New England Patriots at Houston Texans: Preview and Pick
7 Replies | 282 ViewsOn 11/26/2013 07:41 AM in NFL
The New England Patriots are off the biggest come from behind victory in the history of the franchise. The Patriots survived a 24 point deficit and beat their rivals, the Denver Broncos in the Sunday night football game of the week. The Houston Texans continued their losing ways as they lost to the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans Odds
The opening NFL point spread for this game has the Patriots listed as a touchdown favorite. The Patriots are the better team and after the big win on national television it is not surprise that the public is pounding the Patriots. Over 94 percent of the early wagering is coming in on the Patriots and that has pushed the point spread over the key number and it now sits at (-7.5) at several of the top rated online sportsbooks.
The Patriots are led by one of the best quarterbacks in the league. Tom Brady was 10-of-10 with three touchdowns on passes traveling 10 or fewer yards downfield in the second half/overtime when targeting Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski. In the first half, Edelman and Gronkowski had a combined four targets. They have overcome tough spots with good play at quarterback and a good coach.
Since Bill Belichick took over as Patriots head coach in 2000, the Patriots are 15-25 (.375 win pct) in games with at least 3 turnovers, the best win pct with at least 3 turnovers in that timeframe. They need to avoid turning over the ball and avoid the letdown when they go up against the Texans.
The Texans may be on a losing streak, but they still have a good pass rushing team that could get to Brady and make this game closer than the experts think it will be. The Texans are shaping up to be a dangerous dog in this game.
The latest football betting trends for this game actually favor the Texans in this meeting. The Patriots are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The Texans are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans Pick
With plenty of time to go before the start of is big game, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.