11/17/2013 09:59 AM
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (+1, 41)
Geno Smith is having an up and down rookie season but played one of his best games against Buffalo in Week 3, when he passed for a season-high 331 yards to go along with two touchdowns in a 27-20 triumph. New York is not asking much of Smith, who is enjoying the luxury of a rushing offense that produces an average of 129 yards, and he attempted a season-low 19 passes in the win over the Saints.
Buffalo is averaging 13.3 points during its three-game slide and just barely scratched out one touchdown in a 23-10 loss at Pittsburgh last week when Manuel found Chris Cragg with three seconds left. Manuel could have less help this week with wide receivers Stevie Johnson (groin) and Robert Woods (ankle) each sitting out Wednesday’s practice.
LINE: Opened as a pick and has been bet up to Buffalo +1. The total is steady at 41.
WEATHER: There is a 64 percent chance of rain and wind blowing across the field from the south at 16 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New York (+1.5) - Buffalo (+5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Jets -0.5
* Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. teams with winning records.
* Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Buffalo.