coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:28 AM

NC State Wolfpack at Boston College Eagles (-7)

ATS pick: Boston College


By season's end, Eagles RB Andre Williams, who leads the FBS in rushing, might end up with twice the yards per game of the ACC's second-leading rusher, a runner-up honor that's up for grabs with Miami's Duke Johnson now lost for the year. In just a few games under first-year coach Steve Addazio, Boston College has established a clear identity as a downhill team that relies on Williams as its bell cow.

NC State, coming out of an open date, played one of its best games of the year at Duke. The Wolfpack led in the fourth quarter before three Blue Devils touchdowns in 26 seconds iced it for the host. In the three games before that, though, the Pack allowed 738 rushing yards, not good news against a BC squad that has racked up at least 190 yards on the ground in six games this year.

Since the Eagles joined the ACC in 2005, the home team has covered all eight meetings and has won seven of them outright. This year's Boston College squad is not a team with which we're anxious to lay more than a TD, but Williams & Co. have the ground game to run over the Pack in much the same way Syracuse did a few weeks back.

Score: Boston College 31, North Carolina State 21

coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:29 AM

Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS as 30-point-plus favorites since '09. Giving 33.5 at Illinois

coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:29 AM


coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:30 AM

#10 SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS -13.5 over Florida Gators

It’s hard to completely trust the Gamecocks after their dubious 1-4 ATS start to the season, but in their more recent matchups they’ve finally lived up to their potential with a 3-1 SU and ATS record over four games. At 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home stands, South Carolina is one of the toughest places to visit in the SEC when the Gamecocks are playing at full tilt and Florida’s 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS losing streak should send even Gators fans to South Carolina’s side of this NCAAF betting line.

coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:30 AM

Michigan is 0-10 ATS (-12.4 ppg) since 2008 after a home loss.

coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:30 AM

Indiana Hoosiers at Wisconsin Badgers (-24, 69.5)

The Hoosiers have the second best offense in the Big Ten behind Ohio State averaging 43.1 points and 527,1 yards per contest. Running backs Tevin Coleman (215), the Big Ten Offensive Player of the Week, and Stephen Houston (150) both rushed for over 100 yards for the second straight week. Quarterback Nate Sudfeld leads the Big Ten in passing touchdowns with 19.

The Badgers still have their sights set on a possible BCS bowl invite if they can win their final three games (Indiana, at Minnesota, Penn State) and get to 10 wins. Don't bet against them. Since 2006, the Badgers are 24-4 after Nov. 1 (excluding bowl games) and first-year head coach Gary Andersen has won 15 of his last 16 conference games dating back to his Utah State coaching days.

LINE: Wisconsin opened -20.5 but the line has since been bet up to -24. The total is down from 70 to 69.5.
WEATHER: There is an 86 percent chance of showers with wind blowing out of the southeast at 14 mph.
TRENDS:

* Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games.
* Badgers are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
* Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings.

coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:32 AM

When Florida State played as Home Team- in the month of November; Seminoles are 2-8-0 ATS since 2008

coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:32 AM


coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:33 AM


coleryan Posts:11961 Followers:19
11/16/2013 10:34 AM

No. 12 Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 24 Texas Longhorns
Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET

The visitor has actually won five of the past six in this series, and last year the Horns went into Stillwater and came away with a 41-36 win after scoring on a controversial 2-yard touchdown run with 29 seconds left.

While Baylor deservedly gets all the publicity, these are the next two hottest teams in the Big 12 as the Horns have now won six straight games after their 47-40 overtime victory over West Virginia last week. The win was costly, however, as they lost running back Johnathan Gray and defensive tackle Chris Whaley for the season. They do have some quality depth behind both players, and their winning formula continues to be solid line play on both sides. The experienced offensive line has only allowed two sacks in the last four games, while the defense under new defensive coordinator Greg Robinson has generated 24 sacks in six games.

The Cowboys, meanwhile, have won five straight games after being upset in Morgantown in September. They have also focused on winning the line of scrimmage, particularly going to the ground game on offense under quarterback Clint Chelf. Last week, however, even in a 42-6 win over Kansas, it has to be somewhat troubling that they only managed 85 rushing yards. And Chelf is completing just 51 percent of his passes on the season. Head coach Mike Gundy has mentioned that this could be his best defense in his tenure, and they are allowing a Gundy-era-best 20 points per game.

Even with six straight wins, the Longhorns find themselves as a home underdogs for only the fourth time since 1998. While Oklahoma State has won its last three games by an average of 28 points per game, Texas has proved it can generate some pressure on the quarterback and also contain the ground game on defense. If the Cowboys have to rely on their passing game Saturday, then they could be in some trouble. I'll call for the Longhorns to continue their hot streak.

Pick: Texas 34, Oklahoma State 27