MLB
Miami vs. Atlanta 04/23/2014 12:10 PM
ML: ATL (-150) Total: 7
MLB
Arizona vs. Chi Cubs 04/23/2014 02:20 PM
ML: CHC (-123) Total: 6½
MLB
San Francisco vs. Colorado 04/23/2014 03:10 PM
ML: SF (-107) Total: 9½
Forgot Password?
Back
jimmythegreek
  • Posts:9677
  • Followers:358

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 11

3 Replies | 203 Views
On 11/17/2013 07:18 AM in NFL
Arizona -7 over Jacksonville (played early):
Don't expect Arizona (5-4) to look past any of their remaining opponents now that they have won 2 straight and are right in the thick of the NFC wIldcard race. Posting wins against underachievers Atlanta and Houston at home, the Cardinals take to the road in week 11 against Jacksonville (1-8) at EverBank Field hoping to improve on their 1-3 road mark.

The Cardinals are averaging nearly 27 points per game this season featuring an offense led by 12 year veteran Carson Palmer (194/316 2154 12 TD 15 INT). While his stats may look a bit at best mediocre and deceiving, he has thrown only 2 picks the last 2 weeks. One area of focus however is closing games more efficiently, as evident by his 7/17 for 42 yards in the second half. Top targets Larry Fitzgerald (39-493 5 TD) and Michael Floyd (36-464 2 TD) have endured moderate success to date, but are also preventing the passing game from advancing even more due to untimely drops. Fitzgerald has been hobbled by a hamstring injury and Floyd is battling a sore shoulder, however both are expected to play. Andre Ellington (54-388 7.2 1 TD) has made the most of his touches and is another option for Palmer in the flat (24-216 1 TD). Rashard Mendenhall (105-323 3.1 3 TD) has struggled all season behind a line that could certainly better protect Palmer, especially if the Cardinals have serious wildcard intentions down the stretch. Arizona is just 24th in the league in total rushing offense.

Jacksonville finally got off the schneid with a 29-27 win at Tennessee in week 10 and will look to play the role of spoiler this afternoon. Chad Henne (146/241 1630 3 TD 7 INT) wasn't particularly effective against Tennessee throwing 2 picks but remains the starter over Blaine Gabbert. Cecil Shorts (48-607 1 TD) has taken over the receiving duties after Justin Blackmon was suspended indefinitely. The Jags remain especially thin in the passing game so expect Maurice Jones Drew (143-432 3.0 3 TD) to get the bulk of the carries in an attempt to methodically move the offense. Jacksonville will try to extend the game keeping Arizona's offense from putting up points early. Despite being limited in the ground game due to inefficiency and injuries, Jones-Drew (20-143) is a viable second option for short drops. Ace Sanders (16-182) could also see more action as the secondary receiver to Shorts.

Palmer and the offense cannot afford to make mistakes Tennessee made last week which gave Jacksonville short fields to capitalize. Henne's offensive line could be in for a rough day as Arizona gets plenty of penetration up front. Patrick Peterson will get the majority of the secondary duties on Shorts which could force more runs to be efficient. In three home games this season‚ the Jaguars have been outscored‚ 89-11‚ and have not scored a touchdown. While they're assured of not going 0-16, a reality check is certainly back in order considering they're not a good football team. If Arizona can beat the teams they're supposed to, they will be vying for a postseason spot at season's end.


For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

» All Time Record: 10571-10772-392
» Last 7 Days Record: 87-98-4
» Last 30 Days Record: 418-411-15
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname jimmythegreek
  • Posts:9677
  • Followers:358
11/17/2013 07:46 AM
Seattle -12 over Minnesota:
Things are slowly but surely returning to normal in the Puget sound as Seattle (9-1) had to sweat out it's last 2 victories to Tampa Bay and St. Louis before returning to their dominant ways in a 33-10 ambushing of Atlanta in week 10. Winners of 5 straight and on a 12 game overall home surge dating back to last season, miserable Minnesota (2-7) comes in somewhat confident off a 34-27 come from behind win over Washington last Thursday night.

Russell Wilson (163/257 2132 17 TD 6 INT) completed 19 of 26 passes for 287 yards and 2 TD's while Marshawn Lynch (191-871 4.6 7 TD) ran for a season-high 145 yards and a score against the Falcons. WIlson has also eluded opposing tackles out of the pocket (70-395 5.6 1 TD) and has picked up numerous first downs with his feet to keep drives alive. Golden Tate (41-574 4 TD) has emerged as one of the league's best while Doug Baldwin (34-523 2 TD) is filling in nicely for injured Sidney Rice as a second option in the Seattle receiving core. Lynch and Wilson have combined for 75% of the ground efficiency while success throwing the ball has led to 26.5 points per contest, 6th in the NFL. Seattle also re-activated receiver Percy Harvin (hip) this week, and he’s dying to make his season debut against his former team. Harvin’s return would boost an offense that’s already clicking.

The Vikings snapped a 4 game losing streak with a win over the Redskins however it could have proved costly. Christian Ponder (115/179 1246 5 TD 7 INT) was 17 of 21 for 174 yards and two scores before dislocating his non-throwing shoulder trying to dive for a touchdown, leaving his status unclear. Minnesota has a tough decision to make having either Matt Cassel (52/75 536 3 TD 2 INT) or Josh Freeman (20/53 190 1 INT) perhaps fill in if Ponder can't go. Regardless, whomever lines up under center will be in for a daunting task. The Seahawks defense gives up just 15 points and 178.0 passing yards per game while yielding only 289 yards per contest, ranking 3rd in the NFL. That could mean more touches for Adrian Peterson (173-786 4.5 9 TD) who despite dealing with a groin injury continues to carve through opposing defenses. Peterson may be in for a favorable matchup as Seattle allows 113 rushing yards per contest.

As bad as the passing game has been in Minnesota, the defense has been worse. Minnesota owns the third worst total defense in the game and the fourth worst passing defense in the league allowing 285 yards through the air per game. This team can`t stop anybody right now which could mean more big numbers for a Seattle offense which just found themselves after a 2 week lull. Too many weapons on both sides of the ball here plus a loud hostile home crowd, and Seattle should cruise here to a 6th straight victory while representing as the class of the NFC.






For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

» All Time Record: 10571-10772-392
» Last 7 Days Record: 87-98-4
» Last 30 Days Record: 418-411-15
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname jimmythegreek
  • Posts:9677
  • Followers:358
11/17/2013 08:20 AM
Green Bay +7.5 over NYG (played early, bought half):
The injury-plagued Green Bay Packers (5-4) will give Scott Tolzien his first career start Sunday as Aaron Rogers continues to heal from a fractured left collarbone injury. An undrafted rookie out of Wisconsin, Tolzien completed 24 of 39 passes for one touchdown and two interceptions and was named the starter for this game by coach Mike McCarthy after a 27-13 loss to Philadelphia in week 10. The cheese visits the Meadowlands to face the NY Giants (3-6) who have reeled off 3 straight since starting a once believed lost season dropping their first 6.

Green Bay fell one game behind first-place Detroit in the NFC North but still has most of the second half to make up ground. The Giants are not looking to get past themselves facing a third string quarterback, but have made things rough on opposing QB's during their winning streak. Josh Freeman was horrible in his Minnesota debut, the defense knocked out Michael Vick and had the luxury of facing an ineffective Matt Barkley, and last week came out of the bye taking advantage of a hobbling Terrelle Pryor to make things interesting in the NFC Least.

Tolzien could do now worse than an injured Seneca Wallace given the receiving core is rather healthy and effective. Wallace suffered a groin injury last week and is out for the remainder of the season. Jordy Nelson 49-772 7 TD) is having a solid season and considering Tolzien is willing to take chances down the field, minor if any adjustments will need to be made. Tolzien also has James Jones (39-410 2 TD) and Jarret Boykin (23-362 1 TD) as both have filled in nicely for Randal Cobb and Jermichael Finley who are injured. Eddie Lacy (158-669 4.2 4 TD) has given this traditionally anorexic running game new life which could prove essential in protecting Tolzien. Green Bay also signed Matt Flynn earlier this week as the second stringer.

Peyton Manning (183/329 2307 11 TD 16 INT) has looked more like himself over the last few weeks after suffering through a brutal first half. However Manning can't take the full brunt of the blame as the Jints' have been victimized by an inefficient running game that has totaled just 692 yards and only 6 scores thus far. The good news is that Brandon Jacobs (44-154 3.5 3 TD) is probable despite dealing with a hamstring injury. One of the few bright spots has been the receiving core led by Victor Cruz (50-714 4 TD) and Hakeem Nicks (38-570) though the latter could pad his stats as well as give the Giants better efficiency moving the ball so long as he can hold onto the ball. Rueben Randle (26-423 5 TD) has also emerged as a viable third option for Manning down the field leading the club in receiving scores. Andre Brown had a nice debut last week rushing for 115 yards and a touchdown on 30 carries (3.8) to alleviate the demand on Manning.

Defense has been the key that has given the Giants new life and potential hope to stay afloat in the NFC race. They've only allowed one TD over their past 3 games, and that came just 2 plays after fumbling the opening kickoff in their win over Oakland last week. Overall NY has given up 27 ppg, but only 11 per contest during the 3 game winning streak.

If Lacy can field successful drives by rushing for positive yardage keeping the Giants off the field, there's no reason the Packers can get more familiar with the offense that behind Rogers led Green Bay to the promising start they'd be more adjusted to. The biggest contribution for New York’s turnaround has been cutting down on turnovers as well as a more efficient Manning who has been picked just once over his last 3 contests. While this is easily a winnable game for both clubs, the Giants seem to be riding the momentum. However I'm taking the points in a close hard fought battle.



For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

» All Time Record: 10571-10772-392
» Last 7 Days Record: 87-98-4
» Last 30 Days Record: 418-411-15
0 0
Post Comment
Pfile Nickname jimmythegreek
  • Posts:9677
  • Followers:358
11/17/2013 08:49 AM
Baltimore/Chicago over 41:
Though Baltimore (4-5) had problems running the ball in their week 10 OT win over Cincinnati installing some confidence, Joe Flacco (204/346 2307 12 TD 11 INT) didn't look anything like the defending Super Bowl MVP. Who knows if the Ravens can rebound from their poor start to make the postseason for a sixth straight year? It would have been much tougher if they were 3-6 and tied for last place with Pittsburgh. The Ravens travel to Chicago to take on the Bears (5-4) who are also vying to make a postseason push one game behind Detroit in the NFC Central.

Flacco completed just 20/36 for 140 yards along with 2 TD's and 2 INT's in week 10. Despite the Ravens never feeling their season was over after losing to Green Bay, Pittsburgh and Cleveland by a combined 11 points, they understand there's work to be done. uch of which needs to be atoned for in the anemic ground game. Ray Rice (115-289 2.5 3 TD) and Bernard Pierce (93-261 2.8 2 TD) combined for 61 of the team's 85 rushing yards. The Ravens rank 30th averaging 73.1 per game and are tied for last at 2.8 per carry overall with only 5 TD's. Flacco and company could very well be one-dimensional for the majority of the game which could mean big weeks for top targets Torrey Smith (41-753 2 TD) and Marlon Brown (27-307 5 TD) who is battling a knee injury.

With Jay Cutler (167/265 1908 13 TD 8 INT) out with an ankle injury, backup Josh McGown (40/72 538 4 TD) will take the reins at QB at least for this afternoon. The good news is that Chicago boasts one of the more productive receiving cores in the league led by Brandon Marshall (60-796 8 TD) and Alshon Jeffrey (47-735 3 TD). Martellius Bennett (40-421 4 TD) is also suffering from an ankle injury and could be a gametime decision. The Bears also sport a dangerous running game featuring Matt Forte (157-691 4.4 7 TD) who can also be used as another option for McGown (44-332) in the flat. Devin Hester can set up efficient beginning field position averaging nearly 29 yards per kickoff return and 15 yards per punt.

One of the biggest free agent signings this offseason was Elvis Dumervil, who found himself without a team after a faxing snafu. While he has not been a full-time starter, he has been extremely effective as a pass-rusher when on the field. He has eight sacks on the season, which is tied for ninth most in the league. Dumervil is the only player in the top 10 that has not been a regular starter this season. He has only played about 50-60 percent of the Ravens’ defensive snaps, but he has definitely been a player that opposing offensive line have to watch out for.

Where the Ravens’ offense has struggled to run, the Bears’ defense has struggled to stop the run. The Bears’ defense has allowed 5.93 yards per carry to runs up the middle, among the worst in the league. This will be a battle between to struggling units, but one of them has to win. Getting their running game back on track would be huge for the Ravens’ offense, opening up the field for Flacco. On the other end, keeping the Ravens’ runners quiet would greatly benefit the Bears’ pass defense. This could be a closely fought offensive battle, and could come down to a field goal or whchever team has the ball last.

Best of luck in week 11
YTD 24-16 .600


For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

» All Time Record: 10571-10772-392
» Last 7 Days Record: 87-98-4
» Last 30 Days Record: 418-411-15
0 0
Post Comment