MLB
Chi Cubs vs. NY Yankees
LIVE
0 : 0
MLB
Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore
LIVE
0 : 0
MLB
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia
LIVE
0 : 0
Forgot Password?
Back
coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: Preview and Pick

7 Replies | 291 Views
On 11/25/2013 06:26 PM in NFL
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: Preview and Pick

The Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets are on life support when it comes to the NFL Playoffs. They both have no chance of stealing the AFC East from the New England Patriots and so they need to win out on the season if they have any chance of making the playoffs. So in essence this basically becomes an elimination game for these two teams.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Odds

The opening NFL point spread for this game opened with the Jets listed as (-3) point favorites, but after back to back poor performances form the jets this line dropped. The current point spread has the Jets listed as one point favorites. The betting public has given up on the Jets as the early betting is on the Dolphins as 59 percent is backing the Dolphins in this AFC East matchup.

If the Jets want to win, they need to play better on offense. In the first half, the Jets offense is averaging 5.0 yards per play with Josh Cribbs taking snaps (25 yards on 5 wildcat plays, 0 turnovers). New York averaged 2.7 yards per play with Geno Smith taking snaps (1 turnover). Geno Smith finished Sunday 9-of-22 for 127 yards and two interceptions with three sacks. Smith's problems (particularly inside the pocket) continued Sunday. The Dolphins nearly beat the Panthers but just came up short. This game will decide the long term fate of both of these teams.

The latest football betting trends for this game reveal a bounty of interesting angles against the spread (ATS). Miami is 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets and the total has gone under in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets. Miami is 5-10 straight up in their last 15 games when playing on the road against NY Jets and Miami is 6-3 straight up in their last 9 games when playing NY Jets overall. When it comes to a betting stand point Miami is 7-12-3 ATS in their last 22 games when playing on the road against NY Jets. Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road and the total has gone under in 14 of Miami's last 21 games on the road. The NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall and they are 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games at home.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Pick

With plenty of time to go before the start of is big game, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/26/2013 02:02 PM
On Sunday the New York Jets (5-6) take on the Miami Dolphins (5-6) in what is essentially a playoff elimination game, as a loss for either of these AFC East rivals all but removes the team from the postseason. The Jets enter the game losers of two in a row, while the Dolphins are trying to bounce back from a disheartening loss to the Carolina Panthers.

- Struggles on Dolphins offense

The Miami Dolphins offense has struggled this season with a running game that is ranked 26th in the NFL and a passing attack ranked 23rd. A good portion of the unit’s issues can be attributed to the offensive line that has been dealing with a series of personnel changes including replacing starters Jonathan Martin and Richie Incognito. The inconsistent line play has made the Dolphins offense one-dimensional with quarterback Ryan Tannehill forced to make big plays under duress.

- Get after Tannehill

The New York Jets front seven led by Muhammad Wilkerson (10 sacks), Calvin Pace (7 sacks), and Sheldon Richardson (3 sacks) should be able to take advantage of an offensive line that has yielded 44 sacks. The area for concern on the Jets defense will be in the secondary as the unit tries to cover speedster Mike Wallace (49 catches) and tight end Charles Clay (46 catches). Gang Green has no answer for Wallace and will be hit for some big plays if they cannot generate a consistent pass rush.

- Familiar game plan

The Miami Dolphins defensive game plan is blatantly obvious: stop the Jets running game in order to put a ton of pressure on rookie quarterback Geno Smith. This is the blueprint that was followed by both the Bills and Ravens and the results were dominant victories.

Gang Green’s offensive line must find ways to win the wars in the trenches in order to establish the running game. If New York is unable to effectively the run ball they will then face a pass rush led by Cameron Wake (6.5 sacks) and Olivier Vernon (6.5 sacks).

- Defensive battle

This game has the makings of another low-scoring defensive battle. Both defenses will sell out to stop the run and force the offense to beat them with the passing attack. On paper this will favor the Miami Dolphins as Geno Smith has struggled mightily over the past six games with 10 interceptions. If the Jets quarterback remains ineffective it could be another long day for Gang Green as their playoff dreams get thrown away.
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/26/2013 02:03 PM
At this point in the season, the joke of why shouldn’t you give the Miami Dolphins players a dollar…because they will only give you three quarters back seem apropos.

The Dolphins’ latest games are a microcosm of the entire season. The Fins have started off the games well, and then quickly faded until losing all hope at the end of the game/season.

Since the Dolphins started out 3-0 in 2013, the Fins have been outscored 53-23 in the fourth quarter of games. They haven’t even smelled the end zone in the fourth quarter since scoring a touchdown in September.

“It’s probably more frustrating than if they put 50 points on the board,” defensive end Cameron Wake said. “You know for 56 minutes of the game you are doing everything you can, and you are doing everything you need to do to win the game. Again, that last five or so minutes, where the play needs to be made, we kind of let it slip through our fingers. It’s frustrating to know the capability and ability is there, and guys are making it happen, but in critical positions we dropped the ball.”

Wake was literal in his comment as Mike Wallace let a Hail Mary pass slide off his fingers at the goal line in the final seconds of the Dolphins’ latest defeat. The loss plummeted Miami into a six-way tie in the AFC at 5-6 on the season. The logjam of teams are fighting for the last AFC Wildcard spot.

The Dolphins’ latest loss was reminiscent of a defeat at New England on Oct. 27, when they blew a 17-3 halftime lead. This time they were at home, dominating a team that had won six consecutive games.

Carolina’s comeback began in the final minute of the first half, when Dolphins coaches made the dubious decision to deploy a prevent defense. Soft coverage allowed Cam Newton to complete a swing pass for 29 yards, setting up a field goal on the last play before halftime that made the score 16-6.

On Monday, defensive coordinator Kevin Coyle took the blame for ordering the prevent defense against Newton.

“I made a call that in retrospect I wish I could get back,” Coyle said. “We were playing for him to throw the ball deep, and it was my mistake. It wasn’t the players.”

The fourth quarter was worse. Leading 16-13, the Dolphins were likely one play from victory when Carolina had a fourth and 10 at its own 20 with 2½ minutes to go.

Newton threw a 19-yard completion, and the Panthers went on to score the winning touchdown.

“We had to stop them at the end, and we just didn’t close,” defensive end Jared Odrick said. “We didn’t finish.”

The Dolphins have lost six of their past eight games, and their fourth-quarter statistics during that stretch are dismal. They’re a minus-three in turnovers, and they’ve been outgained by 226 yards. Ryan Tannehill has one touchdown pass, five interceptions and 17 sacks. Wallace is averaging 8.9 yards per catch with no scores.

“We’ve got to make plays when they count,” Wallace said. “We kill ourselves.”

The Dolphins have showed they can win close games — their past four victories have all been by a total of 14 points. But they’ve also lost four games by a total of 12 points.

“Most of our games this year have been tight,” tackle Tyson Clabo said. “The games we’ve won, we made the plays down the stretch. And the games we lost, we didn’t.”
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/27/2013 01:50 PM
- First meeting of season between AFC East rivals who are among group of six 5-6 teams vying for final playoff spot in conference.
- Teams have split last six matchups, with Jets winning first contest each season. Four of last six matchups in series have been one-possession games.
- Miami only team to score less than 28 points in every game. In 20-16 loss to Panthers, Dolphins were shut out over final 31 minutes.
- Dolphins C Mike Pouncey expects to rejoin lineup after missing two games with stomach ailment.
- RB Daniel Thomas will miss game because of sprained left ankle. Marcus Thigpen, who has three career carries, becomes backup to Lamar Miller.
- QB Ryan Tannehill had fourth 300-yard passing game last week, and needs 216 to reach 3,000 in each of first two seasons. -
- WR Mike Wallace had 127 yards receiving last week, most since joining Dolphins and third most of career.
- P Brandon Fields' 46.8 career average on punts is third best in NFL history behind Saints' Thomas Morstead (47.1) and Houston's Shane Lechler (47.6).
- Jets' NFL-record stretch of alternating wins and losses ended last Sunday with second straight loss. ... New York 4-1 at MetLife Stadium.
- Struggling rookie QB Geno Smith remains starter despite throwing 10 INTs and just one TD in last six games. Needs 218 yards passing to top team's rookie record of 2,444 set by Mark Sanchez in 2009.
- RB Chris Ivory looking to rush for 100 yards or more in third straight home game.
- Jets allowing fewest yards rushing per game in league with 72.6.
- DE Muhammad Wilkerson has career-best 10 sacks and is first Jets player to register double-digits since John Abraham had 10½ in 2005. Has at least one sack in six of last seven games.
- LB Calvin Pace has sack in three straight games. His seven sacks are one shy of career high set in 2009.
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/28/2013 11:03 AM
While the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins are in the thick of the AFC wild-card hunt, neither team has been able to get it together.

The Jets and Dolphins both try to get on track Sunday in East Rutherford, N.J.

After New York (5-6) became the first NFL team to alternate wins and losses through its first 10 games, that trend ended last Sunday with an ugly 19-3 loss at Baltimore. Geno Smith completed 9 of 22 passes for 127 yards and threw two more interceptions as the Jets were held to a season-low 220 yards of total offense.

"The mistakes we made, they're not on one person," said coach Rex Ryan, who plans to stick with Smith for the time being. "Offensively, as it always does, it seems like we talk about Geno all the time and that stats are out there for the public awareness, I guess. Here are the facts: He was 9 for 22, but it doesn't paint the whole picture. It's certainly not on one guy."

The Dolphins (5-6), meanwhile, are coming off a 20-16 loss to Carolina. Ryan Tannehill threw for 310 yards and a touchdown, but Miami was held to 23 points or fewer for an eighth consecutive game, a stretch during which it has gone 2-6.

"It's hard to score 20, 17, 23, 19, 22 and consistently win games in the National Football League," coach Joe Philbin said. "That's hard to do, so we have to score more points."

With the division title all but out of reach as the Jets and Dolphins trail New England by three games, they are two of several teams battling for the sixth and final playoff spot.

"At this point every game is a must-win," Jets defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson told the team's official website. "These last five games, it's at the end now. We've definitely got to make sure we get these wins. We've got to make sure and prepare real well and execute our game plan and get the win against Miami. It's a division opponent so we have to make sure we get this win."

A better performance from Smith could go a long way for New York. The struggling rookie QB only completed 25 passes in three games in November, with just five going for 20 yards or more. In contrast, he had 17 such completions in September and 10 in October.

"The precision is huge especially when you talk about lower-percentage passes like those ones going downfield," said Smith, who has posted a 15.3 passer rating in the last two games. "It's something we've been working on. I don't think we've shied away from it or gotten away from it. I just think we haven't executed it as well as we've done in the past."

Smith has thrown an NFL-worst 18 interceptions - five in the last two games - and he appears to have a difficult matchup against Miami. The Dolphins have allowed just 12 passing TDs while recording 14 picks, good for the league's third-best ratio at 0.86.

New York could also have a hard time getting its ground game going without Chris Ivory, who is questionable after suffering an ankle injury last week. Ivory carried the ball 33 times for 237 yards - 7.2 per attempt - and two touchdowns in the previous two games.

Bilal Powell would likely start if Ivory can't go.

Dolphins running back Lamar Miller, posting 43.2 rushing yards per game, could take on a bigger workload with Daniel Thomas (ankle) out. Marcus Thigpen also figures to be involved going forward.

"We've all seen his speed flash at certain times on special teams," Tannehill said of Thigpen. "He's a weapon we can use in this offense. It's going to be exciting to see what he can bring to the table."

Miami, held to a franchise-low two rushing yards on 14 attempts in a 22-19 loss at Tampa Bay in Week 10, managed just 52 against the Panthers.

"You have to be able to run the ball to be effective," offensive coordinator Mike Sherman said. "We just have to find a way to get the balance that we so desperately need. We don't have that balance right now."

The Dolphins have dropped three straight on the road, but they are 4-1 at New York since 2008. The Jets are 4-1 at home.
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/29/2013 02:39 PM
The New York Jets are yet again on the brink of a make or break to the playoffs and this is starting to become a recurring event, something which is not good. They are yet again needing outside help to make it to the playoffs and outside linebacker Calvin Pace didn’t know why this was evolving into a tradition.

“That's a good question,'' he said. “I don't have an answer for it.”

The Jets started off their season with high hopes and a good start which all went down the drain eventually. They are currently 5-6 and have lost two straight matches to the Baltimore ravens and the Buffalo Bills. Now they have lost the tiebreaker they needed to solidify chances of making it to the playoffs in AFC.

Pace blamed the Jets for collectively losing their chance, saying it was their own fault.

"We are behind the eight ball and we put ourselves there,” he said.
The Jets haven’t fared well against opponents who have the same stats or less than they do and that does not speak well for them. Head coach Rex Ryan said that the losses attains the Baltimore Ravens, Tennessee Titans and the Pittsburgh Steelers were heavy that should not have happened.

“We've lost head-to-head [matchups] against three opponents that have the same record we do,'' Rex Ryan said.

That's why beating the AFC East rival Dolphins on Sunday is paramount.

All this adds up to one thing and that is the Jets desperately need to beat the Dolphins to make their chance of the playoffs better. And the team knows this.

"We pretty much gotta win. That's it,'' said Muhammad Wilkerson, defensive end for the Jets.

Coach Rex Ryan knew that much depended on the coming game and said they were preparing accordingly.

“There's a lot of things that go into it, so clearly we recognize that this is a huge game for us,” said Ryan. “Whether mathematically it eliminates you from things, it probably doesn't, but our urgency is the fact that we feel we need to win this game. Absolutely.”
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/29/2013 02:41 PM
The atmosphere surrounding the Jets has been described as a circus the past few years.

Whether its bizarre stories involving Rex Ryan and his wife, the Tim Tebow hoopla or on-field mishaps, like Mark Sanchez's "butt fumble" From bizarre off-field stories involving Rex Ryan's tattoos and the hoopla surrounding Tim Tebow to on field mishaps, like Mark Sanchez’s “butt fumble,” the team has been in the headlines far too often for all the wrong reasons.

But none of New York's tabloid fodder has compared to the media firestorm over bullying allegations involving Miami Dolphins teammates Richie Incognito and Jonathan Martin.

Whatever your personal feelings on the saga may be, there’s no doubt it has created an incredibly unwanted off-field distraction for Miami.

The story brings with it on-field implications as Incognito will miss Sunday’s game against the Jets serving the final game of his suspension, while Martin will probably never wear a Dolphins uniform again.

For once, the Jets can look across the field and see a team dealing with more distractions than they are, and they need to take advantage of it. They can’t afford another loss within their division and within the conference, especially against a team they're competing with for the final playoff spot.

Miami’s offensive line wasn’t all that great when it was at full strength, but it's a glaring weakness without Incognito and Martin. The Dolphins are a pass-heavy team, so the Jets will certainly have their opportunities to knock quarterback Ryan Tannehill down. He has been sacked more times than any other quarterback in the NFL by a fairly wide margin.

Putting extra pressure on New York's front seven is a middling secondary. The Jets are likely to be without cornerback Antonio Cromartie, out with a hip injury. And while he's certainly had his issues this season, the bench hasn’t exactly stepped up when called upon.

Given Cromartie’s absence and the team’s struggles on offense, Gang Green desperately needs for their defensive line to be active up front and set the tone for the game.

The last time Geno Smith took the field at MetLife Stadium, emotions rode high as the rookie led an upset over the New Orleans Saints. But that was way back on Nov. 3, and Smith and the rest of the offense have been horrendous since.

The bye week after the Saints game was a chance for Smith to work out some of the kinks in his repertoire, but he somehow came back looking his worst.

In the two games since, Smith has thrown five interceptions and no touchdowns, completing just 17 of 45 passes.

Running backs Chris Ivory and Bilal Powell haven’t gotten nearly enough touches the past two weeks. The Dolphins have been known to put pressure on the quarterback, but they aren’t very good at stopping the run.

The Jets can ease some of the pressure off of Smith by giving the ball to to the running backs all day long. If the Jets want to run a few gimmick plays and use specialist Josh Cribbs in the wildcat, that’s fine too, as long as it’s working and the team is picking up yardage.

But a strong running game still won’t let Smith completely off the hook. He needs to start completing more passes down the field and keeping opposing defenses honest. If Smith can’t hurt teams with his arm, it allows them to play up on the line and wait for the run.

In order for Smith to make that happen, the receivers have to play better themselves.

Dropped passes and disappearing acts have plagued the group. Santonio Holmes could also be a bit banged up for Sunday’s game, but what else is new? Stephen Hill has been invisible and the tight ends need to get more involved.

Having lost two games in a row, there’s an increasing sense of urgency for Gang Green to play well at home this weekend. The term “must-win” gets thrown around quite a bit, but this is as close as it gets for a week 13 matchup. As the calendar turns over into December, the elimination games are officially underway for the Jets.
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/30/2013 05:59 PM
The Dolphins won’t have cornerback Dimitri Patterson (groin), cornerback Jamar Taylor (hamstring) or running back Daniel Thomas (ankle) and safety Chris Clemons (knee, hamstring) is questionable.

The Jets listed wide receivers Santonio Holmes (hamstring) and Jeremy Kerley (elbow) as questionable, but coach Rex Ryan sounded doubtful about their chances of playing. There’s more optimism about cornerback Antonio Cromartie (hip).
0 0
Post Comment