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Spooky's 74 Days away from the Super Bowl NFL weekly Express
Spooky Express Hump Day thoughts 74 days from the Super Bowl.....
-- I think the golfing rules poobahs came up with a good one yesterday. They declared that if a rules infraction isn't discernible to the naked eye, there's no infraction. This will do away with enhanced photography zooming into a ball that may have moved ever so slightly. If the rule were in effect in September, it would have saved Tiger Woods a two shot penalty at the BMW Championship. Good rule. This idea of analyzing golf footage to find wrongdoing is just plain stupid.
-- You watch Alex Smith play and wonder how on God’s green earth the Chiefs are 9-1. Well, he doesn’t make mistakes, and the Chiefs rarely give their opponent a short field. In ten games, KC has started 46 drives (2nd-least in NFL) at their own 20 or worse field position; their opponents have started 81 (most in NFL). Chiefs win because they’ve forced opponents to play on a longer field. They lost to the Broncos because Denver has an offense that can drive 80+ yards with no problem, and the Chiefs’ offense couldn’t keep up.
-- Carlos Ruiz gets three years, $26M to stay in Philly, hit cheap homers for my fantasy team; Tim Hudson gets $23M for two years to go back to the Bay Area, this time on the wrong (SF) side of the bay.
-- Golfer Peter Uihlein is the first American to win Rookie of the Year on the European Tour. Lot of these golfers have well-worn passports; they go all over the world to play. Think the European Tour allows appearance fees, which are obviously very attractive. As Don Henley once sang, “……the lure of easy money has a very strong appeal.”
-- ESPN is wasting whatever money it pays refereeing analyst Gerry Austin; he gagged bigtime commenting on the non-call at the end of the Patriot-Carolina game Monday night. If you’re not going to criticize when the refs screw up, then don’t take money for being a officiating analyst. The refs fouled up, Austin wouldn’t say they were wrong, and he made ESPN look bad in the process.
-- See more Spooky Express thoughts at our website.
Spooky Express and the Winston DNA Random Thought Files for Thursday....
-- It was A-Rod's first "walk-off" in recent memory. He's upset that Bud Selig wouldn't testify in his appeal of his 211-game suspension, so he took a hike from the hearing. He talked about the "lying" and this being an "absurdity" and a "farce." Was he referring to the arbitration hearing or what's he's made of his career?
-- Lindsey Vonn suffered a partial tear in her right ACL. Same knee she's injured in the past. The Sochi Olympics are less than 3 months away.
-- CBS broadcaster Dan Dierdorf will retire after this season, his 30th calling NFL games.
Best and worst of the NFL ..............
-- Falcons—Atlanta looks like a team that has stopped trying; curious to see them tonight on national TV, against its arch-rival. Will be disappointing if they don’t give a strong effort.
-- Jaguars—Carson Palmer looked like a combination of Dan Fouts/Norm Van Brocklin last week, so I’m thinking Jags have a bad defense; in their last five games, on first drive of each half (10 drives) Jax has given up five TDs, three FGs and forced two fumbles. Opposing punters nap on the sidelines during their games.
-- Texans—Yanked Case Keenum for the hideous Matt Schaub Sunday, then announced Keenum is starting this week. Then why did you yank him last week? That phone you hear ringing in the Houston front office is Kevin Sumlin’s agent, on Line 1. Last time Texans won a game the Astros still had two weeks of games left to play.
-- 49ers—Wow, if 49ers slip up down stretch, Arizona is going to make playoffs, and Bruce Arians is going to become a kind of coaching guru, having led Colts to a playoff spot last year as an interim coach. This was a guy who was 21-45 while coaching Temple from 1989-92. Good for him. Meanwhile, why did the Steelers let Arians go as OC? Are they better since he left? Um, not even close.
-- Saints—Saints are really, really good because then-Dolphins’ coach Nick Saban listened to Miami’s team doctors and passed on Drew Brees’ post-operative passing shoulder and signed Daunte Culpepper instead. Oy. Otherwise, the Saints might still stink, the team might’ve moved to Los Angeles in the post-Katrina period, and the Hornets/Pelicans would’ve moved to Seattle, instead of having Tom Benson buying them to keep them on Bourbon Street. Seattle really deserves an NBA team and it could be Nick Saban’s fault that they don’t have one.
-- Broncos— Remember the game in Foxboro in October 2009 when there was a freak snowstorm and New England beat the Titans by 50? I’m half-expecting some kind of weather debacle Sunday night; otherwise, if the Panthers riddled the New England defense, what will Peyton Manning do? Ed Orgeron probably has his living room set up with Bronco gear, rooting like hell for Jack Del Rio to keep winning so he has to coach right up until Signing Day in early February, so he can’t leave for USC and Pat Haden will have to give Coach O the permanent head coaching gig at USC.
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NFL Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
There’s something strange and exciting about tonight’s NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints.
While the two teams may have complete opposite records, and the Falcons are the most disappointing team this year, they are still massive rivals and definitely don’t like each other in any form or fashion. This game is definitely going to get some attention from not only the NFL fans, but the sports bettors as well of course.
The Saints come in with an 8-2 record, which is good for second best in the NFC behind the Seattle Seahawks. Not only are the Saints trying to catch up to the Seahawks for the best record in the NFC, but they are trying to hold off the red hot Carolina Panthers, who have won SIX games in a row, and are 7-3 now. They have a huge match-up with the Seahawks next week, and then the Panthers the week after that, which will decide how the sit at the end of the year.
This spells look ahead game all over it, even though the Falcons and Saints still dislike each other quite a bit. If you look back at Week 1 of the NFL season when the two teams met in New Orleans, the Saints were only favored by -3.5. What a huge change we’ve seen from that day though, as the 2-8 Falcons are at home in this one, and are getting right around +10 tonight at most online sportsbooks.
There are a few ways to look at this, but if you look at the stats, many things really do point to the Falcons, and even against the Saints.
Not only are the Saints coming off of a tough game against the 49ers that was definitely physical, but they aren’t nearly as strong on the road as they are at home. Surprisingly, the Saints are 2-2 SU away from home, and they are 1-3 ATS also. The most interesting state FOR the Falcons though is that they have seemed to bounce back well in the past under Mike Smith after double digit losses (lost by 13 last week), and are 11-3 ATS in those spots.
Over the last four games in the series between the Falcons and Saints, the home team has gone 4-0 ATS. That’s an interesting stat, even if the Falcons aren’t the same team they were last year. Roddy White looks to be back and playing at a much higher level and I expect him to have a fairly big impact on this one.
Most sports betting sites have this one between -9.5 and -10 for the Saints. I lean to taking the +10 for the Falcons in a spot where many people are going to look and immediately think blowout, but that’s not likely to be the case so I am playing small on the Under.
Interesting game tonight, and I know I’ll be tuned in with some betting action.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS / ATLANTA FALCONS UNDER 54 POINTS
Spooky Express Sunday wrap up as we celebrate the anniversary of ButtFumble....
-- It was a year ago today that the Buttfumble was gloriously created on a Thanksgiving evening game in MetLife Stadium. The perpetrator of the Buttfumble, Senor Nacho Sanchez, has been mostly quiet this season on account of being injured since the preseason.
-- It was November 23 yesterday and we saw these scores.........
Georgia Tech 66, Alabama A&M 7
Clemson 52, Citadel 6
North Carolina 80, Old Dominion 20-- Tar Heels get a semi-pass because ODU is in process of moving up to I-A.
Alabama 49, Chattanooga 0
South Carolina 70, Coastal Carolina 10
It is just horrendous in my opinion that all these SEC teams are playing I-AA teams this late in the season. They claim to be the best conference and then do this crap. Florida State hung 80 on Idaho, but Idaho is I-A, so they're big boys and need to recruit better. Playing I-AA teams rips off your fans, especially this late in the season. if you lose to a I-AA team, you should become ineligible to play in a bowl game that year. Speaking of which.......
-- Georgia Southern 26, Florida 20-- GSU didn't complete one pass, not one; they were 0-3 passing, ran ball 54 times for 429 yards. Florida is 4-7, will have its first losing season since I was in college-- 1979. Do you think Mike Gundy would leave Stillwater to coach the mighty Gators?
-- Oklahoma State 49, Baylor 17-- Game was 35-3 after three quarters; Bears haven't won in Stillwater since WWII. Gundy's stock is pretty high; if Florida came calling, he'd have an interesting choice to make. The coach who preceded Gundy in Stillwater is doing pretty well in the SEC.....
-- Arizona 42, Oregon 16-- In the history of football, teams that rush for 300+ (304) yards and have a +3 turnover ratio never lose, not even if they're 19-point home underdogs. Wildcats lost to Wazzu last week, win this game, which would make you question why you bother handicapping games.
-- Vanderbilt 14, Tennessee 10-- Commodores have beaten Tennessee in consecutive seasons for first time since 1926; they've also won their last eight November games. "Coach Franklin, I have a Mr Haden on Line 1....."
Spooky Express I have no idea whats going on here Monday wrap up......
-- Hey, that was great practice for the outdoor Super Bowl coming up in New Jersey in February. Wind chills in the Meadowlands yesterday were in the teens. Not as bad as Foxboro last night for the Patriots and Broncos. Barely above zero. And this is just November. February 2nd is weeks away. It warms the heart just thinking about it.
--A woman jumped from the third deck after the Raiders game in Oakland. She seriously injured herself and the Good Samaritan male fan who broke her fall after pleading with her not to jump.
-- Patriots 34, Broncos 31 OT-- What are your thoughts about the NFL scheduling night games in frigid weather? Do they care about the ticket buying public, player safety, for that matter? Or the quality of the product? Cold weather games aren't as much fun-- who likes to sit outside and freeze? Whats your thoughts coming from a guy that moved to Florida?
-- It's going to be great when Houston has no other choice but to fire this guy even though he had an on-field stroke (or whatever). And if you lose a home game to the Jaguars, you deserve to be unemployed. The Dolphins and Jets also lost but no one cares about them.
-- Check out the full article and more at Spooky Express website. http://spookyexpress.com/sports-betting-news/
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NFL Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Redskins – Nov 24, 2013
If last nights game between the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots wasn’t one of the best games that you’ve ever seen, I’d be shocked. That game was absolutely incredible, and saw the Patriots stage an amazing comeback.
Tonight we have the potential to get another great game, even if the records don’t exactly indicate that. The Washington Redskins are at home with their 3-7 record, and they get the San Francisco 49ers and their 6-4 record.
While this is all but must-win for the 49ers, who have plenty of teams chasing them for a Wild Card spot, the Redskins are looking to show that they have some type of life in them, even though they have seven losses. They’d have to reel off some major wins in a row to have a playoff shot, but in the NFC East it’s definitely possible.
There are a ton of stats to look at for this game, but instead of looking at scoring stats on the two sides, I’m going to take a look at some ATS stats, as well as how teams have done as favorites.
It is worth noting that the 49ers defense has been considered one of the best in the NFL in recent years, while the Redskins’ defense has had major struggles recently, giving up 24, 34, 24, 45, 41, and 31 in their last six games (two of which they won).
San Francisco 49ers ATS
The 49ers have been a very good team against the spread this year, going 7-3 overall. Most impressive though is the fact that they are 6-2 ATS as a favorite, and are 3-0 ATS on the ROAD as a favorite.
You just don’t see that very often, but this is a team who has shown that they really know how to step up when it matters most in big road games. Colin Kaepernick hasn’t been lighting it up recently, but he has a great match-up against the Redskins’ on Monday night.
Washington Redskins ATS
The Washington Redskins issues aren’t just on the field, but they have been burning sports bettors if you’ve backed them this year. They are 3-7 ATS, which matches their poor record, and are only 2-2 ATS at home. The worst of all though is the fact that when this team plays as an underdog, they are 1-5 ATS.
There have been multiple talks about Robert Griffin III not taking blame for mistakes he’s made, and while he’s admitted that he needs to take more blame, I’m not sure that it will transition to results against a strong 49ers defense.
Sports bettors, we have a line right now that is around -4 to -4.5 on most online sports betting sites. It was pretty much sitting still at -4 until I saw it at -4.5 this morning though. Taking all things into account, and the fact that the Redskins are all but out of it right now, I think that the 49ers are in a spot where they NEED a win, and it’s going to show on the field.