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Spread: Colts minus-4.5
Public consensus pick: 61 percent picked Colts
Public perception: The public is not behind the Titans, so even a 40-11 blowout loss by the Colts can't keep the public from backing Andrew Luck & Co. The Colts won the first meeting between these divisional rivals 30-27 two weeks ago Thursday in Nashville, so the public expects the Colts will also handle Tennessee at home.
Wiseguys' view: The oddsmakers are giving the Titans more respect. The line in the first meeting was Colts minus-2.5 and bet to 3 (so that game pushed against the closing number), and now with the change in home-field advantage -- where you would normally see a swing of 4 to 6 points -- this is just 1.5 to 2 points higher.
Tuley's Take: I agree the line is a little short, but I like the Titans in this rematch. Hopefully the Titans will remember how they dominated early in the first meeting with Chris Johnson piling up 70 yards and two touchdowns in the first quarter and they keep giving him the ball this time. The Colts allow 125 rushing yards per game and Johnson should have a field day. The Titans have the better defense, allowing 37 fewer yards per game, while the offense gains just 6 fewer yards than the Colts. I expect another close game (and would be quite happy if it comes down to a field goal).
A stretch that started full of optimism has turned sour for Harvin, who is still dealing with the effects of his major off-season hip surgery. After seeing limited action in his season debut against the Minnesota Vikings two weeks ago, Harvin reportedly suffered a setback regarding his hip this week and has been downgraded as a result. Harvin will likely be given the week off to see how his injury responds, with Seattle still rolling atop the NFC West and far more interested in having Harvin healthy for the postseason.
Seattle is a 4.5-point favorite in the Monday nighter against visiting New Orleans. The total is 47.5.