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12/22/2013 12:06 PM
NFL

Sunday, December 22

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Saints at Panthers: What bettors need to know
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New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-3, 46.5)

The NFL postseason officially doesn't begin for two more weeks, but Carolina Panthers coach Ron Rivera considers Sunday's rematch against the visiting New Orleans Saints his team's first playoff game. "The next two games as far as I'm concerned are exactly that," Rivera told reporters. "There's a lot of importance to this game because of the importance going forward. This is about as big as it gets." The Saints can clinch the NFC South title and a first-round bye with a win, while a Panthers victory would clinch a playoff spot and put Carolina in position to claim the division and the No. 2 seed with a win next week at Atlanta.

The Saints, who were sloppy in a 27-16 loss at St. Louis last week, will try to duplicate their performance from a 31-13 home win over Carolina two weeks ago, while the Panthers have studied New Orleans' last two losses in search of wrinkles that could help reverse the result. "There were some mistakes in that game, some things that we didn't do very well and that we have to do better," Rivera told reporters. "We'll have to take a real good look at (the two losses) and see which of those things mesh well with what we do and maybe try to incorporate those things." New Orleans has won five of the past seven meetings but lost 35-27 in its most recent trip to Carolina last season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, Fox.

LINE: Carolina opened -3. The total is up one point from the opener of 45.5.

WEATHER: There is an 81 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (10-4): Drew Brees and New Orleans got the better of Carolina's stingy defense in the first meeting, in large part because they held on to the ball - eight of the Saints' 17 turnovers have come in their four losses. Brees (4,500 yards, 34 TDs, 10 INTs) is on pace for his third straight 5,000-yard season and put up 313 yards and four touchdowns against the Panthers two weeks ago. The defense continues to impress statistically, ranking fifth in total yards and points allowed, but the recent lack of takeaways is alarming with just two in the past seven games.

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (10-4): The Saints are the only team to beat Carolina since Week 5, as the Panthers have won nine of 10 to move to the cusp of their first playoff berth since 2008. Coincidentally, New Orleans is also the only team all season that did not commit a turnover against the Panthers, whose dominant defense has racked up 27 takeaways. DeAngelo Williams (743 yards, two TDs) and quarterback Cam Newton (507 yards, six TDs) lead a powerful running game, but the Panthers likely will need to get the passing game going to outscore Brees and the Saints.

TRENDS:

* Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Carolina.
* Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
* Under is 4-0 in Panthers last four vs. NFC.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. New Orleans TE Jimmy Graham has six 100-yard games, tied for the most in a season by a tight end in NFL history.

2. Newton's 89 total touchdowns (61 passing, 28 rushing) are the second-most for an NFL player in his first three seasons, trailing only Dan Marino (100).

3. The Saints cut K Garrett Hartley and signed Shayne Graham. Hartley was 22-of-30 on field goals this season, including two misses last week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/22/2013 12:07 PM
NFL

Sunday, December 22

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Colts at Chiefs: What bettors need to know
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Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (-7, 45)

The Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs are already locked into the playoffs, but where they're seeded is still in doubt as they square off Sunday in Kansas City. The Colts have clinched the AFC South but could still be seeded anywhere from first to fourth, while the Chiefs will get at least a wild card but likely need two more wins - and at least one Denver loss - to win the AFC West. It's an incredibly even matchup on paper, as the teams' season averages are separated by 3.9 yards of total offense and 2.6 yards of total defense.

The teams could meet again in Indianapolis in two weeks in the playoffs, but Kansas City coach Andy Reid says that won't affect either club's approach Sunday. "I think you prepare yourself the same way. … You go get yourself ready to play four quarters of good football," Reid told reporters. "If you play them again, you get yourself ready again. We're far along into the season where … you're not going to run out of plays." The Colts have won in four of their last five trips to Kansas City, including a 20-13 victory in Week 16 last season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: The Chiefs opened -6.5 and are now -7. The total opened at 41.5 and is up to 45.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 12 mph.

ABOUT THE COLTS (9-5): Indianapolis has been wildly inconsistent following its 4-1 start, alternating wins and losses in nine games since, and the Colts are coming off a strong performance in a 25-3 victory over Houston, so they might be due for another letdown. Second-year quarterback Andrew Luck (3,299 yards, 21 TDs, 9 INTs) has been solid, but the Colts haven't generated much on the ground since the trade for Trent Richardson. The defense gives up a lot of yards but also wreaks its share of havoc with Robert Mathis (16.5 sacks, six forced fumbles) and Darius Butler (four interceptions) leading the way.

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (11-3): Kansas City's defense led the way during its 9-0 start - the Chiefs allow an AFC-low 18.2 points per game and have the best turnover margin in the league at plus-21 - but the offense has been impressive the past two weeks. The Chiefs have rolled up 101 points in consecutive wins at Washington and Oakland and they've topped 28 points in four straight games. Jamaal Charles is the catalyst, leading the team in rushing yards (1,181), receptions (65), receiving yards (655) and scoring 18 touchdowns.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Kansas City.
* Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Colts last four road games.
* Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last four games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Kansas City's 11 wins are tied with the 2008 Miami Dolphins and the 2012 Colts for the most victories in NFL history by a team that won two or fewer games the previous season.

2. Luck needs 248 passing yards to pass Cam Newton (7,920) for the most by an NFL quarterback in his first two seasons, and he needs 77 rushing yards to pass Mike Pagel (441) for the most in a season by a Colts quarterback.

3. Smith (384) needs three rushing yards to pass Tyler Thigpen for the most in a season by a Chiefs quarterback.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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12/22/2013 12:07 PM
NFL injury report: Four injuries undervalued by oddsmakers

When marquee players go down with injuries, oddsmakers notice and value is lost for bettors. The key is to find lesser-known players that could have an impact on the scoreboard. Here are four NFL injuries not to undervalue in Week 16:

Peyton Hillis, RB, New York Giants (Out, concussion)

While the Giants have been mathematically eliminated, the Lions still have a fighting chance to make the post-season. While Detroit needs tons of help, it is still necessary to win their remaining two games. Wide receiver Victor Cruz and running back Peyton Hillis have been ruled out for Sunday for injury related reasons. Offensive lineman David Diehl and wide receiver Jerrel Jernigan are questionable for Sunday. The 30th ranked scoring offense will definitely struggle scoring more than their averaged 17.9 points. The Giants play the fourth ranked rushing defense allowing an average of 98.6 yards per game. The Lions actually have something to play for and will likely show up Sunday at home.

The Giants are 9-point underdogs on the road against the Lions. The total is 49.


Chris Clemons, DE, Seattle Seahawks (Probable, elbow)

Seattle plays the top-ranked rushing defense in the Cardinals who are allowing an average of 83.2 yards per game. The Cardinals are tied for seventh in sacks with 41.0 and are ranked fifth overall with 19 interceptions. With wide receiver Percy Harvin still questionable and running back Robert Turbin questionable, the Seahawks might not put up as many points as some expect. The Cardinals saw wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald and quarterback Carson Palmer returning to practice Thursday and are now listed as questionable for Sunday. With these two key players returning, the Cardinals will attempt to make the post-season and improve on their 9-5 record. The Cards may be more competitive than they are given credit for.

The Cardinals are 10.5-point underdogs on the road against Seattle, with the total 43.0.


Aaron Williams, S, Buffalo Bills (Out, ribs)

The Bills host the 8-6 Dolphins who are competing for the sixth seed in the AFC. The Bills will be without wide receiver Steve Johnson (personal reasons) and hope to have Fred Jackson healthy (probable) after nursing a rib injury. The Bills will attempt to put up points without quarterback EJ Manuel. All season, the Bills have struggled only completing 34 percent of their third-down passes ranking them fourth-worst in the NFL. On the defensive side with Aaron Williams out, the Bills will likely continue to give up big yardage plays - something they have struggled with all year. The Bills have given up 13 passes of 40 or more yards and give up the most rushes of 20 or more yards.

The Bills are 2.5-point home favorite against Miami. The total is 42.5.


Maurice Jones Drew, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (Questionable, hamstring)

While the word "playoffs" and "Jaguars" never go in the same sentence, the Jaguars did put up four wins this season which is better than most predicted. The Jags are running out of healthy offensive players with running back Maurice Jones-Drew questionable, tight end Marcedes Lewis questionable, WR Cecil Shorts on IR, guard Will Rackley on IR and their backup guard Austin Pasztor also questionable Sunday. The Jaguars are ranked dead-last in the league in points scored (15.8) and are 30th or worse in total yards and rushing yards. The Jaguars have only completed 32 percent of their third-down conversion attempts. The Titans travel to Jacksonville looking for their first division win of the year and revenge over their 29-27 loss to the Jaguars earlier in 2013.

The Titans are 5-point favorites on the road against Jacksonville. The total is 44.
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12/22/2013 12:08 PM
NFL weather report: Sunday's forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your NFL bets for Sunday's matchups:

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets (-2.5, 40.5)
Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 54 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow toward the N endzone at 12 mph.

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (-7, 45)
Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with cloudy skies. Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 12 mph. There is a small 10 percent chance of rain.

Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals (-8.5, 47.5)
Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field at 14 mph. There is a 54 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+5, 44)
Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow toward the N endzone at 14 mph.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (+2.5, 42.5)
Forecasts are calling for rain with wind blowing across the field at 9 mph. Temperatures will be in the low-50s.

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-3, 46.5)
There is an 81 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 12 mph. Temperatures will be in the low-70s.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (+2.5, 53.5)
There is a 51 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5, 43)
Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 59 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow toward the N endzone at 10 mph.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-10, 50.5)
Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with clear skies. Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 4 mph.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers (-2.5, 45)
The forecast is calling for snow in Green Bay with temperatures in the low-20s. Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 12 mph.

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5, 45)
There is a 51 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the high-60s with wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 55.5)
There is a 53 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the low-60s. Wind will blow toward the N endzone at 8 mph.
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12/22/2013 12:09 PM
NFL Week 16 betting road map: Three pitfalls to avoid Sunday

The final weeks of the NFL season are some of the hardest to handicap. From bad weather, tanking teams, possible spoilers, and franchises fighting for the playoffs, there are plenty of traps along the way for bettors in late December. However if you can find the right angle, there is more than enough value to go around.

Here’s a NFL Week 16 road map, plotting a course through those pitfalls Sunday.

Tanking team

Jacksonville is in the midst of a race with the St. Louis Rams (who have Washington's pick) and the Oakland Raiders for a Top-3 pick in the NFL draft. With both the Raiders and the Jaguars sitting at 4-10, both teams can't really afford to win another game, especially Jacksonville.

The team has problems filling the stadium thanks to a string of losing seasons in the small Florida market and desperately needs a franchise player to draw crowds. The Jaguars are 5-point home underdogs hosting Tennessee Sunday.


Playing for coach

The Raiders might be a prime tanking candidate if not for the recent rumors that respected head coach Dennis Allen is on the hot seat. With the Raiders 4-2-1 ATS away from the Oakland Coliseum and already posting an upset win over the Chargers early in the season, Oakland’s added motivation could make this a close game with their California rivals.

It’s a good value spot for the Raiders when you throw in the travelling army of Silver and Black fans that invade San Diego and rookie QB Matt McGloin trying to earn a chance in 2014 against a soft Chargers secondary.


Spoiler alert

Buffalo will be looking to upset the Miami Dolphins in a big way at Ralph Wilson Stadium Sunday. The Bills can't really tank at 5-9 and are a stellar 5-1 ATS in the friendly confines of upstate New York this season.

The Bills pass rush, led by Mario Williams, should give a Dolphins team, well noted for its offensive line issues, serious troubles. Miami has been playing well and has worked its way into the playoff picture after upsetting the Patriots at home. But Buffalo is a very good home team that matches up well with the Fins.
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12/22/2013 12:09 PM
Essential betting tidbits for Week 16 of NFL football

- Cleveland WR Josh Gordon has 841 receiving yards and six touchdowns over his previous five games.

- Jets rookie QB Geno Smith has thrown at least one interception in 12 of 14 games this season, and has posted single digit QBR totals six times.

- Kansas City is the first team in league history to score multiple touchdowns via interception (five), kickoff return (two), punt return (two) and fumble return (two) in the same season.

- The Indianapolis Colts are surrendering the fifth-highest average rushing yardage per game (128.9). Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles averages 156.5 yards in two career games against the Colts.

- The Bengals, in the hunt for home-field advantage in the playoffs, are 6-0 in Cincinnati this season while outscoring opponents 199-103 in those games.

- Vikings RB Adrian Peterson, ranked second in the NFL with 1,221 rushing yards, is expected to play Sunday after missing last week's game with a foot injury.

- Denver Broncos QB Peyton Manning gets a reprieve from the cold in Houston this week after playing his previous four games in chilly weather. Manning has thrown for 3,561 yards with 35 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 10 games where the temperature at kickoff was above 41 degrees Fahrenheit.

- The Broncos (-10) are the top Covers consensus ATS pick against Houston (78.5 percent).

- Playing for injured RB Maurice Jones-Drew last week, Jordan Todman rumbled for 109 yards and added four catches for 44 yards in a loss to Buffalo. Todman may start again this week with Jones-Drew questionable.

- Tennessee has lost all four of its divisional games so far in 2013, though none of the defeats came by more than eight points.

- Expect a low-scoring game in Buffalo, where the Bills host a Miami Dolphins squad that has played the "under" in eight of its last nine encounters with AFC East opponents.

- Buffalo comes into Sunday's game needing one sack to equal the unofficial franchise record of 50 set by the 1964 edition. It's a good bet to happen against a Dolphins team that has allowed the most sacks in the NFL (51).

- The Carolina Panthers had no answer for the New Orleans Saints in their last encounter, allowing quarterback Drew Brees to rack up 313 yards and four touchdowns in a 31-13 victory.

- The Panthers are tied for second in the NFC in turnover differential (plus-11), and are the only team in the NFL to rank in the top five in both passing yards allowed (211.4 per game) and rushing yards against (84.9).

- Washington QB Kirk Cousins makes his third career NFL start against a Cowboys secondary allowing the most passing yards in the league (4,163).

- Dallas has won all four of its divisional games, including a 31-16 home triumph over the Redskins in Week 6.

- The St. Louis Rams are the lone NFC West lightweight when it comes to ATS play, going 6-8 so far. The Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals are all 10-4 ATS through the first 14 weeks.

- The Tampa Bay defense has shown a proficiency when it comes to buckling down after a rough loss, with the "under" going 5-0 in the Buccaneers' last five games following a double-digit loss at home. Tampa Bay fell 33-14 to visiting San Francisco last week.

- The Seahawks have been nearly invincible at home this season, winning all six games by an average of 18.7 points. Their 14-game home winning streak is the longest in franchise history.

- Arizona WR Larry Fitzgerald (concussion) is expected to play Sunday after practicing throughout the week. Fitzgerald was nullified in the last meeting between the teams, finishing with two catches for 17 yards in a 34-22 loss.

- Lions QB Matthew Stafford has struggled mightily over his last two games, throwing for just 386 combined yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. Stafford has never faced the Giants.

- New York is 5-9-0 ATS on the season, tied with Atlanta for the third-worst mark in the NFC. Only Washington (4-10-0) and Chicago (4-9-1) have been worse.

- Oakland's improving offense and deteriorating defense have made the "over" a strong play since the midway point of the season, going 6-0-1 in the Raiders' last seven games. The over/under for Sunday's game in San Diego is 50 1/2.

- Philip Rivers had his way with the Raiders' pass defence in their previous encounter - erupting for 411 yards and a pair of scores - but also had three interceptions in the 27-17 Oakland victory.

- The Steelers have been one of the hottest ATS plays since early-November, going 5-1-0 over that stretch. Pittsburgh is a 2 1/2-point underdog at Green Bay despite the Packers being without QB Aaron Rodgers (collarbone).

- Green Bay has struggled ATS, going 1-6-0 in its last seven contests. That includes an 0-4 stretch ATS in its previous four home games.

- Patriots QB Tom Brady has put a difficult start to the season behind him, averaging better than 370 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and four interceptions over his last six games.

- The Ravens are last in the NFL at just three yards per rush attempt and have scored only six touchdowns on the ground. The Patriots are surrendering 4.4 yards per carry, the eighth-highest mark in the league.

- The Philadelphia pass defense is 31st in yards allowed, while the Bears' Brandon Marshall and Alston Jeffery are the most prolific receiving duo in the league with a total of 2,450 yards.

- Eagles QB Nick Foles passed for a career-high 428 yards last week, and has 23 touchdown passes against just two interceptions.
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12/22/2013 12:10 PM
Week 16 action report: Public all over Carolina

Another NFL season is coming down to the wire for and while there is much on the line for many teams trying to capture division titles and playoff berths, others are playing just for pride.

We talk to an oddsmaker from BetDSI, about the biggest line moves in Week 16 and where those odds could end up come kickoff on Sunday.

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers - Open: -3, Move: N/A

The winner of this game will control their own destiny when it comes to claiming the NFC South division crown. With the Saints stumbling in St. Louis and the Panthers taking care of business last week, the public has sided with Carolina.

"This is the highest volume game of the week for sure, with close to zero action on New Orleans," an oddsmaker from BetDSI tells Covers. "Bet count and money wagered are both pushing three-to-one in favor of the Panthers and there is no sharp opinion on the game at all to this point. The only New Orleans wagers hitting the board are in the form of teaser plays."


Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs - Open: -6.5, Move: -7

This game could go a long way in determining seeding in the AFC playoffs. The Colts, who were giant killers early in the season need to improve quickly if they hope to be anymore than one-and-done in the postseason. While the Chiefs are still clinging to hope they can snatch the NFC West back from Denver. Despite all this, the action on this game is based purely on the line.

"This matchup is simply about the number," BetDSI told Covers. "When the line bounces to -6.5, the money flows to the Chiefs. When the number jumps to -7, money flows to the Colts."


Arizona Cardinal at Seattle Seahawks - Open: -10.5, Move: -10

The ultra-surprising nine-win Arizona Cardinals wouldn't be in the playoffs if the season ended today, but even more impressive is their 10-4 ATS mark. Sunday they travel to Seattle to face the Seahawks and the 12th Man where they opened as double-digit dogs.

"The number has been to 10.5 all the way down to 9," BetDSI said. "There was sharp money backing the Cardinals at the 10.5 number. That is keeping us at the 10 value right now, taking public teaser action into consideration as well."
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12/22/2013 12:24 PM
Sunday, December 22

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Miami -1 500 *****
Buffalo - Under 42 500

New Orleans - 1:00 PM ET Carolina -3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Carolina - Under 44.5 500

Dallas - 1:00 PM ET Washington +3 500
Washington - Over 51.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Tampa Bay - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +3.5 500
St. Louis - Over 43 500

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET N.Y. Jets -2 500
N.Y. Jets - Under 41.5 500

Indianapolis - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City -7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Kansas City - Under 47 500

Minnesota - 1:00 PM ET Minnesota +7.5 500 *****
Cincinnati - Over 47.5 500

Denver - 1:00 PM ET Denver -10 500
Houston - Over 53 500

Tennessee - 1:00 PM ET Jacksonville +4 500
Jacksonville - Over 44 500 *****
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12/22/2013 01:45 PM
Afternoon Games:



Arizona - 4:05 PM ET Arizona +10 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Seattle - Under 43 500

N.Y. Giants - 4:05 PM ET N.Y. Giants +8 500
Detroit - Over 48 500

Oakland - 4:25 PM ET Oakland +10 500 *****
San Diego - Over 51 500 *****

Pittsburgh - 4:25 PM ET Green Bay -1 500
Green Bay - Over 44 500 *****

New England - 4:25 PM ET Baltimore -1 500 *****
Baltimore - Under 45.5 500 *****
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12/22/2013 08:00 PM
Sunday Night POD:


Chicago - 8:30 PM ET Philadelphia -2.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Philadelphia - Under 55 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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