jimmythegreek Posts:10886 Followers:378
On 10/27/2011 12:30 PM in NCAA Football

JIMMY THE GREEK SAYS

2 plays for week 9:
Houston -27.5 over Rice
While quarterback Case Keenum continues to set records, Houston quietly remains undefeated. Keenum and the No. 18 Cougars look to match the best start in school history with an eighth consecutive victory Thursday night in a Conference USA matchup against crosstown rival Rice. One of eight remaining undefeated teams in the Football Bowl Subdivision, Houston (7-0, 3-0) has not won its first eight games since 1990. With Keenum guiding the nation's top-ranked offense, matching that start appears likely against a Rice team that has lost 10 straight conference road games since a 49-44 victory at UTEP on Nov. 1, 2008. The Owls (2-5, 1-3) have also been outscored 212-94 during a four-game road skid against Houston since a 21-14 win there Sept. 1, 2001. The Cougars have lost two of the last three overall meetings with Rice, but Keenum did not play in last year's 34-31 road defeat to the Owls.

Keenum is 70 of 103 for 973 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions in three career games versus Rice, posting a 2-1 record. The senior became the FBS career leader in total offense - breaking the record of 16,910 yards set by Hawaii's Timmy Chang from 2000-04 - when he threw for 376 yards and tied a career high with six TD passes in a 63-28 victory over Marshall on Saturday. The nation's leader in passing yards (2,685), Keenum guides an offense that ranks first in the nation with 606.1 total yards and 49.3 points per game. The Cougars have scored at least 56 in three of their last four contests. Keenum and the Houston offense may be too much to handle for a Rice defense that ranks near the bottom of the league giving up 472.4 yards and 32.6 points per game. They have a balanced yet dangerous running game as well with Michael Hayes (66-384 5.8 6 TD), Charles Sims (44-330 7.5 6 TD) and Bryce Beall (50-286 5.7 6 TD) carrying the load of the touches.

Houston native Tyron Carrier is one of Keenum's favorite targets. The senior leads the Cougars with 46 receptions to go along with 553 yards. He's caught a pass in 46 straight games - the longest active streak in the nation. Carrier, however, has a pedestrian six receptions for 66 yards and no touchdowns in his last two games versus Rice. While Houston seems able to score at will, Rice is tied for 95th in the nation averaging 22.3 points per game. Bailiff has yet to decide who will start at quarterback after senior Nick Fanuzzi replaced starter Taylor McHargue, who threw two interceptions and fumbled on the team's first three possessions during a 38-20 loss to Tulsa on Saturday. Rice has dropped 19 straight games against Top 25 opponents dating to a 27-14 win over then-No. 21 BYU on Oct. 11, 1997.

You don't see me very often take a team for two consecutive weeks as a best bet, but since the line here is set at 4 TDs and Houston has been scoring at will, it has taken their lesser of their Conference USA competition out of games early. Keenum continues to be one of the most accurate and efficient QB's in D1, and the last few weeks the Cougars defense has been inspired only yielding renegade points when the game is out of reach. Rice will not be able to stop Keenum and company, and Houston rolls to a gargantuan 8th straight victory in a track meetish style offense. Best of luck however you play!

Back with another game for Saturday
YTD: 5-3

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jimmythegreek Posts:10886 Followers:378
10/29/2011 11:48 AM

Air Force -30 over New Mexico:
The 3-4, 0-3 Air Force Academy Falcons hung tough last week at BCS' No. 4 Boise State only falling to the 7-0, 2-0 Broncos 37-26. Air Force draws a road date at the 0-7, 0-2 New Mexico Lobos next. The Falcons play a NM team who was lit up 69-0 at 5-2, 2-0 Texas Christian during Week Eight of the college football season. Senior quarterback Tim Jefferson's one-yard touchdown run tied the score early in the second. It then appeared Boise State was going to run away with the game on the Blue Field when they scored 13 straight points including a 16-yard fumble return. However Air Force didn't fret or hurry sticking to their gameplan and pulling within a TD midway through the third after junior placekicker Parker Herrington sank two field goals. Senior running back Asher Clark's three-yard run with 9:47 left during the fourth once again made it a one-score game as Jefferson's second TD of the day cut the margin to eight. Just as the Broncos had an extra point blocked earlier in the game, the Falcons had their XP with 3:31 remaining blocked as well.

Statistically Air Force was right there with Boise State. Both teams had 23 first downs, four penalties and two turnovers. The Falcons had 15 yards less on offense. AFA will try to do more than just being competitive next week against the Lobos who have only lost this season. Despite having a sub-.500 record going into this week's game, Air Force actually boasts the nation's No. 2 running offense, punishing defenses to the tune of over 325 yards per game just on the ground. The team's overall offensive production, 29th in the nation, isn't nearly as prolific, but speaks to its ability to put points on the board. When TCU started fast last week, New Mexico had a letdown, to the point that coach George Barlow spoke openly this week about finding players who will give the kind of effort he wants. If Air Force starts well, the Lobos could have a tough time fighting back.

There shouldn’t be much mystery to Air Force’s plan this week. Over the past few weeks Air Force has fallen behind and passed more than it probably anticipated. The Falcons could control this game from start to finish with their running attack. Carmen Messina has to be the Falcons’ biggest focus. He is the Lobos’ best player, having led the Mountain West in tackles each of the past two seasons. He is a physical player who flows to the ball well. Air Force’s offensive linemen, particularly their interior linemen who had some trouble against New Mexico’s big defensive tackles last year, will have to get to the second level to block Messina. On the defensive side of the ball, the Falconsshould be ble to contain Deon Long, a freshman wide out who has gone over the 100-yard mark twice, including a 209 yard, three touchdown performance against Sam Houston State. Throwing to him will be junior quarterback B.R. Holbrook. The Lobos have used two quarterbacks this season, with the additional help from sophomore Tarean Austin. Holbrook has taken over as the more productive passer, while Austin is a dual threat that can beat you on the ground as well as through the air. Holbrook got the early hook in last weeks blowout loss to TCU after the Lobos had trouble holding onto the football and were buried early. The Falcon defenders must take advantage of New Mexico's struggles with turnovers and swarm the Lobo ball carriers. With another losing season already guaranteed, the Lobos' psyche has to be brittle and any early advantage the Falcon defense can take could put this game away. Look for Brady Amack to fly around and make plays as usual in the middle of the Air Force defense. He leads the MWC in tackles with 71.

Air Force should have no problems against New Mexico if they are focused on the game and their jobs on the field. They showed they know how to take care of business against a lesser foe prior to a rivalry game in their week four blowout win against Tennessee State. If they can take the same approach they had going into that game there should be a similar result against the Lobos. Best of luck however you play!

YTD: 6-3







For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 12484-12817-470
  • Last 7 Days Record: 65-71-1
  • Last 30 Days Record: 407-396-16
jimmythegreek Posts:10886 Followers:378
10/29/2011 04:57 PM

Air Force pitches a shutout and cruises to a comfortable 6 TD winner! That's a 2-0 best bet Saturday and we improve to 7-3 so far this season! Back up tomorrow with the Insider! GL all

For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 12484-12817-470
  • Last 7 Days Record: 65-71-1
  • Last 30 Days Record: 407-396-16
bobalou Posts:4995 Followers:145
10/29/2011 05:40 PM

Great Call JTG... TY for sharing :)



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