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Colts (0-7) @ Titans (3-3)-- Both teams coming off horrific losses, Colts losing 62-7 in Superdome, Titans 41-7 at home to Texans in whats was game to decide first place in AFC South. Indy won last five series games (30-28/23-20 LY); the average total in last three meetings is 48.3. Colts are 1-3 as road dogs, losing on foreign soil by 27-7-7-10 points; they've been outscored 73-17 in second half of last four games. Tennessee is 0-2 as favorite this year, 6-9-1 in last 16 games as home favorite; they allowed 14 or less points in their wins (by 13-3-18 points), 16-38-41 in losses. Underdogs are 0-3 vs spread week after playing the Saints. Over is 5-1 in Indy's last six games, 4-1 in Titans' last five.
Jaguars (2-5) @ Texans (4-3)-- Jaguars played their hearts out in 12-7 win over Baltimore Monday night; at one point this season, they were 0-5 vs spread and trailed 17-3 at half in the sixth game at Pittsburgh, then outscored Steelers 10-0 in second half, so they've only allowed seven points in last six quarters of play. Texans allowed 13 or less points in their four wins, 40-25-29 in losses- they're 5-3 in last eight games as home favorite. Home team won eight of last ten series games; Jags lost five of last seven visits here, with all five losses by 13+ points; over last 7+ years, they're 20-11-1 in last 32 games as a road dog. Under is 6-1 in Jacksonville games, 5-2 in Houston games.
Vikings (1-6) @ Panthers (2-5)-- Minnesota led five of seven games at halftime, but they've been outscored 120-39 in second half this year; Vikings are 1-5 vs spread as pre-bye underdog, 6-9-1 in last 16 games as dog overall. Panthers are 2-0 as favorite this year, only two games they've won (covered five of last six). Vikings allowed 39-33 pts in last two games; Arizona is only team they held under 22 points, and are only team Vikings beat. Underdogs are 0-2 vs spread the week after playing Green Bay. NFC South home favorites are 5-2 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC North teams are 4-1 as underdogs, 3-1 away from home. Over is 5-2 in Carolina games, 4-2 in last six Viking games.
Saints (5-2) @ Rams (0-6)-- This could be ugly, with red-hot Saints coming off of 62-7 win, Rams missing QB Bradford for second week in row, and 1,000's of Saint fans likely to make trip to St Louis to root on their team. Rams are 0-6 vs spread this year, getting outscored 103-16 in first half of last five games, losing home games 31-13/37-7/17-10- they're crippled at CB, bad thing to be against a pass-happy Saint squad that won five of last six games but is just 1-3 vs spread on road, beating Carolina 30-27/Jaguars 23-10. Last three St Louis games stayed under the total. NFC West home underdogs are 1-5-1 vs spread in non-league games. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-4, 1-2 on foreign soil.
Cardinals (1-5) @ Ravens (4-2)-- Baltimore has amazing 33-8-1 record as home favorite vs non-divisional opponents, but ton of pressure on their offense after a hideous showing on Monday in Jacksonville. Ravens are a bully team; all four of their wins this year are by 15+ points- they're 3-0 as home fave this season. Arizona lost its last five games, last two by 34-10/32-20 scores after three real close losses- they're 2-8 as a road dog since Warner retired. Ravens are 10-7 vs spread in game following their last 17 losses; former Cardinal WR Boldin meets up with his old team here. All three Arizona road games stayed under the total. NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 6-11-2, 5-6-1 on the road.
Dolphins (0-6) @ NJ Giants (4-2)-- Second trip to Swamp in last three weeks for Miami, which is 1-2 as road dog, losing by 1-10-18 points- they're winless, but Fish lost two games (Browns/Broncos) in last minute- last week they were the first team since '70 49ers to lose a game they led by 15+ points with 3:00 to play. Hideous home loss to Seattle in Week 5 shows you can't trust Giant club that is 6-11-1 in last 18 games as home favorite- they allowed 27-36-24 points in last three games, but Big Blue won last three post-bye games, scoring 44-34-41 points. NFC East home favorites are 2-5 vs spread in non-divisional games; AFC East road underdogs are 3-2 against the spread.
Redskins (3-3) vs Bills (4-2) (@ Toronto)-- Buffalo is 5-0 in series since losing Super Bowl 26 to Washington, with four of five wins by 14+ points; this game is in Rogers Centre in Toronto, so no home field edge for Bills' squad that is 3-0 in Orchard Park this year, scoring 38-34-31 points. Washington lost both games since its bye, turning ball over seven times (-5) on 21 drives; they're 1-2 on road scoring 17.7 ppg, with only win at winless Rams. Teams are 2-4 SU week after playing Carolina. NFC East teams are 5-3-1 vs spread in non-divisional games this season. Five of six Buffalo games went over total; four of last five Redskin games stayed under.
Lions (4-3) @ Broncos (2-4)-- Home team won six of eight series games; Lions lost last three visits here- their only win in Denver was in 1971. It snowed this week in Denver, so weather could be an issue. Detroit lost its last eight pre-bye games, covering once in last seven; league-wide this year, pre-bye favorites are 4-1. Tebow makes Broncos funky team; they completed less than 50% of their passes in last two games, but they ran ball for 162-183 yards. NFC North clubs are 5-3 vs spread in non-divisional road games, 2-2 when favored; AFC West home dogs are 2-1. Over is 5-0 in games involving teams that played Miami the week before; last three Detroit games stayed under.
Patriots (5-1) @ Steelers (5-2)-- Pittsburgh covered five of last six as home dog but are 8-12-1 vs spread in game after their last 21 wins. Patriots won last eight post-bye games, 2nd-longest streak ever (Eagles won last 12); they won five of last six visits here, winning 39-26 LY. Steelers are 1-6 vs Brady, but they did win last three weeks, outscoring foes 55-13 in first half- they're 3-0 at home, allowing only three TDs on 29 drives. AFC North home dogs are 4-2 vs spread in non-divisional games. Average total in last seven series games, 52.7. Post-bye road teams are just 2-6 SU so far this season, but all but one were underdogs. Steelers scored 7-10 points in only games they've lost this season.
Browns (3-3) @ 49ers (5-1)-- No one thinks Cleveland is any good, but they've been favored to win five of six games this year; they've scored 17 or less points in five of six games, turning ball over once in all six games (+2 for year). 49ers won/covered last four games prior to bye; challenge now is to keep momentum. SF forced 3+ turnovers in four of six games; they're 2-0 as favorites, winning by 16-45 points when favored. NFC North underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in its non-divisional games. Three of last four Browns games stayed under total. 49ers ran ball for 164-213-203 yards last three games. Cleveland won both games in this series, 20-7/13-12, but series is played once every four years.
Bengals (4-2) @ Seahawks (2-4)-- Huge trap game for Cincy and its rookie QB, they won/covered last three games before bye, and held last four opponents to less than 300 yards total offense. Seattle split last four games, losing 30-28 at home to Falcons, 6-3 at Cleveland- they're 6-27 on third down last two games. Bengals are 2-9-1 in last 12 post-bye games; since '91, they're 0-4 as post-bye favorite. Seattle got seven takeaways (+3) in its two wins, one (-6) in their four losses; they're 9-5-1 in last 15 games as home dog. Home team won four in row and seven of last ten series games, with Bengals losing last three visits here, by 3-17-3 points. All three Cincinnati games went over the total.
Cowboys (3-3) @ Eagles (2-4)-- Philly has NFL record, winning last 12 games after a bye, covering six of last eight as post-bye favorite, but they've lost four of last five vs hated Cowboys- five of last eight series games were decided by 4 or less points. Road team is 7-5 in last 12 series games; Dallas won four of last six visits here, winning 20-16/14-13 last two years. Five of six Cowboy games were decided by 4 or less points; Pokes are 1-2 on road, with dogs covering all three games. Philly lost four of last five games before bye- they held teams to 13 points in both wins this year, allowed 35-29-24-31 in losses. Home faves in divisional games are 8-8 this season, 0-2 in NFC East games.
Chargers (4-2) @ Chiefs (3-3)-- First rematch of season; Chiefs lost 20-17 at San Diego in Week 3 (+14.5), 7th win in last eight series meetings for Chargers, who've won three of last four visits here, but KC is 3-0 since then, winning as an underdog in all three games. Home underdogs are 7-4 in divisional games so far this season. Chargers are 1-2 on road this year, losing at Patriots/Jets, with a 29-24 win in Denver- they've been outscored 31-6 in second half of their last two games. San Diego is 22-11-3 vs spread in game following its last 36 losses. 6-10 in its last 16 games as road favorite. Kansas Ciy covered its last three tilts as a home underdog. Three of Chiefs' last four games stayed under total.
Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday......
13) Wisconsin had their hearts torn out a second straight Saturday, as Ohio State scored on a 40-yard pass with 0:20 left to stun the Badgers 33-29. It is one thing to run the score up on weakling Indiana, but when Wisconsin had tough games to win this month, they folded like a cheap suit.
12) 30-40 years from now, players/coaches from this year's Vanderbilt club will shake their heads over how they lost to Arkansas Saturday. This is the kind of game downtrodden programs screw up, retarding program's progess. Vandy led 28-20 and had the ball inside the Arkansas 10 when a Commodore fumble was run back 94 yards for a Razorback TD. Then the Vandy kicker missed a 27-yard FG with 0:08 to seal a brutal 31-28 defeat.
11) Every game Georgia wins helps Boise State's case with the BCS, so Broncos had to be happy Dawgs survived their horrendous special teams play to edge Florida 24-20. Georgia has now won six games in a row.
10) Underdogs continue to dominate the Clemson-Georgia Tech series, as the Tigers lost yet again in Atlanta, their first loss of the season.
9) Akron scored on the last play of the game to cut Central Michigan's lead to 23-22, then went for two to win the game but lost instead. Its a gutless move by the coach to go for the win right there, unless they have an awful kicker. Just play overtime and give your kids the best chance to win.
8) Texas A&M lost another game they led by 10+ points at the half- they lost 38-31 in OT to a Missouri team they led by 11 points at the half.
7) Illinois has now covered 12 of its last 14 games as a road underdog, but a shaky pass interference call on a 4th down play with 1:31 left gave Penn State a 10-7 win at snowy Happy Valley.
6) Rutgers led erratic West Virginia 31-21 at the half, then didn't score in the second half and lost 41-31. Mountaineers play lousy defense.
5) So does Baylor; Bears gave up 327 rushing yards on just 27 carries in a dreadful 59-24 drubbing at Oklahoma State. Game was 35-nil at the half.
4) Tennessee has now failed to cover their last eight games as a home dog.
3) Texas Tech beat Oklahoma in Norman last week, then came home and laid an egg Saturday, losing 41-7 at home to Iowa State. Handling success obviously isn't one of their strong suits.
2) Iowa Hawkeyes are now 0-3 on the road after a hideous 22-21 loss to a lousy Minnesota team. Sad to say but Iowa will be in a bowl game.
1) Stanford-USC was a tremendous game that just ended in such a bad way for Spooky. For a team on probation they have put together a great season and have played extremely well for a young, inexperienced team with limited depth.