the first time since Nov. 4 when he broke his collarbone.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (Pick'em, 42)

Last week's home loss by the Seahawks opened the door for San Francisco to seize the division title. But it will need to dispatch the tricky Cardinals and hope Seattle loses at home to St. Louis. San Francisco can add home-field advantage throughout the playoffs to its resume with a victory, a Seattle loss and a Carolina loss. Arizona advances with a win or tie and a New Orleans loss - a result the Cardinals will already know come game time.

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (-9.4, 45)

The Chargers have the most interesting afternoon ahead of them, as they'll already have a good idea of their playoff future going into the game against the visiting Chiefs. San Diego can only earn an AFC wild-card berth if both Miami and Baltimore lose their early games and the Chargers go on to beat a Kansas City club that has already clinched the No. 5 seed and will be resting its starters.

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+6.5, 52.5)

The final game of the NFL's regular season will decide who emerges from the mediocre NFC East. The Eagles own a slight edge over the host Cowboys, meaning they can clinch the division championship with a win or tie. Dallas needs to win outright - and faces an uphill battle a quarterback Tony Romo deals with a back injury. Neither team is eligible for a first-round bye.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: