cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/05/2013 05:30 PM

Louisville at Cincinnati

December 4, 2013


The final Thursday night NCAA matchup of the regular season is not the conference championship deciding game many expected it to be before the season started, but there is still a lot on the line in this American Athletic Conference game between Louisville and Cincinnati. Both teams have great records, but through soft scheduling and in most scenarios this game will determine the #2 team in the league.

Match-up: Louisville Cardinals at Cincinnati Bearcats
Venue: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio (fieldturf)
Date: Thursday, December 5, 2013
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET - ESPN
Line: Louisville -3 ½, Over/Under 51
Last Meeting: 2012 at Louisville, Louisville (-3½) 34-31 OT

With Central Florida's narrow comeback win last week, Louisville is out of the running for the AAC title and while a win puts the Cardinals at 11-1, there is no realistic shot for a BCS bowl opportunity. In most scenarios, Louisville will get to play one of its future ACC foes in the Russell Athletic Bowl or the Belk Bowl on December 28 regardless of what happens in this game, despite being a team most expected to run away with the AAC Championship and even be in that national title picture with a likely undefeated season.

The same bowl scenarios are lined up for Cincinnati as this is essentially the second place game in the AAC, though there is a chance Cincinnati could pass UCF for the top spot and the BCS bid with a win if the Knights fall to SMU on Saturday. There is also a chance Cincinnati could get passed by Houston and fall to #4 in the AAC picture if they lose badly, even though they will end up with a better conference record either way. That scenario would mean a cold weather Pinstripe Bowl trip also on December 28. Cincinnati and UCF did not play in the AAC schedule, so the tiebreaker will be the final BCS rankings and to get by the Knights, Cincinnati would need to win impressively in this game and count on a big upset Saturday.

Both of these teams have played extremely weak schedules this season, but Cincinnati has a bit of late season momentum with six straight wins and ATS wins in four of the last five games after some shaky early season performances. Louisville has covered just once in the last seven games, but there are fairly substantial statistical edges for the Cardinals on both sides of the ball. On the season, Louisville has gained 6.8 yards per play on offense compared with 6.4 for Cincinnati. On defense, Louisville allows just 4.1 yards per play compared with 4.7 for Cincinnati. Louisville is in the top 15 nationally in both categories, including third nationally on defense.

Against common opponents in six AAC games, the numbers are pretty similar with slight edges for the Cardinals. Louisville has out-gained those teams by 196.5 yards per game while out-scoring them by 17.1 points per game. Cincinnati has been nearly as dominant, out-gaining those foes by 186.3 yards per game while out-scoring them by 15.3 points per game. The big difference is that Cincinnati only went 5-1 in those games, inexplicably losing to South Florida, but the Bulls had two defensive touchdowns in that game. Cincinnati's statistics in conference play may also be helped by not having to play the best team, UCF, the one team Louisville lost to.

As in any game, quarterback play is at the forefront and while potential top 5 NFL draft pick Teddy Bridgewater has not had a Heisman Trophy caliber season, despite being one of the early season favorites, he has had a tremendous season. Bridgewater has passed for over 3,200 yards this season with 25 touchdown passes against just three interceptions. His 71 percent completion mark has the NFL scouts impressed as his accuracy has been top notch and has improved each season.

After an early season injury to Munchie Legaux, Brendon Kay has led the way for the Bearcats. He has also produced great numbers with over 70 percent completions on the season, passing for nearly 2,800 yards with 22 touchdown passes. Kay has thrown five interceptions in the last four games as his numbers have been a little inconsistent in conference play. The same can be said for Bridgewater, however, as he has just two touchdown passes in the last three games, failing to top 300 yards in any of those games as the scoring has dropped for the Cardinals late in the season.

The weather will be something to keep an eye with both teams leaning on the passing game in most situations. Rain is almost a certainty Thursday night in Cincinnati with the temperature expected to drop severely in the evening hours, going from a high around 60 to likely close to just 30 degrees for the second half of the game.

Last Meeting: This game went to overtime last season, though Louisville had a big yardage edge coming back from a halftime deficit. Cincinnati had three turnovers in the game as they missed an opportunity for what would have been a solid upset over a then undefeated team that was ranked #16 in the nation at the time. Bridgewater had just 58 percent completions in the game, despite throwing for over 400 yards and Kay did not play as Leguax struggled with three interceptions. Cincinnati ran the ball effectively last season in the matchup, out-gaining Louisville on the ground 196-108.

Series History: The overtime win for Louisville last season was the first in the series since 2007 as Cincinnati is 4-1 S/U and ATS the last five years in this matchup. Going back to 1988, Louisville is 14-8 S/U and 12-10 ATS in this series and they are 8-3 ATS at Cincinnati since 1986, while going 5-0 ATS in the last five instances as a road favorite.

Louisville Historical Trends: After an 11-1 ATS run on the road from mid-2009 through 2011, Louisville is just 2-6 ATS in the last eight road games. Louisville is just 10-15 ATS as a road favorite since 2005.

Cincinnati Historical Trends: Cincinnati is 24-6 S/U but just 14-15 ATS at home since 2009. Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in the last seven and 14-6 ATS the last 20 instances as a home underdog. The Bearcats have not been a home underdog since 2010.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/05/2013 05:32 PM

Louisville, Cincy game all about the keg

December 4, 2013


CINCINNATI (AP) - The schedule makers for the first American Athletic Conference season came up with quite an ending: Louisville at Cincinnati with so much at stake.

Instead, about the only thing at stake on Thursday night at Nippert Stadium will be a big old keg that's the traveling trophy for a long-standing Ohio River football rivalry that's going away after the game.

''Both Louisville and ourselves would love to be undefeated, which we were all counting on at the beginning of the year at this point in deciding the conference championship,'' Cincinnati coach Tommy Tuberville said. ''We still have something to say about it, but we can't control it.''

No. 19 Louisville (10-1, 6-1) claimed the final Big East football title last season and beat Florida in the Sugar Bowl. The Cardinals were favored to add the first AAC title before moving on to the Atlantic Coast Conference next year.

Instead, Central Florida upset them in Louisville and has remained perfect in conference play, eliminating the Cardinals from contention for the league's BCS berth.

''I don't think it's deflating, because you're looking at a team right now who's won 10 games,'' coach Charlie Strong said. ''We're going to get to another bowl game, but you can't take away what we've already accomplished with 10 wins.''

Cincinnati (9-2, 6-1) doesn't play Central Florida and has only a slim chance of jumping ahead for the BCS bowl. The Bearcats would have to beat Louisville and have Central Florida lose to SMU. Then they'd have to finish higher than Central Florida in the final BCS rankings.

Not likely. So both teams are playing mainly for the chance to hold onto the ''Keg of Nails'' for the foreseeable future.

''Whoever wins this one gets the keg for a little bit,'' Bearcats quarterback Brendon Kay said.

---

Five things to watch on Thursday night:

KAY'S FAREWELL: The sixth-year senior will play his final game at Nippert Stadium. He's been the key to Cincinnati's six-game winning streak. Over the past 25 quarters, Kay has completed 72 percent of his passes for 2,126 yards and 17 touchdowns.

''We've been talking about it all week, myself and a few other guys,'' Kay said. ''It's the last go-around at (Nippert). For a long time, that's where we practiced, did our conditioning - that's where we did everything.''

BRIDGEWATER & BROWN: Teddy Bridgewater had his streak of consecutive games with a touchdown pass snapped at 21 during a 24-17 win over Memphis in the last game. It's not all on him on Thursday. Junior Dominique Brown, a Cincinnati native, ran for a career-high 137 yards and two touchdowns in a win over Houston two weeks ago. Brown has two 100-yard games this season and three in his career. He's run for 704 yards and seven touchdowns.

OH THOSE DEFENSES: It could be a low-scoring game, given the weather forecast - wind and rain - and the rankings of the two defenses. Louisville ranks second in the country in total defense, allowing 242.5 yards per game, and third in scoring defense, giving up 11.4 points. Cincinnati is eighth in yards at 302 and 10th in points at 18.5.

ABOUT THAT WEATHER: The teams played in heavy rain in Louisville last season, with the Cardinals winning in overtime 34-31. More rain is expected on Thursday as a storm moves through the region, so there's a chance that a slip with the ball here or there could decide it.

''It won't be a detriment to either team, unless it's just a toad strangler,'' Tuberville said, using a term for a downpour. ''And I hope turnovers wouldn't decide the game in a game like this, but sometimes you can't avoid it.''

THE KEG'S RESTING PLACE: The keg doesn't actually contain nails. And nobody knows exactly who introduced it - a fraternity is the best guess. But the winner on Thursday will get to keep the memento of a rivalry that has been played since 1929 and has covered the Missouri Valley Conference, Conference USA, the Big East and the AAC.

''I think (Kentucky) is our biggest rival, but I think Cincinnati is right there with them with the guys we recruit, the areas we recruit, the conference we play in,'' Louisville center Jake Smith said. ''The way that the rivalry has worked out these past few years, and the way that some of the games have transpired, I think it really plays into the whole situation.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/05/2013 05:36 PM

NCAAF

Dunkel

Week 15

Louisville at Cincinnati
The Bearcats host a Louisville team that is coming off a 24-17 win over Memphis and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in the previous game. Cincinnati is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bearcats favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5

Game 103-104: Louisville at Cincinnati (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 95.109; Cincinnati 97.040
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Over


NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 15


Thursday, December 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (10 - 1) at CINCINNATI (9 - 2) - 12/5/2013, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, December 5

Louisville at Cincinnati, 7:30 ET
Louisville: 4-13 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7
Cincinnati: 19-7 ATS after scoring 20 pts or more in the first half in 2 straight games


NCAAF

Week 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 5

7:30 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. CINCINNATI
Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Louisville
Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Louisville



NCAAF

Thursday, December 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Louisville at Cincinnati: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Louisville Cardinals at Cincinnati Bearcats (+3.5, 51)

Cincinnati looks to keep its faint BCS bowl hopes alive Thursday when the No. 23 Bearcats host 16th-ranked Louisville, which has recorded back-to-back 10-win seasons for the first time in school history. Cincinnati's hopes of receiving the American Athletic Conference’s automatic bowl berth hinges on a win over Louisville and having Southern Methodist defeat Central Florida on Saturday. If that happens, the league’s bid will go to whichever team between Cincinnati and Central Florida is ranked higher in the final BCS standings.

Louisville appears headed for the Russell Athletic Bowl on Dec. 28 after having its BCS dreams dashed with a 38-35 loss to Central Florida on Oct. 18. The Cardinals have won four straight since the disappointing loss, and are eager to maintain control of the Keg of Nails rivalry trophy. “We’ll walk into a sellout and a hostile environment,” Louisville coach Charlie Strong said. “We need to control their crowd with our defense. We can't allow them to get out and have a fast start."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low 40s with a 59 percent chance of rain and winds blowing NNW crossfield at 7 mph.

LINE: Louisville opened -3.5 and has remained steady. The total opened as high as 51.5 and dropped to 51 points.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (10-1, 6-1 American Athletic Conference, 4-7 ATS): Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been named one of 10 finalists for the Manning Award after throwing for 3,268 yards and 25 touchdowns, with only three interceptions. Louisville's defense, ranked second in the country while allowing 242.5 yards per game, forced its 24th turnover in a 24-17 victory over Memphis on Nov. 23. The unit is led by linebacker Preston Brown (team-high 83 tackles) and defensive end Marcus Smith, who leads the Cardinals with 12.5 sacks.

ABOUT CINCINNATI (9-2, 6-1, 6-5 ATS): The Bearcats are bowl-eligible for the seventh time in eight years and carry a six-game winning streak into Thursday’s showdown. Quarterback Brendon Kay recorded his fourth 300-yard passing game of the season Nov. 23, when Cincinnati posted 573 yards of total offense in a 24-17 victory at Houston. Defensive end Silverberry Mouhon has 8.5 sacks and linebacker Nick Temple has 11.0 tackles for a loss to lead the Bearcats, who rank eighth nationally in total defense at 302.4 yards per game.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Cincinnati.
* Favorite is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
* Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Louisville starting safety Calvin Pryor is expected to return Thursday after missing one game due to suspension for violating a team rule.

2. Cincinnati leads the series 30-22-1, but Louisville won last year’s contest 34-31 in overtime.

3. Louisville has outscored its opponents 82-6 in the first quarter.



NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Thursday's game
Road team covered seven of last eight Louisville-Cincinnati games; Bearcats won four of last five games with rival Louisville, with all four wins by 8+ points. Cardinals lost 25-16/41-10 in last two visits here, where favorites covered six of last eight series games. Louisville is 10-1, with only loss 38-35 as a 14-point home favorite to UCF; they’re 4-0 SU on road, 1-2-1 as road favorites, but 27-13 win at Kentucky was closest of the four games. Cincy won last six games, covered four of last five; they won last two games SU as road dogs, only time they’ve been a dog this season. Bearcats are 5-0 at home, but were favored in every game (2-2 as HF); they struggled to beat SMU 28-25 in last home game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/05/2013 05:52 PM

Thursday, December 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Louisville - 7:30 PM ET Cincinnati +3 500 *****

Cincinnati - Under 50 500 *****

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/06/2013 06:12 PM

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 6

Game 105-106: Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 93.860; Northern Illinois 99.658
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 6; 54
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3; 59
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3); Under


Friday, December 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (9 - 3) vs. N ILLINOIS (12 - 0) - 12/6/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Friday, December 6

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois, 8:00 ET
Bowling Green: 12-4 ATS against conference opponents
Northern Illinois: 11-3 UNDER in road games off a win against a conference rival



Friday, December 6

8:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Friday's game
Northern Illinois is 12-0, 7-3 vs spread as a favorite, covering five of last six games (won by 19 in the non-cover); they’ve won 25 MAC games in row and could get a BCS bowl game if they win here. Huskies are playing in MAC title game for fourth year in row, winning but not covering last two. Underdogs covered this game the last five years and seven of last nine. Bowling Green went 4-0 in November, outscoring foes 176-17 in the four games since losing to Toledo in late October. Falcons lost 49-27 (+7) to Miami in their only MAC title game appearance ten years ago; Falcons covered 15 of last 23 games as a road underdog, are 1-1 as a dog this year, but lost last three games to NIU, covering once in last four series games. Game is in Lions’ dome, so weather isn’t an issue.




NCAAF

Friday, December 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bowling Green vs. NIU: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (-4, 58)

Game will be played at Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan.

After becoming the first Mid-American Conference team to qualify for the BCS last season, No. 18 Northern Illinois is poised to do it again if it can claim its third straight conference title game Friday against Bowling Green at Ford Field in Detroit. The Huskies tied a school record with their 12th straight win last Tuesday and have won 24 of their last 25 overall. Another victory would allow Northern Illinois to become the first school since Marshall to win three straight MAC championships.

While the Huskies possess a darkhorse Heisman Trophy candidate in Jordan Lynch and have 25 straight victories over MAC opponents, the Falcons can take solace in the fact Northern Illinois has won the last two title games by a combined 10 points. Bowling Green, which reached the nine-winmark for the first time since 2004 with Friday’s victory over Buffalo, has outscored its opponents 176-17 during its four-game winning streak. The Falcons are seeking their 11th MAC title and first since 1992.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE: The Huskies opened as 3-point faves and have been bet to -4. Te total opened at 57.5 and has moved up slightly to 58.

WEATHER: N/A.

ABOUT BOWLING GREEN (9-3, 9-3 ATS): Running back Travis Greene, a converted receiver, ranks second in the conference in rushing behind Lynch with 1,422 yards – 23 yards shy of breaking the school record set by Fred Durig in 1951. The Eagles complement the league’s third-best rushing offense with a defense that ranks fifth in the country in scoring defense (13.8 points) and seventh in total defense (296.6 yards). Perhaps even more impressively, Bowling Green has not allowed a second-half point during the last four games.

ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (12-0, 8-4 ATS): Lynch broke his own NCAA record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 321 against Western Michigan and
became only the second player in school history to rush for at least 300 yards twice in the same season (LeShon Johnson). "I think Jordan Lynch is the best college player in football. He is Northern Illinois and he's what Northern Illinois is about,” Western Michigan coach P.J. Fleck said following his team’s loss to Northern Illinois. Lynch is the fifth player in FBS history with 4,000 rushing and 5,000 passing yards.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS in its last four conference games.
* Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a SU win.
* Under is 10-2 in Northern Illinois' last 12 neutral site games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Lynch is 218 rushing yards shy of breaking the NCAA career mark for rushing yards by a quarterback, held by Denard Robinson (4,495).

2. Bowling Green held Buffalo to 15 yards rushing six days after limiting Eastern Michigan to four yards passing.

3. Lynch needs two more rushing touchdowns to tie Chad Spann (22) for the most single-season rushing touchdowns in school history.



Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/06/2013 06:13 PM

MAC Championship

December 5, 2013

Matchup: Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green
Date: Friday, Dec. 6
Time/TV: 8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Venue: Ford Field
Location: Detroit, Michigan
Sportsbook.ag Line: Northern Illinois -3, 57.5

Bowling Green will attempt to take down undefeated No. 16 Northern Illinois and become MAC champions on Friday night.

The Falcons bring a four-game winning streak into this contest in which they outscored their opponents by a whopping 176 to 17 margin (39.8 PPG). Their most recent game was a 24-7 victory at Buffalo which brought them to 7-1 in conference play and clinched a berth in this championship game. The Huskies have not lost this year, and secured a flawless regular season with a 33-14 victory over Western Michigan, but did not cover the 35-point spread that was given to them.

This game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit, which is closer to NIU, which has a stellar 6-1 ATS in non-home games, while Bowling Green owns a 4-2 SU record (5-1 ATS) as the road team this year.

These two programs did not meet during the regular season this year, and last met in 2011 when NIU blew out the host Falcons, 45-14, covering the six-point spread and holding a 623-334 yardage advantage. Northern Illinois has won the past three meetings in this series (2-1 ATS), which have all finished Under the total. Bowling Green is 10-1 ATS after outgaining its opponent by 175+ yards in the previous game in the past two seasons, but the Huskies are 8-2 ATS in the past three seasons when facing a team with 250+ passing YPG. There are no major injuries for either team in this game.

The Falcons went from second last year to the top spot in the East division of the MAC this season. They used a balanced offense (254.4 passing YPG, 209.6 rushing YPG) in many of their victories. QB Matt Johnson had a great first season as a starter, throwing for 2,802 yards (9.0 YPA) with 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Although he has thrown nine touchdowns during Bowling Green’s four-game winning streak, he has tossed one interception in each game as well. Johnson has also contributed 235 rushing yards (2.5 YPC) and five touchdowns on the ground, including a season-high 72 yards (1 TD) in the team’s latest win against Buffalo.

The true life of this offense has been HB Travis Greene who is 10th in the nation with 1,422 rushing yards (6.1 YPC) and has 10 touchdowns on the ground. Greene has tallied four straight 110-yard games with five touchdowns in that span. RB William Houston has been the goal-line back for the Falcons, and has scored 11 rushing touchdowns on just 48 total carries using his 262-pound frame.

Senior WR Shaun Joplin has gotten the bulk of the receptions (47) and receiving yards (807), and is coming off his best game of the season (149 yards, 1 TD). Freshman WR Ronnie Moore did not play last week, but is expected to play on Friday night. In his last game at Eastern Michigan, Moore caught seven passes for 161 yards and 3 TD. With a slew of injuries to the Falcons receiving corps this year, there are 10 different players with receiving touchdowns in the Bowling Green offense, with Joplin (3 TD) and Moore (6 TD) the only players with more than two scores.

The Falcons defense has allowed only 11.0 PPG in conference play, and rank 5th in the nation allowing a meager13.8 PPG to their opponents. Senior DT Ted Ouellet (26 tackles, 4.5 sacks) has 3.5 sacks during his team's four-game winning streak, including two in their most recent game last week.

The Huskies had no trouble getting to the MAC Championship game this season with only one conference game being decided by seven points or less, winning these games by an average score of 43 to 20. Overall this season, they have averaged 42.8 PPG (9th in nation) on 542.3 YPG on offense, including 318.9 YPG on the ground (4th in FBS).

The main contributor to those impressive numbers this season has been Heisman hopeful QB Jordan Lynch. He ranks third in the nation with 1,755 rushing yards (7.1 YPC) and has 20 rushing touchdowns. Lynch has run for 724 yards (181 YPG) and 12 total touchdowns over his past four games, including an FBS quarterback record 321 yards (11.9 YPC) and three touchdowns in the win over Western Michigan last week. In that game, he threw for only 39 yards on 5-of-17 completions, but has been solid all season with 2,457 yards through the air (7.5 YPA) with 22 TD and only 5 INT. He has not thrown a pick in five straight games.

Amazingly, Lynch is not the only 1,000-yard rusher on his team, as HB Cameron Stingily has rumbled for 1,007 yards (5.6 YPC) on the ground with nine touchdowns.

Lynch primarily relies on three players to throw to: WRs Da’Ron Brown (689 rec. yards, 9 TD), Tommylee Lewis (623 rec. yards, 3 TD) and Juwan Brescacin (398 rec. yards, 4 TD). Every other player on the team has less than 10 receptions and less than 100 receiving yards.

Senior S Jimmie Ward (77 tackles, 6 INT) leads a NIU defense that has allowed 23.6 PPG to their opponents this season (39th in FBS), and has not given up more than 27 points to any of their conference opponents this year.

MAC Championship History

Year Matchup Line Score ATS Result

2012 Northern Illinois-Kent State Northern Illinois -5 (60) Northern Illinois 44-37 (2OT) Favorite-Over

2011 Ohio-Northern Illinois Northern Illinois -3.5 (71) Northern Illinois 23-20 Underdog-Under

2010 Miami (Ohio)-Northern Illinois Northern Illinois -18.5 (55) Miami (Ohio) 26-21 Underdog-Under

2009 Ohio-Central Michigan Central Michigan -14 (55.5) Central Michigan 20-10 Underdog-Under

2008 Ball State-Buffalo Ball State -15 (63.5) Buffalo 42-24 Underdog-Over

2007 Central Michigan-Miami (Ohio) Central Michigan -3 (63.5) Central Michigan 35-10 Favorite-Under

2006 Ohio-Central Michigan Central Michigan -3 (47) Central Michigan 31-10 Favorite-Under

2005 Akron-Northern Illinois Northern Illinois -13 (54) Akron 31-30 Underdog-Over

2004 Toledo-Miami (Ohio) Miami (Ohio) -1 (65) Toledo 35-27 Underdog-Under

2003 Bowling Green-Miami (Ohio) Miami (Ohio) -7 (57) Miami (Ohio) 49-27 Favorite-Over

2002 Marshall-Toledo Marshall -3.5 (62.5) Marshall 49-45 Favorite-Over

2001 Toledo-Marshall Marshall -3 (62.5) Toledo 41-36 Underdog-Over

2000 Marshall-Western Michigan Western Michigan -6.5 (52) Marshall 19-14 Underdog-Under

1999 Marshall-Western Michigan Marshall -20.5 (57) Marshall 34-30 Underdog-Over

1998 Marshall-Toledo Marshall -12 (49) Marshall 23-17 Underdog-Under

1997 Marshall-Toledo Marshall -1 (53) Marshall 34-14 Favorite-Under


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/06/2013 06:15 PM

Friday, December 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Bowling Green - 8:00 PM ET Northern Illinois -3 500 DOUBLE POD

Northern Illinois - Under 58 500 DOUBLE POD

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/07/2013 11:00 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, December 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's NCAAF betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Marshall Thundering Herd at Rice Owls (+6.5, 61)

The Rice Owls are ranked 62nd on offense, averaging 420.5 yards per game. The Owls are averaging 239.5 yards rushing and 181.0 yards passing so far
this season.

The Marshall Thundering Herd are ranked ninth on offense, averaging 513.2 yards per game. The Thundering Herd are averaging 219.9 yards rushing and
293.3 yards passing so far this season.

LINE: Rice opened as 4.5-point home dogs and have move slightly to +6.5. The total is up to 61.
WEATHER: There is a 50 percent chance of rain with a 12 mph wind blowing towards teh South end zone.

TRENDS:
* Marshall is 4-0 ATS in its last four games versus a team with a winning record.
* Over is 6-0 in Marshall's last six games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Rice's last six games versus a team with a winning record.


Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-10, 57)

The Sooners defeated the Mountaineers early in the season but went on to lose to Texas and Baylor - two teams that Oklahoma State defeated - by a combined margin of 77-32. This season, Oklahoma sports a resume that includes victories over Notre Dame and and Texas Tech, as well as last week's 41-31 win over Kansas State.

The Cowboys have won seven straight games since their only loss of the season - a 30-21 defeat against a West Virginia team that wound up 4-8. The Cowboys have scored at least 20 points in 50 consecutive contests, but their defense quietly is much improved, holding Kansas, Texas and Baylor to an average of 12 points over the last three games.

LINE: The line opened at -10.5 and has moved to -10. The total opened at 58 and has been bet down to 57.
WEATHER: There is a 14 percent chance of precipitation with temperatures in the high teens.

TRENDS:
* Oklahoma is 6-2 ATS in its last eight meetings.
* Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall.


Central Florida Knights at Southern Methodist Mustangs (OFF)

Blake Bortles' 167.3 passer rating has him in elite company, ranked seventh in the nation and his 276.2 passing yards per game falls behind only Gilbert and Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater in the conference. Central Florida's offense ranks 30th in the nation, averaging 34.6 points.

SMU quarterback Garrett Gilbert, is listed as questionable with a knee sprain. While the Mustangs have proven they can score in bunches with Gilbert under center, last week's goose egg against Houston is a concern, as is SMU's conference-worst 34.8 points per game, especially against the Knights' offense.

LINE: The line is currently off the board.
WEATHER: There is a 40 percent chance of ice pellets with an eight mph cross field wind.

TRENDS:
* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Central Florida is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five meetings.


Memphis Tigers at Connecticut Huskies (+1, 43)

Memphis has been ranked in the top 20 in the nation in total defense for most of the season but slipped to 27th after giving up a season highs for total yards (534) and points (41) to Temple.

Redshirt freshman quarterback Casey Cochran took over the starting job three weeks ago and has rejuvenated the offense as the Huskies have put up 21 or more points in three straight games after doing so only twice in their first eight contests.

LINE: UConn opened at +1 dogs. The total is currently at 43.
WEATHER: There is a 12 percent chance of rain with a eight mph wind blowing towards the Southeast end zone.

TRENDS:
* Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
* Under is 5-0 in Memphis' last five road games.
* Under is 4-0 in Connecticut's last four home games.


Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-16.5, 71.5)

The Longhorns have scored at least 30 points in seven of their last eight contests, thanks in large part to an improved rushing attack that rolled up 281 yards and three touchdowns against Texas Tech on Thanksgiving night.

The Bears, who are currently averaging 55.4 points and 635.1 yards, have received a stunningly efficient season from Perry, as the junior quarterback has 3,557 passing yards with 28 touchdowns and two interceptions, in addition to 11 rushing scores.

LINE: Baylor opened at -13.5 and have been bet up to -16.5. The total opened at 73.5 and have moved down to 71.5.
WEATHER: There is a 40 percent chance of ice pellets with a 10 mph cross field wind.

TRENDS:
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last six meetings.


Missouri Tigers vs Auburn Tigers +1.5, 59)

Game will be played at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Georgia

Missouri averages 489.5 total yards and rank 18th in the nation in rushing (236.9) with Henry Josey leading the way (951 yards, 13 TDs). The defense is tied for fourth in the nation with 37 sacks, has forced 27 turnovers and has at least one takeaway in 42 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the FBS.

Tre Mason, the SEC's leading rusher with 1,317 yards and 18 TDs, and dual threat quarterback Nick Marshall (1,627 passing yards, 11 TDs, 5 INTs; 922 rushing yards, 10 TDs) lead an offense that ranks fifth in rushing (318.3) and 15th in total yards (491).

LINE: Auburn opened at -1.5 and has moved to +1.5. The total is up to 59.
WEATHER: N/A.

TRENDS:
* Missouri is 6-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record.
* Auburn is 7-0 ATS in its last seven conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in Missouri's last seven games overall.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/07/2013 11:01 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, December 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's NCAAF betting cheat sheet: Evening action
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

South Florida Bulls at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-4, 46.5)

South Florida hasn't won at Rutgers since 2005 and will head north without two seniors on defense. Freshman quarterback Mike White (79-of-144 for 942 yards,
three touchdowns, eight interceptions) - the team's fourth starting quarterback of the season - will make his fifth straight start.

The Scarlet Knights will likely be without Leonte Carroo (upper body), who is a touchdown away from tying the school's single-single receiving TD record. The Scarlet Knights are ranked seventh in the country in rushing yards allowed (102.3) but are minus-10 in turnovers.

LINE: Rutgers opened at -7 but have moved down to -4. The total is currently at 46.5.
WEATHER: There is a 12 percent of rain.

TRENDS:
* Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* South Florida is 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 9-1 in Rutgers' last 10 games following a SU loss.


Standford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3, 56)

The Cardinal boast an impressive resume that includes victories over Washington, UCLA, Oregon State, Oregon and Notre Dame, in addition to their earlier win against Arizona State.Stanford ranks 13th in the country in points allowed (19 per game) and has yielded no more than 20 points in any of its last six contests.

The Sun Devils improved to 7-0 at home last week with a convincing 58-21 victory over Arizona, as they led 30-7 at the half and cruised despite the absence of leading rusher Marion Grice (leg). D.J. Foster led the way with 124 rushing yards and two touchdowns, helping Arizona State improve its scoring output for the fourth straight game (20, 30, 38 and 58).

LINE: The Sun Devils opened as 3.5-point home faves and have moved slightly to -3. The total opened at 56.
WEATHER: There is a 10 percent chance of rain with a 10 mph wind blowing across the field.

TRENDS:
* Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings at Arizona State.


Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles (-29.5, 62.5)

The game will be played at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina.

The No. 20 ranked Blue Devils, who have won eight in a row, were picked to finish last in the Coastal Division and are heavy underdogs Saturday, but have come from behind to win their past four contests.

The Seminoles, who ascended to the No. 1 ranking after Alabama lost at Auburn last weekend, average 53.7 points per game. Quarterback Jameis Winston is a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, averaging a touchdown pass every 9.1 pass attempts for a Florida State offense that has scored 50 or more points seven times in 12 games.

LINE: The line opened at Florida State -28.5 and moved up to -29.5. The total opened at 61.5 and has jumped up to 62.5.
WEATHER: There is a 76 percent chance of rain with a 9 mph wind blowing across the field.

TRENDS:
* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings.
* Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.


Louisiana Lafayette at South Alabama (-3, 58.5)

The UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns are ranked 42 on offense, averaging 443.7 yards per game. The Ragin' Cajuns are averaging 220.2 yards rushing and 223.5 yards passing so far this season.

The South Alabama Jaguars are ranked 48 on offense, averaging 431.2 yards per game. The Jaguars are averaging 171.0 yards rushing and 260.2 yards passing so far this season.

LINE: The line has held steady at South Alabama -3. The total has moved up from 58 to 58.5.
WEATHER: There is a 39 percent chance of rain.

TRENDS:
* UL Lafayette is 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall.
* South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a SU win.
* Over is 8-0-1 in UL Lafayette's last nine games following a SU loss.


Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (+5, 51.5)

Game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

Ohio State has won a school-record 24 straight games but needed a failed two-point try in the final seconds last week to escape Michigan with a one-point victory. Braxton Miller and Carlos Hyde have combined to rush for 1,070 yards and 13 touchdowns over the past three games against Illinois, Indiana and Michigan.

The Spartans boast the nation’s top rushing, total and pass efficiency defense and complement it with the fifth-best turnover margin (plus-15) in FBS. They are also second nationally in third-down defense (28.7 percent) and fourth in scoring defense (11.8 points per game).

LINE: The line opened +5.5 and is now +5. The total hasn't moved from 51.5.
WEATHER: N/A.

TRENDS:
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings
* Ohio State is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.


Utah State Aggies at Fresno State Bulldogs (-2.5, 60.5)

The Aggies were expected to struggle after losing starting quarterback Chuckie Keeton to a season-ending knee injury, but they rallied behind freshman backup Darell Garretson, senior running back Joey DeMartino (12 touchdowns) and a stellar defense.

Fresno State's offense ranks fourth nationally in scoring at 47.3 points per game, and senior quarterback Derek Carr has thrown 45 touchdowns with only five interceptions.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 3-point home faves and are now -2.5. The total is currently 60.5.
WEATHER: There is a 10 percent chance of rain.

TRENDS:
* Utah State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings.
* Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
12/07/2013 11:01 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, December 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEC Championship: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Missouri Tigers vs Auburn Tigers (+1.5, 59)

Game will be played at the Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia.

The two most surprising teams in the Southeastern Conference all season, No. 5 Missouri and No. 3 Auburn square off for the league title Saturday at the Georgia Dome. The teams combined for just two conference victories a year ago but now find themselves a win away from playing in a BCS bowl - and potentially the national championship game. The winner will find itself paying close attention to the ACC and Big Ten title games Saturday night in hopes Florida State or Ohio State will lose and clear the path for the SEC champion to leap into the top two in the BCS standings.

Auburn's unlikely path to the championship game has included eight consecutive victories, culminating with last week's 34-28 win over bitter rival Alabama in which Chris Davis caught a missed field goal in the back of the end zone and returned it for the winning touchdown on the final play of the game. "That is our biggest challenge as a team," first-year Auburn coach Gus Malzahn told reporters of his team's task of shifting its focus after such a dramatic win. "It was a very emotional win. It was a physical game, but we have to put it behind us and we have to put all of our attention on Missouri." Missouri also had to finish on a high note to play its way to Atlanta, beating Texas A&M 28-21 at home a week after a 24-10 victory at Mississippi to earn a spot in the title game in just its second year in the league.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 1.5-point fave but has been bet to +1.5. The total is up one point to 59.

WEATHER: N/A.

ABOUT MISSOURI (11-1, 10-1-1 ATS): The Tigers surged to the top of the SEC East on the strength of a balanced offense led by senior quarterback James Franklin, who has passed for 1,952 yards with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions and rushed for 412 yards and 3 TDs, and an opportunistic defense. They average 489.5 total yards and rank 18th in the nation in rushing (236.9) with Henry Josey leading the way (951 yards, 13 TDs). The defense is tied for fourth in the nation with 37 sacks, has forced 27 turnovers and has at least one takeaway in 42 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the FBS.

ABOUT AUBURN (11-1, 10-2 ATS): Malzahn has overseen the biggest turnaround in the nation after the Tigers went 3-9 a year ago but have returned to the national prominence they enjoyed when he was the offensive coordinator. Tre Mason, the SEC's leading rusher with 1,317 yards and 18 TDs, and dual threat quarterback Nick Marshall (1,627 passing yards, 11 TDs, 5 INTs; 922 rushing yards, 10 TDs) lead an offense that ranks fifth in rushing (318.3) and 15th in total yards (491). The Tigers have been less impressive defensively, but they held Alabama to seven points in the second half.

TRENDS:
* Missouri is 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 games overall.
* Auburn is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games following a SU win.
* Under is 4-1 in Missouri's last five games overall.
* Over is 7-1 in Auburn's last eight games following a SU win.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Malzahn and Missouri's Gary Pinkel are among the three finalists for the Maxwell Coach of the Year Award, along with Duke's David Cutcliffe.

2. With a win, Pinkel (101-62) would pass Don Faurot as Missouri's all-time winningest coach.

3. Auburn has scored 30 points or more in eight straight contests and has won 87 consecutive games when hitting the 30-point plateau, while Missouri is one of three teams in the nation to hold all of its opponents to 28 points or fewer.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: