NBA
Brooklyn vs. Toronto 04/19/2014 12:30 PM
Line: +3½    Total: 193
MLB
Toronto vs. Cleveland 04/19/2014 01:05 PM
ML: TOR (-105) Total: 7½
MLB
St. Louis vs. Washington 04/19/2014 01:05 PM
ML: STL (-110) Total: 7
Forgot Password?
Back
coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens: Preview and Pick

4 Replies | 494 Views
On 11/19/2013 05:56 PM in NFL
New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens: Preview and Pick

This week two teams in the NFL will meet that are fighting for their playoff lives. If the Baltimore Ravens or the New York Jets want to make the playoffs they will need to win this week or risk being eliminated. The Jets were not expected to compete for the playoffs and have been a pleasant surprise, while the Ravens are defending champions and have fallen short of their expectations.

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens Odds

The opening NFL point spread for this game has the Ravens listed as (-30 point favorites. The ugly Jets loss against Buffalo a week ago has persuaded the NFL bettors to back the Ravens as over 70 percent of the early bets are on the home team. That move has caused a push in the point spread and the line has now climbed to (-4) at some of the most reputable online sportsbooks.

This game is crucial for the playoff race. The Ravens (4-6) are one game behind the Jets for the last playoff spot in the AFC. The next few weeks should sort out a crowded postseason race in the AFC, where there are two teams at 5-5 (Jets and Miami Dolphins) and six teams at 4-6 (Ravens, Oakland Raiders, Tennessee Titans, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cleveland Browns and San Diego Chargers). A win over the Jets, along with a Dolphins' loss Sunday against the Carolina Panthers, would create a bigger logjam. A loss for the Ravens would drop them two games behind the Jets with five weeks remaining.

So, while the Ravens have their worst record this late in the season under Harbaugh, they could be in a worse position if not for the parity in the AFC. The only thing that is standing in their way is the New York Jets who are looking to make the playoffs as well.

The latest football betting trends for this game reveal that the Ravens have some wagering angles backing them in this game. The Ravens are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November and 5-1 ATS in the last six home games. The Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November, 1-5 ATS when playing a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games when playing a team with a losing home record.

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens Pick

With plenty of time to go before the start of the regular season, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/20/2013 08:47 PM
51.2 — quarterback rating for opposing quarterbacks when targeting Jimmy Smith the past five games.

After two inconsistent seasons and a rocky start in the season-opening loss to the Denver Broncos, Jimmy Smith has been playing very well in recent weeks. In Sunday’s 23-20 loss to the Chicago Bears, Smith allowed just four catches for 25 yards against Bears wide receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery, according to Pro Football Focus. Over the past five games, Smith has allowed just 12 catches for 131 yards and no touchdowns on 23 targets, according to Pro Football Focus. He also picked off one of those passes. Opposing quarterbacks have a 51.2 quarterback rating when throwing into Smith’s coverage area.


109 — rushing yards for Ravens running backs against the Bears when they ran between left guard and center Sunday.

The left guard and center positions have arguably been the weakest links on the offensive line this season, but A.Q. Shipley and Gino Gradkowski played well in the loss to the Bears, especially in the running game. Ravens running backs ran for 109 yards on 13 carries between the left guard and center, including Ray Rice's 47-yard run on his first carry of the game, according to Pro Football Focus. While the Ravens averaged 8.4 yards per carry running through that hole, they averaged just 2.3 elsewhere.

6.7 — Joe Flacco’s yards per attempt when throwing beyond 10 yards Sunday against the Bears.

It's well known that one of the reasons the Ravens drafted quarterback Joe Flacco was that he could zip the ball around in the inclement weather commonly found in the AFC North. But in Sunday’s windy loss in Chicago, it was Bears quarterback Josh McCown who had more success throwing the ball downfield. According to ESPN Stats and Info, McCown completed six of his 10 attempts beyond 10 yards and averaged 11.8 yards per attempt on those throws. Meanwhile, Flacco completed just three of his six attempts beyond 10 yards for an average of 6.7 yards. He was off target on three of those throws, one of which was intercepted.

76 — negative plays forced by the Ravens this season.

A week after a big fourth-down tackle for a loss helped the Ravens beat the Cincinnati Bengals in overtime, Ravens defenders were not in the Bears' backfield as often as we're used to seeing, finishing with just two sacks and four tackles for losses. Still, the Baltimore defense has been among the league’s most disruptive throughout the season. According to Ravens media relations, the Ravens have forced opponents into 76 negative plays this season. Only the Buffalo Bills, with 84, have forced more.

35 — combined turnovers for Joe Flacco and Geno Smith this season.

Two of the NFL's most turnover-prone quarterbacks will face off at M&T Bank Stadium this weekend. New York Jets rookie quarterback Geno Smith has thrown 16 interceptions this season, second most in the NFL. Meanwhile, Flacco has thrown 13, fifth most in the NFL and a single-season high for his career — and there are still six games left to play. Smith has lost four fumbles. Flacco has lost two. Combined, they have committed 35 turnovers in 20 games. This one could get ugly.

0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/21/2013 10:49 AM
As the patience among New York Jets fans wears thin, two things have remained consistent - the team's overall inconsistency and the erratic play of Geno Smith.

''We know our fans deserve better, and we certainly are going to play better," coach Rex Ryan said.

There also have been gripes for benching Smith, but Ryan plans to stick with starting his rookie quarterback - at least through Sunday - as the Jets visit the struggling Baltimore Ravens.

New York (5-5) is the first team since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970 to alternate wins and losses through the first 10 games, seemingly going from contender to pretender week by week.

After stunning New England 30-27 in overtime Oct. 20, the Jets were blown out 49-9 by Cincinnati the following week. They bounced back with a surprising 26-20 victory over New Orleans on Nov. 3 before being routed 37-14 by last-place Buffalo last Sunday.

"Obviously, we know we have to play better. That's not hard to figure out," Ryan said.

It's also not tough to discern that Smith, who tossed three interceptions against the Bills, needs to get better. He's thrown one touchdown and eight picks over the last five games, and he completed 38.1 percent of his passes over the last two before giving way to backup Matt Simms - who went 4 for 6 for 60 yards and a touchdown last week - in each contest.

Smith's 16 interceptions are one fewer than Eli Manning's league-worst total and his 20 turnovers are the most in the NFL, but he contends he's still progressing.

"I don't think statistics tell every single thing, every part of the story,'' Smith said. ''I obviously don't want my stats to look like that and I don't want to play like that. But I've gotten better. I've become a smarter player."

He's also not surprised people are calling for his starting job.

''I think every player in the NFL, everyone's job is on the line, every single person," Smith said. "That's day to day, no one's job is 100 percent secured."

Ryan emphatically backed Smith this week and doesn't plan to make a change until at least after facing the Ravens.

''I've watched the tape. I put myself through it again and I think, without question, Geno's going to start this game," Ryan said. ''I think Geno has a chance to be a good quarterback. We have to get him dialed in better."

Despite all of its struggles, New York still finds itself in better position for a playoff berth than the defending Super Bowl champion Ravens, with whom Ryan spent 1999-2008 before leaving for the Jets.

During that time he coached safety Ed Reed, who left the Ravens in the offseason to sign with Houston before being waived and signing with New York last week. Reed was given a warm welcome when he returned to Baltimore with the Texans on Sept. 22, and he'll get another look at his struggling former team.

The Ravens (4-6) have lost four of five after falling to Chicago 23-20 in overtime of a game that was delayed more than two hours because of severe weather. It marked their fourth loss by three points or fewer and their seventh straight contest that was decided by no more than six.

"In the end, it comes down to winning a tight game and doing the things you have to do to win a tight game," coach John Harbaugh said. "That's what we have to continue to work on doing a better job of because we haven't done a good enough job in close games."

Part of that falls on quarterback Joe Flacco, who hasn't lived up to the six-year, $120 million contract he signed after last year's Super Bowl run. He ranks 26th with a 75.3 passer rating, and his 13 interceptions are the most he's thrown in his career with six games still remaining.

Flacco finished 17 of 31 for 162 yards, a touchdown and two picks last week, including one returned for a score.

"We all wish we could play better, and that starts with me," Flacco said. "Up to this point, no, I haven't and we haven't played the way we want to - or should.

"It's annoying. I'm a guy that does not like to throw interceptions. Believe me, I don't like the fact that when you look at what we've done, that I've thrown (13 interceptions). That's tough."

Baltimore hasn't scored more than 20 points in its last five games and ranks 30th in total offense with 308.5 yards per game. It also has a minus-5 turnover margin that is 23rd in the league.

The Ravens may look to get the ground game going again after rushing for a season-best 174 yards against Chicago. Ray Rice entered with 289 yards through eight games, but he ran for 131 and a touchdown.

New York ranks eighth with an average of 129.5 yards on the ground, as Chris Ivory followed his 139-yard performance against New Orleans by rushing for 98 and a touchdown last week.

The Jets have lost seven straight meetings with the Ravens, including both under Ryan.
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/22/2013 02:02 PM
They're the defending Super Bowl champions, but the Baltimore Ravens find themselves in the unlikely position of having to pursue the New York Jets.

At 4-6 through 10 games, the Ravens are smothered in a six-team AFC pileup that's collectively on a quest to reel in the Jets, who enter Week 12 in possession of a 5-5 record and the conference's final postseason wild card slot on the way to a Sunday visit to M&T Bank Stadium.

Baltimore did itself no favors in a Week 11 loss at Chicago, its fourth loss of the season by three or fewer points and fifth of the year by a touchdown or less. Only one of the Ravens' six losses, a 49-27 debacle at Denver on Sept. 5, came by more than a single score.

The game against the Bears was delayed by more than two hours by severe weather.

"In the end, it comes down to winning a tight game and doing the things you have to do to win a tight game," coach John Harbaugh said. "That's what we have to continue to work on doing a better job of because we haven't done a good enough job in close games."

Quarterback Joe Flacco earned a six-year, $120 million contract by performing well in tight spots en route to last season's championship, but he's plummeted to 26th-best in the league this year with a 75.3 passer rating. His 13 interceptions through 10 games are more than he's ever had through 16.

Against the Bears, he was picked off twice - once for a TD - and completed 17- of-31 passes for one Baltimore score.

"We all wish we could play better, and that starts with me," Flacco said. "Up to this point, no, I haven't and we haven't played the way we want to - or should. It's annoying. I'm a guy that does not like to throw interceptions. Believe me, I don't like the fact that when you look at what we've done, that I've thrown. That's tough."

The Ravens are 30th in the league in total yards - 308.5 per game - and 23rd in the league with a minus-5 turnover ratio. It hasn't exceeded 20 points since a Week 5 at Miami.

Still, the Bears allowed them to gain a season-best 174 rushing yards, including 131 from Ray Rice, who'd had just 289 yards in his initial eight games.

Against the Jets, Rice and Co. will get a second look at former teammate Ed Reed, who started the season with Houston - and faced the Ravens in Week 3 - and will see them again in his second appearance with the Jets after signing on with them after he was waived by the Texans.

Not to mention, Jets coach Rex Ryan was a Baltimore assistant from 1999 to 2008.

Ryan, Reed and the rest of Gang Green are licking their collective wounds as they head to Maryland after an ugly 37-14 loss at Buffalo in a game New York was hoping would give it a playoff positioning cushion down the stretch.

Instead, the Jets continued what's now a post-merger NFL-record streak of alternating wins and losses from the start of a season. New York was beaten by 40 points at Cincinnati on Oct. 27, toppled once-beaten New Orleans, 26-20, a week later and had a one-week bye before the blowout at Buffalo in which starting quarterback Geno Smith was benched.

The rookie will start this week after completing only eight of 23 passes and being intercepted three times against the Bills. He was relieved by Matt Simms, who connected on four of six throws for 60 yards and a TD.

Smith has thrown 16 interceptions for the season and trails only Eli Manning's 20 league-wide.

"I don't think statistics tell every single thing, every part of the story," Smith said. "I obviously don't want my stats to look like that and I don't want to play like that. But I've gotten better. I've become a smarter player. Every player in the NFL, everyone's job is on the line, every single person. That's day to day, no one's job is 100 percent secured."

Ryan insisted the youngster's job is safe, at least for now.

"I've watched the tape. I put myself through it again and I think, without question, Geno's going to start this game," he said. "I think Geno has a chance to be a good quarterback. We have to get him dialed in better."

The Jets are eighth in the league in rushing with 129.5 yards per game, and Chris Ivory has gone for 237 yards in his last two outings. Baltimore is 11th in the league against the run, allowing 102.7 ground yards per week.

''We know our fans deserve better and we certainly are going to play better," Ryan said. "Obviously, we know we have to play better. That's not hard to figure out."
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname coleryan
  • Posts:11892
  • Followers:18
11/22/2013 02:02 PM
Keep the rookie upright.

Smith has been wildly inconsistent all season long, but his cause was hardly aided in Buffalo by an offensive line that was frequently bamboozled by both straight-ahead rushes and myriad blitzes from varying directions. He won't improve here if he's on his back.

Play like a champion, Joe Cool.

Because the Jets have been positively stifling against the run, it'll likely place some additional emphasis on the offensive acumen of Baltimore's Flacco, whose decision-making has been iffy in spots through 10 games. It may not take a lot of points to be decisive in this one.
0 0
Post Comment