Colts (0-7) @ Titans (3-3)-- Both teams coming off horrific losses, Colts losing 62-7 in Superdome, Titans 41-7 at home to Texans in whats was game to decide first place in AFC South. Indy won last five series games (30-28/23-20 LY); the average total in last three meetings is 48.3. Colts are 1-3 as road dogs, losing on foreign soil by 27-7-7-10 points; they've been outscored 73-17 in second half of last four games. Tennessee is 0-2 as favorite this year, 6-9-1 in last 16 games as home favorite; they allowed 14 or less points in their wins (by 13-3-18 points), 16-38-41 in losses. Underdogs are 0-3 vs spread week after playing the Saints. Over is 5-1 in Indy's last six games, 4-1 in Titans' last five.
Jaguars (2-5) @ Texans (4-3)-- Jaguars played their hearts out in 12-7 win over Baltimore Monday night; at one point this season, they were 0-5 vs spread and trailed 17-3 at half in the sixth game at Pittsburgh, then outscored Steelers 10-0 in second half, so they've only allowed seven points in last six quarters of play. Texans allowed 13 or less points in their four wins, 40-25-29 in losses- they're 5-3 in last eight games as home favorite. Home team won eight of last ten series games; Jags lost five of last seven visits here, with all five losses by 13+ points; over last 7+ years, they're 20-11-1 in last 32 games as a road dog. Under is 6-1 in Jacksonville games, 5-2 in Houston games.
Vikings (1-6) @ Panthers (2-5)-- Minnesota led five of seven games at halftime, but they've been outscored 120-39 in second half this year; Vikings are 1-5 vs spread as pre-bye underdog, 6-9-1 in last 16 games as dog overall. Panthers are 2-0 as favorite this year, only two games they've won (covered five of last six). Vikings allowed 39-33 pts in last two games; Arizona is only team they held under 22 points, and are only team Vikings beat. Underdogs are 0-2 vs spread the week after playing Green Bay. NFC South home favorites are 5-2 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC North teams are 4-1 as underdogs, 3-1 away from home. Over is 5-2 in Carolina games, 4-2 in last six Viking games.
Saints (5-2) @ Rams (0-6)-- This could be ugly, with red-hot Saints coming off of 62-7 win, Rams missing QB Bradford for second week in row, and 1,000's of Saint fans likely to make trip to St Louis to root on their team. Rams are 0-6 vs spread this year, getting outscored 103-16 in first half of last five games, losing home games 31-13/37-7/17-10- they're crippled at CB, bad thing to be against a pass-happy Saint squad that won five of last six games but is just 1-3 vs spread on road, beating Carolina 30-27/Jaguars 23-10. Last three St Louis games stayed under the total. NFC West home underdogs are 1-5-1 vs spread in non-league games. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-4, 1-2 on foreign soil.
Cardinals (1-5) @ Ravens (4-2)-- Baltimore has amazing 33-8-1 record as home favorite vs non-divisional opponents, but ton of pressure on their offense after a hideous showing on Monday in Jacksonville. Ravens are a bully team; all four of their wins this year are by 15+ points- they're 3-0 as home fave this season. Arizona lost its last five games, last two by 34-10/32-20 scores after three real close losses- they're 2-8 as a road dog since Warner retired. Ravens are 10-7 vs spread in game following their last 17 losses; former Cardinal WR Boldin meets up with his old team here. All three Arizona road games stayed under the total. NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 6-11-2, 5-6-1 on the road.
Dolphins (0-6) @ NJ Giants (4-2)-- Second trip to Swamp in last three weeks for Miami, which is 1-2 as road dog, losing by 1-10-18 points- they're winless, but Fish lost two games (Browns/Broncos) in last minute- last week they were the first team since '70 49ers to lose a game they led by 15+ points with 3:00 to play. Hideous home loss to Seattle in Week 5 shows you can't trust Giant club that is 6-11-1 in last 18 games as home favorite- they allowed 27-36-24 points in last three games, but Big Blue won last three post-bye games, scoring 44-34-41 points. NFC East home favorites are 2-5 vs spread in non-divisional games; AFC East road underdogs are 3-2 against the spread.
Redskins (3-3) vs Bills (4-2) (@ Toronto)-- Buffalo is 5-0 in series since losing Super Bowl 26 to Washington, with four of five wins by 14+ points; this game is in Rogers Centre in Toronto, so no home field edge for Bills' squad that is 3-0 in Orchard Park this year, scoring 38-34-31 points. Washington lost both games since its bye, turning ball over seven times (-5) on 21 drives; they're 1-2 on road scoring 17.7 ppg, with only win at winless Rams. Teams are 2-4 SU week after playing Carolina. NFC East teams are 5-3-1 vs spread in non-divisional games this season. Five of six Buffalo games went over total; four of last five Redskin games stayed under.
Lions (4-3) @ Broncos (2-4)-- Home team won six of eight series games; Lions lost last three visits here- their only win in Denver was in 1971. It snowed this week in Denver, so weather could be an issue. Detroit lost its last eight pre-bye games, covering once in last seven; league-wide this year, pre-bye favorites are 4-1. Tebow makes Broncos funky team; they completed less than 50% of their passes in last two games, but they ran ball for 162-183 yards. NFC North clubs are 5-3 vs spread in non-divisional road games, 2-2 when favored; AFC West home dogs are 2-1. Over is 5-0 in games involving teams that played Miami the week before; last three Detroit games stayed under.
Patriots (5-1) @ Steelers (5-2)-- Pittsburgh covered five of last six as home dog but are 8-12-1 vs spread in game after their last 21 wins. Patriots won last eight post-bye games, 2nd-longest streak ever (Eagles won last 12); they won five of last six visits here, winning 39-26 LY. Steelers are 1-6 vs Brady, but they did win last three weeks, outscoring foes 55-13 in first half- they're 3-0 at home, allowing only three TDs on 29 drives. AFC North home dogs are 4-2 vs spread in non-divisional games. Average total in last seven series games, 52.7. Post-bye road teams are just 2-6 SU so far this season, but all but one were underdogs. Steelers scored 7-10 points in only games they've lost this season.
Browns (3-3) @ 49ers (5-1)-- No one thinks Cleveland is any good, but they've been favored to win five of six games this year; they've scored 17 or less points in five of six games, turning ball over once in all six games (+2 for year). 49ers won/covered last four games prior to bye; challenge now is to keep momentum. SF forced 3+ turnovers in four of six games; they're 2-0 as favorites, winning by 16-45 points when favored. NFC North underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in its non-divisional games. Three of last four Browns games stayed under total. 49ers ran ball for 164-213-203 yards last three games. Cleveland won both games in this series, 20-7/13-12, but series is played once every four years.
Bengals (4-2) @ Seahawks (2-4)-- Huge trap game for Cincy and its rookie QB, they won/covered last three games before bye, and held last four opponents to less than 300 yards total offense. Seattle split last four games, losing 30-28 at home to Falcons, 6-3 at Cleveland- they're 6-27 on third down last two games. Bengals are 2-9-1 in last 12 post-bye games; since '91, they're 0-4 as post-bye favorite. Seattle got seven takeaways (+3) in its two wins, one (-6) in their four losses; they're 9-5-1 in last 15 games as home dog. Home team won four in row and seven of last ten series games, with Bengals losing last three visits here, by 3-17-3 points. All three Cincinnati games went over the total.
Cowboys (3-3) @ Eagles (2-4)-- Philly has NFL record, winning last 12 games after a bye, covering six of last eight as post-bye favorite, but they've lost four of last five vs hated Cowboys- five of last eight series games were decided by 4 or less points. Road team is 7-5 in last 12 series games; Dallas won four of last six visits here, winning 20-16/14-13 last two years. Five of six Cowboy games were decided by 4 or less points; Pokes are 1-2 on road, with dogs covering all three games. Philly lost four of last five games before bye- they held teams to 13 points in both wins this year, allowed 35-29-24-31 in losses. Home faves in divisional games are 8-8 this season, 0-2 in NFC East games.
Chargers (4-2) @ Chiefs (3-3)-- First rematch of season; Chiefs lost 20-17 at San Diego in Week 3 (+14.5), 7th win in last eight series meetings for Chargers, who've won three of last four visits here, but KC is 3-0 since then, winning as an underdog in all three games. Home underdogs are 7-4 in divisional games so far this season. Chargers are 1-2 on road this year, losing at Patriots/Jets, with a 29-24 win in Denver- they've been outscored 31-6 in second half of their last two games. San Diego is 22-11-3 vs spread in game following its last 36 losses. 6-10 in its last 16 games as road favorite. Kansas Ciy covered its last three tilts as a home underdog. Three of Chiefs' last four games stayed under total.
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