coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:06 AM

Kansas State Wildcats (-16) at Kansas Jayhawks

ATS pick: Kansas State


Kansas State has dominated this series under Bill Snyder, winning 12 of the past 15 by at least a touchdown more than we are asked to lay this week. The Wildcats have big edges in all three phases, and might cover this game easily even if Kansas plays them to a draw for a half.

Score: Kansas State 42, Kansas 10

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:08 AM

Let's Get Trendy

Ohio State at Michigan, 12:00 ET
Ohio State: 62-39 ATS in road lined games
Michigan: 1-10 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6

Duke at North Carolina, 12:00 ET
Duke: 9-2 ATS when playing on a Saturday
North Carolina: 6-20 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

Iowa State at West Virginia, 4:00 ET
Iowa State: 14-5 UNDER after playing 3 straight conference games
West Virginia: 8-18 ATS in games played on turf

Northwestern at Illinois, 3:30 ET
Northwestern: 21-7 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse
Illinois: 27-44 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:08 AM

Purude at Indiana, 3:30 ET
Purdue: 0-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Indiana: 13-3 ATS in home games after allowing 275 or more rushing yards last game

Rutgers at Connecticut, 3:30 ET
Rutgers: 9-1 OVER as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Connecticut: 10-2 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog

Tennessee at Kentucky, 7:00 ET
Tennessee: 19-5 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Kentucky: 0-6 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8

Minnesota at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
Minnesota: 8-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Michigan State: 10-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

Temple at Memphis, 12:00 ET
Temple: 7-1 ATS as an underdog
Memphis: 7-19 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49

BYU at Nevada, 3:00 ET
BYU: 9-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Nevada: 2-10 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70

Tulane at Rice, 3:00 ET
Tulane: 5-17 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Rice: 6-0 ATS off a road win

Texas AM at Missouri, 3:00 ET
Texas AM: 2-10 ATS in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70
Missouri: 9-2 ATS when playing on a Saturday

Virginia Tech at Virginia, 3:30 ET
Virginia Tech: 16-5 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better
Virginia: 2-10 ATS in home games after playing a conference game

Alabama at Auburn, 3:30 ET
Alabama: 7-0 UNDER as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14
Auburn: 6-0 ATS after playing a conference game

New Mexico at Boise State, 10:15 ET
New Mexico: 7-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
Boise State: 19-7 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70

Baylor at TCU, 3:30 ET
Baylor: 9-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
TCU: 0-7 ATS in home games against conference opponents

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:08 AM

Kansas State at Kansas, 12:00 ET
Kansas St: 12-4 ATS against conference opponents
Kansas: 2-10 ATS after gaining 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games

Penn State at Wisconsin, 3:30 ET
Penn State: 13-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS in games played on turf

San Diego St at UNLV, 10:30 ET
San Diego St: 6-0 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival
UNLV: 1-11 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

North Texas at Tulsa, 2:30 ET
North Texas: 6-1 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Tulsa: 1-7 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games

Clemson at South Carolina, 7:00 ET
Clemson: 8-1 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6
South Carolina: 7-0 UNDER after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game

UCLA at USC, 8:00 ET
UCLA: 4-14 ATS in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games
USC: 15-5 ATS in home games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals

Notre Dame at Stanford, 8:00 ET
Notre Dame: 16-36 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5
Stanford: 17-6 ATS after a win by 28 or more points

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:09 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:09 AM

Florida starting QB Skyler Mornhinweg; Tyler Murphy out

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:16 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:16 AM

Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers (-4.5)

ATS pick: Missouri

Both of these teams can score, but Missouri has a far better defense than A&M at every level. The Tigers are also the better situational defense, outpacing the Aggies in third-down and red zone performance, as well as takeaways. This is the fourth time in seven years that Missouri has been in the hunt for a conference title late in the year, and this is the best Tigers edition yet.

Score: Missouri 42, Texas A&M 24

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:17 AM

Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers (+10.5, 54.5)

The early-season concerns about the Crimson Tide's defense have proven unfounded, as Alabama ranks third in the nation in total defense (263.9 yards per game) and leads the country at 9.3 points allowed per contest. The offense is often downplayed, but quarterback A.J. McCarron is enjoying another outstanding season, completing 68.6 percent of his passes for 2,399 yards with 23 touchdowns and five interceptions.

The Tigers boast the top ground game in the SEC with Tre Mason (1,153 yards, 17 TDs) and quarterback Nick Marshall (823 yards, nine TDs) leading the way, but they know they'll need to be more balanced against a tough Alabama defense. Auburn can't afford a slow start that would force it to the passing game, so the sometimes-suspect defense must slow down the Crimson Tide early.

LINE: Alabama is holding as a 10.5-point fave, while the total is 54.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with wind blowing across the field at 8 mph.
TRENDS:

* Crimson Tide are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 November games.
* Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games.
* Under is 5-0-1 in Auburn's last six games following a bye week.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0
coleryan Posts:16058 Followers:21
11/30/2013 11:23 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-6-0