coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:10 AM

Matchup: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Spread: Broncos minus-4.5
Public consensus pick: 76 percent picked Broncos


Public perception: The public's love affair with Peyton Manning and the Broncos continues. It's also aided by the fact that the Chiefs lost to the Chargers last week and could be without Tamba Hali and Justin Houston in this one. The public probably will be back on the Chiefs after this week, but for now it's on the Broncos.

Wiseguys' view: Both sharps and squares were on the Broncos, who were minus-3.5 on the LVH advance line (after it reopened Monday between Broncos minus-3 and minus-4) and drove it up to 4.5 on Tuesday, and all the way to 5.5 on Wednesday. A lot of wiseguys will likely be on the Chiefs after the line peaks, mostly since they're a good home underdog in a divisional rivalry and a lot is on the line -- like the AFC West title and possible home-field advantage for the victor

Tuley's Take: I should be on the home dog with the better defense, but after watching the first meeting (in which I had the Chiefs plus-8), I never felt confident that the Chiefs would be able to score late to get the backdoor cover and didn't think the Chiefs' defense posed many real problems for the Broncos.

The pick: Pass (pool play: Broncos)

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:10 AM

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-3.5, 45)

Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has strung together three consecutive strong outings, including going 22-of-28 for 222 yards and a touchdown in the recent loss to the Colts. Fitzpatrick has replaced injured Jake Locker as the starter and has completed 71.8 percent of his passes for 806 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past three games.

Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck passed for only 163 yards – the second-lowest output of his career – in last Sunday’s loss to Arizona and he has thrown four of his seven interceptions in the past three games. Colts RB Trent Richardson has just 59 yards on 28 carries over the past four games. Indianapolis rallied from a 14-point first-half deficit to post a 30-27 victory over the Titans on Nov. 14.

LINE: Indianapolis is currently a 3.5-point fave, with the total up a half-point to 45.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Tennessee (+2.0) + Indianapolis (-2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Colts -3.5
TRENDS:

* Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
* Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. teams with losing records.
* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Indianapolis.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:11 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:11 AM

Per Cardinals source, Andre Ellington will play today, barring a setback in warmups.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:11 AM

Colts off a loss: 11-0 ATS next game but Titans on the road: 5-0 ATS this season and Fitzpatrick: no interceptions last 3 games

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:13 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:13 AM

The Chargers are 10-0 ATS (14.55 ppg) since Oct 14, 2007 at home when one game under 500.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:14 AM

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (-7, 40)

Jacksonville ranks 30th in the league in scoring defense which makes last week's effort all the more shocking. The Jaguars limited Houston to 218 total yards and quarterback Case Keenum to just 169 yards through the air. While the offense was far from sensational, Jacksonville rushed for 118 yards, nearly twice its average, and Chad Henne - who was named the starter for the rest of the season - completed 23-of-32 passes.

Cleveland's Brandon Weeden appears to have regained the starting spot at quarterback by default. With Brian Hoyer out for the season and Campbell under evaluation after taking a blow to the head against the Steelers last week, Cleveland will once again turn to Weeden, who is 0-4 as a starter on the season. The Browns are still mathematically alive for a playoff berth but have difficult games left on the road at New England and Pittsburgh.

LINE: The Browns have held as 7-point faves with the total down a half-point to 40.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with a 23 percent chance of snow or mixed precipitation.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Jacksonville (+8.0) - Cleveland (+5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Browns -6
TRENDS:

* Jaguars are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Week 13 games.
* Browns are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.
* Under is 21-5-2 in Cleveland's last 28 December games.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:15 AM

as reported right here....


  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0
coleryan Posts:14516 Followers:21
12/01/2013 10:16 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-4-0